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   White House 2008: General Election Trial Heats (p. 4)


Polls listed chronologically.

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.

         

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Sept. 7-9, 2007. N=914 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"If [see below] were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: [see below], the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, who do you lean more toward?" Names rotated

.

Fred
Thompson (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Neither (vol.) Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %
9/7-9/07 42 55 2 - 1
6/22-24/07 46 50 3 1 1

.

Fred
Thompson (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Neither (vol.) Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %
9/7-9/07 41 53 5 - 1
6/22-24/07 40 52 4 - 3

 

George Washington University Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). July 15-18, 2007. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.1 (for all likely voters).

.

"Now, even though it is a long way off, as you think about the election for president that will be held in 2008 -- If the 2008 election for president were held today and you had to make a choice between these two candidates, for whom would you vote: [see below], the Republican,
or
[see below], the Democrat?" If unsure: "And which candidate do you lean toward slightly?" Names rotated. Each match-up asked of half the sample.

.

Fred
Thompson (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Unsure    
% % %    

7/15-18/07

46 46 8    

.

Fred
Thompson (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Unsure    
% % %    

7/15-18/07

35 56 9    

 

Zogby America Poll. July 12-14, 2007. N=1,012 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.1.

.

General Election Trial Heats:

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

7/12-14/07

37

44

7

6

7

.

Fred
Thompson (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

7/12-14/07

37

44

8

4

7

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

7/12-14/07

32

44

10

6

8

.

John
McCain (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

7/12-14/07

36

41

11

4

8

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

7/12-14/07

39

43

6

4

8

.

Fred
Thompson (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

7/12-14/07

36

44

7

4

9

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

7/12-14/07

29

45

9

6

12

.

John
McCain (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

7/12-14/07

37

41

9

4

10

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

7/12-14/07

41

39

9

4

8

.

Fred
Thompson (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

7/12-14/07

37

42

8

5

9

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

7/12-14/07

31

43

10

7

9

.

John
McCain (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

7/12-14/07

36

39

11

5

10


 

Daily News poll conducted by Blum & Weprin Associates. July 10-12, 2007. N=600 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.

.

"If the 2008 general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Rudy Giuliani, the Republican, and Michael Bloomberg, the independent, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "As of today, toward which candidate are you leaning?" Names rotated

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
Unsure  
% % % %  

7/10-12/07

33 40 10 17  

 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. July 6-8, 2007. N=916 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.

.

"Thinking now about the general election for president, which will be held in November 2008 -- Suppose the election were being held today. If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate, Rudy Giuliani were the Republican Party's candidate, and Michael Bloomberg were an independent candidate, who would you vote for: Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Rudy Giuliani, the Republican, or Michael Bloomberg, the independent?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward Clinton, the Democrat, Giuliani, the Republican, or Bloomberg, the independent?" Names rotated

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
None (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

7/6-8/07

39 45 12 2 1

 

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. June 22-24, 2007. N=907 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.

.

"If [see below] were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party's candidate, and Michael Bloomberg ran as an independent candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: [see below], the Democrat, [see below], the Republican, or Bloomberg, the independent?" If unsure: "As of today, who do you lean more toward?" Names rotated

.

Rudy
Giuliani
(R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
None (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %
6/22-24/07 38 41 17 2 2

.

John
McCain (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
None (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %
6/22-24/07 34 40 21 2 2

 

Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll. June 21-23, 2007. N=844 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.4.

.

"I know the election in November 2008 is a long way off, but if [see below] were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: [see below], the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican?" If neither or unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward [see below], the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican?" Names rotated

.

Fred
Thompson (R)
Hillary
Rodham
Clinton (D)
Other (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  

6/21-23/07

40 45 1 13  

6/15-17/07

42 42 2 14  

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Other (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  

6/21-23/07

41 42 2 15  

6/15-17/07

41 41 2 16  

.

