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     Campaign 2016 (p. 2)

 
Info on accessing STATE POLLS
 

CNN/ORC Poll. July 28, 2016. N=455 registered voters nationwide who watched Hillary Clinton's Democratic convention acceptance speech. Margin of error 4.5.
Per CNN: "Survey respondents were first interviewed as part of a random national sample conducted July 22-28, 2016. In those interviews, respondents indicated they were registered to vote, planned to watch tonight's speech and were willing to be re-interviewed after the speech. ... 14% of the respondents who participated in tonight's survey identified themselves as Republicans, 56% identified themselves as Democrats, and 30% identified themselves as independents. ... This poll does not and cannot reflect the views of all Americans. It only represents the views of people who watched the speech. ... The audience for this speech is more Democratic than the U.S. population as a whole, which is typical for viewers of a Democratic convention."

 

"What was your overall reaction to Hillary Clinton's speech tonight: very positive, somewhat positive, somewhat negative or very negative?"

 
    Speech-watchers
 
    Very
postive
Somewhat
positive
Somewhat
negative
Very
negative
Both/
Mixed (vol.)
    % % % % %
 

7/28/16

71 15 7 5 1
             

"Do you think the policies being proposed by Hillary Clinton will move the country in the right direction or the wrong direction?"

 
    Speech-watchers    
 
    Right
direction
Wrong
direction
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/28/16

82 16 2    

 

CNN/ORC Poll. July 22-24, 2016. N=882 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"If it were up to you, who would you rather have seen the Republican Party choose as its nominee for president: Donald Trump or someone else?" N=431 registered voters who are Republicans or lean Republican; margin of error 4.5

 
    --- Republicans and leaners ---    
 
    Trump Someone
else
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/22-24/16

54 45 1    
 

7/13-16/16

56 44 1    
 

6/16-19/16

51 48 1    
             

"Does what you saw or read of the Republican National Convention in Cleveland make you more likely or less likely to vote for Donald Trump?"

 
    More
likely
Less
likely
No
difference
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

7/22-24/16

42 44 11 3  
             

"At their convention, do you think the Republicans maintained the right balance between criticizing the Democrats and saying positive things about themselves, or do you think they spent too much time criticizing the Democrats?"

 
    Maintained
the right
balance
Too much
time
criticizing
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/22-24/16

35 58 7    
             

"From what you have heard or read, how would you rate Donald Trump's acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention on Thursday night -- as excellent, good, just okay, poor, or terrible?"

 
    %        
 

Excellent

21        
 

Good

19        
 

Just okay

18        
 

Poor

10        
 

Terrible

18        
 

Didn't see (vol.)

14        
 

Unsure

1        
             

"How would you rate Clinton's choice of Tim Kaine for vice president? Would you rate this choice as excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor?" N=640 registered voters; margin of error 4

 
    Excellent Pretty
good
Only
fair
Poor Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/22-24/16

13 33 27 15 13
             

"Does having Tim Kaine as her running mate make you more likely to vote for Clinton in November, less likely, or will it not have much effect on your vote?" N=640 registered voters; margin of error 4

 
    More
likely
Less
likely
Not much
effect
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

7/22-24/16

13 8 78 1  
             

"Based on what you know about Tim Kaine, do you think he is qualified to serve as president if it becomes necessary, or not?" N=640 registered voters; margin of error 4

 
    Is
qualified
Is not
qualified
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/22-24/16

52 33 15    
             

"Do you think Clinton's choice of Tim Kaine reflects favorably or unfavorably on Clinton's ability to make important presidential decisions?" N=640 registered voters; margin of error 4

 
    Favorably Unfavorably Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/22-24/16

56 32 12    

 

CNN/ORC Poll. July 21, 2016. N=460 registered voters nationwide who watched Donald Trump's Republican convention acceptance speech. Margin of error 4.5.
Per CNN: "Survey respondents were first interviewed as part of a random national sample conducted July 13-20, 2016. In those interviews, respondents indicated they were registered to vote, planned to watch tonight's speech and were willing to be re-interviewed after the speech. ... 41% of the respondents who participated in tonight's survey identified themselves as Republicans, 23% identified themselves as Democrats, and 36% identified themselves as independents. ... This poll does not and cannot reflect the views of all Americans. It only represents the views of people who watched the speech. ... The audience for this speech is more Republican than the U.S. population as a whole, which is typical for viewers of a Republican convention."

 

"What was your overall reaction to Donald Trump's speech tonight: very positive, somewhat positive, somewhat negative or very negative?"

 
    Speech-watchers
 
    Very
postive
Somewhat
positive
Somewhat
negative
Very
negative
Both/
Mixed (vol.)
    % % % % %
 

7/21/16

57 18 9 15 1
             

"Do you think the policies being proposed by Donald Trump will move the country in the right direction or the wrong direction?"

 
    Speech-watchers    
 
    Right
direction
Wrong
direction
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/21/16

73 24 3    

 

Gallup Poll. July 15-16, 2016. N=901 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.

             

"As you may know, Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has selected Indiana governor Mike Pence as his vice presidential running mate. How would you rate Donald Trump's choice of Mike Pence for vice president? Would you rate this choice as excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor?"

 
    Excellent Pretty
good
Only
fair
Poor Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/15-16/16

13 24 23 22 18
             

"Based on what you know about Mike Pence, do you think he is qualified to serve as president if it becomes necessary, or not?"

 
    Yes,
qualified
No, not
qualified
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/15-16/16

46 33 22    

 

CNN/ORC Poll. July 13-16, 2016. N=872 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me if you think Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump would better handle that issue if they were elected president. ..."

 
    Hillary
Clinton
Donald
Trump
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

"Abortion"

 

7/13-16/16

55 34 9 3  
             

"Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think each one applies or doesn't apply to Hillary Clinton. ..."

 
    Applies Does not
apply
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

"Is sincere in what she says" N=438 (Version A)

 

7/13-16/16

41 59 1    
             

"Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think each one applies or doesn't apply to Donald Trump. ..."

 
    Applies Does not
apply
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

"Is sincere in what he says" N=438 (Version A)

 

7/13-16/16

49 51 1    
             

"How would you rate Trump's choice of Mike Pence for vice president? Would you rate this choice as excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor?" N=579; margin of error 4

 
    Excellent Pretty
good
Only
fair
Poor Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/14-16/16

12 31 26 20 12
             

"Does having Mike Pence as his running mate make you more likely to vote for Trump in November, less likely, or will it not have much effect on your vote?" N=579; margin of error 4

 
    More
likely
Less
likely
Not much
effect
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

7/14-16/16

14 7 79 1  
             

"Based on what you know about Mike Pence, do you think he is qualified to serve as president if it becomes necessary, or not?" N=579; margin of error 4

 
    Is
qualified
Is not
qualified
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/14-16/16

53 33 14    
             

"Do you think Trump's choice of Mike Pence reflects favorably or unfavorably on Trump's ability to make important presidential decisions?" N=579; margin of error 4

 
    Favorably Unfavorably Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/14-16/16

57 35 9    

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. July 11-14, 2016. N=1,003 adults nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"Who do you think would do more to bring needed change to Washington: Clinton or Trump?" Options rotated. Half sample B.

 
    Clinton Trump Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/11-14/16

44 46 1 7 3
 

5/16-19/16

42 48 1 7 2
             

"Who do you think better represents your own personal values: Clinton or Trump?" Options rotated. Half sample B.

 
    Clinton Trump Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/11-14/16

49 36 1 13 2
 

5/16-19/16

48 37 1 13 2
             

"Who do you think has better judgment: Clinton or Trump?" Options rotated. Half sample B.

 
    Clinton Trump Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/11-14/16

54 35 1 9 2
             

"All else equal, would you like the next president to be someone who puts an especially major focus on trying to improve race relations in this country, or someone who does not put an especially major focus on this issue?"

