|
|
|
White House
2008: General Election Trial Heats (p.
4)
|
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Sept. 7-9, 2007. N=914 registered
voters nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"If [see below]
were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below]
were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote
for: [see below], the Democrat, or [see below], the
Republican?" If unsure:
"As of today, who do you lean more toward?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Fred
Thompson (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Neither (vol.) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
9/7-9/07 |
42 |
55 |
2 |
- |
1 |
|
6/22-24/07 |
46 |
50 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Fred
Thompson (R) |
Barack
Obama (D) |
Neither (vol.) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
9/7-9/07 |
41 |
53 |
5 |
- |
1 |
|
6/22-24/07 |
40 |
52 |
4 |
- |
3 |
|
|
George
Washington University
Battleground
Poll
conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D).
July 15-18, 2007. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.1 (for all likely
voters). |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Now, even though it is a long way off, as you think about
the election for president that will be held in
2008 -- If the 2008 election for president were held today and you had to make
a choice between these two candidates, for whom would you vote:
[see below], the Republican,
or
[see below], the Democrat?"
If unsure:
"And which candidate do you lean toward slightly?"
Names rotated.
Each match-up asked of half the sample. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Fred
Thompson (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
7/15-18/07 |
46 |
46 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Fred
Thompson (R) |
Barack
Obama (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
7/15-18/07 |
35 |
56 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
Zogby America Poll .
July 12-14, 2007. N=1,012 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.1. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
General Election Trial Heats: |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Mike
Bloomberg (I) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
7/12-14/07 |
37 |
44 |
7 |
6 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Fred
Thompson (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Mike
Bloomberg (I) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
7/12-14/07 |
37 |
44 |
8 |
4 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Mike
Bloomberg (I) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
7/12-14/07 |
32 |
44 |
10 |
6 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Mike
Bloomberg (I) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
7/12-14/07 |
36 |
41 |
11 |
4 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani (R) |
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mike
Bloomberg (I) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
7/12-14/07 |
39 |
43 |
6 |
4 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Fred
Thompson (R) |
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mike
Bloomberg (I) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
7/12-14/07 |
36 |
44 |
7 |
4 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney (R) |
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mike
Bloomberg (I) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
7/12-14/07 |
29 |
45 |
9 |
6 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mike
Bloomberg (I) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
7/12-14/07 |
37 |
41 |
9 |
4 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani (R) |
John
Edwards (D) |
Mike
Bloomberg (I) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
7/12-14/07 |
41 |
39 |
9 |
4 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Fred
Thompson (R) |
John
Edwards (D) |
Mike
Bloomberg (I) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
7/12-14/07 |
37 |
42 |
8 |
5 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney (R) |
John
Edwards (D) |
Mike
Bloomberg (I) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
7/12-14/07 |
31 |
43 |
10 |
7 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
John
Edwards (D) |
Mike
Bloomberg (I) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
7/12-14/07 |
36 |
39 |
11 |
5 |
10 |
|
|
Daily News poll conducted
by Blum & Weprin Associates. July 10-12, 2007. N=600 registered voters
nationwide. MoE ± 4. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"If the 2008 general election for president were being held
today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Rudy Giuliani, the
Republican, and Michael Bloomberg, the independent,
for whom would you vote?" If unsure:
"As of today, toward which candidate are you leaning?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Michael
Bloomberg (I) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
7/10-12/07 |
33 |
40 |
10 |
17 |
|
|
|
USA
Today/Gallup Poll. July 6-8, 2007.
N=916 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 4. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Thinking now about the general election for president, which
will be held in November 2008 -- Suppose the election were being held today. If
Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate, Rudy Giuliani were the
Republican Party's candidate, and Michael Bloomberg were an independent
candidate, who would you vote for: Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Rudy Giuliani,
the Republican, or Michael Bloomberg, the independent?" If unsure:
"As of today, do you lean more toward Clinton, the Democrat, Giuliani, the
Republican, or Bloomberg, the independent?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Michael
Bloomberg (I) |
None (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
7/6-8/07 |
39 |
45 |
12 |
2 |
1 |
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. June 22-24, 2007. N=907
registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"If [see below]
were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below]
were the Republican Party's candidate, and Michael Bloomberg ran as an
independent candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: [see
below], the Democrat, [see below], the Republican, or Bloomberg,
the independent?" If unsure:
"As of today, who do you lean more toward?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani
(R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Michael
Bloomberg (I) |
None (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
6/22-24/07 |
38 |
41 |
17 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Barack
Obama (D) |
Michael
Bloomberg (I) |
None (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
6/22-24/07 |
34 |
40 |
21 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll.
June 21-23, 2007. N=844 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.4. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"I know the election in November 2008 is a long way off, but
if [see below]
were the Democratic Party's candidate and
[see below]
were the Republican Party's candidate, who would
you be more likely to vote for: [see below],
the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican?" If neither or
unsure:
"As of today, do you lean more toward [see below], the Democrat, or
[see below], the Republican?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Fred
Thompson (R) |
Hillary
Rodham
Clinton (D) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/21-23/07 |
40 |
45 |
1 |
13 |
|
|
6/15-17/07 |
42 |
42 |
2 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani (R) |
Barack
Obama (D) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/21-23/07 |
41 |
42 |
2 |
15 |
|
|
6/15-17/07 |
41 |
41 |
2 |
16 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Fred
Thompson (R) |
Barack
Obama (D) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/21-23/07 |
35 |
46 |
1 |
17 |
|
|
6/15-17/07 |
33 |
46 |
1 |
20 |
|
|
|
Newsweek Poll
conducted by Princeton Survey Research
Associates International. June 20-21, 2007. N=831 registered voters
nationwide. MoE ± 4. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
General Election Trial Heats: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
John
Edwards (D) |
Other (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/20-21/07 |
44 |
50 |
6 |
|
|
|
5/2-3/07 |
42 |
52 |
6 |
|
|
|
2/28 - 3/1/07 |
43 |
48 |
9 |
|
|
|
1/24-25/07 |
44 |
48 |
8 |
|
|
|
1/17-18/07 |
43 |
48 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Michael
Bloomberg (I) |
Other (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/20-21/07 |
35 |
46 |
13 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Barack
Obama (D) |
Michael
Bloomberg (I) |
Other (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/20-21/07 |
35 |
46 |
11 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Fred
Thompson (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Michael
Bloomberg (I) |
Other (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/20-21/07 |
33 |
48 |
13 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Fred
Thompson (R) |
Barack
Obama (D) |
Michael
Bloomberg (I) |
Other (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/20-21/07 |
32 |
47 |
14 |
7 |
|
|
|
Gallup Poll. June 11-14, 2007. N=927
registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 4. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Thinking now about the general election for president, which will be held
in November 2008. Suppose the election were being held today -- If
[see below]
were the Democratic Party's candidate and
[see below]
were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you vote for:
[see below], the Democrat or
[see below], the Republican?"