Fred
Thompson (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Other (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  

6/21-23/07

35 46 1 17  

6/15-17/07

33 46 1 20  

 

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. June 20-21, 2007. N=831 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.

.

General Election Trial Heats:

.

John
McCain (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
   
% % %    

6/20-21/07

44 50 6    

5/2-3/07

42 52 6    

2/28 - 3/1/07

43 48 9    

1/24-25/07

44 48 8    

1/17-18/07

43 48 9    

.

John
McCain (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
 
% % % %  

6/20-21/07

35 46 13 6  

.

John
McCain (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
 
% % % %  

6/20-21/07

35 46 11 8  

.

Fred
Thompson (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
 
% % % %  

6/20-21/07

33 48 13 6  

.

Fred
Thompson (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
 
% % % %  

6/20-21/07

32 47 14 7  

 

Gallup Poll. June 11-14, 2007. N=927 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.

.

"Thinking now about the general election for president, which will be held in November 2008. Suppose the election were being held today -- If [see below] were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you vote for: [see below], the Democrat or [see below], the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward [see below], the Democrat or [see below], the Republican?" Names rotated

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

6/11-14/07

45

50

-

2

2

.

John
McCain (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

6/11-14/07

44

50

-

4

2

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

6/11-14/07

32

61

-

3

3


 

Quinnipiac University Poll. June 5-11, 2007. N=1,711 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 2.4.

.

"If the 2008 election for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below] the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

.

Rudolph
Giuliani (R)
Al Gore (D) Someone
Else (vol.)
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

6/5-11/07

43

45

2

4

6

4/25 - 5/1/07

48

41

1

3

7

.

John
McCain (R)
Al Gore (D) Someone
Else (vol.)
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

6/5-11/07

41

44

3

5

7

4/25 - 5/1/07

47

41

2

3

8

.

Fred
Thompson (R)
Al Gore (D) Someone
Else (vol.)
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

6/5-11/07

37

49

2

3

9

4/25 - 5/1/07

37

47

1

4

11


 

Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll. June 7-10, 2007. N=1,056 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3 (for all registered voters).

.

"If the November general election for president were being held today, which party would you like to see win: the Democratic Party or the Republican Party?" Options rotated. Results include leaners.

.

Democratic
Party
Republican
Party
Other Party
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

6/7-10/07

49 41 1 3 6

4/5-9/07

49 39 1 2 9

12/8-11/06

49 41 1 2 7

.

"If the November 2008 general election for president were being held today and the choices were [see below], the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, for whom would you vote: [see below] or [see below], or would you vote for a candidate from some other party?" Names rotated. Results include leaners. N=approx. 530 registered voters, MoE ± 4.

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Other Unsure  
% % % %  

6/7-10/07

43 46 4 7  

4/5-9/07

45 43 6 6  

.

.

John
McCain (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Other Unsure  
% % % %  

6/7-10/07

45 40 7 8  

4/5-9/07

40 44 9 7  

.

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Other Unsure  
% % % %  

6/7-10/07

32 46 13 9  

4/5-9/07

30 50 9 11  

 

Zogby America Poll. May 17-20, 2007. N=993 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.2

.

General Election Trial Heats:

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Bill
Richardson (D)
Other (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  
5/17-20/07

50

35

5

9

 

.

John
McCain (R)
Bill
Richardson (D)
Other (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  
5/17-20/07

52

31

6

11

 

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
Bill
Richardson (D)
Other (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  
5/17-20/07

37

40

6

17

 

.

Fred
Thompson (R)
Bill
Richardson (D)
Other (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  
5/17-20/07

40

39

7

14

 

 

WNBC/Marist Poll. April 26-May 1, 2007. N=823 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.

.

"If the 2008 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

.

John
McCain (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Unsure
% % %
4/26 - 5/1/07

42

47

11

2/12-15/07

46

46

8

11/27 - 12/3/06

49

43

8

9/18-20/06

48

43

9

2/13-15/06

52

42

6

10/12-13 & 17/05

50

41

9

4/18-21/05

50

42

8

2/14-16/05

54

42

4

.