 
    A major
focus
Not a major
focus
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/11-14/16

83 12 5    
             

"All else equal, would you like the next president to be someone who supports a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants, or someone who opposes it?"

 
    Supports Opposes Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/11-14/16

60 34 6    
 

3/26-29/15

51 45 5    
             

"All else equal, would you like the next president to be someone who supports trade agreements between the United States and other countries, or someone who opposes them?"

 
    Supports Opposes Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/11-14/16

75 17 8    
             

"All else equal, would you like the next president to be someone who supports legal abortion in most cases, or someone who opposes it in most cases?"

 
    Supports Opposes Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/11-14/16

52 38 10    
             

"All else equal, would you like the next president to be someone who supports stricter gun control laws, or someone who opposes them?"

 
    Supports Opposes Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/11-14/16

57 39 4    

 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. July 8-12, 2016. N=1,358 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling each of the following issues: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump? Which candidate would do a better job handling [see below]?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton
Donald
Trump
Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

"Illegal immigration"

 

7/8-12/16

48 45 - 4 3
 

6/9-13/16

51 43 - 3 3
             

"As you may know, the FBI did not recommend criminal charges in Hillary Clinton's use of a personal email address and server for work while she was secretary of state. How much confidence do you have that the FBI investigation was independent and impartial: a lot, some, not much or none at all?"

 
    A lot Some Not much None
at all
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

7/8-12/16

26 22 17 30 4

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. July 6-7, 2016. N=519 adults nationwide. Margin of error 5.

             

"As you may have heard, FBI Director James Comey has recommended NOT charging Hillary Clinton with a crime for her use of personal email while secretary of state, saying she did not have any criminal intent. He also said Clinton was 'extremely careless' in her handling of classified information in her personal email. Do you approve or disapprove of Comey's recommendation that Clinton should NOT be charged with a crime?"

 
    Approve Disapprove Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/6-7/16

35 56 9    
             

"Has the outcome of this issue made you more likely to support Clinton for president, less likely, or won't it make any difference in your vote?"

 
    More
likely
Less
likely
No
difference
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

7/6-7/16

10 28 58 4  
             

"Does this issue make you worry about how Clinton might handle her responsibilities if she's elected president, or do you think it's not related to how she might handle her responsibilities if elected?"

 
    Worry Not
related
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/6-7/16

57 39 3    

 

Quinnipiac University. June 21-27, 2016. N=1,610 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.4.

             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job creating jobs: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?"

 
    Clinton Trump Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

6/21-27/16

40 52 8    
 

5/24-30/16

41 52 7    
             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job handling immigration issues: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?"

 
    Clinton Trump Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

6/21-27/16

50 45 5    
 

5/24-30/16

51 43 7    
             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would be most effective against ISIS: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?"

 
    Clinton Trump Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

6/21-27/16

39 52 9    
 

5/24-30/16

41 49 10    
             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job responding to an international crisis: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?"

 
    Clinton Trump Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

6/21-27/16

51 42 7    
 

5/24-30/16

53 40 7    
             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who would you trust more to make the right decision about sending American troops to fight overseas: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?"

 
    Clinton Trump Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

6/21-27/16

46 44 10    
 

5/24-30/16

46 44 10    
             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who would you trust more to make the right decisions about the use of nuclear weapons: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?"

 
    Clinton Trump Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

6/21-27/16

54 35 12    
 

5/24-30/16

55 33 12    
             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job getting things done in Washington: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?"

 
    Clinton Trump Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

6/21-27/16

46 43 11    
 

5/24-30/16

48 45 8    
             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job defending freedom of speech and freedom of the press in the U.S.: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?"

 
    Clinton Trump Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

6/21-27/16

47 45 8    
             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job reducing gun violence in the U.S.: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?"

 
    Clinton Trump Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

6/21-27/16

46 38 17    
             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think is more honest and trustworthy: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?"

 
    Clinton Trump Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

6/21-27/16

37 45 18    
 

5/24-30/16

39 44 17    
             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think is a stronger leader: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?"

 
    Clinton Trump Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

6/21-27/16

43 49 8    
 

5/24-30/16

45 49 7    
             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think is better prepared to be president: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?"

 
    Clinton Trump Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

6/21-27/16

58 33 9    
 

5/24-30/16

56 35 9    
             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think has higher moral standards: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?"

 
    Clinton Trump Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

6/21-27/16

46 37 17    
 

5/24-30/16

47 36 18    
             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think is more intelligent: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?"

 
    Clinton Trump Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

6/21-27/16

53 33 14    
 

5/24-30/16

51 37 11    
             

"In the wake of the recent Orlando shooting, Donald Trump has suggested that President Obama may sympathize with terrorist organizations such as ISIS. Do you agree or disagree with this idea?"

 
    Agree Disagree Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

ALL

29 65 6    
 

Republicans

55 33 11    
 

Democrats

4 94 1    
 

Independents

29 65 6    

 

Pew Research Center. June 15-26, 2016. Nationwide.

             

"As far as making progress on the important issues facing the country is concerned, does it really matter who wins the 2016 presidential election, or will things be pretty much the same regardless of who is elected president?" N=1,655 registered voters; margin of error 2.7

 
    It really
matters
who wins
Things will
be the same
regardless
Unsure/
Refused
   
    % % %    
 

6/15-26/16

74 22 4    
 

9/12-16/12

76 20 4    
 

6/7-17/12

63 34 3    
 

10/08

72 24 4    
 

9/08

70 24 6    
 

6/08

63 32 5    
 

6/04

67 29 4    
 

3/04

70 26 4    
 

6/00

50 44 6    
             

"Just in general, how well do you think Hillary Clinton understands the needs of people like you: very well, fairly well, not too well, or not at all well?" N=1,655 registered voters; margin of error 2.7

 
    Very
well
Fairly
well
Not too
well
Not at all
well
Unsure/
Refused
    % % % % %
 

6/15-26/16

17 30 19 32 1
             

"Just in general, how well do you think Donald Trump understands the needs of people like you: very well, fairly well, not too well, or not at all well?" N=1,655 registered voters; margin of error 2.7

 
    Very
well
Fairly
well
Not too
well
Not at all
well
Unsure/
Refused
    % % % % %
 

6/15-26/16

15 22 18 44 2
             

"And as I read a list of phrases, tell me if you think each phrase better describes Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton. [See below.] Does this better describe Trump or Clinton? ... What about [see below]?" Candidate names rotated. N=1,655 registered voters; margin of error 2.7

 
    Trump Clinton Neither
(vol.)
Both
equally
(vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
    % % % % %
 
 

"Honest and truthful"

 

6/15-26/16

40 37 20 1 2
 
 

"Would use good judgment in a crisis"

 

6/15-26/16

36 53 8 1 2
 
 

"Personally qualified to be president"

 

6/15-26/16

30 56 12 1 1
             

"Do you think Hillary Clinton would change the way things work in Washington for the better, would change the way things work in Washington for the worse, or don't you think she would change things much either way?" N=1,655 registered voters; margin of error 2.7

 
    Change things
for the better
Change things
for the worse
Wouldn't
change much
Unsure/
Refused
 
    % % % %  
 

6/15-26/16

20 25 53 1  
             

"Do you think Donald Trump would change the way things work in Washington for the better, would change the way things work in Washington for the worse, or don't you think he would change things much either way?" N=1,655 registered voters; margin of error 2.7

 
    Change things
for the better
Change things
for the worse
Wouldn't
change much
Unsure/
Refused
 
    % % % %  
 

6/15-26/16

33 44 21 2  
             

"Regardless of who you support, which one of the presidential candidates -- Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton -- do you think would do the better job of [see below]? ... And who do you think would do the better job of [see below]?" IF RESPONDENT MENTIONS ANYONE OTHER THAN TRUMP OR CLINTON, PROBE ONCE: "If you had to choose between Trump or Clinton?" Candidate names rotated. N=2,245 adults; margin of error 2.4

