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     White House 2012: General Election (p. 3)

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National Public Radio poll conducted by Democracy Corps (D) and Resurgent Republic (R). Sept. 26-30, 2012. N=800 likely voters nationwide.

             

"I know it's a long way off, but thinking about the presidential election this November, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, for whom would you vote?" Results include leaners
7/12: "If the election for president were being held today and the candidates were Mitt Romney, the Republican, and Barack Obama, the Democrat, for which candidate would you vote?" If unsure: "Which way do you lean as of today, toward Romney or Obama?"

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

9/26-30/12

51 44 2 2 1
 

7/9-12/12

47 45 1 5 2

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Sept. 26-30, 2012. N=832 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.4.

             

"If the next election for president were held today, with Mitt Romney as the Republican candidate, Barack Obama as the Democratic candidate, Gary Johnson the Libertarian candidate, and Jill Stein the Green candidate, for whom would you vote?" Johnson and Stein read only in states where they're on the ballot.

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Gary
Johnson (L)
Jill
Stein (G)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/26-30/12

48 43 3 2 4

 

Quinnipiac University Poll. Sept. 25-30, 2012. N=1,912 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.2.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat, and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or Romney?"

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

9/25-30/12

49 45 2 4

 


 

Bloomberg National Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. Sept. 21-24, 2012. N=789 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"If the general election for president were held today and the candidates were Barack Obama for the Democrats and Mitt Romney for the Republicans, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
 
    % % % %  
 

9/21-24/12

49 43 - 8

 

 

6/15-18/12

53 40 2 5

 

 

3/8-11/12

47 47 3 3

 


 

Allstate/National Journal Heartland Monitor Poll conducted by FTI Strategic Communications. Sept. 15-19, 2012. N=1,055 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3. RV = registered voters

             

"And, if the November election for president were held today, for whom would you vote between [see below]?"

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Some other
candidate
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

9/15-19/12

50 43 2 4 1
 

5/19-23/12 RV

44 41 5 8 1

 

Democracy Corps poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D). Sept. 8-12, 2012. N=1,000 likely voters (700 weighted) nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"Thinking about the presidential election in November, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, for whom would you vote?" Results include leaners.

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Another
candidate
(vol.)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

9/8-12/12

50 45 2 1 1
 

7/21-25/12

50 46 2 2 0
 

6/23-27/12

49 46 2 1 1
 

4/28 - 5/1/12

47 47 2 2 1
 

2/11-14/12

49 45 3 3 1
 

1/8-11/12

47 46 3 3 1
 

10/15-18/11

45 45 5 4 2
 

8/6-10/11

48 46 3 2 1
 

6/18-21/11

47 45 3 2 2
 

5/21-25/11

48 44 3 4 1
 

4/10-12/11

46 48 3 3 0
 

2/7-9/11

48 46 2 3 1
 

1/9-12/11

48 46 2 3 1

 

Esquire/Yahoo! News poll conducted by Langer Research Associates. Sept. 7-10, 2012. N=1,002 adults nationwide. For likely voters, margin of error 5.

             

"If the presidential election were today, would you vote for Obama or for Romney?" If unsure: "Do you lean more toward Obama or Romney?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Other
(vol.)
Refused  
    % % % %  
 

9/7-10/12

50 46 1 4  

 

Reuters/Ipsos Poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. Sept.7-10, 2012. N=873 likely voters nationwide. LV = likely voters. Among registered voters, except where noted.

             

"If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and Mitt Romney, the Republican, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Would you lean toward Obama or toward Mitt Romney?"