If unsure:
"As of today, do you lean more toward
[see below], the Democrat or
[see below], the Republican?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani (R) |
John
Edwards (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
6/11-14/07 |
45 |
50 |
- |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
John
Edwards (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
6/11-14/07 |
44 |
50 |
- |
4 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney (R) |
John
Edwards (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
6/11-14/07 |
32 |
61 |
- |
3 |
3 |
|
|
Quinnipiac University
Poll. June 5-11, 2007. N=1,711 registered voters nationwide.
MoE ± 2.4. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If
the 2008 election for president were being held today, and the candidates
were [see below]
the Democrat and
[see below]
the Republican,
for whom would you vote?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Rudolph
Giuliani (R) |
Al
Gore (D) |
Someone
Else (vol.) |
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
6/5-11/07 |
43 |
45 |
2 |
4 |
6 |
|
4/25 - 5/1/07 |
48 |
41 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Al
Gore (D) |
Someone
Else (vol.) |
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
6/5-11/07 |
41 |
44 |
3 |
5 |
7 |
|
4/25 - 5/1/07 |
47 |
41 |
2 |
3 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Fred
Thompson (R) |
Al
Gore (D) |
Someone
Else (vol.) |
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
6/5-11/07 |
37 |
49 |
2 |
3 |
9 |
|
4/25 - 5/1/07 |
37 |
47 |
1 |
4 |
11 |
|
|
Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg
Poll. June 7-10, 2007. N=1,056 registered
voters nationwide. MoE ± 3 (for all registered voters). |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"If the November general election for president were
being held today, which party would you like to see win: the Democratic
Party or the Republican Party?"
Options
rotated. Results include leaners. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Democratic
Party |
Republican
Party |
Other
Party
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
6/7-10/07 |
49 |
41 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
|
4/5-9/07 |
49 |
39 |
1 |
2 |
9 |
|
12/8-11/06 |
49 |
41 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"If the November 2008 general election for president were
being held today and the choices were
[see below], the Democrat, and
[see below], the Republican, for whom would you vote:
[see below] or
[see below], or would you vote for a candidate from some other party?"
Names rotated. Results include leaners. N=approx. 530 registered voters, MoE
± 4. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani (R) |
John
Edwards (D) |
Other |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/7-10/07 |
43 |
46 |
4 |
7 |
|
|
4/5-9/07 |
45 |
43 |
6 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
John
Edwards (D) |
Other |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/7-10/07 |
45 |
40 |
7 |
8 |
|
|
4/5-9/07 |
40 |
44 |
9 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
|
|
Mitt
Romney (R) |
John
Edwards (D) |
Other |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/7-10/07 |
32 |
46 |
13 |
9 |
|
|
4/5-9/07 |
30 |
50 |
9 |
11 |
|
|
|
Zogby America Poll.
May 17-20, 2007.
N=993 likely voters nationwide. MoE
± 3.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
General Election Trial Heats: |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani (R) |
Bill
Richardson (D) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
5/17-20/07 |
50 |
35 |
5 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Bill
Richardson (D) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
5/17-20/07 |
52 |
31 |
6 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney (R) |
Bill
Richardson (D) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
5/17-20/07 |
37 |
40 |
6 |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Fred
Thompson (R) |
Bill
Richardson (D) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
5/17-20/07 |
40 |
39 |
7 |
14 |
|
|
|
WNBC/Marist
Poll.
April 26-May 1, 2007. N=823 registered voters nationwide.
MoE ±
3.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If the 2008 presidential
election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/26 - 5/1/07 |
42 |
47 |
11 |
|
|
|
2/12-15/07 |
46 |
46 |
8 |
|
|
|
11/27 - 12/3/06 |
49 |
43 |
8 |
|
|
|
9/18-20/06 |
48 |
43 |
9 |
|
|
|
2/13-15/06 |
52 |
42 |
6 |
|
|
|
10/12-13 & 17/05 |
50 |
41 |
9 |
|
|
|
4/18-21/05 |
50 |
42 |
8 |
|
|
|
2/14-16/05 |
54 |
42 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani
(R) |
Barack
Obama (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/26 - 5/1/07 |
43 |
41 |
16 |
|
|
|
2/12-15/07 |
45 |
41 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Barack
Obama (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/26 - 5/1/07 |
46 |
39 |
15 |
|
|
|
2/12-15/07 |
44 |
41 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani
(R) |
John
Edwards (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/26 - 5/1/07 |
43 |
49 |
8 |
|
|
|
2/12-15/07 |
44 |
44 |
12 |
|
|
|
2/13-15/06 |
47 |
44 |
9 |
|
|
|
10/12-13 & 17/05 |
48 |
43 |
9 |
|
|
|
4/18-21/05 |
45 |
48 |
7 |
|
|
|
2/14-16/05 |
49 |
43 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
John
Edwards (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/26 - 5/1/07 |
39 |
49 |
12 |
|
|
|
2/12-15/07 |
44 |
43 |
13 |
|
|
|
2/13-15/06 |
47 |
41 |
12 |
|
|
|
10/12-13 & 17/05 |
49 |
41 |
10 |
|
|
|
4/18-21/05 |
46 |
43 |
11 |
|
|
|
2/14-16/05 |
51 |
39 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll.
April 20-22, 2007. N=855 registered voters nationwide.
MoE ± 3.4. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"If New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton were the
Democratic Party's candidate and [see below]
were the Republican Party’s candidate, and New York City Mayor Mike
Bloomberg were running as an independent candidate who would you be more
likely to vote for: Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, or [see below],
the Republican, or Mike Bloomberg, the independent?" If unsure:
"As of today, do you lean more toward Clinton, the Democrat, or [see
below], the Republican, or Bloomberg, the independent?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Mike
Bloomberg (I) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
4/20-22/07 |
40 |
40 |
9 |
2 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Mike
Bloomberg (I) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
4/20-22/07 |
45 |
38 |
8 |
1 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"If New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton were the
Democratic Party's candidate and [see below]
were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote
for: Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican,
or would you strongly consider voting for an independent candidate if the
candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, or [see below], the
Republican?" If unsure:
"As of today, do you lean more toward Clinton, the Democrat, or [see
below], the Republican, or strongly considering voting for an independent
candidate [sic]?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Strongly
Consider
Independent |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
4/20-22/07 |
40 |
39 |
13 |
1 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Strongly
Consider
Independent |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
4/20-22/07 |
43 |
40 |
10 |
1 |
6 |
|
|
Time
Poll
conducted by Schulman, Ronca &
Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. April 5-9, 2007.