 
    Trump Clinton Neither
(vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
 
    % % % %  
 
 

"Improving economic conditions"

 

6/15-26/16

45 45 7 3  
 
 

"Dealing with gun policy"

 

6/15-26/16

42 47 8 3  
 
 

"Defending the country from future terrorist attacks"

 

6/15-26/16

46 43 8 3  
 
 

"Dealing with immigration"

 

6/15-26/16

39 53 5 2  
 
 

"Selecting justices to serve on the Supreme Court" Form 1 (N=1,120)

 

6/15-26/16

35 55 6 4  
 
 

"Reducing the influence of lobbyists and special interest groups in Washington" Form 1 (N=1,120)

 

6/15-26/16

44 35 15 6  
 
 

"Making wise decisions about foreign policy" Form 1 (N=1,120)

 

6/15-26/16

31 58 9 3  
 
 

"Dealing with race relations" Form 1 (N=1,120)

 

6/15-26/16

23 68 6 4  
 
 

"Managing the federal government" Form 2 (N=1,125)

 

6/15-26/16

39 50 8 3  
 
 

"Dealing with health care" Form 2 (N=1,125)

 

6/15-26/16

34 55 6 4  
 
 

"Making wise decisions about U.S. trade policies" Form 2 (N=1,125)

 

6/15-26/16

43 49 5 3  
 
 

"Reflecting your views on abortion" Form 2 (N=1,125)

 

6/15-26/16

28 54 8 10  

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. June 20-23, 2016. N=1,001 adults nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"Thinking about Hillary Clinton as president are you comfortable with this, or does it make you anxious?"

 
    Comfortable Anxious Unsure    
    % % %    
 

6/20-23/16

47 50 3    
             

"Thinking about Donald Trump as president are you comfortable with this, or does it make you anxious?"

 
    Comfortable Anxious Unsure    
    % % %    
 

6/20-23/16

27 70 3    
             

"Overall, do you feel Trump is standing up for your beliefs, or against them?"

 
    For them Against
them
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

6/20-23/16

36 56 7    
             

"Trump has made some controversial comments about women, minorities and Muslims. Do you think his comments indicate that he's unfairly biased against any of these groups, or do his comments not indicate unfair bias?"

 
    Indicate
unfair bias
Do not
indicate
unfair bias
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

6/20-23/16

66 29 6    
             

"Do you approve or disapprove of the way Clinton is handling questions about her use of personal e-mail while she was secretary of state?"

 
    Approve Disapprove Unsure    
    % % %    
 

6/20-23/16

34 56 9    
             

"Do you approve or disapprove of the way Trump is handling questions about Trump University, the real estate workshops his company conducted from 2005 to 2010?"

 
    Approve Disapprove Unsure    
    % % %    
 

6/20-23/16

19 59 22    
             

"Trump has said that a federal judge who's hearing a lawsuit involving Trump University might not be fair to him because the judge is of Mexican heritage. Do you think this is a racist comment, or does it not seem racist to you?"

 
    Racist Not racist Unsure    
    % % %    
 

6/20-23/16

68 28 4    
             

"Regardless of whether or not it's racist, do you think it's an appropriate comment, or inappropriate?"

 
    Appropriate Inappropriate Neither/
Both (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

6/20-23/16

11 85 1 3  
             

"Thinking about the mass shooting in Orlando last week by a man who pledged allegiance to the Islamic State, who do you think did a better job responding to the attacks overall: Clinton or Trump?"

 
    Clinton Trump Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

6/20-23/16

46 28 1 7 17

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). June 19-23, 2016. N=1,000 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"Putting aside for a moment the question of who each party's nominee might be, what is your preference for the outcome of this year's presidential election -- that a Democrat be elected president or that a Republican be elected president?"

 
    Democrat Republican Other
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

6/19-23/16

45 42 6 7  
 

5/15-19/16

47 43 4 6  
 

4/10-14/16

46 45 4 5  
 

3/3-6/16

46 42 4 8  
 

2/14-16/16

45 45 3 7  
 

1/9-13/16

46 43 5 6  
 

12/6-9/15

44 44 5 7  
 

10/25-29/15

43 44 6 7  
             

"Now I'd like you to compare Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump on a few issues. For each one, please tell me whether you think that Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump would be better on that issue. If you think that both would be equally good or that neither would be good on a particular item, just say so. Who do you think would be better when it comes to [see below]: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump, or do you think that both would be equally good or neither would be good?" Some items asked of half the sample.

 
    Donald
Trump
Hillary
Clinton
Equally
good
Neither Unsure
    % % % % %
 

"The gun issue"

 

6/19-23/16

43 35 2 18 2
 

"Now, let's compare Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton on a few personal characteristics. Who do you think would be better when it comes to [see below]: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump, or do you think that both would be equally good or neither would be good?"

 
    Donald
Trump
Hillary
Clinton
Equally
good
Neither Unsure
    % % % % %
 

"Being effective at getting things done"

 

6/19-23/16

42 39 7 11 1

 

CNN/ORC Poll. June 16-19, 2016. N=891 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me if you think Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump would better handle that issue if they were elected president. ..."

 
    Hillary
Clinton
Donald
Trump
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

"Issues related to women's equality" Version A (N=447)

 

6/16-19/16

69 26 5 -  
 
 

"Issues related to women's rights" Version B (N=444)

 

6/16-19/16

70 23 6 1  
 
 

"Issues related to gay and lesbian rights"

 

6/16-19/16

62 27 8 2  
             

"Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think each one applies more to Hillary Clinton or more to Donald Trump. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not support him or her. ..."

 
    Hillary
Clinton
Donald
Trump
Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

"Can handle the responsibilities of commander in chief"

 

6/16-19/16

51 39 2 7 1
 

3/17-20/16

55 36 2 7 -
 
 

"Shares your values"

 

6/16-19/16

44 38 1 17 1
 
 

"Exercises good judgment in a crisis"

 

6/16-19/16

48 35 1 13 2

 

CNBC All-America Economic Survey conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). June 11-13, 2016. N=801 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"Now focusing on just two of the candidates running for president -- Which candidate for president would you say has the better policies and approaches to help each of the following: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump? Which candidate has the better policies and approaches to help [see below], or would you say neither of these candidates has policies and approaches that would help on this?"

 
    Clinton Trump Neither Same
(vol.)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

"Lower-income people"

 

6/11-13/16

53 24 18 - 5
             

"The middle class"

 

6/11-13/16

43 32 17 2 6
             

"Small businesses"

 

6/11-13/16

36 39 17 1 7
             

"Increase your wages" Asked of employed respondents

 

6/11-13/16

35 28 27 2 8
             

"Your personal financial situation"

 

6/11-13/16

33 30 30 1 6
             

"Large corporations"

 

6/11-13/16

23 54 11 5 7
             

"The wealthy"

 

6/11-13/16

22 54 10 7 7
             

"And now thinking about some specific issues -- Which candidate would you say has the better policies and approaches for each of the following: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump? Which candidate has the better policies and approaches for [see below], or would you say neither of these candidates has policies and approaches that are good on this?"

 
    Clinton Trump Neither Same
(vol.)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

"Dealing with leaders of other countries"

 

6/11-13/16

55 26 14 - 5
             

"Health care"

 

6/11-13/16

47 29 17 1 6
             

"Trade with other countries"

 

6/11-13/16

44 35 14 1 6
             

"The immigration system"

 

6/11-13/16

42 36 16 1 5
             

"The overall U.S. economy"

 

6/11-13/16

39 38 17 1 5
             

"Dealing with terrorism and homeland security" Asked June 13 only, N=408

 

6/11-13/16

38 40 15 1 6
             

"Regulations on businesses"

 

6/11-13/16

34 41 15 1 9
             

"The budget deficit"

 

6/11-13/16

33 42 17 - 8
             

"Regulations on Wall Street and big banks"

 

6/11-13/16

29 38 22 - 11
             

"Improving the performance of the stock market"

 

6/11-13/16

26 42 19 1 12
             

"As you may know, Donald Trump has so far not made his tax returns public. Which of the following comes closer to your point of view about this? Donald Trump SHOULD release his tax returns because the public has a right to know about his financial affairs if he is going to be president. Donald Trump should NOT release his tax returns because his income and financial affairs are no one's business but his own."