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
None/
Other (vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
    % % % % %
 

9/7-10/12 LV

48 45 0 3 4
 

8/2-6/12

49 42 2 4 4
 

7/5-9/12

49 43 1 4 3
 

6/7-11/12

45 44 2 6 3
 

5/3-7/12

49 42 2 6 2
 

4/12-15/12

47 43 3 3 4
 

3/8-11/12

52 41 2 3 2
 

2/2-6/12

48 42 3 5 3
 

1/5-9/12

48 43 1 4 4
 

12/8-12/11

48 40 3 6 3
 

10/31 - 11/3/11

43 44 2 5 5
 

9/8-12/11

49 43 2 4 3
 

5/5-9/11

48 40 1 6 4

 

Gallup Poll. Sept. 6-9, 2012. N=923 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.

             

"I'm going to read a list of five candidates for president who may appear on the ballot in a significant number of states this November. Supposing that all of these candidates were on the ballot in your state, which one would you be most likely to vote for: Barack Obama, the Democratic candidate, Mitt Romney, the Republican candidate, Gary Johnson, the Libertarian Party candidate, Jill Stein, the Green Party candidate, Virgil Goode, the Constitution Party candidate, or will you be voting for someone else?" If unsure: "As of today, which one of these candidates do you lean toward?" Options rotated

 
    9/6-9/12 6/7-10/12      
    % %      
 

Barack Obama (D)

50 47

 

 

 

 

Mitt Romney (R)

43 40

 

 

 

 

Jill Stein (G)

1 1

 

 

 

 

Gary Johnson (L)

1 3

 

 

 

 

Virgil Goode (C)

1 -

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul (vol.)

- 2

 

 

 

 

Other

1 1

 

 

 

 

Won't vote (vol.)

1 5

 

 

 

 

Unsure

3 2

 

 

 


 

Investor's Business Daily/Christian Science Monitor/TIPP Poll conducted by TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence. Sept. 4-9, 2012. N=801 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"If the 2012 election for United States president were held today and the following were candidates, for whom would you vote: [see below]?"

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 

9/4-9/12

46 44 8 2  
 

8/3-10/12

46 39 12 3  

 

Washington Times/JZ Analytics Poll. Aug. 23-25, 2012. N=800 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

General Election Trial Heat:

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Gary
Johnson (L)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

8/23-25/12

46 46 4 5

 

 

7/6-8/12

43 41 4 12

 

 

5/11-12/12

44 43 2 11

 


 

Resurgent Republic poll conducted by North Star Opinion Research (R). Aug. 16-22, 2012. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"If the election for president were being held today and the candidates for president and vice president are Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans, and Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats, for which candidates would you vote?" If unsure/refused: "Which way do you lean as of today, toward Romney-Ryan or Obama-Biden?" Options rotated

 
    Obama/
Biden (D)
Romney/
Ryan (R)
Another
candidate
(vol.)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

8/16-22/12

46 45 1 7 1

 

USC Annenberg/Los Angeles Times Poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) and American Viewpoint (R). Aug. 13-19, 2012. N=954 likely voters nationwide.

             

"Thinking about the presidential election this November, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, for whom would you vote: Democrat Barack Obama or Republican Mitt Romney?" Results include leaners. Half sample (Split A).

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure Won't
vote (vol.)
    % % % % %
 

8/13-19/12

49 46 1 4 1
             

"Thinking about the presidential election this November, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were Democrats Barack Obama and Joe Biden, and Republicans Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, for whom would you vote?" Results include leaners. Half sample (Split B).

 
    Obama/
Biden (D)
Romney/
Ryan (R)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

8/13-19/12

48 46 1 3 1

 

Washington Post/Kaiser Family Foundation Poll. July 25-Aug. 5, 2012. N=3,130 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters.

             

"If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and Mitt Romney, the Republican, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Would you lean toward Obama or toward Romney?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/25 - 8/5/12

50 43 3 1 3

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). July 15-17, 2012. N=901 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"Let's say the Democratic ticket is Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, and the Republican ticket is Mitt Romney for president and Condoleezza Rice for vice president. If you were voting today, how would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Obama/
Biden (D)
Romney/
Rice (R)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

7/15-17/12

46 46 3 4  

 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. July 11-16, 2012. N=942 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and Mitt Romney, the Republican, would you vote for Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?" If unsure: "Well as of today, do you lean more toward Barack Obama or more toward Mitt Romney?"