N=1,102 registered voters nationwide. MoE ±
3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"If the election for president were held today and
the candidates were [see below], the
Democrat, and
[see below], the Republican, and you had to choose, for which
of these candidates would you vote?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Other (vol.) |
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
4/5-9/07 |
48 |
43 |
1 |
4 |
5 |
|
3/23-26/07 |
50 |
41 |
1 |
4 |
3 |
|
3/9-12/07 |
47 |
43 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
|
2/23-26/07 |
47 |
44 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani (R) |
Barack
Obama (D) |
Other (vol.) |
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
4/5-9/07 |
45 |
45 |
- |
3 |
7 |
|
3/23-26/07 |
45 |
44 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
|
3/9-12/07 |
43 |
44 |
1 |
4 |
9 |
|
2/23-26/07 |
47 |
42 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Mitt
Romney (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Other (vol.) |
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
4/5-9/07 |
37 |
49 |
1 |
5 |
9 |
|
3/23-26/07 |
34 |
51 |
2 |
5 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Mitt
Romney (R) |
Barack
Obama (D) |
Other (vol.) |
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
4/5-9/07 |
31 |
54 |
1 |
4 |
10 |
|
3/23-26/07 |
29 |
53 |
1 |
5 |
13 |
|
|
McLaughlin & Associates (R). March
21-25,
2007. N=1,000 likely voters
nationwide. MoE ±
3.1. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
General Election Trial Heats: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani
(R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/21-25/07 |
42 |
40 |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/21-25/07 |
44 |
38 |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani
(R) |
Barack
Obama (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/21-25/07 |
40 |
38 |
21 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Barack
Obama (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/21-25/07 |
38 |
39 |
23 |
|
|
|
|
American Research Group poll.
March 2-5, 2007. N=2,104
likely voters nationwide. MoE
± 2.2. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"If the 2008 presidential election were being held today
between
[see below], the Democrat, and
[see below], the Republican, for whom would you vote?" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Other (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/2-5/07 |
48 |
42 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani (R) |
Barack
Obama (D) |
Other/
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/2-5/07 |
46 |
41 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Other/
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/2-5/07 |
45 |
42 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Barack
Obama (D) |
Other/
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/2-5/07 |
46 |
42 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
WNBC/Marist
Poll.
Feb. 12-15, 2007. N=978 registered voters nationwide.
MoE ±
3.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If the 2008 presidential
election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/12-15/07 |
36 |
49 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Newt
Gingrich (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/12-15/07 |
36 |
56 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll.
Feb. 13-14, 2007. N=900
registered voters nationwide. MoE ±
3 . |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Now I
am going to read a list of possible candidates for the next presidential
race. For each one, please tell me whether you would definitely vote for
that candidate for president, if you might vote for that candidate, or if
under no conditions would you vote for that candidate.
. . . ."
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Definitely
Vote For |
Might
Vote For |
Never
Vote For |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Hillary
Clinton |
18 |
34 |
44 |
3 |
|
|
Rudy Giuliani |
15 |
44 |
36 |
5 |
|
|
Barack Obama |
12 |
45 |
34 |
10 |
|
|
John McCain |
9 |
43 |
40 |
8 |
|
|
John Edwards |
7 |
39 |
45 |
9 |
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
7 |
19 |
64 |
9 |
|
|
Ralph Nader |
3 |
14 |
76 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Thinking ahead to the next presidential election,
if the 2008 general election were held today and the candidates were
[see below],
for whom would you vote?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Ralph
Nader |
Other (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2/13-14/07 |
46 |
40 |
5 |
9 |
|
|
|
Times Union/Siena College Poll.
Feb. 6-9, 2007. N=1,120 registered voters nationwide. MoE ±
2.9. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"If the 2008 presidential election were held tomorrow and
the candidates were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats and
[see below] for the Republicans, who would you
vote for?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/6-9/07 |
44 |
45 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/6-9/07 |
45 |
44 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
Time
Poll
conducted by Schulman, Ronca &
Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. Jan. 22-23, 2007.
N=1,064 registered voters nationwide. MoE ±
3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"If the election for president were held today and
the candidates were [see below], the
Democrat, and John McCain, the Republican, and you had to choose, for which
of these candidates would you vote?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
John
Edwards (D) |
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
1/22-23/07 |
49 |
42 |
3 |
5 |
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post
Poll. Jan. 16-19,
2007. N=1,000 adults
nationwide. MoE ± 3. Fieldwork
by TNS. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"If the 2008 presidential election were being held
today and the candidates were
[see below], the Republican, and
[see below], the Democrat, for whom would you vote?"
Names rotated.
Results include
leaners. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani (R) |
Barack
Obama (D) |
Neither (vol.) |
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
1/16-19/07 |
49 |
45 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investor's
Business Daily/TIPP poll conducted
by TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence.
Jan. 2-4, 2007. N=951 adults nationwide.
MoE ±
3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"I'm going to read a few candidate match-ups for the 2008
presidential election. As I read each pair, please tell me who
you
would vote for if the election
for president were held today. OK? How about Democrat [see below]
vs. Republican [see below]?" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Neither/
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
1/2-4/07 |
48 |
41 |
6 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani
(R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Neither/
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
1/2-4/07 |
48 |
43 |
4 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Mitt
Romney (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Neither/
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
1/2-4/07 |
35 |
48 |
8 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Barack
Obama (D) |
Neither/
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
1/2-4/07 |
48 |
36 |
6 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani
(R) |
Barack
Obama (D) |
Neither/
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
1/2-4/07 |
49 |
36 |
5 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Mitt
Romney (R) |
Barack
Obama (D) |
Neither/
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
1/2-4/07 |
31 |
43 |
10 |
16 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
John
Edwards (D) |
Neither/
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
1/2-4/07 |
44 |
43 |
5 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani
(R) |
John
Edwards (D) |
Neither/
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
1/2-4/07 |
47 |
42 |
4 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Mitt
Romney (R) |
John
Edwards (D) |
Neither/
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
1/2-4/07 |
29 |
53 |
6 |
12 |
|
|
|
CNN
Poll
conducted by Opinion Research Corporation. Dec. 15-17, 2006. N=1,019 adults nationwide.
MoE ±
3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"If [see below]
were the
Democratic Party's candidate and
[see below]
were the
Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for:
[see below], the Democrat, or
[see below], the Republican?" If unsure:
"As of today, do you lean more toward:
[see below], the Democrat, or
[see below], the Republican?" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Hillary Rodham
Clinton (D) |
Neither/
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
12/15-17/06 |
47 |
47 |
4 |
2 |
|
|
11/3-5/06 |
48 |
47 |
3 |
2 |
|
|
10/13-15/06 |
44 |
51 |
5 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani
(R) |
Hillary Rodham
Clinton (D) |
Neither/
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
12/15-17/06 |
46 |
48 |
4 |
2 |
|
|
11/3-5/06 |
47 |
47 |
4 |
2 |
|
|
10/13-15/06 |
47 |
48 |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Mitt
Romney (R) |
Hillary Rodham
Clinton (D) |
Neither/
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
12/15-17/06 |
34 |
57 |
6 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Barack
Obama (D) |
Neither/
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
12/15-17/06 |
47 |
43 |
4 |
6 |
|
|
11/3-5/06 |
49 |
40 |
5 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani
(R) |
Barack
Obama (D) |
Neither/
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
12/15-17/06 |
49 |
42 |
4 |
5 |
|
|
11/3-5/06 |
50 |
41 |
4 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Mitt
Romney (R) |
Barack
Obama (D) |
Neither/
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
12/15-17/06 |
35 |
51 |
7 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Al
Gore (D) |
Neither/
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
12/15-17/06 |
46 |
47 |
4 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani
(R) |
Al
Gore (D) |
Neither/
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
12/15-17/06 |
46 |
46 |
5 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Mitt
Romney (R) |
Al
Gore (D) |
Neither/
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
12/15-17/06 |
37 |
53 |
6 |
3 |
|
|
|
Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll.