Rudy
Giuliani
(R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Unsure
% % %
4/26 - 5/1/07

43

41

16

2/12-15/07

45

41

14

.

John
McCain (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Unsure
% % %
4/26 - 5/1/07

46

39

15

2/12-15/07

44

41

15

.

Rudy
Giuliani
(R)
John
Edwards (D)
Unsure
% % %
4/26 - 5/1/07

43

49

8

2/12-15/07

44

44

12

2/13-15/06

47

44

9

10/12-13 & 17/05

48

43

9

4/18-21/05

45

48

7

2/14-16/05

49

43

8

.

John
McCain (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Unsure
% % %
4/26 - 5/1/07

39

49

12

2/12-15/07

44

43

13

2/13-15/06

47

41

12

10/12-13 & 17/05

49

41

10

4/18-21/05

46

43

11

2/14-16/05

51

39

10


 

Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll. April 20-22, 2007. N=855 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.4.

.

"If New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party’s candidate, and New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg were running as an independent candidate who would you be more likely to vote for: Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican, or Mike Bloomberg, the independent?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward Clinton, the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican, or Bloomberg, the independent?" Names rotated

.

John
McCain (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %
4/20-22/07 40 40 9 2 9

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %
4/20-22/07 45 38 8 1 8

.

"If New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican, or would you strongly consider voting for an independent candidate if the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward Clinton, the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican, or strongly considering voting for an independent candidate [sic]?" Names rotated

.

John
McCain (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Strongly
Consider
Independent
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %
4/20-22/07 40 39 13 1 8

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Strongly
Consider
Independent
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %
4/20-22/07 43 40 10 1 6

 

Time Poll conducted by Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. April 5-9, 2007. N=1,102 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"If the election for president were held today and the candidates were [see below], the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, and you had to choose, for which of these candidates would you vote?" Names rotated

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Other (vol.) Wouldn't
Vote (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

4/5-9/07

48 43 1 4 5

3/23-26/07

50 41 1 4 3

3/9-12/07

47 43 1 3 6

2/23-26/07

47 44 1 3 5

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Other (vol.) Wouldn't
Vote (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

4/5-9/07

45 45 - 3 7

3/23-26/07

45 44 1 3 7

3/9-12/07

43 44 1 4 9

2/23-26/07

47 42 1 3 6

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Other (vol.) Wouldn't
Vote (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

4/5-9/07

37 49 1 5 9

3/23-26/07

34 51 2 5 8

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Other (vol.) Wouldn't
Vote (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

4/5-9/07

31 54 1 4 10

3/23-26/07

29 53 1 5 13

 

McLaughlin & Associates (R). March 21-25, 2007. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.1.

.

General Election Trial Heats:

.

Rudy
Giuliani
(R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Unsure    
% % %    
3/21-25/07 42 40 18    

.

John
McCain (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Unsure    
% % %    
3/21-25/07 44 38 19    

.

Rudy
Giuliani
(R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Unsure    
% % %    
3/21-25/07 40 38 21    

.

John
McCain (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Unsure    
% % %    
3/21-25/07 38 39 23    

 

American Research Group poll. March 2-5, 2007. N=2,104 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 2.2.

.

"If the 2008 presidential election were being held today between [see below], the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
   
% % %    

3/2-5/07

48 42 10    

.

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Other/
Unsure
   
% % %    

3/2-5/07

46 41 13    

.

.

John
McCain (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Other/
Unsure
   
% % %    

3/2-5/07

45 42 13    

.

.

John
McCain (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Other/
Unsure
   
% % %    

3/2-5/07

46 42 12    

 

WNBC/Marist Poll. Feb. 12-15, 2007. N=978 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.

.

"If the 2008 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Unsure
% % %
2/12-15/07

36

49

15

.