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Other (vol.) Won't
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/11-16/12

46 47 1 2 4
 
 

Without leaners:

 
 

4/13-17/12

46 46 2 3 3
 

3/7-11/12

47 44 1 2 6
 

2/8-13/12

48 42 0 4 6
 

1/12-17/12

45 45 1 4 5
 

1/4-8/12

45 47 0 2 6

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. July 9-11, 2012. N=849 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5. 8/09: Marist College Marist Poll.

             

General Election Trial Heat:

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/9-11/12

48 46 6

 

 

 

3/20-22/12

46 44 9

 

 

 

11/8-10/11

48 44 8

 

 

 

9/13-14/11

46 44 10

 

 

 

8/2-4/11

46 41 13

 

 

 

6/15-23/11

46 42 11

 

 

 

4/10-14/11

46 45 9

 

 

 

1/6-10/11

51 38 11

 

 

 

12/2-8/10

44 46 10

 

 


 

Washington Times/JZ Analytics Poll. July 6-8, 2012. N=800 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

General Election Trial Heat:

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/6-8/12

42 43 15

 

 

 

5/11-12/12

43 44 13

 

 


 

Quinnipiac University Poll. July 1-8, 2012. N=2,722 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 1.9.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/1-8/12

46

43

3

2

6

 

4/11-17/12

46

42

2

2

7

 

2/14-20/12

46

44

2

4

4

 

11/14-20/11

45

44

2

3

7

 

10/25-31/11

47

42

2

4

5

 

9/27 - 10/3/11

42

46

3

2

7

 

8/16-27/11

45

45

2

2

6

 

7/5-11/11

47

41

2

2

7

 

5/31 - 6/6/11

47

41

3

2

6

 

11/8-15/10

44

45

2

2

7


 

Investor's Business Daily/Christian Science Monitor/TIPP Poll conducted by TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence. June 28-July 5, 2012. N=825 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"If the 2012 election for United States president were held today and the following were candidates, for whom would you vote: [see below]?"

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Gary
Johnson (L)
Other (vol.) Unsure/
Refused
    % % % % %
 

6/28 - 7/5/12

43 42 2 3 10

 

Bloomberg National Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. June 15-18, 2012. N=734 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.6.

             

"If the general election for president were held today and the candidates were Barack Obama for the Democrats and Mitt Romney for the Republicans, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

6/15-18/12

53 40 2 5

 

 

3/8-11/12

47 47 3 3

 


 

Investor's Business Daily/Christian Science Monitor/TIPP Poll conducted by TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence. June 1-8, 2012. N=841 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"If the 2012 election for United States president were held today and the following were candidates, for whom would you vote? Would you say Democrat Barack Obama or Republican Mitt Romney?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Other (vol.) Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

6/1-8/12

46 42 4 7 1
 

5/9-16/12

43 40 3 10 3
 

4/27 - 5/4/12

46 43 3 6 2
 

3/30 - 4/5/12

46 38 5 10 1
 

3/4-11/12

46 41 7 5 1

 

Public Religion Research Institute/Religion News Service. May 2-6, 2012. N=821 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.8.

             

"If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and Mitt Romney, the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
    % % % % %
 

5/2-6/12

47 38 7 1 8

 

Resurgent Republic poll conducted by North Star Opinion Research (R). April 30-May 3, 2012. N=1,000 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"If the election for president were being held today and the candidates were Mitt Romney, the Republican, or Barack Obama, the Democrat, for which candidate would you vote?" If unsure: "Which way do you lean as of today -- toward Romney or Obama?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
 
    % % % %  
 

4/30 - 5/3/12

49 42 1 8

 


 