Dec. 14-17, 2006. N=775 registered voters nationwide.
MoE ± 3.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"And now looking ahead to the 2008 election for president,
if that election were today and there were three candidates -- Hillary
Clinton, the Democrat, or John McCain, the independent, or Rudy Giuliani,
the Republican -- for whom would you vote?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
John
McCain (I) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
12/14-17/06 |
28 |
37 |
20 |
2 |
13 |
|
|
NBC
News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted
by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill
McInturff (R). Dec. 8-11, 2006.
N=1,006 adults nationwide. Results below are among
registered voters. MoE ± 3.3 for all registered voters; ±
4.7 for half-sample A; ± 4.6 for half-sample B. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If the next election for
president were held today, and
[see below]
were the Republican candidate and
[see below] were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Barack
Obama (D) |
Depends
(vol.) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
12/8-11/06 |
43 |
38 |
3 |
6 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
John
Edwards (D) |
Depends
(vol.) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
12/8-11/06
Form B |
41 |
43 |
2 |
7 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If
the next election for president were held today, and John McCain were the
Republican candidate, Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, and
Michael Bloomberg were an independent candidate, for whom would you vote?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Michael
Bloomberg (I) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
12/8-11/06 |
39 |
40 |
10 |
5 |
6 |
|
|
WNBC/Marist
Poll.
Nov. 27-Dec. 3, 2006. N=967 registered voters nationwide.
MoE ±
3.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If the 2008 presidential
election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Condoleezza
Rice (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/27 - 12/3/06 |
43 |
47 |
10 |
|
|
|
9/18-20/06 |
43 |
49 |
8 |
|
|
|
2/13-15/06 |
44 |
49 |
7 |
|
|
|
10/12-13 & 17/05 |
41 |
50 |
9 |
|
|
|
2/14-16/05 |
43 |
51 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani
(R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Donald
Trump (I) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
11/27 - 12/3/06 |
45 |
41 |
7 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Do you want
[see below] to
run for president in 2008 or not?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Yes |
No |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
Rudy Giuliani |
|
11/27 - 12/3/06 |
56 |
37 |
7 |
|
|
|
9/18-20/06 |
54 |
39 |
7 |
|
|
|
2/13-15/06 |
49 |
45 |
6 |
|
|
|
10/12-13 & 17/05 |
54 |
40 |
6 |
|
|
|
4/18-21/05 |
49 |
43 |
8 |
|
|
|
2/14-16/05 |
42 |
47 |
11 |
|
|
|
12/04 |
32 |
42 |
26 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John
McCain |
|
11/27 - 12/3/06 |
52 |
39 |
9 |
|
|
|
9/18-20/06 |
47 |
44 |
9 |
|
|
|
2/13-15/06 |
56 |
39 |
5 |
|
|
|
10/12-13 & 17/05 |
52 |
40 |
8 |
|
|
|
4/18-21/05 |
51 |
39 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Hillary Clinton |
|
11/27 - 12/3/06 |
48 |
50 |
2 |
|
|
|
9/18-20/06 |
46 |
51 |
3 |
|
|
|
2/13-15/06 |
47 |
51 |
2 |
|
|
|
10/12-13 & 17/05 |
48 |
49 |
3 |
|
|
|
4/18-21/05 |
49 |
48 |
3 |
|
|
|
2/14-16/05 |
46 |
49 |
5 |
|
|
|
12/04 |
38 |
50 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Condoleezza
Rice |
|
11/27 - 12/3/06 |
45 |
50 |
5 |
|
|
|
9/18-20/06 |
41 |
53 |
6 |
|
|
|
2/13-15/06 |
39 |
56 |
5 |
|
|
|
10/12-13 & 17/05 |
37 |
57 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John
Edwards |
|
11/27 - 12/3/06 |
41 |
47 |
12 |
|
|
|
9/18-20/06 |
32 |
57 |
11 |
|
|
|
2/13-15/06 |
44 |
49 |
7 |
|
|
|
10/12-13 & 17/05 |
47 |
44 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Al Gore |
|
11/27 - 12/3/06 |
32 |
66 |
2 |
|
|
|
9/18-20/06 |
31 |
66 |
3 |
|
|
|
2/13-15/06 |
29 |
68 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Barack Obama |
|
11/27 - 12/3/06 |
30 |
51 |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John
Kerry |
|
11/27 - 12/3/06 |
22 |
72 |
6 |
|
|
|
9/18-20/06 |
31 |
63 |
6 |
|
|
|
2/13-15/06 |
35 |
62 |
3 |
|
|
|
10/12-13 & 17/05 |
39 |
57 |
4 |
|
|
|
4/18-21/05 |
40 |
56 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Newt
Gingrich |
|
11/27 - 12/3/06 |
21 |
69 |
10 |
|
|
|
9/18-20/06 |
18 |
73 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
George
Pataki |
|
11/27 - 12/3/06 |
17 |
64 |
19 |
|
|
|
9/18-20/06 |
13 |
66 |
21 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Joe Biden |
|
11/27 - 12/3/06 |
16 |
62 |
22 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
|
11/27 - 12/3/06 |
13 |
57 |
30 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Michael
Bloomberg |
|
11/27 - 12/3/06 |
12 |
69 |
19 |
|
|
|
9/18-20/06 |
17 |
65 |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Al Sharpton |
|
11/27 - 12/3/06 |
11 |
76 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Donald
Trump |
|
11/27 - 12/3/06 |
10 |
86 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
Gallup
Poll.
Nov. 27-29, 2006. N=1,003
adults nationwide, randomly drawn from Gallup's household panel, which was
originally recruited through random selection methods. MoE ±
3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Thinking ahead to the election for president in
2008, who would you most like to see elected president?"
Open-ended |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
| |
Hillary Clinton |
15 |
|
|
|
| |
John
McCain |
11 |
|
|
|
| |
Barack
Obama |
6 |
|
|
|
| |
Rudy Giuliani |
5 |
|
|
|
| |
"A Democrat"
(non-specific) |
3 |
|
|
|
| |
John
Edwards |
2 |
|
|
|
| |
Condoleezza Rice |
2 |
|
|
|
| |
Newt Gingrich |
2 |
|
|
|
| |
"A Republican"
(non-specific) |
2 |
|
|
|
| |
Al Gore |
2 |
|
|
|
| |
Mitt
Romney |
1 |
|
|
|
| |
Joe Biden |
1 |
|
|
|
| |
John Kerry |
1 |
|
|
|
| |
Bill Frist |
1 |
|
|
|
| |
Colin
Powell |
1 |
|
|
|
| |
Other |
7 |
|
|
|
| |
No one |
5 |
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
33 |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Now, I am going to read a list of people who may run for
president in 2008. For each, please say whether you, personally, would or
would not like to see this person run for president in the next election.