 
    He should
release
He should
not release
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

6/11-13/16

62 31 7    

 

Bloomberg Politics Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. June 10-13, 2016. N=750 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.6.

             

"I'm going to read some phrases people often use to describe candidates. For each, please indicate whether you think the phrase better describes Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump. ... Would be a good guest in my home." Candidate options rotated.

 
    Clinton Trump Unsure    
    % % %    
 

6/10-13/16

52 34 14    

 

CBS News Poll. June 9-13, 2016. N=1,048 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.

             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote for president in 2016, who do you expect to finally win the 2016 presidential election: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton
Donald
Trump
Depends
(vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
 
    % % % %  
 

6/9-13/16

51 35 2 13  
             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling each of the following issues: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump? Which candidate would do a better job handling [see below]?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton
Donald
Trump
Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

"Gun policy"

 

6/9-13/16

46 45 - 3 5
             

"Do you think Hillary Clinton generally shows good judgment, or not?"

 
    Does Does not Mixed
(vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
 
    % % % %  
 

6/9-13/16

43 52 3 2  
             

"Do you think Hillary Clinton understands the needs and problems of people like yourself, or not?"

 
    Does Does not Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

6/9-13/16

45 53 2    
             

"Do you think Hillary Clinton says what she believes most of the time, or does she say what she thinks people want to hear?"

 
    What she
believes
What people
want to hear
Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

6/9-13/16

33 62 5    
             

"Does Hillary Clinton make you feel inspired about the future of the country, or not?"

 
    Does Does not Sometimes
(vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
 
    % % % %  
 

6/9-13/16

33 63 2 2  
             

"If Hillary Clinton eventually becomes president, do you think her presidency would bring different groups of Americans together, or do you think it would divide them?"

 
    Bring
together
Divide Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

6/9-13/16

41 51 8    
             

"Do you think Donald Trump generally shows good judgment, or not?"

 
    Does Does not Mixed
(vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
 
    % % % %  
 

6/9-13/16

25 69 3 3  
             

"Do you think Donald Trump understands the needs and problems of people like yourself, or not?"

 
    Does Does not Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

6/9-13/16

31 66 3    
             

"Do you think Donald Trump says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear?"

 
    What he
believes
What people
want to hear
Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

6/9-13/16

56 39 5    
             

"Does Donald Trump make you feel inspired about the future of the country, or not?"

 
    Does Does not Sometimes
(vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
 
    % % % %  
 

6/9-13/16

28 68 2 2  
             

"If Donald Trump eventually becomes president, do you think his presidency would bring different groups of Americans together, or do you think it would divide them?"

 
    Bring
together
Divide Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

6/9-13/16

25 68 7    
             

"What do you think Republican leaders should do now? Support Donald Trump, even if they disagree with him on important issues. OR, Not support Donald Trump, if they disagree with him on important issues."

 
    Support
Trump
Not support
Trump
Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

ALL

42 53 5    
 

Republicans

74 22 4    
 

Democrats

18 77 5    
 

Independents

41 54 5    

 

Quinnipiac University. May 24-30, 2016. N=1,561 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.5.

             

"If the candidates are Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, who do you think will win the presidential election this year?"

 
    Clinton Trump Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

5/24-30/16

46 43 12    
             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think is more inspiring: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?"

 
    Clinton Trump Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

5/24-30/16

39 48 13    
             

"Do you think Donald Trump's refusal to release his tax returns is a legitimate issue in this year's presidential election or not?"

 
    Legitimate Not
legitimate
Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

5/24-30/16

46 51 3    

 

Gallup Poll. May 18-22, 2016. N=1,530 adults nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"Regardless of which presidential candidate you support, please tell me if you think Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump would better handle each of the following issues. How about ... ?"

 
    Clinton Trump Same (vol.) Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

"The treatment of minority groups in this country"

 

5/18-22/16

67 29 1 3  
             

"Climate change"

 

5/18-22/16

66 28 2 4  
             

"Social issues such as gay marriage and abortion"

 

5/18-22/16

64 31 2 3  
             

"Education"

 

5/18-22/16

61 35 1 3  
             

"Foreign affairs"

 

5/18-22/16

59 38 1 3  
             

"Health care and the Affordable Care Act"

 

5/18-22/16

56 40 1 3  
             

"Immigration"

 

5/18-22/16

52 44 1 3  
             

"The distribution of income and wealth in the U.S."

 

5/18-22/16

51 43 2 4  
             

"Trade with other nations"

 

5/18-22/16

48 49 1 3  
             

"Terrorism and national security"

 

5/18-22/16

46 50 2 2  
             

"Gun policy"

 

5/18-22/16

45 50 1 3  
             

"Employment and jobs"

 

5/18-22/16

45 52 1 2  
             

"Taxes"

 

5/18-22/16

44 52 1 3  
             

"The economy"

 

5/18-22/16

43 53 1 3  
             

"Government regulation of Wall Street and banks"

 

5/18-22/16

42 53 2 3  
             

"The size and efficiency of the federal government"

 

5/18-22/16

41 55 1 3  
             

"The federal budget deficit"

 

5/18-22/16

39 57 1 3  

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. May 16-19, 2016. N=1,005 adults nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"Regardless of whom you support, if Clinton and Trump are the nominees for president, who would you expect to win: Clinton or Trump?" Options rotated

 
    Clinton Trump Other
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

5/16-19/16

50 40 1 9  
 

3/3-6/16

59 36 1 4  
 

1/21-24/16

54 42 1 3  
             

"Who do you trust more to handle issues of special concern to women: Clinton or Trump?" Options rotated. Half sample B.

 
    Clinton Trump Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

5/16-19/16

66 23 1 8 2
             

"Who do you trust more to handle international relations: Clinton or Trump?" Options rotated. Half sample B.

 
    Clinton Trump Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

5/16-19/16

56 33 1 7 2
             

"Who do you think would do more to advance the economic interests of working class people: Clinton or Trump?" Options rotated

 
    Clinton Trump Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

5/16-19/16

51 41 - 6 2
             

"Who do you think would do more to advance the economic interests of middle class people: Clinton or Trump?" Options rotated

 
    Clinton Trump Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

5/16-19/16

50 40 1 7 3
             

"Who do you think would do more to advance the economic interests of wealthy people: Clinton or Trump?" Options rotated

 
    Clinton Trump Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

5/16-19/16

25 65 5 2 3
             

"All major presidential candidates in the last 40 years have publicly released their tax returns before the election. Trump has said he may not do this. Do you think Trump should release his tax returns before the November election, or is it OK if he does not release his tax returns?"

 
    He should
release
OK if he does
not release
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

5/16-19/16

64 31 5    

 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. May 13-17, 2016. N=1,109 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3. Among registered voters, except where noted.

             

"Regardless of whom you support, who do you expect to finally win the Democratic nomination for president in 2016: [see below]?" Options rotated
N=371 Democratic primary voters; margin of error 6

 
    Hillary
Clinton
Bernie
Sanders
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
 
    % % % %  
 

5/13-17/16

83 14 1 2  
 

4/8-12/16

70 23 - 7  
 

3/17-20/16

72 23 - 5  
             

"Which comes closer to your opinion about the race for the Democratic nomination? The long race for the nomination will help the Democrats in November, because the nominee will have been tested and better prepared for the general election. OR, The long race for the nomination will hurt the Democrats in November, because the Democratic candidates have been criticizing each other and that will weaken them for the general election." N=371 Democratic primary voters; margin of error 6

 
    Help Hurt No effect
(vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
 
    % % % %  
 

5/13-17/16

59 34 2 5  
             

"Do you think the process for selecting a Democratic presidential nominee this year has been fair, or not fair?" N=371 Democratic primary voters; margin of error 6

 
    Fair Not fair Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

5/13-17/16

68 29 2    
             

"Do you think the process for selecting a Republican presidential nominee this year has been fair, or not fair?" N=379 Republican primary voters

 
    Fair Not fair Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

5/13-17/16

61 30 9    
             

"If Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the two parties' candidates for the presidency in November, would you be satisfied choosing between them or would you like other choices?"