George Washington University/Politico Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). April 29-May 3, 2012. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"Now, thinking ahead to the 2012 presidential elections, if the election for president were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for the Republican candidate, or President Barack Obama, the Democratic candidate?" If unsure: "And which party's candidate do you lean toward at this time?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Republican
candidate
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

4/29 - 5/3/12

45 47 8

 

 

 

2/19-22/12

49 44 6

 

 

 

11/6-9/11

43 44 13

 

 


 

Democracy Corps poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D). April 28-May 1, 2012. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"Now let me ask you again about your vote for president, but this time including an independent candidate nominated by the online organization Americans Elect. Thinking about the presidential election in November, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, and independent candidate Buddy Roemer, for whom would you vote?" Results include leaners.

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Buddy
Roemer (I)
Another
candidate
(vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
    % % % % %
 

4/28 - 5/1/12

45 43 7 2 4

 

United Technologies/National Journal Congressional Connection Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. April 19-22, 2012. N=799 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.2.

             

"After the 2012 elections, which of the following outcomes would you prefer? ... Would you rather see Democrat Barack Obama OR Republican Mitt Romney win the presidency?"

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
 
    % % % %  
 

4/19-22/12

47 39 9 5

 


 

University of Phoenix/National Journal Next America Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. April 5-11, 2012. N=995 registered voters nationwide.

             

"Now, suppose the 2012 presidential election were being held TODAY and you had to choose between Barack Obama, the Democrat, and Mitt Romney, the Republican, who would you vote for?" If other/unsure: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Other (vol.) Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

4/5-11/12

50 42 2 6

 


 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. April 5-8, 2012. N=1,003 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters.

             

"If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Would you lean toward Obama or toward [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Rick
Santorum (R)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/5-8/12

52 42 2 2 1
 

3/7-10/12

49 46 3 1 1
 

1/12-15/12

52 41 2 2 2

 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. March 25-26, 2012. N=901 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 4. Interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking.

             

"Suppose the presidential election were held today. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you vote for: Barack Obama, the Democrat, or Mitt Romney, the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward Obama, the Democrat, or Romney, the Republican?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

3/25-26/12

49 45 1 3 3
 

2/20-21/12

47 47 - 3 2
 

1/27-28/12

48 48 1 2 2
 

12/6-7/11

47 46 1 4 3
 

10/26-27/11

47 47 1 3 3
 

8/17-18/11

46 48 - 3 3
             

"Suppose the presidential election were held today. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you vote for: Barack Obama, the Democrat, or Rick Santorum, the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward Obama, the Democrat, or Santorum, the Republican?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Rick
Santorum (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

3/25-26/12

51 43 1 3 3
 

2/20-21/12

46 49 1 2 2
 

1/27-28/12

51 43 1 3 2

 

CNN/ORC Poll. March 24-25, 2012. N=925 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: Obama, the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, who do you lean more toward?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Rick
Santorum (R)
Neither
(vol.)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

3/24-25/12

55

42

2

1

-

 

2/10-13/12

52

45

2

-

-

 

1/11-12/12

51

45

3

1

1


 

Suffolk University Poll. March 21-25, 2012. N=1,070 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If the general election for United States president was held today and the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican [see below], or a third party candidate, for who will you vote or towards whom do you LEAN at this time?"

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Third party
candidate
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

3/21-25/12

47

37

7

7

1

             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Rick
Santorum (R)
Third party
candidate
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

3/21-25/12

49

35

7

9

1

             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Newt
Gingrich (R)
Third party
candidate
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

3/21-25/12

50

31

11

7

1

             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Ron
Paul (R)
Third party
candidate
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

3/21-25/12

49

28

12

10

1


 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. March 20-22, 2012. N=846 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5. 8/09: Marist College Marist Poll.

             

"If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below], the Democrat(s), and [see below], the Republican(s)?"