How about [see below]?" |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| |
|
Would Like
To See Run |
Would Not
Like To
See Run |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
John McCain |
|
|
| |
11/27-29/06 |
56 |
40 |
4 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Rudy Giuliani |
|
|
| |
11/27-29/06 |
55 |
43 |
2 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
John Edwards |
|
|
| |
11/27-29/06 |
45 |
49 |
6 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Hillary Rodham Clinton |
|
|
| |
11/27-29/06 |
44 |
55 |
1 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Barack
Obama |
|
|
| |
11/27-29/06 |
38 |
48 |
14 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Condoleezza
Rice |
|
|
| |
11/27-29/06 |
38 |
60 |
3 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Al Gore |
|
|
| |
11/27-29/06 |
31 |
67 |
2 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
John Kerry |
|
|
| |
11/27-29/06 |
23 |
74 |
2 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Newt
Gingrich |
|
|
| |
11/27-29/06 |
18 |
78 |
4 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Mitt Romney |
|
|
| |
11/27-29/06 |
16 |
58 |
26 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
George
Allen |
|
|
| |
11/27-29/06 |
13 |
62 |
25 |
|
|
|
|
Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll.
Nov. 9-12, 2006. N=1,735 registered voters nationwide.
MoE ±
2.4. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"And now looking ahead to the 2008 election for president,
if that election were today and the candidates were
[see below], the
Democrat, or
[see below], the Republican, for whom would you vote?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Barack
Obama (D) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
11/9-12/06 |
44 |
37 |
4 |
15 |
|
|
|
Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton
Survey Research Associates International. Nov. 9-10, 2006.
N=918 registered voters nationwide. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Now thinking ahead to the next presidential election in
November 2008 -- In general, would you rather see a Republican or a Democrat
elected as our next president in 2008?" |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| |
|
Republican |
Democrat |
Other
Party (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
| |
11/9-10/06 |
28 |
48 |
4 |
20 |
|
| |
5/11-12/06 |
32 |
49 |
2 |
17 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"As I read you the names of some possible candidates for
president in 2008, please tell me if there is a good chance, some chance, or
no chance you would vote for each one. If I mention someone you've
never heard of, just say so. What about [see below]?" |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| |
|
Good
Chance |
Some
Chance |
No
Chance |
Never
Heard of |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |
Hillary Clinton |
|
|
| |
11/9-10/06 |
33 |
20 |
45 |
- |
2 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Rudy Giuliani |
|
|
| |
11/9-10/06 |
24 |
30 |
32 |
10 |
4 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Condoleezza
Rice |
|
|
| |
11/9-10/06 |
24 |
27 |
43 |
4 |
2 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Al Gore |
|
|
| |
11/9-10/06 |
21 |
24 |
53 |
- |
2 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
John McCain |
|
|
| |
11/9-10/06 |
20 |
34 |
32 |
10 |
4 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Barack
Obama |
|
|
| |
11/9-10/06 |
20 |
19 |
24 |
34 |
3 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
John Kerry |
|
|
| |
11/9-10/06 |
16 |
24 |
55 |
2 |
3 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
John Edwards |
|
|
| |
11/9-10/06 |
15 |
28 |
36 |
16 |
5 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Newt
Gingrich |
|
|
| |
11/9-10/06 |
10 |
17 |
58 |
12 |
3 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Joe Biden |
|
|
| |
11/9-10/06 |
7 |
17 |
34 |
36 |
6 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Mitt Romney |
|
|
| |
11/9-10/06 |
6 |
13 |
27 |
48 |
6 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Sam
Brownback |
|
|
| |
11/9-10/06 |
3 |
7 |
23 |
61 |
6 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Duncan
Hunter |
|
|
| |
11/9-10/06 |
1 |
6 |
19 |
69 |
5 |
|
|
McLaughlin & Associates (R). Nov. 7,
2006. N=1,000 Nov. 2006 general
election voters
nationwide. MoE ±
3.1. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Looking ahead to the 2008 election for president, if the
candidates were [see below], the Republican candidate, and Hillary
Clinton, the Democrat candidate, for whom would you vote?" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/7/06 |
51 |
35 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani
(R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/7/06 |
51 |
37 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
CNN
Poll
conducted by Opinion Research Corporation. Nov. 3-5, 2006. N=1,008 adults
nationwide. MoE ±
3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"If [see below]
were the
Democratic Party's candidate and
[see below]
were the
Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for:
[see below], the Democrat, or
[see below], the Republican?" If unsure:
"As of today, do you lean more toward:
[see below], the Democrat, or
[see below], the Republican?" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
John
Kerry (D) |
Neither/
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
11/3-5/06 |
55 |
37 |
5 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani
(R) |
John
Kerry (D) |
Neither/
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
11/3-5/06 |
53 |
40 |
4 |
3 |
|
|
|
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll.
Oct. 24-25, 2006. N=900
likely voters nationwide. MoE ±
3.
LV = likely voters.
Except where noted, results below are among registered voters. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Let's
say the Democratic ticket is Hillary Clinton for president and Barack Obama
for vice president, and the Republican ticket is John McCain for president
and Rudy Giuliani for vice president. If you were voting today, how would
you vote?"
Tickets rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
McCain/
Giuliani (R) |
Clinton/
Obama (D) |
Wouldn't
Vote
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
10/24-25/06
LV |
48 |
40 |
3 |
8 |
|
|
|
CNN
Poll
conducted by Opinion Research Corporation. Oct. 13-15, 2006. N=1,012 adults nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"If New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton were the
Democratic Party's candidate and Arizona Senator John McCain were the
Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for:
Hillary Rodham Clinton, the Democrat, or
John McCain, the Republican?" If unsure:
"As of today, do you lean more toward:
Clinton, the Democrat, or McCain, the Republican?"
Half
sample, MoE ± 4.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Hillary
Rodham
Clinton (D) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
10/13-15/06 |
44 |
51 |
5 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"If New York Senator Hillary Clinton were the Democratic
Party's candidate and Arizona Senator John McCain were the Republican
Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for:
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, or John McCain, the
Republican?" If unsure:
"As of today, do you lean more toward:
Clinton, the Democrat, or McCain, the
Republican?"
Half
sample, MoE ± 4.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
10/13-15/06 |
48 |
47 |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"If New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton were the
Democratic Party's candidate and former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani
were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote
for: Hillary Rodham Clinton, the Democrat, or
Rudolph Giuliani, the Republican?" If unsure:
"As of today, do you lean more toward: Clinton, the Democrat,
or Giuliani, the Republican?"
Half
sample, MoE ± 4.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Rudolph
Giuliani
(R) |
Hillary
Rodham
Clinton (D) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
10/13-15/06 |
47 |
48 |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"If New York Senator Hillary Clinton were the Democratic
Party's candidate and former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani were the
Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for:
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, or Rudolph
Giuliani, the Republican?" If unsure:
"As of today, do you lean more toward: Clinton, the Democrat,
or Giuliani, the Republican?"
Half sample,
MoE ± 4.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Rudolph
Giuliani
(R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
10/13-15/06 |
46 |
50 |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
Time
Poll
conducted by Schulman, Ronca &
Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. Oct. 3-4, 2006.