 
    Would be
satisfied
Would like
other choices
Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

5/13-17/16

46 52 1    
             

"Do you think of Hillary Clinton as more of a liberal, moderate, or a conservative?"

 
    Liberal Moderate Conservative Unsure/
No answer
 
    % % % %  
 

5/13-17/16

51 29 12 7  
             

"If Hillary Clinton is elected president, do you think that will make the United States' image in the world better, make it worse, or will it have no effect on the United States' image in the world?"

 
    Better Worse No effect Unsure/
No answer
 
    % % % %  
 

5/13-17/16

27 35 34 5  
             

"Do you think of Donald Trump as more of a liberal, moderate, or a conservative?"

 
    Liberal Moderate Conservative Unsure/
No answer
 
    % % % %  
 

5/13-17/16

16 37 34 13  
             

"If Donald Trump is elected president, do you think that will make the United States' image in the world better, make it worse, or will it have no effect on the United States' image in the world?"

 
    Better Worse No effect Unsure/
No answer
 
    % % % %  
 

5/13-17/16

25 61 10 4  
             

"Do you think Donald Trump will be able to unite the Republican Party, or not?"

 
    Will Will not Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

5/13-17/16

32 63 6    
             

"If Hillary Clinton is the Democratic nominee, do you think she will be able to unite the Democratic Party, or not?"

 
    Will Will not Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

5/13-17/16

67 29 4    
             

"If Bernie Sanders is the Democratic nominee, do you think he will be able to unite the Democratic Party, or not?"

 
    Will Will not Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

5/13-17/16

55 38 6    
             

"Do you think it is necessary for presidential candidates to publicly release their tax returns, or don't you think that's necessary?"

 
    Is
necessary
Is not
necessary
Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

5/13-17/16

59 38 3    

 

CNN/ORC Poll. April 28-May 1, 2016. N=890 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"Just your best guess -- Regardless of who you support, which Democratic candidate do you think is most likely to win the Democratic nomination for president: [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    4/28 -
5/1/16
2/24-27/16      
    % %      
 

Hillary Clinton

85 70      
 

Bernie Sanders

12 25      
 

Someone else (vol.)

1 2      
 

Unsure

2 3      
             

"Just your best guess -- Regardless of who you support, which Republican candidate do you think is most likely to win the Republican nomination for president next [sic] year: [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    4/28 -
5/1/16
2/24-27/16      
    % %      
 

Donald Trump

84 70      
 

Ted Cruz

10 11      
 

John Kasich

3 1      
 

Someone else (vol.)

1 2      
 

Unsure

1 2      
 

Marco Rubio

n/a 13      
 

Ben Carson

n/a 2      
             

"Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me if you think Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump would better handle that issue if they were elected president. ..."

 
    Hillary
Clinton
Donald
Trump
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

"Climate change"

 

4/28 - 5/1/16

63 30 5 2  
 
 

"Education"

 

4/28 - 5/1/16

61 34 4 1  

 

George Washington University Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). April 17-20, 2016. N=506 likely voters nationwide.

             

"Now, thinking about issues facing this country, I am going to read you a list of issues. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, whether you have more confidence in Donald Trump, OR Hillary Clinton to deal with this issue. ..."

 
    Donald
Trump
Hillary
Clinton
Both
equal (vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

"Caring about people like you"

 

4/17-20/16

35 53 1 10 1

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). April 10-14, 2016. N=1,000 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"Next, I'm going to mention a number of people running for president in 2016. For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for president in 2016. If you don't know the name, please just say so. ..."

 
    Yes,
could see
No,
could not
Don't
know name
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

Bernie Sanders

 

4/10-14/16

49 48 1 2  
 
 

Hillary Clinton

 

4/10-14/16

41 58 - 1  
 
 

John Kasich

 

4/10-14/16

41 47 10 2  
 
 

Ted Cruz

 

4/10-14/16

35 61 2 2  
 
 

Donald Trump

 

4/10-14/16

31 68 - 1  

 

CBS News Poll. April 8-12, 2016. Primary voters nationwide.

             

"Which one of these candidates do you trust most to deal with terrorism and national security: [see below]?" N=359 Democratic primary voters; margin of error 6.

 
    %        
 

Hillary Clinton

65        
 

Bernie Sanders

29        
 

Neither (vol.)

2        
 

Unsure/No answer

3        
             

"Which one of these candidates do you trust most to deal with the economy and unemployment: [see below]?" N=359 Democratic primary voters; margin of error 6.

 
    %        
 

Hillary Clinton

49        
 

Bernie Sanders

44        
 

Neither (vol.)

3        
 

Unsure/No answer

3        
             

"Which one of these candidates do you trust most to deal with foreign policy: [see below]?" N=359 Democratic primary voters; margin of error 6.

 
    %        
 

Hillary Clinton

64        
 

Bernie Sanders

32        
 

Neither (vol.)

2        
 

Unsure/No answer

1        
             

"Which one of these candidates do you trust most to deal with income inequality: [see below]?" N=359 Democratic primary voters; margin of error 6.

 
    %        
 

Hillary Clinton

41        
 

Bernie Sanders

56        
 

Neither (vol.)

1        
 

Unsure/No answer

1        
             

"Which one of these candidates do you trust most to make the right decisions about gun policy: [see below]?" N=359 Democratic primary voters; margin of error 6.

 
    %        
 

Hillary Clinton

48        
 

Bernie Sanders

43        
 

Neither (vol.)

3        
 

Unsure/No answer

6        
             

"Which one of these candidates do you trust most to make the right decisions when it comes to regulating large banks and financial institutions: [see below]?" N=359 Democratic primary voters; margin of error 6.

 
    %        
 

Hillary Clinton

39        
 

Bernie Sanders

57        
 

Neither (vol.)

2        
 

Unsure/No answer

2        
             

"Regardless of whom you support, who do you expect to finally win the Republican nomination for president in 2016: [see below]?" Options rotated
N=399 Republican primary voters; margin of error 6

 
    4/8-12/16 3/17-20/16      
    % %      
 

Donald Trump

60 77      
 

Ted Cruz

22 10      
 

John Kasich

2 4      
 

None of these (vol.)

3 1      
 

Unsure/No answer

12 8      

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. March 29-31, 2016. Voters nationwide.

             

Democratic Presidential Preference, including those who are leaning toward a candidate:
N=497 registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or lean Democratic; margin of error 4.4

 
    %        
 

Bernie Sanders

49        
 

Hillary Clinton

47        
 

Other

1        
 

Unsure

4        
             
 

Asked of Sanders supporters (N=238; margin of error 6.4):
"If Hillary Clinton becomes the Democratic nominee for president, will you support her or not support her in the general election in November?"

 
    Will
support her
Will not
support her
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/29-31/16

69 25 6    
             
 

Asked of Clinton supporters (N=225; margin of error 6.5):
"If Bernie Sanders becomes the Democratic nominee for president, will you support him or not support him in the general election in November?"