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/20-22/12

46 44 9

 

 

 

11/8-10/11

48 44 8

 

 

 

9/13-14/11

46 44 10

 

 

 

8/2-4/11

46 41 13

 

 

 

6/15-23/11

46 42 11

 

 

 

4/10-14/11

46 45 9

 

 

 

1/6-10/11

51 38 11

 

 

 

12/2-8/10

44 46 10

 

 

             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Rick
Santorum (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/20-22/12

48 43 9

 

 

             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Newt
Gingrich (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/20-22/12

53 38 9

 

 

 

11/8-10/11

47 45 8

 

 

             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Ron
Paul (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/20-22/12

50 40 10

 

 

 

11/8-10/11

49 41 10

 

 

             
    Barack
Obama/Joe
Biden (D)
Mitt Romney/
Marco Rubio (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/20-22/12

49 44 8

 

 

             
    Barack
Obama/Joe
Biden (D)
Rick
Santorum/
Newt
Gingrich (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/20-22/12

51 42 7

 

 

             

"If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats, and Mitt Romney and Jeb Bush, the Republicans?" Asked March 21-22, 2012; N=649 registered voters, margin of error 4.

 
    Barack
Obama/Joe
Biden (D)
Mitt Romney/
Jeb Bush (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/21-22/12

47 47 6

 

 


 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). March 10-12, 2012. N=912 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.
2010: Conducted by Opinion Dynamics Corp.

             

"If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Rick
Santorum (R)
Other
(vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

3/10-12/12

51 39 2 4 4
 

2/6-9/12

50 38 2 5 6
 

1/12-14/12

50 38 2 4 6
             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Newt
Gingrich (R)
Other
(vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

3/10-12/12

53 35 2 6 5
 

2/6-9/12

51 38 2 5 4
 

1/12-14/12

51 37 2 5 4
 

12/5-7/11

46 40 3 5 6
 

11/13-15/11

46 41 3 4 6
 

6/5-7/11

53 34 2 5 7
 

2/7-9/11

55

35

3

3

4

 

1/12-13/10

53

29

5

4

9

             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Ron
Paul (R)
Other
(vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

3/10-12/12

50 38 2 6 5
 

2/6-9/12

48 38 2 7 6

 

Bloomberg National Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. March 8-11, 2012. N=746 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.6.

             

"If the general election for president were held today and the candidates were Barack Obama for the Democrats and [see below] for the Republicans, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Rick
Santorum (R)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

3/8-11/12

50 44 3 3

 

             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Newt
Gingrich (R)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

3/8-11/12

52 41 4 3

 

             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Ron
Paul (R)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

3/8-11/12

48 43 4 5

 


 

Reuters/Ipsos Poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. March 8-11, 2012. N=937 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.3.

             

"If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Would you lean toward Obama or toward [see below]?"

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Rick
Santorum (R)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
None/
Other (vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
    % % % % %
 

3/8-11/12

52 42 2 4 1
             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Newt
Gingrich (R)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
None/
Other (vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
    % % % % %
 

3/8-11/12

54 37 2 5 1
 

2/2-6/12

50 38 3 6 2
 

1/5-9/12

53 38 3 4 2
 

12/8-12/11

51 38 3 5 4

 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. March 7-11, 2012. N=878 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, would you vote for Barack Obama or [see below]?"

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Rick
Santorum (R)
Other (vol.) Won't
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

3/7-11/12

48 44 1 1 6
 

2/8-13/12

49 41 0 2 8
 

1/12-17/12

49 38 1 3 9
 

1/4-8/12

47 43 1 2 7
             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Newt
Gingrich (R)
Other (vol.) Won't
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

3/7-11/12

52 38 0 4 6
 

2/8-13/12

54 36 0 5 5
 

1/12-17/12

50 39 1 4 6
 

1/4-8/12

49 41 1 4 5
             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Ron
Paul (R)
Other (vol.) Won't
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