N=1,002 adults nationwide. MoE ±
3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
". . . If [see below] were to run for president
and the election was being held today, would you definitely support this
candidate probably support this candidate, probably not support this
candidate, or definitely not support this candidate?" |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| |
|
Definitely
Support |
Probably
Support |
Probably
Not Support |
Definitely
Not Support |
Unfamiliar/
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |
Former New
York City
Republican
mayor Rudy Giuliani |
|
|
| |
10/3-4/06 |
17 |
34 |
21 |
19 |
8 |
| |
7/13-17/06 |
17 |
33 |
21 |
14 |
15 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
New York Democratic Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton |
|
|
| |
10/3-4/06 |
23 |
20 |
16 |
37 |
5 |
| |
7/13-17/06 |
19 |
27 |
14 |
34 |
6 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Arizona
Republican Senator John McCain |
|
|
| |
10/3-4/06 |
12 |
28 |
28 |
19 |
13 |
| |
7/13-17/06 |
12 |
31 |
21 |
13 |
22 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Former
Democratic vice president Al Gore |
|
|
| |
10/3-4/06 |
16 |
23 |
21 |
35 |
5 |
| |
7/13-17/06 |
16 |
25 |
20 |
32 |
7 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Massachusetts
Democratic Senator
John Kerry |
|
|
| |
10/3-4/06 |
14 |
20 |
23 |
34 |
9 |
| |
7/13-17/06 |
12 |
28 |
20 |
30 |
10 |
|
|
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll.
Aug. 29-30, 2006. N=900 registered voters nationwide.
MoE ±
3. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Thinking ahead to the next presidential election,
if the 2008 election were held today and the candidates were
Democrat
[see below]
and Republican
[see below],
for whom would you vote?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Al
Gore (D) |
Other (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
8/29-30/06 |
47 |
40 |
13 |
|
|
|
5/16-18/06 |
48 |
36 |
17 |
|
|
|
3/14-15/06 |
52 |
34 |
14 |
|
|
|
9/27-28/05 |
57 |
29 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani (R) |
Al
Gore (D) |
Other (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
8/29-30/06 |
46 |
42 |
12 |
|
|
|
5/16-18/06 |
50 |
37 |
13 |
|
|
|
9/27-28/05 |
55 |
32 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
Time
Poll
conducted by Schulman, Ronca &
Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. July 13-17, 2006.
N=902 registered voters nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Again, looking ahead to the presidential election in
November 2008 -- If you had to decide now, would you be more
likely to vote for [see below], the Democratic Party
candidate, or John McCain, the Republican Party's
candidate?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward [see
below], the Democrat, or McCain, the Republican?" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Hillary Rodham
Clinton (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
7/13-17/06 |
49 |
47 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
John
Kerry (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
7/13-17/06 |
52 |
42 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Al Gore (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
7/13-17/06 |
52 |
43 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
Gallup
Poll.
June 26-29, 2006. Sample was randomly drawn from Gallup's nationally
representative household panel, which was originally recruited through
random selection methods. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Next, I'm going to read you a
list of people who may run for the Democratic nomination for president in
2008. For each, please tell me if you would find that person to be an
acceptable nominee for president from the Democratic Party, or not. . . ."
Candidates rotated. N=496 Democrats and Democratic leaners, MoE ± 5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
|
|
Acceptable |
Not
Acceptable |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
Former North Carolina
senator John Edwards |
71 |
25 |
4 |
|
New York Senator Hillary Rodham
Clinton |
69 |
29 |
1 |
|
Former vice president Al Gore |
68 |
31 |
1 |
|
Massachusetts Senator John Kerry |
59 |
40 |
1 |
|
Delaware Senator Joe Biden |
44 |
37 |
19 |
|
Retired general Wesley Clark |
42 |
49 |
10 |
|
Democratic National Chairman
Howard Dean |
40 |
54 |
6 |
|
New Mexico Governor Bill
Richardson |
36 |
38 |
26 |
|
Former South Dakota senator Tom
Daschle |
35 |
50 |
15 |
|
Wisconsin Senator Russ Feingold |
29 |
41 |
30 |
|
Former Virginia governor Mark
Warner |
29 |
42 |
29 |
|
Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich |
21 |
51 |
27 |
|
Iowa Governor Tom Vilsack |
19 |
47 |
35 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Next, I'm going to read you a
list of people who may run for the Republican nomination for president in
2008. For each, please tell me if you would find that person to be an
acceptable nominee for president from the Republican Party, or not. . . ."
Candidates rotated. N=441 Republicans and Republican leaners, MoE ± 5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
|
|
Acceptable |
Not
Acceptable |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
Former New York City mayor Rudy
Giuliani |
73 |
25 |
2 |
|
Secretary of State Condoleezza
Rice |
68 |
29 |
3 |
|
Arizona Senator John McCain |
55 |
41 |
5 |
|
Former speaker of the House Newt
Gingrich |
45 |
50 |
5 |
|
Florida Governor Jeb Bush |
44 |
52 |
4 |
|
Tennessee Senator Bill Frist |
38 |
44 |
18 |
|
Virginia Senator George Allen |
36 |
35 |
29 |
|
Vice President Dick Cheney |
34 |
61 |
5 |
|
New York Governor George Pataki |
33 |
51 |
17 |
|
Massachusetts Governor Mitt
Romney |
31 |
42 |
27 |
|
Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee |
17 |
40 |
43 |
|
Kansas Senator Sam Brownback |
14 |
43 |
43 |
|
|
CNN
Poll
conducted by Harris Interactive. June 1-6, 2006. N=1,001 adults nationwide.
MoE ±
3. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"I'm going to ask you about some
people who may run for president in 2008. For each one, please tell me
whether you would definitely vote for that person, whether you might
consider voting for that person, or whether you would definitely not vote
for that person. New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton ... Former vice
president Al Gore ... Massachusetts Senator John Kerry ... Former New York
City mayor Rudolph Giuliani ... Arizona Senator John McCain ... Florida
Governor Jeb Bush." |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Definitely
Vote For |
Might
Consider |
Definitely
Not Vote For |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Hillary Rodham Clinton |
22 |
28 |
47 |
3 |
|
|
Al Gore |
17 |
32 |
48 |
3 |
|
|
John Kerry |
14 |
35 |
47 |
4 |
|
|
Rudolph Giuliani |
19 |
45 |
30 |
6 |
|
|
John McCain |
12 |
48 |
34 |
6 |
|
|
Jeb Bush |
9 |
26 |
63 |
2 |
|
|
|
Diageo/Hotline Poll
conducted by Financial Dynamics. May
18-21, 2006. N=801 registered voters nationwide.
MoE ±
3.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Now, suppose the general
election for president in 2008 were being held
today between
[see below] --
for whom would you vote?" If Unsure:
"Which way would you lean as of today?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Al Gore (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
5/18-21/06 |
51 |
33 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll.
May 16-18, 2006. N=900 registered voters nationwide.
MoE ±
3. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Thinking ahead to the next presidential election,
if the 2008 election were held today and the candidates were
Democrat
[see below]
and Republican
[see below],
for whom would you vote?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Jeb
Bush (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Other (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
5/16-18/06 |
35 |
51 |
15 |
|
|
|
12/14-15/04 |
35 |
46 |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Jeb
Bush (R) |
Al
Gore (D) |
Other (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
5/16-18/06 |
33 |
50 |
17 |
|
|
|
|
Pew
Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey
Research Associates International.
