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   White House 2008: Republican Nomination (p. 2)


Polls listed chronologically.

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.

         

Gallup Poll. Sept. 14-16, 2007. N=408 Republicans and Republican leaners nationwide. MoE ± 5.

.

"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in the year 2008, or if you would support someone else. . . ." Names rotated

.

9/14-16/07 9/7-8/07 8/13-16/07    
% % %    
Rudy Giuliani

27

32

31

   
John McCain

18

14

10

   
Fred Thompson

18

20

16

   
Newt Gingrich

11

7

9

   
Mitt Romney

6

9

12

   
Mike Huckabee

3

4

4

   
Ron Paul

3

1

3

   
Duncan Hunter

2

-

1

   
Sam Brownback

1

2

1

   
Tom Tancredo

1

1

1

   
Someone else

-

1

1

   
None (vol.)/Unsure

9

8

10

   
Chuck Hagel

n/a

1

1

   

.

8/3-5/07 7/12-15/07 7/6-8/07 6/11-14/07 6/1-3/07
% % % % %
Rudy Giuliani

30

30

30

28

32

Fred Thompson

19

20

20

19

11

John McCain

14

16

16

18

19

Newt Gingrich

10

7

6

7

8

Mitt Romney

6

8

9

7

12

Mike Huckabee

2

2

2

3

2

Ron Paul

2

3

-

2

1

Sam Brownback

1

2

1

2

1

Chuck Hagel

1

-

1

1

-

Duncan Hunter

1

1

2

2

1

Tom Tancredo

1

-

2

-

2

Tommy Thompson

1

1

1

2

1

Someone else

2

1

-

-

1

None (vol.)/Unsure

9

10

9

8

9

Jim Gilmore

n/a

-

-

1

-

.

5/10-13/07 5/4-6/07 4/13-15/07 4/2-5/07 3/23-25/07
% % % % %
Rudy Giuliani

29

34

35

38

31

John McCain

23

20

22

16

22

Fred Thompson

12

13

10

10

12

Mitt Romney

8

7

9

6

3

Newt Gingrich

6

8

7

10

8

Sam Brownback

2

1

1

1

3

Tommy Thompson

1

2

1

2

2

Mike Huckabee

1

1

2

1

1

George Pataki

1

1

2

2

-

Tom Tancredo

1

1

-

2

1

Jim Gilmore

-

1

2

-

-

Chuck Hagel

-

1

-

1

-

Duncan Hunter

-

1

-

1

-

Ron Paul

-

-

2

2

1

Someone else

2

-

1

1

2

None (vol.)

5

3

2

2

3

Unsure

8

7

3

4

10

.

3/2-4/07 2/9-11/07 1/12-14/07 12/11-14/06 11/9-12/06
% % % % %
Rudy Giuliani

44

40

31

28

28

John McCain

20

24

27

28

26

Newt Gingrich

9

9

10

8

7

Mitt Romney

8

5

7

4

5

Tommy Thompson

2

2

2

2

n/a

Sam Brownback

1

3

1

2

1

Duncan Hunter

1

1

-

1

-

George Pataki

1

1

3

1

1

Tom Tancredo

1

1

n/a

n/a

n/a

Jim Gilmore

-

2

2

n/a

n/a

Chuck Hagel

-

1

1

1

1

Mike Huckabee

-

2

1

2

1

Someone else

2

1

2

1

2

None (vol.)

3

2

3

3

3

Unsure

8

7

10

7

7

Condoleezza Rice

n/a

n/a

1

12

13

George Allen

n/a

n/a

n/a

2

2

Bill Frist

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

4


 

Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll. Sept. 13-16, 2007. N=340 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. MoE ± 5.3.

.

"I am going to read a list of people who might seek the Republican nomination for president in 2008, and I will read the list twice. I would like you to tell me who would be your FIRST CHOICE for the nomination. . . ."  Names rotated

.

Without Gingrich (recalculated, based on second choice of Gingrich voters):

.

9/13-16/07 8/2-5/07 6/21-23/07 6/15-17/07 5/11-13/07
% % % % %
Rudy Giuliani

28

28

22

22

28

Fred Thompson

20

15

14

16

9

John McCain

16

17

21

16

25

Mitt Romney

9

8

12

7

9

Mike Huckabee

4

2

2

2

2

Ron Paul

3

1

2

2

1

Sam Brownback

1

-

1

1

1

Duncan Hunter

1

2

-

1

-

Tom Tancredo

-

-

1

1

-

Other (vol.)

2

2

2

3

-

Unsure

17

20

18

25

20

Tommy Thompson

n/a

2

3

4

2

Jim Gilmore

n/a

1

1

1

1

Chuck Hagel

n/a

1

1

1

1

.

Without McCain (recalculated, based on second choice of McCain voters):

.

9/13-16/07 8/2-5/07 6/21-23/07 6/15-17/07 5/11-13/07
% % % % %
Rudy Giuliani

33

32

27

26

35

Fred Thompson

20

14

15

18

11

Mitt Romney

10

8

11

8

11

Newt Gingrich

5

9

7

5

9

Mike Huckabee

4

1

4

2

2

Ron Paul

3

-

2

2

1

Sam Brownback

1

1

2

1

1

Duncan Hunter

-

2

-

1

-

Tom Tancredo

-

-

1

1

-

Other (vol.)

2

2

2

3

1

Unsure

21

23

24

28

23

Tommy Thompson

n/a

4

3

4

2

Jim Gilmore

n/a

1

1

1

1

Chuck Hagel

n/a

1

1

1

1

.

Without McCain or Gingrich (recalculated, based on second choice of McCain and Gingrich voters):

.

9/13-16/07 8/2-5/07 6/21-23/07 6/15-17/07 5/11-13/07
% % % % %
Rudy Giuliani

34

35

30

28

39

Fred Thompson

22

16

16

17

13

Mitt Romney

10

10

13

9

11

Mike Huckabee

4

2

4

3

3

Ron Paul

3

-

2

2

1

Sam Brownback

1

1

2

1

1

Duncan Hunter

1

2

-

1

-

Tom Tancredo

-

-

1

1

-

Other (vol.)

2

3

2

4

2

Unsure

21

24

25

29

24

Jim Gilmore

n/a

1

1

1

1

Chuck Hagel

n/a

1

1

1

2

Tommy Thompson

n/a

5

3

4

3


 

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Sept. 11-12, 2007. N=297 Republican voters nationwide. MoE ± 6.

.

"If the 2008 Republican presidential primary were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were [see below]?" Names rotated

.

9/11-12/07 8/21-22/07 7/17-18/07 6/26-27/07  
% % % %  
Rudy Giuliani

32

29

27

29

 
Fred Thompson

21