3/7-11/12

49 39 0 3 9
 

2/8-13/12

50 39 0 4 7
 

1/12-17/12

46 42 1 5 6
 

1/4-8/12

46 45 0 3 6

 

Pew Research Center. March 7-11, 2012. N=1,188 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"Now, suppose the 2012 presidential election were being held TODAY and you had to choose between Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, who would you vote for?" If other/unsure: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Rick
Santorum (R)
Other (vol.) Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

3/7-11/12

57 39 1 3

 

 

2/8-12/12

53 43 1 3

 


 

Investor's Business Daily/Christian Science Monitor/TIPP Poll conducted by TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence. March 4-11, 2012. N=807 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.3.

             

"If the 2012 election for United States president were held today and the following were candidates, for whom would you vote? Would you say Democrat Barack Obama or Republican [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Other (vol.) Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

3/4-11/12

46 41 7 5 1
             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Rick
Santorum (R)
Other (vol.) Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

3/4-11/12

47 38 8 6 1
             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Newt
Gingrich (R)
Other (vol.) Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

3/4-11/12

51 34 9 5 1
             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Ron
Paul (R)
Other (vol.) Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

3/4-11/12

49 36 8 6 1

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Feb. 29-March 3, 2012. N=800 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters, except where indicated.

             

"If the next election for president were held today, and [see below] were the Republican candidate and Barack Obama were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Rick
Santorum (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/29 - 3/3/12

53 39 1 5 2
 

1/22-24/12

53 38 1 4 4
             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Newt
Gingrich (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/29 - 3/3/12

54 37 - 7 2
 

1/22-24/12

55 37 1 5 2
 

12/7-11/11

51 40 1 5 3
 

1/13-17/11

55 37 1 4 3
             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Ron
Paul (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/29 - 3/3/12

50 42 1 5 2
 

12/7-11/11

50 37 2 7 4

 

George Washington University/Politico Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). Feb. 19-22, 2012. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"If the presidential election were held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote: [see below], the Republican, or Barack Obama, the Democrat?" If unsure: "And which candidate do you lean toward slightly?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Rick
Santorum (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

2/19-22/12

53 43 4

 

 


 

AP-GfK Poll conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Corporate Communications. Feb. 16-20, 2012. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Margin of error 4.1.

             

"In the election for president in November 2012, if the candidates are Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, for whom will you vote?" If neither/unsure: "Do you lean more toward Obama or more toward [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Rick
Santorum (R)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

2/16-20/12

52 43 4 2

 

             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Newt
Gingrich (R)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

2/16-20/12

52 42 4 1

 

 

12/8-12/11

51 42 6 1

 

             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Ron
Paul (R)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

2/16-20/12

53 44 3 1

 


 

Quinnipiac University Poll. Feb. 14-20, 2012. N=2,605 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 1.9.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Rick
Santorum (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/14-20/12

47

44

1

3

5

             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Newt
Gingrich (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/14-20/12

50

39

2

5

4

 

11/14-20/11

49

40

2

3

7

 

10/25-31/11

52

37

3

4

5


 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Feb. 16-19, 2012. N=898 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.

             

"Suppose the election was being held today and Barack Obama was the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] was the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: Barack Obama, the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward Obama, the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Rick
Santorum (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/16-19/12

49 48 1 2 1
             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Other (vol.) Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/16-19/12

46 50 1 2 1

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Feb. 10-13, 2012. N=937 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: Obama, the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, who do you lean more toward?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Ron
Paul (R)
Neither
(vol.)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/10-13/12

52

45

3

-

-

 

1/11-12/12

48

46

4

1

-

 

12/16-18/11

52

45

3

-

-

 

9/23-25/11

51

47

2

1

-

 

4/29 - 5/1/11

52

45

3

-

-

             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Newt
Gingrich (R)
Neither
(vol.)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/10-13/12

55

42

3

-

-

 

1/11-12/12

52

43

4

1

-

 

12/16-18/11

56

40

2

1

-

 