Newt
Gingrich (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Unsure
% % %
2/12-15/07

36

56

8


 

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Feb. 13-14, 2007. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

     

"Now I am going to read a list of possible candidates for the next presidential race. For each one, please tell me whether you would definitely vote for that candidate for president, if you might vote for that candidate, or if under no conditions would you vote for that candidate. . . . ." Names rotated

.

Definitely
Vote For
Might
Vote For
Never
Vote For
Unsure
% % % %

Hillary Clinton

18

34

44

3

Rudy Giuliani

15

44

36

5

Barack Obama

12

45

34

10

John McCain

9

43

40

8

John Edwards

7

39

45

9

Newt Gingrich

7

19

64

9

Ralph Nader

3

14

76

8

     

"Thinking ahead to the next presidential election, if the 2008 general election were held today and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" Names rotated

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ralph
Nader
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
% % % %

2/13-14/07

46

40

5

9


 

Times Union/Siena College Poll. Feb. 6-9, 2007. N=1,120 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 2.9.

.

"If the 2008 presidential election were held tomorrow and the candidates were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats and [see below] for the Republicans, who would you vote for?" Names rotated

.

John
McCain (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Unsure    
% % %    

2/6-9/07

44 45 12    

.

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Unsure    
% % %    

2/6-9/07

45 44 12    

 

Time Poll conducted by Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. Jan. 22-23, 2007. N=1,064 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"If the election for president were held today and the candidates were [see below], the Democrat, and John McCain, the Republican, and you had to choose, for which of these candidates would you vote?" Names rotated

.

John
McCain (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  

1/22-23/07

49 42 3 5  

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Jan. 16-19, 2007. N=1,000 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3. Fieldwork by TNS.

.

"If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were [see below], the Republican, and [see below], the Democrat, for whom would you vote?" Names rotated. Results include leaners.

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Neither (vol.) Wouldn't
Vote (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

1/16-19/07

49 45 3 1 2

 

Investor's Business Daily/TIPP poll conducted by TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence. Jan. 2-4, 2007. N=951 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"I'm going to read a few candidate match-ups for the 2008 presidential election. As I read each pair, please tell me who you would vote for if the election for president were held today. OK? How about Democrat [see below] vs. Republican [see below]?"

.

John
McCain (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
1/2-4/07 48 41 6 6  

.

Rudy
Giuliani
(R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
1/2-4/07 48 43 4 5  

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
1/2-4/07 35 48 8 9  

.

John
McCain (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
1/2-4/07 48 36 6 10  

.

Rudy
Giuliani
(R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
1/2-4/07 49 36 5 10  

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
1/2-4/07 31 43 10 16  

.

John
McCain (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
1/2-4/07 44 43 5 7  

.

Rudy
Giuliani
(R)
John
Edwards (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
1/2-4/07 47 42 4 7  

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
1/2-4/07 29 53 6 12  

 

CNN Poll conducted by Opinion Research Corporation. Dec. 15-17, 2006. N=1,019 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"If [see below] were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: [see below], the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: [see below], the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican?"

.

John
McCain (R)
Hillary Rodham
Clinton (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
12/15-17/06 47 47 4 2  
11/3-5/06 48 47 3 2  
10/13-15/06 44 51 5 1  

.

Rudy
Giuliani
(R)
Hillary Rodham
Clinton (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
12/15-17/06 46 48 4 2  
11/3-5/06 47 47 4 2  
10/13-15/06 47 48 3 2  

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
Hillary Rodham
Clinton (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  

12/15-17/06

34 57 6 3  

.

John
McCain (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
12/15-17/06 47 43 4 6  
11/3-5/06 49 40 5 6  

.

Rudy
Giuliani
(R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
12/15-17/06 49 42 4 5  
11/3-5/06 50 41 4 5  

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  

12/15-17/06

35 51 7 7  

.

John
McCain (R)
Al
Gore (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  

12/15-17/06

46 47 4 3  

.