April 7-16, 2006. N=1,501
adults nationwide. MoE ±
3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Looking ahead to the next presidential election, would you
like to see a president who offers policies and programs similar to those of
the Bush Administration, or
would you like to see a president who offers different policies and
programs?" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Similar |
Different |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/7-16/06 |
23 |
70 |
7 |
|
|
|
10/05 |
25 |
69 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll.
March 14-15, 2006. N=900 registered voters nationwide.
MoE ±
3. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Thinking ahead to the next presidential election,
if the 2008 election were held today and the candidates were
Democrat
[see below]
and Republican
[see below],
for whom would you vote?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
John
Kerry (D) |
Other (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/14-15/06 |
53 |
33 |
13 |
|
|
|
2/7-8/06 |
53 |
33 |
14 |
|
|
|
9/27-28/05 |
53 |
35 |
12 |
|
|
|
11/16-17/04 |
50 |
38 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Dick
Cheney (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Other (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/14-15/06 |
37 |
50 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Dick
Cheney (R) |
Al
Gore (D) |
Other (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/14-15/06 |
36 |
48 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
WNBC/Marist
Poll.
Feb. 13-15, 2006.
N=931 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If the 2008 presidential
election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani
(R) |
John
Kerry
(D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/13-15/06 |
48 |
45 |
7 |
|
|
|
10/12-13 & 17/05 |
53 |
40 |
7 |
|
|
|
4/18-21/05 |
48 |
46 |
6 |
|
|
|
2/14-16/05 |
50 |
44 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
John
Kerry
(D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/13-15/06 |
54 |
37 |
9 |
|
|
|
10/12-13 & 17/05 |
51 |
40 |
9 |
|
|
|
4/18-21/05 |
51 |
41 |
8 |
|
|
|
2/14-16/05 |
55 |
37 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Condoleezza
Rice (R) |
John
Kerry
(D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/13-15/06 |
50 |
44 |
6 |
|
|
|
10/12-13 & 17/05 |
45 |
46 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Condoleezza
Rice (R) |
John
Edwards
(D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/13-15/06 |
42 |
51 |
7 |
|
|
|
10/12-13 & 17/05 |
42 |
49 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani
(R) |
Al Gore (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/13-15/06 |
53 |
42 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Al Gore (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/13-15/06 |
55 |
38 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll.
Feb. 7-8, 2006. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ±
3. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Thinking ahead to the next presidential election,
if the 2008 election were held today and the candidates were
Democrat
[see below]
and Republican
[see below],
for whom would you vote?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani (R) |
John
Kerry (D) |
Other (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/7-8/06 |
53 |
34 |
12 |
|
|
|
9/27-28/05 |
52 |
36 |
12 |
|
|
|
11/16-17/04 |
49 |
41 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"I'm
going to read you a list of names. For each one
please tell me if you think that person would make a good president or not.
If you have never heard of a person, please just say so .
. . ."
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Would |
Would Not |
Unsure |
Never
Heard of |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Rudy Giuliani |
60 |
26 |
11 |
2 |
|
|
John McCain |
55 |
30 |
13 |
2 |
|
|
Hillary Clinton |
50 |
47 |
3 |
- |
|
|
Condoleezza Rice |
47 |
38 |
10 |
5 |
|
|
John Kerry |
45 |
49 |
6 |
- |
|
|
Al Gore |
34 |
60 |
6 |
- |
|
|
Oprah Winfrey |
24 |
71 |
5 |
- |
|
|
Ted Kennedy |
23 |
69 |
7 |
1 |
|
|
George Pataki |
15 |
34 |
30 |
20 |
|
|
Donald Trump |
11 |
82 |
6 |
1 |
|
|
Arnold Schwarzenegger |
11 |
82 |
6 |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Now
I am going to read a list of possible candidates for the next presidential
race. For each one, please tell me whether you would definitely vote for
that candidate for president, if you would think about voting for that
candidate, or if under no conditions would you vote for that candidate
. . . ."
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Definitely
Vote For |
Think
About It |
Under
No
Conditions |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Hillary Clinton |
35 |
19 |
44 |
2 |
|
|
Rudy Giuliani |
33 |
38 |
24 |
6 |
|
|
John McCain |
30 |
40 |
22 |
7 |
|
|
John Kerry |
29 |
23 |
45 |
3 |
|
|
|
CNN/USA
Today/Gallup Poll. Jan.
20-22, 2006. N=928 registered voters nationwide. MoE ±
4. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Next, I'm going to ask you
about some people who may run for president in 2008. For each one, please
tell me whether you will definitely vote for that person, whether you might
consider voting for that person, or whether you will definitely not vote for
that person. How about [see below]?" |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| |
|
Definitely
Vote For |
Might Consider
Voting For |
Definitely Not
Vote For |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
| |
Hillary Rodham Clinton |
|
|
| |
1/20-22/06 |
16 |
32 |
51 |
1 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| |
Condoleezza Rice |
|
|
| |
1/20-22/06 |
14 |
38 |
46 |
3 |
|
|
|
Zogby
America Poll. Dec. 6-8, 2005. N=1,013
likely voters nationwide.
MoE ± 3.1. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If
the election for president of the United States
were held today and the candidates were Democrat
[see below] and Republican
[see below],
for whom would you vote?"
Options rotated. N=1,013 likely voters, MoE ± 3.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Condoleezza
Rice (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
12/6-8/05 |
47 |
46 |
2 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
John
Kerry
(D) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
12/6-8/05 |
55 |
34 |
4 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Condoleezza
Rice (R) |
John
Kerry
(D) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
12/6-8/05 |
48 |
45 |
2 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Mark
Warner (D) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
12/6-8/05 |
58 |
23 |
4 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Condoleezza
Rice (R) |
Mark
Warner (D) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
12/6-8/05 |
50 |
32 |
4 |
14 |
|
|
|
Time
Poll
conducted by Schulman, Ronca &
Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. Nov. 29-Dec. 1, 2005.
N=1,004 adults nationwide. MoE ±
3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Thinking ahead to
the 2008 presidential election, would you like the next president to be
similar to George W. Bush in terms of policies and programs, or someone who
is completely different?" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Similar
To Bush |
Completely
Different |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/29 - 12/1/05 |
36 |
60 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
Diageo/Hotline Poll
conducted by Financial Dynamics. Nov.
11-15, 2005. Registered voters nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Now thinking about the general
election for president in 2008: If John
McCain were to run in the general election for president in 2008, how
likely would you be to vote for him: very likely,
somewhat likely, not very likely, or not at all
likely?"
N=700 registered voters, MoE ± 3.7 (for all voters) |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Very
Likely |
Somewhat
Likely |
Not Very
Likely |
Not At All
Likely |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
ALL voters |
23 |
34 |
12 |
15 |
15 |
|
Democrats |
14 |
31 |
19 |
20 |
16 |
|
Independents |
19 |
37 |
12 |
17 |
16 |
|
Republicans |
36 |
34 |
7 |
10 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Now, suppose the general
election for president in 2008 were being held
today between
[see below] --
for whom would you vote?"