 
    Will
support him
Will not
support him
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/29-31/16

79 14 7    
 

"If Donald Trump has won the most delegates going into the Republican convention but not enough to be nominated on the convention's first ballot, do you think the Republican Party should nominate Donald Trump for president, or the Republican Party should nominate a different person for president?" N=444 registered voters who are Republicans or lean Republican; margin of error 4.7

 
    Donald
Trump
A different
person
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/29-31/16

52 40 8    
             

"If the Republican Party decides to nominate someone other than Donald Trump for president, should the nominee be someone who ran in the primaries this year, or is it acceptable to you for the nominee to be a Republican who did not run in the primaries this year?" N=444 registered voters who are Republicans or lean Republican; margin of error 4.7

 
    Someone
who ran in
primaries
OK if did
not run in
primaries
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/29-31/16

65 29 6    

 

Bloomberg Politics Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. March 19-22, 2016. N=366 participants and likely participants in the 2016 Republican primaries and caucuses nationwide. Margin of error 5.1.

             

"Which do you think is the better way to decide the Republican nomination? The candidate with the most delegates from the state primaries and caucuses should win, even if he does not get a majority. If no candidate gets a majority, the delegates at the national convention in Cleveland should decide who will represent the Republican Party, with no restrictions on whom they can name."

 
    Most delegates
from primaries
and caucuses
Convention
decides with
no restrictions
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/19-22/16

63 33 4    
             

"I have some questions comparing just Ted Cruz and Donald Trump. ..."

 
    Ted Cruz Donald Trump Both (vol.) Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

"Which one do you think embodies traditional moral values?"

 

3/19-22/16

64 20 2 13  
 
 

"Which one do you think has the better temperament to be president?"

 

3/19-22/16

63 27 1 9  
 
 

"Is the most honest and trustworthy?"

 

3/19-22/16

45 36 2 18  
 
 

"Which one do you think cares the most about people like you?"

 

3/19-22/16

42 43 1 14  
 
 

"Would work most effectively with Congress?"

 

3/19-22/16

40 50 1 9  
 
 

"Which one do you think can best combat Islamic terrorism?"

 

3/19-22/16

33 55 1 11  
 
 

"Which one do you think would do more to solve the illegal immigration problem?"

 

3/19-22/16

28 62 1 9  
 
 

"Knows the most about how to get things done?"

 

3/19-22/16

28 65 1 6  
 
 

"Which one do you think would be better at managing the economy?"

 

3/19-22/16

28 65 - 7  
 
 

"Which one do you think has the best chance of beating Hillary Clinton?"

 

3/19-22/16

26 66 2 6  

 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. March 17-20, 2016. N=1,058 registered voters nationwide.

             

"Would you describe the Republican Party today as united or divided?" N=362 Republican primary voters; margin of error 6

 
    United Divided Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

3/17-20/16

10 88 2    
             

"Do you think the overall tone of the Republican presidential campaign has been more positive, more negative, or about the same as past Republican presidential campaigns?" N=362 Republican primary voters; margin of error 6

 
    More
positive
More
negative
About
the same
Unsure/
No answer
 
    % % % %  
 

3/17-20/16

10 58 30 2  
             

"So far, do you think the Republican presidential campaign has made you feel MOSTLY proud of the Republican Party or MOSTLY embarrassed by the Republican Party?" N=362 Republican primary voters; margin of error 6

 
    Mostly
proud
Mostly
embarrassed
Neither/
Mixed (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
 
    % % % %  
 

3/17-20/16

27 60 9 3  
             

"If none of the Republican presidential candidates receive a majority of the party's delegates, it is possible that the party's nominee could be chosen at the Republican Convention in July, and that the nominee might not be the candidate who has earned the most delegates in the state primaries and caucuses. If this happens, do you think this would be a good thing for the Republican Party, a bad thing for the Republican Party, or will it not make much of a difference either way?" N=362 Republican primary voters; margin of error 6

 
    A good
thing
A bad
thing
Not much
difference
Depends on
nominee (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

3/17-20/16

14 65 16 2 2
             

"Would you describe the Democratic Party today as united or divided?" N=388 Democratic primary voters; margin of error 6

 
    United Divided Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

3/17-20/16

62 33 4    
             

"Do you think the overall tone of the Democratic presidential campaign has been more positive, more negative, or about the same as past Democratic presidential campaigns?" N=388 Democratic primary voters; margin of error 6

 
    More
positive
More
negative
About
the same
Unsure/
No answer
 
    % % % %  
 

3/17-20/16

40 9 48 3  
             

"So far, do you think the Democratic presidential campaign has made you feel MOSTLY proud of the Democratic Party or MOSTLY embarrassed by the Democratic Party?" N=388 Democratic primary voters; margin of error 6

 
    Mostly
proud
Mostly
embarrassed
Neither/
Mixed (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
 
    % % % %  
 

3/17-20/16

82 13 4 1  
             

"From what you've heard or read, generally, would you describe Hillary Clinton's policy proposals as realistic or not realistic?" N=388 Democratic primary voters; margin of error 6

 
    Realistic Not
realistic
Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

3/17-20/16

78 17 4    
 

2/12-16/16

81 14 5    
             

"From what you've heard or read, generally, would you describe Bernie Sanders' policy proposals as realistic or not realistic?" N=388 Democratic primary voters; margin of error 6

 
    Realistic Not
realistic
Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

3/17-20/16

56 38 6    
 

2/12-16/16

51 41 9    
             

"In general, who do you think is more to blame for the incidents of violence that have occurred at some political rallies for Donald Trump: the people who are protesting against Donald Trump at the rallies, the people who are supporting Donald Trump at the rallies, or are both about equally to blame?" N=1,058 registered voters; margin of error 4

 
    Protestors Supporters Both about
equally
Depends/
Neither (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

3/17-20/16

29 23 43 1 3
             

"Do you approve or disapprove of how Donald Trump is handling the violence at some of his rallies?" N=1,058 registered voters; margin of error 4

 
    Approve Disapprove Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

3/17-20/16

26 64 10    

 

CNN/ORC Poll. March 17-20, 2016. N=397 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 5.

             

"If Donald Trump wins the Republican nomination for president, would you like to see another Republican run for president as a third party candidate or not?"

 
    Yes,
would
No,
would not
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/17-20/16

35 65 1    
             

"Now, I have a few questions about the Republican Party's nomination process. As you may know, in order to win the Republican Party's nomination for president, a candidate must win the support of a majority of the delegates to the Party's national convention, which will be held in July. If no candidate wins a majority of delegates through the primary and caucus process, as reflected in the first round of voting at the convention, delegates will have additional rounds of voting until a single candidate wins majority support.

"If no candidate has won a majority of the delegates after the first round of voting, do you think the delegates should vote for the candidate with the most support in the primaries and caucuses, or the person they feel would be the best candidate?" Options rotated

 
    Candidate with
most primary
support
The best
candidate
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/17-20/16

60 38 2    
             

"John Kasich has not won enough delegates to be able to win a majority through the primary and caucus process, and could only win the nomination if no one else wins a majority of delegates through the primaries and caucuses. Do you think Kasich should remain in the race or drop out?"

 
    Remain in
the race
Drop out Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/17-20/16

27 70 3    
             

"If none of the current Republican candidates wins a majority of the delegates before the convention, would you rather see the Republican Party nominate one of the three remaining Republican candidates or would you rather see the Party nominate someone else?"

 
    One of three
remaining
candidates
Someone
else
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/17-20/16

84 15 1    

 

Monmouth University Poll. March 17-20, 2016. N=353 registered voters who are Republicans or lean Republican nationwide. Margin of error 5.2.

             

"Donald Trump may get the most delegates during the primaries, but not enough to win the nomination on the first round of balloting at the national convention. It is possible that a different candidate could win the nomination in later rounds of balloting. If this is the case, would you rather see the Republican Party get behind Trump, or would you rather see the convention nominate a different person for president?"

 
    Get behind
Trump
A different
person
Depends on
other person
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

3/17-20/16

54 34 5 7  

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. March 3-6, 2016. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"Do you think Hillary Clinton understands the problems of people like you, or not?"

 
    Does Does not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/3-6/16

49 50 1    
 

9/7-10/15

46 51 4    
             

"Do you think Hillary Clinton has the right experience to be president, or not?"

