White House 2000: Reform Party
All data are from nationwide surveys of
Americans 18 & older. |
See
also:
Political Figures |
Polls listed chronologically.
| ABC News.com
Poll. Aug. 2-6, 2000. N=1,014 adults nationwide. MoE +/- 3. Field work by ICR. |
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|
. |
| "Pat Buchanan is
seeking the Reform Party’s nomination for president this year. Would you like to see
the Reform Party nominate Buchanan, or not?" |
|
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% |
|
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|
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Yes |
17 |
|
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No |
63 |
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No opinion |
19 |
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|
. |
| "If Buchanan is the
Reform Party candidate for president this year, would you seriously consider voting for
him, or not? |
|
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% |
|
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Yes |
17 |
|
|
|
|
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No |
73 |
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No opinion |
10 |
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| NBC News/Wall
Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and
Robert Teeter (R). Latest: Jan. 25-26, 2000. N=505 adults nationwide. |
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|
. |
| "Let me read you a
list of people who might seek the Reform Party nomination for president this year. Please
tell me which one of the following candidates you would support for the Reform Party
nomination. . . ." If "Not sure," ask: "Well, which
way do you lean?" |
|
|
1/00 |
10/99 |
|
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|
% |
% |
|
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|
Pat Buchanan |
17 |
18 |
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Ross Perot |
17 |
15 |
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Jesse Ventura |
16 |
18 |
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Donald Trump |
10 |
8 |
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|
None/Other (vol.) |
36 |
36 |
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Not sure |
4 |
5 |
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|
. |
| "Let me read you that
same list of people who might seek the Reform Party nomination for president this year.
Please tell me which of these candidates, if any, you would NOT support under any
circumstance? . . ." Multiple responses
accepted. |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
32 |
|
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Pat Buchanan |
23 |
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Jesse Ventura |
22 |
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Ross Perot |
16 |
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None |
15 |
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Not sure |
4 |
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|
| Los Angeles
Times Poll. Nov. 13-18, 1999. N=1,430 registered voters nationwide, including 515
who say they are very or somewhat likely to participate in the Reform Party presidential
primary. |
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|
. |
| "If the Reform Party
primary for president were being held in your state today and the candidates were [see
below], for whom would you vote . . . ?" |
|
|
ALL
Regis-
tered
Voters |
Likely
Primary
Voters |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
Pat Buchanan |
27 |
30 |
|
|
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Ross Perot |
27 |
25 |
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Jesse Ventura |
21 |
20 |
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
14 |
15 |
|
|
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Undecided |
11 |
10 |
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| CBS News/New
York Times Poll. Nov. 4-7, 1999. N=953 registered voters nationwide. |
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|
. |
| "Next summer the
Reform Party will hold a primary to choose its presidential nominee. The Reform Party
currently plans to give a primary ballot to every registered voter who asks for one. How
likely is it that you would participate in the Reform Party's presidential primary next
year, very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, or not likely at all?" |
|
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% |
|
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Very likely |
10 |
|
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Somewhat likely |
23 |
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Not too likely |
26 |
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Not likely at all |
39 |
|
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Don't know/No answer |
2 |
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|
. |
| "Who do you want the
Reform Party to nominate for president in 2000: Warren Beatty, Pat Buchanan, Ross Perot,
Donald Trump, or Jesse Ventura?" |
|
|
ALL
Regis-
tered
Voters |
Likely
Reform
Party
Voters * |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
Pat Buchanan |
16 |
23 |
|
|
|
Jesse Ventura |
14 |
17 |
|
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Ross Perot |
11 |
15 |
|
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Donald Trump |
7 |
8 |
|
|
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Warren Beatty |
6 |
6 |
|
|
|
Someone else (vol.) |
0 |
1 |
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None of the above (vol.) |
27 |
17 |
|
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Don't know/No answer |
19 |
13 |
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. |
|
* Respondents who answered
"Very likely" to preceding question. |
|
| Fox
News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Nov. 3-4,1999. N=900 registered voters nationwide.