Names rotated.
N=700 registered voters, MoE ± 3.7
(for all voters). |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Jeb
Bush (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
John
McCain (I) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
ALL voters |
18 |
34 |
40 |
7 |
|
|
Democrats |
- |
64 |
28 |
8 |
|
|
Independents |
7 |
34 |
47 |
12 |
|
|
Republicans |
40 |
8 |
49 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Condoleeza
Rice (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
John
McCain (I) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
ALL voters |
20 |
35 |
35 |
10 |
|
|
Democrats |
7 |
61 |
22 |
9 |
|
|
Independents |
8 |
35 |
42 |
15 |
|
|
Republicans |
43 |
8 |
45 |
4 |
|
|
|
NBC
News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted
by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill
McInturff (R). Nov. 4-7, 2005.
N=1,003 adults nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Thinking some more about the 2008 election for
president:
If the next election for
president were held today, and
[see
below] was the Republican candidate and
[see
below]
was the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?"
Asked of
registered voters. Each match-up asked of half the sample. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Bill
Frist
(R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Depends
(vol.) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
11/4-7/05 |
37 |
50 |
2 |
7 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
John
Kerry
(D) |
Depends
(vol.) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
11/4-7/05 |
53 |
35 |
1 |
6 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Bill
Frist
(R) |
John
Kerry
(D) |
Depends
(vol.) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
11/4-7/05 |
35 |
45 |
2 |
7 |
11 |
|
|
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll.
Sept. 27-28, 2005. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ±
3. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Thinking ahead to the next presidential
election, if the 2008 election were held today
. . . .
What if the candidates were Democrat
[see below]
and Republican
[see below]?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Condoleezza
Rice (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Other (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
9/27-28/05 |
43 |
46 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Condoleezza
Rice
(R) |
John
Kerry (D) |
Other (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
9/27-28/05 |
45 |
43 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
Gallup
Poll. July 25-28, 2005.
N=922 registered voters nationwide. MoE ±
4. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If Massachusetts Senator John Kerry were the
Democratic Party's candidate and Arizona Senator John McCain were the
Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for:
John Kerry, the Democrat or John McCain, the Republican?"
If unsure: "As of today, do you
lean more toward Kerry, the Democrat or McCain, the Republican?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
John
Kerry (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
7/25-28/05 |
54 |
41 |
- |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If Massachusetts Senator John Kerry were the
Democratic Party's candidate and former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani
were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote
for: John Kerry, the Democrat or Rudy Giuliani,
the Republican?"
If unsure: "As of today, do you
lean more toward Kerry, the Democrat or Giuliani, the Republican?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani (R) |
John
Kerry (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
7/25-28/05 |
54 |
41 |
- |
2 |
3 |
|
|
Zogby America Poll.
June 20-22, 2005. N=1,000
likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.2. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If
the election for president of the United States
were held today and the candidates were Republican John McCain and Democrat
[see below], for whom would you vote?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Hillary
Clinton
(D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/20-22/05 |
54 |
35 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
John
Kerry (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/20-22/05 |
55 |
35 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
CNN/USA
Today/Gallup
Poll. May 20-22, 2005. N=453
registered voters nationwide.
MoE ± 5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"If Hillary Rodham Clinton were to run for
president in 2008, how likely would you be to vote for her:
very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not at all likely?" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Very
Likely |
Somewhat
Likely |
Not Very
Likely |
Not At
All Likely |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
5/20-22/05 |
28 |
24 |
7 |
40 |
1 |
|
6/9-10/03 |
20 |
21 |
12 |
45 |
2 |
|
|
Marist
College Poll. April 18-21, 2005. Nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If the 2008 presidential
election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"
N=838 registered
voters, MoE ± 3.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Jeb
Bush
(R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/18-21/05 |
38 |
55 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
Moore Information (R).
March 21-23, 2005. N=800 registered voters
nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"If the general
election for
president
was held today
and the candidates were
[see below],
for whom would
you vote?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John
McCain (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Neither |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
3/21-23/05 |
49 |
38 |
5 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Neither |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
3/21-23/05 |
47 |
41 |
6 |
7 |
|
|
|
Democracy Corps Poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D).
March 15-21, 2005. N=501
likely voters nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"I know it is far ahead, but
thinking about the 2008 election for president, if the election
for president were held today and the candidates were Democrat
Hillary Clinton and Republican Jeb Bush, for whom
would you vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or
Republican Jeb Bush?" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Jeb
Bush (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
3/15-21/05 |
47 |
50 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
Westhill Partners/Hotline
Poll. Feb. 24-27, 2005.
N=800 registered voters nationwide.
MoE ±
3.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Thinking about the presidential
election in November of 2008, if the 2008 presidential election were being
held today and the choice was between the
Republican California governor, Arnold Schwarzenegger,
and Democratic New Mexico
governor, Bill Richardson, who would you
vote for?"
If unsure: "Toward which candidate would
you say you are leaning at this time?"
Split sample (Form A).
Names rotated. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Schwar-
zenegger |
Richardson |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2/24-27/05 |
27 |
36 |
3 |
35 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Thinking about the presidential
election in November of 2008, if the 2008 presidential election were being
held today and the choice was between the Republican California
governor and the Democratic New Mexico
governor, who would you vote for?"
If unsure: "Toward which candidate would
you say you are leaning at this time?"
Split sample (Form B).
Options rotated. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
CA
Governor |
NM
Governor |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2/24-27/05 |
31 |
33 |
4 |
32 |
|
|
|
Westhill Partners/Hotline
Poll. Jan. 25-27, 2005.
N=800 registered voters nationwide.
MoE ±
3.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Thinking about the
presidential election in November of 2008, if the
2008 presidential election were being held today and the choice was between
Jeb Bush or Hillary Clinton, who would you vote for?"
If unsure: "Toward which candidate
would you say you are leaning at this time?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Jeb
Bush (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
1/25-27/05 |
37 |
46 |
2 |
15 |
|
|
|
Ipsos-Public Affairs poll. Dec. 17-19,
2004. Nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If the election for president
were held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the
Democratic candidate?"
If unsure: "If you had to choose, would you lean
more towards the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate?"
N=839 registered
voters;
MoE ±
3.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Republican |
Democrat |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
12/17-19/04 |
44 |
48 |
5 |
3 |
|
|
|
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll.
Dec. 14-15, 2004. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ±
3. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Thinking ahead to the next presidential election,
if the 2008 presidential election were held today and the candidates were
[see below],
for whom would you vote?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
40 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bill Frist
(R) |
33 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other (vol.)/Unsure |
27 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
41 |
|
|
|
|
|
George Pataki
(R) |
35 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other (vol.)/Unsure |
24 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
John Kerry
(D) |
45 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jeb Bush (R) |
37 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other (vol.)/Unsure |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll.
Nov. 16-17, 2004. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ±
3. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Thinking ahead to the next presidential election,
if the 2008 presidential election were held today and the candidates were
Democrat
[see below] and Republican
[see below],
for whom would you vote?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani
(R) |
John
Edwards
(D) |
Other (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/16-17/04 |
50 |
38 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