 
    Does Does not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/3-6/16

66 33 1    
             

"Do you think Donald Trump understands the problems of people like you, or not?"

 
    Does Does not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/3-6/16

26 72 2    
 

9/7-10/15

29 67 4    
             

"Do you think Donald Trump has the right experience to be president, or not?"

 
    Does Does not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/3-6/16

26 73 2    
             

"Do you think Ted Cruz is honest and trustworthy, or not?"

 
    Is Is not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/3-6/16

42 46 12    
             

"Do you think Ted Cruz understands the problems of people like you, or not?"

 
    Does Does not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/3-6/16

41 50 9    
             

"Do you think Ted Cruz has the right experience to be president, or not?"

 
    Does Does not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/3-6/16

43 47 10    
             

"Do you think Ted Cruz has the kind of personality and temperament it takes to serve effectively as president, or not?"

 
    Does Does not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/3-6/16

43 49 9    
             

"Do you think Marco Rubio is honest and trustworthy, or not?"

 
    Is Is not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/3-6/16

47 39 14    
             

"Do you think Marco Rubio understands the problems of people like you, or not?"

 
    Does Does not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/3-6/16

43 48 9    
             

"Do you think Marco Rubio has the right experience to be president, or not?"

 
    Does Does not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/3-6/16

35 54 11    
             

"Do you think Marco Rubio has the kind of personality and temperament it takes to serve effectively as president, or not?"

 
    Does Does not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/3-6/16

47 42 10    

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). March 3-6, 2016. N=410 Democratic primary voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.8.

             

"Next, I'm going to mention a number of people running for president in 2016. For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for president in 2016. If you don't know the name, please just say so. ..."
2/16 & earlier: "Next, I'm going to mention a number of people who are seeking the Democratic nomination for president in 2016. For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for the Democratic nomination for president in 2016. If you don't know the name, please just say so. ..."

 
    Yes,
could see
No,
could not
Don't
know name
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

Hillary Clinton

 

3/3-6/16

82 17 - 1  
 

2/14-16/16

77 22 - 1  
 

1/9-13/16

79 18 - 3  
 

12/6-9/15

82 17 - 1  
 

10/25-29/15

85 13 - 2  
 

10/15-18/15

81 17 - 2  
 

9/20-24/15

76 21 - 3  
 

6/14-18/15

92 8 - -  
 

3/1-5/15

86 13 - 1  
 
 

Bernie Sanders

 

3/3-6/16

72 26 1 1  
 

2/14-16/16

66 29 3 2  
 

1/9-13/16

66 25 6 3  
 

12/6-9/15

65 28 6 1  
 

10/25-29/15

61 28 7 4  
 

10/15-18/15

64 25 8 3  
 

9/20-24/15

62 24 10 4  
 

6/14-18/15

40 32 23 5  
 

3/1-5/15

21 21 54 4  

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Feb. 14-16, 2016. N=400 Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.9.

             

"Next, I'm going to mention a number of people who are seeking the Republican nomination for president. For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for the Republican nomination for president. If you don't know the name, please just say so. ..."

 
    Yes,
could see
No,
could not
Don't
know name
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

Ted Cruz

 

2/14-16/16

65 33 1 1  
 

1/9-13/16

71 25 2 2  
 

12/6-9/15

67 27 4 2  
 

10/25-29/15

57 34 4 5  
 

10/15-18/15

48 41 5 6  
 

9/20-24/15

45 44 8 3  
 

7/26-30/15

52 38 7 3  
 

6/14-18/15

51 31 14 4  
 

4/26-30/15

57 28 12 3  
 

3/1-5/15

40 38 18 4  
 
 

Donald Trump

 

2/14-16/16

56 42 - 2  
 

1/9-13/16

65 34 - 1  
 

12/6-9/15

58 40 - 2  
 

10/25-29/15

60 37 - 3  
 

10/15-18/15

59 36 1 4  
 

9/20-24/15

47 52 - 1  
 

7/26-30/15

47 49 - 4  
 

6/14-18/15

32 66 - 2  
 

3/1-5/15

23 74 1 2  
 
 

Marco Rubio

 

2/14-16/16

70 28 1 1  
 

1/9-13/16

67 28 4 1  
 

12/6-9/15

64 29 4 3  
 

3/1-5/15

56 26 14 4  
 
 

John Kasich

 

2/14-16/16

49 41 7 3  
 

1/9-13/16

28 52 18 2  
 

12/6-9/15

22 53 22 3  
 
 

Ben Carson

 

2/14-16/16

62 35 2 1  
 

1/9-13/16

60 39 1 -  
 

3/1-5/15

41 18 38 3  
 
 

Jeb Bush

 

2/14-16/16

46 53 - 1  
 

1/9-13/16

42 55 1 2  
 

3/1-5/15

49 42 4 5  

 

CBS News Poll. Feb. 12-16, 2016. N=549 Democratic primary voters nationwide. Margin of error 5.

             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2016, which one of these Democratic presidential candidates do you trust most to appoint justices to the U.S. Supreme Court? ..." Asked Feb. 14-16, 2016, only. N=264 Democratic primary voters.

 
    Hillary
Clinton
Bernie
Sanders
Neither Unsure/
No answer
 
    % % % %  
 

2/14-16/16

48 42 3 7  
             

"Would you favor or oppose a single-payer health care system, in which all Americans would get their health insurance from one government plan that is financed by taxes?"

 
    Favor Oppose Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

2/12-16/16

65 27 8    
             

"Do you have a positive or negative view of socialism?"

 
    Positive Negative Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

2/12-16/16

60 21 19    

 

Monmouth University Poll. Jan. 15-18, 2016. N=385 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 5.

             

"The Constitution states that only a natural born citizen may serve as president of the United States.

"Do you believe that Ted Cruz is a natural born citizen, or not?"

 
    Is natural
born citizen
Is not natural
born citizen
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

1/15-18/16

65 12 24    
             

"Do you believe that Donald Trump is a natural born citizen, or not?"

 
    Is natural
born citizen
Is not natural
born citizen
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

1/15-18/16

91 2 7    

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Jan. 9-13, 2016. N=400 Democratic primary voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.9.

             

"Next, I'm going to mention a number of people who are seeking the Democratic nomination for president in 2016. For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for the Democratic nomination for president in 2016. If you don't know the name, please just say so. . . ."

 
    Yes,
could see
No,
could not
Don't
know name
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

Martin O'Malley

 

1/9-13/16

22 51 24 3  
 

12/6-9/15

19 47 31 3  
 

10/25-29/15

18 49 31 2  
 

10/15-18/15

13 49 33 5  
 

9/20-24/15

10 39 49 2  
 

6/14-18/15

12 28 58 2  
 

3/1-5/15

11 20 67 2  

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Jan. 9-13, 2016. N=400 Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.9.

             

"Next, I'm going to mention a number of people who are seeking the Republican nomination for president in 2016. For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for the Republican nomination for president in 2016. If you don't know the name, please just say so. . . ."

 
    Yes,
could see
No,
could not
Don't
know name
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

Chris Christie

 

1/9-13/16

48 45 5 2  
 

3/1-5/15

32 57 7 4  

 

Quinnipiac University. Dec. 16-20, 2015. N=1,140 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.9.

             

"Would you feel proud to have Donald Trump as president, embarrassed to have Donald Trump as president, or wouldn't you feel either of these ways?"

 
    Proud Embarrassed Neither Unsure/
No answer
 
    % % % %  
 

ALL

23 50 24 3  
 

Republicans

44 20 32 4  
 

Democrats

4 82 12 2  
 

Independents

20 47 29 4  
             

"Would you feel proud to have Hillary Clinton as president, embarrassed to have Hillary Clinton as president, or wouldn't you feel either of these ways?"