Rudy
Giuliani
(R)
Al
Gore (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  

12/15-17/06

46 46 5 3  

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
Al
Gore (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  

12/15-17/06

37 53 6 3  

 

Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll. Dec. 14-17, 2006. N=775 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.

.

"And now looking ahead to the 2008 election for president, if that election were today and there were three candidates -- Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, or John McCain, the independent, or Rudy Giuliani, the Republican -- for whom would you vote?" Names rotated

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
John
McCain (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %
12/14-17/06 28 37 20 2 13

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Dec. 8-11, 2006. N=1,006 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters. MoE ± 3.3 for all registered voters; ± 4.7 for half-sample A; ± 4.6 for half-sample B.

.

"If the next election for president were held today, and [see below] were the Republican candidate and [see below] were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?"

.

John
McCain (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

12/8-11/06

43

38

3

6

10

.

John
McCain (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

12/8-11/06 Form B

41

43

2

7

7

.

"If the next election for president were held today, and John McCain were the Republican candidate, Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, and Michael Bloomberg were an independent candidate, for whom would you vote?"

.

John
McCain (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

12/8-11/06

39

40

10

5

6


 

WNBC/Marist Poll. Nov. 27-Dec. 3, 2006. N=967 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.

.

"If the 2008 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

.

Condoleezza
Rice (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Unsure
% % %
11/27 - 12/3/06

43

47

10

9/18-20/06

43

49

8

2/13-15/06

44

49

7

10/12-13 & 17/05

41

50

9

2/14-16/05

43

51

6

.

Rudy
Giuliani
(R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (I)
Unsure
% % % %
11/27 - 12/3/06

45

41

7

7

.

"Do you want [see below] to run for president in 2008 or not?"

.

Yes No Unsure
% % %

Rudy Giuliani

   11/27 - 12/3/06

56

37

7

   9/18-20/06

54

39

7

   2/13-15/06

49

45

6

   10/12-13 & 17/05

54

40

6

   4/18-21/05

49

43

8

   2/14-16/05

42

47

11

   12/04

32

42

26

.

John McCain

   11/27 - 12/3/06

52

39

9

   9/18-20/06

47

44

9

   2/13-15/06

56

39

5

   10/12-13 & 17/05

52

40

8

   4/18-21/05

51

39

10

.

Hillary Clinton

   11/27 - 12/3/06

48

50

2

   9/18-20/06

46

51

3

   2/13-15/06

47

51

2

   10/12-13 & 17/05

48

49

3

   4/18-21/05

49

48

3

   2/14-16/05

46

49

5

   12/04

38

50

12

.

Condoleezza Rice

   11/27 - 12/3/06

45

50

5

   9/18-20/06

41

53

6

   2/13-15/06

39

56

5

   10/12-13 & 17/05

37

57

6

.

John Edwards

   11/27 - 12/3/06

41

47

12

   9/18-20/06

32

57

11

   2/13-15/06

44

49

7

   10/12-13 & 17/05

47

44

9

.

Al Gore

   11/27 - 12/3/06

32

66

2

   9/18-20/06

31

66

3

   2/13-15/06

29

68

3

.

Barack Obama

   11/27 - 12/3/06

30

51

19

.

John Kerry

   11/27 - 12/3/06

22

72

6

   9/18-20/06

31

63

6

   2/13-15/06

35

62

3

   10/12-13 & 17/05

39

57

4

   4/18-21/05

40

56

4

.

Newt Gingrich

   11/27 - 12/3/06

21

69

10

   9/18-20/06

18

73

9

.

George Pataki

   11/27 - 12/3/06

17

64

19

   9/18-20/06

13

66

21

.

Joe Biden

   11/27 - 12/3/06

16

62

22

.

Mitt Romney

   11/27 - 12/3/06

13

57

30

.

Michael Bloomberg

   11/27 - 12/3/06

12

69

19

   9/18-20/06

17

65

18

.

Al Sharpton

   11/27 - 12/3/06

11

76

13

.

