PollingReport.com

[ Home ] [ Up ]

     White House 2004: General Election (p. 4)
Polls listed chronologically. All data are from nationwide surveys of Americans 18 & older.

.

.

Reuters/Zogby Tracking Poll. Rolling 3-day sample (as of 10/4/04). N=approx. 1,200 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 2.9. Sponsored by Reuters, as of Oct. 4-6.
                 

"Do you think President Bush deserves to be reelected, or do you think it is time for someone new?" Trend includes slight variations in wording.
                 
    Deserves
Reelection		 Someone
New		 Unsure        
    % % %        
  10/8-10/04 46 49 5        
  10/5-7/04 45 50 5        
  10/4-6/04 44 50 6        
                 
  10/1-3/04 46 49 5        
  9/17-19/04 47 50 3        
  9/8-9/04 46 49 6        
  8/30 - 9/2/04 46 48 6        
  8/12-14/04 43 53 4        
  7/26-29/04 42 51 7        
  7/6-7/04 43 53 4        
  6/2-5/04 43 53 5        
  5/10-13/04 42 53 6        
  4/15-17/04 43 51 6        
  4/1-4/04 44 51 5        
  3/17-19/04 45 51 4        
  1/15-18/04 41 48 10        
  12/15-17/03 45 47 8        
  12/4-6/03 44 46 10        
  11/3-5/03 43 49 8        
  10/15-18/03 42 50 8        
  9/22-24/03 43 49 8        
  9/3-5/03 40 52 8        
  8/16-19/03 45 48 8        
  7/16-17/03 46 47 6        
  6/6-10/03 49 38 13        
  1/24-26/03 49 41 10        
  1/4-6/03 51 36 13        
  10/02 49 35 16        
  7/02 47 32 21        
  6/02 51 28 20        

 

Time Poll conducted by Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. Oct. 6-7, 2004. N=1,024 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"In your opinion, do you think President Bush deserves to be reelected to a second term, or do you think it is time for someone else to be president?"

.
Deserves
Reelection		 Someone
Else		 Unsure    
% % %    

Among registered voters:

10/6-7/04

 45 51 4    

9/21-23/04

 47 49 4    

9/7-9/04

 52 45 3    

8/31 - 9/2/04

 49 48 3    

8/24-26/04

 46 49 5    

8/3-5/04

 42 54 3    

7/20-22/04

 43 53 4    

.

Trend, among likely voters:

8/31 - 9/2/04

 51 47 2    

8/3-5/04

 43 53 4    

7/20-22/04

 45 52 3    

 

American Research Group Poll. Oct. 2-4, 2004. N=1,005 registered voters nationwide (MoE ± 3); 800 likely voters (MoE ± 3.5).

.

"If the election for president were being held between George W. Bush, the Republican, and John Kerry, the Democrat, for whom would you vote: Bush or Kerry?" Names rotated

.
George
W. Bush		 John
Kerry		 Unsure

.
% % %

.

Among likely voters:
10/2-4/04 46 47 7

.
8/30 - 9/1/04 48 47 5

.

.

Among registered voters:
10/2-4/04 45 48 7

.
8/30 - 9/1/04 46 48 6

.
7/30 - 8/1/04 46 49 5

.
7/1-3/04 45 49 6

.
6/1-3/04 46 48 6

.
5/3-6/04 44 47 9

.
4/6-9/04 44 50 6

.
3/9-11/04 43 50 7

.
2/04 46 48 6

.
1/04 46 47 7

.

.

"What if the election for president were being held between George W. Bush, the Republican, and John Kerry, the Democrat, and Ralph Nader, for whom would you vote: Bush, Kerry or Nader?" Names rotated

.
George
W. Bush		 John
Kerry		 Ralph
Nader		 Unsure

.
% % % %

.

Among likely voters:
10/2-4/04 46 46 2 6

.
8/30 - 9/1/04 47 47 3 3

.

.