 
    Proud Embarrassed Neither Unsure/
No answer
 
    % % % %  
 

ALL

33 35 29 3  
 

Republicans

5 72 21 2  
 

Democrats

72 5 23 1  
 

Independents

22 32 41 5  

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Dec. 10-13, 2015. N=403 Republicans and independents who lean Republican nationwide. Margin of error 5.5.

             

"Again, thinking about Trump, Carson, Bush, Rubio and Cruz -- who do you trust more to handle immigration issues?" Options rotated

 
    12/10-13/15 11/16-19/15      
    % %      
 

Donald Trump

50 45      
 

Marco Rubio

14 18      
 

Jeb Bush

11 13      
 

Ben Carson

10 10      
 

Ted Cruz

10 9      
 

None of them (vol.)

1 -      
 

Unsure

5 4      
             

"Again, thinking about Trump, Carson, Bush, Rubio and Cruz -- who do you trust more to handle the threat of terrorism?" Options rotated

 
    12/10-13/15 11/16-19/15      
    % %      
 

Donald Trump

50 42      
 

Jeb Bush

14 18      
 

Ted Cruz

12 9      
 

Ben Carson

9 10      
 

Marco Rubio

9 13      
 

All of them (vol.)

- 1      
 

None of them (vol.)

1 1      
 

Unsure

3 6      

 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. Dec. 4-8, 2015. N=1,053 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.

             

"Regardless of who you support, who do you expect to finally win the Republican nomination for president in 2016: [see below]?" Options rotated. N=431 Republican primary voters, margin of error 6.

 
    GOP primary
voters
       
    %        
 

Donald Trump

51        
 

Ted Cruz

10        
 

Marco Rubio

9        
 

Ben Carson

7        
 

Jeb Bush

5        
 

Chris Christie

1        
 

John Kasich

1        
 

Carly Fiorina

-        
 

Mike Huckabee

-        
 

George Pataki

-        
 

Rand Paul

-        
 

Jim Gilmore

-        
 

None of these (vol.)

1        
 

Unsure/No answer

15        
             

"Would you prefer the Republican nominee for president be someone whose experience has been mostly in politics and government, or someone whose experience has been mostly in the business or private sector, or doesn't it matter to you?" N=431 Republican primary voters, margin of error 6

 
    GOP primary voters  
 
    Politics,
government
Business,
private sector
Doesn't
matter
Unsure/
No answer
 
    % % % %  
 

12/4-8/15

13 43 42 2  
             

"If Donald Trump is elected as president, what best describes your feelings about what he will do in office: excited, optimistic but not excited, concerned but not scared, or scared?"

 
    Excited Optimistic,
not excited
Concerned,
not scared
Scared Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

12/4-8/15

11 24 24 40 2
             

"If Hillary Clinton is elected as president, what best describes your feelings about what she will do in office: excited, optimistic but not excited, concerned but not scared, or scared?"

 
    Excited Optimistic,
not excited
Concerned,
not scared
Scared Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

12/4-8/15

9 33 23 34 1

 

MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist Poll. Nov. 15-Dec. 2, 2015. N=2,360 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support: the Democratic candidate, or the Republican candidate?"

 
    Democratic
candidate
Republican
candidate
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

11/15 - 12/2/15

45 45 10    

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Nov. 27-Dec. 1, 2015. N=445 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 4.5.

             

"Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle the economy?"

 
    11/27 -
12/1/15
9/17-19/15      
    % %      
 

Donald Trump

55 44      
 

Ted Cruz

9 3      
 

Ben Carson

7 5      
 

Marco Rubio

7 10      
 

Carly Fiorina

5 11      
 

Jeb Bush

3 8      
 

Chris Christie

3 3      
 

Rand Paul

3 2      
 

Other

3 7      
 

No one (vol.)

3 2      
 

Unsure

2 2      
             

"Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle illegal immigration?"

 
    11/27 -
12/1/15
9/17-19/15      
    % %      
 

Donald Trump

48 47      
 

Marco Rubio

14 15      
 

Ted Cruz

11 5      
 

Ben Carson

9 6      
 

Jeb Bush

4 9      
 

Chris Christie

4 1      
 

Other

3 11      
 

No one (vol.)

1 3      
 

Unsure

4 5      
             

"Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle foreign policy?"

 
    11/27 -
12/1/15
9/17-19/15      
    % %      
 

Donald Trump

30 22      
 

Ted Cruz

17 7      
 

Marco Rubio

14 17      
 

Ben Carson

8 7      
 

Jeb Bush

7 11      
 

Chris Christie

5 3      
 

Carly Fiorina

3 8      
 

Rand Paul

3 5      
 

Other

6 10      
 

No one (vol.)

3 3      
 

Unsure

4 7      
             

"Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle ISIS?"

 
    %        
 

Donald Trump

46        
 

Ted Cruz

15        
 

Marco Rubio

8        
 

Ben Carson

7        
 

Jeb Bush

6        
 

Chris Christie

4        
 

Other

6        
 

No one (vol.)

4        
 

Unsure

4        
             

"Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think has the best chance of winning in the general election next November?"

 
    %        
 

Donald Trump

52        
 

Marco Rubio

15        
 

Ted Cruz

11        
 

Ben Carson

10        
 

Jeb Bush

3        
 

Other

4        
 

No one (vol.)

2        
 

Unsure

2        

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Nov. 16-19. N=1,004 adults nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"Who would you trust more to handle the threat of terrorism: Hillary Clinton or [see below]?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton
Jeb Bush Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

11/16-19/15

46 43 7 3  
             
    Hillary
Clinton
Marco
Rubio
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

11/16-19/15

47 43 5 5  
             
    Hillary
Clinton
Donald
Trump
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

11/16-19/15

50 42 6 1  
             
    Hillary
Clinton
Ben
Carson
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

11/16-19/15

49 40 6 4  
             
    Hillary
Clinton
Ted Cruz Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

11/16-19/15

48 40 6 6  

 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. Nov. 6-10, 2015. N=418 Democratic primary voters nationwide. Margin of error 6.

             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2016, which one of these Democratic presidential candidates do you think has the best chance of winning the general election in November 2016: [see below]?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton
Bernie
Sanders
Martin
O'Malley
Unsure/
No answer
 
    % % % %  
 

11/6-10/15

76 18 3 3  
             

"How confident are you in Hillary Clinton's ability to make the right decisions about the economy? Are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?"

 
    Very
confident
Somewhat
confident
Not too
confident
Not at all
confident
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

11/6-10/15

39 45 8 8 -
             

"How confident are you in Hillary Clinton's ability to handle an international crisis? Are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?"

 
    Very
confident
Somewhat
confident
Not too
confident
Not at all
confident
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

11/6-10/15

53 30 10 7 -
             

"How confident are you in Bernie Sanders' ability to make the right decisions about the economy? Are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?"

 
    Very
confident
Somewhat
confident
Not too
confident
Not at all
confident
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

11/6-10/15

32 36 17 9 6
             

"How confident are you in Bernie Sanders' ability to handle an international crisis? Are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?"

 
    Very
confident
Somewhat
confident
Not too
confident
Not at all
confident
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

11/6-10/15

16 41 23 12 8
             

"Would you rather see the next Democratic presidential nominee generally continue Barack Obama's policies, or mostly change to different policies?"

 
    Obama's
policies
Different
policies
Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

11/6-10/15

60 35 5    
             

"Do you think Hillary Clinton says what she believes most of the time, or does she say what she thinks people want to hear?"

 
    What she
believes
What people
want to hear
Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

11/6-10/15

52 46 3    
             

"Do you think Bernie Sanders says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear?"

 
    What he
believes
What people
want to hear
Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

11/6-10/15

62 28 10    

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Oct. 15-18, 2015. N=444 adults nationwide who are Democrats or lean Democratic. Margin of error 5.5.

             

"From what you've seen, heard or read about it, who, in your opinion, won the Democratic primary debate held earlier this week?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton
Bernie
Sanders