Donald Trump

   11/27 - 12/3/06

10

86

4


 

Gallup Poll. Nov. 27-29, 2006. N=1,003 adults nationwide, randomly drawn from Gallup's household panel, which was originally recruited through random selection methods. MoE ± 3.

           

.

"Thinking ahead to the election for president in 2008, who would you most like to see elected president?" Open-ended

           

.

      %      
 

Hillary Clinton

15      
 

John McCain

11      
 

Barack Obama

6      
 

Rudy Giuliani

5      
 

"A Democrat" (non-specific)

3      
 

John Edwards

2      
 

Condoleezza Rice

2      
 

Newt Gingrich

2      
 

"A Republican" (non-specific)

2      
 

Al Gore

2      
 

Mitt Romney

1      
 

Joe Biden

1      
 

John Kerry

1      
 

Bill Frist

1      
 

Colin Powell

1      
 

Other

7      
 

No one

5      
 

Unsure

33      
           

.

"Now, I am going to read a list of people who may run for president in 2008. For each, please say whether you, personally, would or would not like to see this person run for president in the next election. How about [see below]?"

           

.

    Would Like
To See Run
Would Not
Like To
See Run
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

John McCain

   
 

  11/27-29/06

56 40 4    
             
 

Rudy Giuliani

   
 

  11/27-29/06

55 43 2    
             
 

John Edwards

   
 

  11/27-29/06

45 49 6    
             
 

Hillary Rodham Clinton

   
 

  11/27-29/06

44 55 1    
             
 

Barack Obama

   
 

  11/27-29/06

38 48 14    
             
 

Condoleezza Rice

   
 

  11/27-29/06

38 60 3    
             
 

Al Gore

   
 

  11/27-29/06

31 67 2    
             
 

John Kerry

   
 

  11/27-29/06

23 74 2    
             
 

Newt Gingrich

   
 

  11/27-29/06

18 78 4    
             
 

Mitt Romney

   
 

  11/27-29/06

16 58 26    
             
 

George Allen

   
 

  11/27-29/06

13 62 25    

 

Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll. Nov. 9-12, 2006. N=1,735 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 2.4.

.

"And now looking ahead to the 2008 election for president, if that election were today and the candidates were [see below], the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican, for whom would you vote?" Names rotated

.

John
McCain (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Other (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  
11/9-12/06 44 37 4 15  

 

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Nov. 9-10, 2006. N=918 registered voters nationwide.

           

.

"Now thinking ahead to the next presidential election in November 2008 -- In general, would you rather see a Republican or a Democrat elected as our next president in 2008?"

           

.

    Republican Democrat Other
Party (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

11/9-10/06

28 48 4 20  
 

5/11-12/06

32 49 2 17  
           

.

"As I read you the names of some possible candidates for president in 2008, please tell me if there is a good chance, some chance, or no chance you would vote for each one. If I mention someone you've never heard of, just say so. What about [see below]?"

           

.

    Good
Chance
Some
Chance
No Chance Never
Heard of
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

Hillary Clinton

   
 

  11/9-10/06

33 20 45 - 2
             
 

Rudy Giuliani

   
 

  11/9-10/06

24 30 32 10 4
             
 

Condoleezza Rice

   
 

  11/9-10/06

24 27 43 4 2
             
 

Al Gore

   
 

  11/9-10/06

21 24 53 - 2
             
 

John McCain

   
 

  11/9-10/06

20 34 32 10 4
             
 

Barack Obama

   
 

  11/9-10/06

20 19 24 34 3
             
 

John Kerry

   
 

  11/9-10/06

16 24 55 2 3
             
 

John Edwards

   
 

  11/9-10/06

15 28 36 16 5
             
 

Newt Gingrich

   
 

  11/9-10/06

10 17 58 12 3
             
 

Joe Biden

   
 

  11/9-10/06

7 17 34 36 6
             
 

Mitt Romney

   
 

  11/9-10/06

6 13 27 48 6
             
 

Sam Brownback