11/11-13/11

53

45

2

-

-

 

4/29 - 5/1/11

57

40

2

-

-

 

10/27-30/10

49

47

3

-

1

 

4/9-11/10

55

43

1

-

-


 

Pew Research Center. Feb. 8-12, 2012. N=1,172 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"Now, suppose the 2012 presidential election were being held TODAY and you had to choose between Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, who would you vote for?" If other/unsure: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Newt
Gingrich (R)
Other (vol.) Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

2/8-12/12

57 39 2 3

 

 

11/9-14/11

54 42 1 3

 


 

Fairleigh Dickinson University PublicMind. Feb. 6-12, 2012. N=903 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.3.

             

"I know it's early, but let me ask: In a race for president between Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, who would you vote for?" If unsure: "Which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Neither/Other
(vol.)/Unsure
   
    % % %    
 

2/6-12/12

45 41 13

 

 

 

11/29 - 12/5/11

46 42 11

 

 

 

6/1-7/11

45 39 16

 

 

 

3/21-28/11

44 43 12

 

 

             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Rick
Santorum (R)
Neither/Other
(vol.)/Unsure
   
    % % %    
 

2/6-12/12

48 39 13

 

 

 

11/29 - 12/5/11

55 34 12

 

 

 

6/1-7/11

52 33 16

 

 

             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Newt
Gingrich (R)
Neither/Other
(vol.)/Unsure
   
    % % %    
 

2/6-12/12

51 36 14

 

 

 

11/29 - 12/5/11

48 42 10

 

 

 

6/1-7/11

50 30 20

 

 

 

3/21-28/11

52 37 10

 

 

             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Ron
Paul (R)
Neither/Other
(vol.)/Unsure
   
    % % %    
 

2/6-12/12

46 39 14

 

 

 

11/29 - 12/5/11

54 35 11

 

 

 

6/1-7/11

48 35 17

 

 


 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Feb. 6-9, 2012. N=1,110 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.
2010: Conducted by Opinion Dynamics Corp.

             

"If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Other
(vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/6-9/12

50 36 3 6 6
 

2/7-9/11

54

34

3

4

5

 

9/28-29/10

45

37

6

3

9


 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Feb. 1-4, 2012. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Margin of error 4.

             

"If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Would you lean toward Obama or toward [see below]?" Options rotated. Results below are among registered voters.

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Newt
Gingrich (R)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/1-4/12

54 43 1 1 1
 

1/12-15/12

52 40 3 3 2
 

12/15-18/11

51 43 3 2 1
 

6/2-5/11

50 44 3 1 2
 

4/14-17/11

54 39 4 2 1

 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Jan. 27-28, 2012. N=907 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 4. Interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking.

             

"Suppose the presidential election were held today. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and former speaker of the House Newt Gingrich were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you vote for: Barack Obama, the Democrat, or Newt Gingrich, the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward Obama, the Democrat, or Gingrich, the Republican?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Newt
Gingrich (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/27-28/12

53 41 1 4 1
 

12/6-7/11

50 44 1 3 2
             

"Suppose the presidential election were held today. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and Texas Congressman Ron Paul were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you vote for: Barack Obama, the Democrat, or Ron Paul, the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward Obama, the Democrat, or Paul, the Republican?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Ron
Paul (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/27-28/12

49 46 1 3 1
 

8/17-18/11

47 45 1 5 2

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Jan. 22-24, 2012. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters, except where indicated.

             

"If President Obama runs for reelection in the year 2012, do you think you will probably vote for President Obama or probably vote for the Republican candidate?"