MoE +/- 3. |
|
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|
|
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|
. |
| "Which of the
following candidates do you think should be the Reform Party presidential nominee: Pat
Buchanan, Donald Trump, or Jesse Ventura?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
Pat Buchanan |
31 |
|
|
|
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Jesse Ventura |
18 |
|
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Donald Trump |
12 |
|
|
|
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Not sure |
39 |
|
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| Gallup/CNN/USA
Today Poll. Oct. 21-24,1999. N=1,005 adults nationwide, including 152 Reform
Party supporters. MoE +/- 3 (total sample). |
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|
. |
| "In terms of the
Reform Party ticket for president, which of the following two possible candidates would
you prefer to see win the Reform Party nomination for president: [rotate]
Pat Buchanan or Donald Trump?" |
|
|
ALL
Adults |
Reform
Party
Supporters |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
Pat Buchanan |
48 |
57 |
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
29 |
32 |
|
|
|
Other (vol.) |
1 |
0 |
|
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Neither (vol.) |
16 |
9 |
|
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No opinion |
6 |
2 |
|
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| Schroth &
Associates (D). Oct. 1-3, 1999. N=500 registered voters nationwide "who said they
voted for Ross Perot in 1996, and who said they were 'very likely' or 'somewhat likely' to
request a Reform Party primary ballot next year." MoE +/- 4.4. |
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|
. |
| Preference for Reform
Party Nominee: |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
Pat Buchanan |
32 |
|
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Donald Trump |
29 |
|
|
|
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Lowell Weicker |
4 |
|
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Undecided |
35 |
|
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| Fox
News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Sept. 22-23,1999. N=900 registered voters nationwide.
MoE +/- 3. |
|
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|
. |
| "If the Reform Party
choices were only Donald Trump and Pat Buchanan, then who do you think they should
nominate?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
Pat Buchanan |
49 |
|
|
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Donald Trump |
24 |
|
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Not sure |
27 |
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| CNN/Time
Poll conducted by Yankelovich Partners. Sept. 21-23, 1999. N=1,011 adults nationwide.
MoE +/- 3 (total sample). |
|
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|
. |
| "The Reform Party
will hold a primary next year to choose its presidential nominee and currently plans to
give a primary ballot to every registered voter who asks for one. How likely is it that
you would participate in the Reform Party's presidential primary next year: very likely,
fairly likely, somewhat likely, or not likely at all?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
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Very likely |
18 |
|
|
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Fairly likely |
13 |
|
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Somewhat likely |
21 |
|
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Not likely at all |
44 |
|
|
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Not sure |
4 |
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|
. |
| "A number of
individuals have been mentioned as possible candidates as president on the Reform Party
ticket. If these were the candidates running for the Reform Party nomination for
president, which one would you most prefer? . . ." |
|
|
|
ALL |
"Very
Likely" to
Participate
in Reform
Primary |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
Political commentator Pat Buchanan |
28 |
30 |
|
|
|
Minnesota Gov. Jesse Ventura |
24 |
33 |
|
|
|
Businessman Donald Trump |
11 |
12 |
|
|
|
Former Conn. Gov. Lowell Weicker |
8 |
7 |
|
|
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Other |
4 |
6 |
|
|
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Not sure |
25 |
13 |
|
|
|
| Gonzales/Arscott
Research & Communications. Aug. 6-14, 1999. N=302 potential Reform Party
voters nationwide. MoE +/- 5.8. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "If you were voting today
for the Reform Party presidential nominee, for whom would you vote if the candidates were
Pat Buchanan, Donald Trump, and Lowell Weicker?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Lowell Weicker |
29 |
|
|
|
|
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Pat Buchanan |
14 |
|
|
|
|
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Donald Trump |
5 |
|
|
|
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|
Undecided |
52 |
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "If you were voting today
for the Reform Party presidential nominee, for whom would you vote if the candidates were
Pat Buchanan, Donald Trump, Jesse Ventura and Lowell Weicker?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Jesse Ventura |
32 |
|
|
|
|
|
Lowell Weicker |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
Pat Buchanan |
12 |
|
|
|
|
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Donald Trump |
4 |
|
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Undecided |
34 |
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