Among registered voters:
10/2-4/04 44 47 2 7

.
8/30 - 9/1/04 45 46 3 6

.
7/30 - 8/1/04 45 49 2 4

.
7/1-3/04 44 47 3 6

.
6/1-3/04 45 46 3 6

.
5/3-6/04 44 45 4 7

.
4/6-9/04 43 48 2 7

.
3/9-11/04 42 48 2 8

.

 

McLaughlin & Associates (R). Oct. 2-3, 2004. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.1.

.

"If the election for president were held today, and the candidates were George W. Bush, the Republican candidate, John Kerry, the Democrat candidate, and Ralph Nader, the independent candidate, for whom would you vote?" As of 10/04, Nader included only in states where he is on the ballot.
Bush Kerry Nader Unsure
% % % %
10/2-3/04 48 45 1 6
7/14-15/04 46 45 3 6

 

Zogby America Poll. Oct. 1-3, 2004. N=1,036 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.1.
                 

General Election Trial Heat:
                 
    Bush/
Cheney		 Kerry/
Edwards		 Other
(vol.)		 Unsure      
    % % % %      
  10/1-3/04 46 45 1 8      
  9/17-19/04 47 44   7      
  9/8-9/04 47 45   7      
  8/30 - 9/2/04 46 44 1 9      
  8/12-14/04 43 50 1 6      
  7/26-29/04 43 48 2 8      
  7/6-7/04 46 48 2 5      

 

Democracy Corps Poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D). Sept. 19-21, 2004. N=1,017 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.1.

.

"Thinking about the elections in November, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were Republican George Bush and the Democrat John Kerry, for whom would you vote: George Bush or John Kerry?"
       
George
Bush		 John
Kerry		 Other
(vol.)		 Unsure
% % % %
9/19-21/04 49 49 1 2
9/12-14/04 49 48 1 3
9/6-9/04 50 47 1 2
8/2-5/04 45 52 1 2
7/10-13/04 47 50 1 2
6/14-17/04 48 49 2 1
5/10-13/04 47 49 1 2
4/19-22/04 49 48 1 1
3/16-21/04 50 47 1 1
2/10-15/04 47 51 - 2

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Sept. 17-19, 2004. N=1,006 registered voters nationwide (MoE ± 3); 787 likely voters.

.

"If the election for president were held today, and George W. Bush and Dick Cheney were the Republican candidates, John Kerry and John Edwards were the Democratic candidates, and Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo were running as independent candidates, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean at this time?"

.
Bush/
Cheney		 Kerry/
Edwards		 Nader/
Camejo		 None/
Other (vol.)		 Unsure
% % % % %

Among likely voters:
9/17-19/04 50 46 1 1 2

.

Among registered voters:
9/17-19/04 48 45 2 1 4
8/23-25/04 47 45 3 1 4
7/19-21/04 47 45 2 1 5

.

"And if the election for president were held today, and George W. Bush and Dick Cheney were the Republican candidates and John Kerry and John Edwards were the Democratic candidates, for whom would you vote?"

.
Bush/
Cheney		 Kerry/
Edwards		 Depends
(vol.)		 Unsure  
% % % %  

Among registered voters:
9/17-19/04 49 46 1 4  

 

George Washington University Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Snell Perry & Associates (D). Sept. 13-16, 2004. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide (250 per day rolling sample). MoE ± 3.1.

.

"If the election for president were held today, and you had to make a choice, for which candidate would you probably vote?" NOTE: Candidate names NOT read to respondents.

.
Bush Kerry Nader Other Unsure
% % % % %
9/13-16/04 46 39 1 1 14

.
8/15-17/04 43 44 1 - 12
6/20-23/04 43 41 1 1 13
3/28-31/04 43 39 1 1 15

 

Gallup Poll. Sept. 13-15, 2004. N=935 registered voters nationwide (MoE ± 4); 767 likely voters (MoE ± 4).
                 

"Next, I'm going to read a list of six candidates for president who may appear on the ballot in a significant number of states this November. Supposing that all of these candidates were on the ballot in your state, which one would you be most likely to vote for: John Kerry, the Democratic candidate, George W. Bush, the Republican candidate, Ralph Nader, the ind