 
    Obama Republican Another
party (vol.)
Depends
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/22-24/12

47 42 2 6 3
 

12/7-11/11

43 45 2 6 4
 

11/2-5/11

45 42 2 6 5
 

10/6-10/11

44 42 2 7 5
 

8/27-31/11

40 44 3 9 4
 

7/14-17/11

42 39 4 10 5
 

6/9-13/11

45 40 2 11 2
 

5/5-7/11

45 30 4 16 5
 

3/31 - 4/4/11

43 38 3 11 5
 

2/24-28/11

45 40 3 9 3
             

"And, if the next election for president were held today, and Mitt Romney were the Republican candidate, Barack Obama were the Democratic candidate, and Ron Paul were the independent candidate, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Ron
Paul (I)
Depends/
None/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/22-24/12

45 32 18 3 2
 

11/2-5/11

44 32 18 3 3

 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. Jan. 12-17, 2012. N=1,021 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, would you vote for Barack Obama or [see below]?"

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Rick
Perry (R)
Other (vol.) Won't
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/12-17/12

50 38 0 4 8
 

1/4-8/12

49 42 0 2 7
             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Jon
Huntsman (R)
Other (vol.) Won't
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/12-17/12

47 36 1 5 11
 

1/4-8/12

48 41 0 3 8

 

Pew Research Center. Jan. 11-16, 2012. N=1,207 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"And suppose Ron Paul was running as a third party candidate. If you had to choose between [see below], who would you vote for?" If other/unsure: "Do you think you would LEAN more to [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Ron
Paul (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/11-16/12

44 32 18 1 5

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Jan. 12-15, 2012. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters.

             

"If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Would you lean toward Obama or toward [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Ron
Paul (R)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/12-15/12

49 42 4 3 2
 

12/15-18/11

49 44 4 2 1
 

7/14-17/11

52 42 2 2 2

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Jan. 12-14, 2012. N=906 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If the 2012 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, Mitt Romney, the Republican, and Ron Paul, as an independent?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Ron
Paul (I)
Other
(vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)/
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/12-14/12

42 35 14 1 8
             

"Let's say the Democratic ticket is Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, and the Republican ticket is Mitt Romney for president and [see below] for vice president. If you were voting today, how would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Obama/
Biden (D)
Romney/
Rick
Santorum (R)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

1/12-14/12

46 45 4 5  
             
    Obama/
Biden (D)
Romney/
Chris
Christie (R)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

1/12-14/12

47 44 3 6  

 

Democracy Corps poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D). Jan. 8-11, 2012. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"Now let me ask you again about your vote for president, but this time including an independent candidate. Thinking about the presidential election in November, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, and independent candidate Ron Paul, for whom would you vote?" N=500 (Split A). Results include leaners.

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Ron
Paul (I)
Another
candidate
(vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
    % % % % %
 

1/8-11/12

43 34 18 1 3
             

"Now let me ask you again about your vote for president, but this time including several independent candidates. Thinking about the presidential election in November, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, independent candidate Ron Paul, independent candidate Donald Trump, and independent candidate Michael Bloomberg, for whom would you vote?" N=500 (Split B). Results include leaners.

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Ron
Paul (I)
Donald
Trump (I)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
    % % % % %
 

1/8-11/12

42 30 14 7 4

 

Reuters/Ipsos Poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. Jan. 5-9, 2012. N=approx. 900 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.2.

             

"If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Would you lean toward Obama or toward [see below]?"

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
None/
Other (vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
    % % % % %
 

1/5-9/12

48 43 1 4 4
 

12/8-12/11

48 40 3 6 3
 

10/31 - 11/3/11

43 44 2 5 5
 

9/8-12/11

49 43 2 4 3
 

5/5-9/11

48 40 1 6 4
             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Newt
Gingrich (R)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
None/
Other (vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
    % % % % %
 

1/5-9/12

53 38 3 4 2
 

12/8-12/11

51 38 3 5 4
             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Ron
Paul (R)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
None/
Other (vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
    % % % % %
 

1/5-9/12

48 41 2 5 3
             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Rick
Santorum (R)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
None/
Other (vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
    % % % % %
 

1/5-9/12

51 40 1 4 4

General election continued


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