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Polls listed chronologically. Data are from nationwide
surveys of Americans 18 & older. |
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Economic Outlook, Personal Finances, Consumer Behavior
See also:
Budget/Taxes
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Los
Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll. May 1-8, 2008. N=2,208 adults nationwide.
MoE ± 3. |
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"Do you think we are in an economic recession, or not?" |
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Are |
Are Not |
Unsure |
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% |
% |
% |
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5/1-8/08 |
78 |
17 |
5 |
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"Six months from now, do you expect the nation's economy will be
better than it is now, worse than it is now or about the same as it is now?" |
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Better |
Worse |
About the
Same |
Unsure |
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% |
% |
% |
% |
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5/1-8/08 |
19 |
37 |
40 |
4 |
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"As you may be aware, inflation is now running at four percent.
Just your best guess, over the next year do you think inflation will be much
higher than it is today, or somewhat higher, or somewhat lower, or much lower,
or will inflation be about the same as it is today?" |
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Much
Higher |
Somewhat
Higher |
Somewhat
Lower |
Much
Lower |
About the
Same |
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% |
% |
% |
% |
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5/1-8/08 |
16 |
45 |
9 |
2 |
23 |
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CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll.
April 28-30, 2008. N=1,008 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
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"Do you think the
economy is now in a recession, or not?" |
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Is |
Is Not |
Unsure |
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% |
% |
% |
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4/28-30/08 |
79 |
19 |
2 |
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3/14-16/08 |
74 |
25 |
1 |
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2/1-3/08 |
66 |
31 |
2 |
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1/9-10/08 |
61 |
37 |
3 |
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12/6-9/07 |
57 |
42 |
1 |
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10/12-14/07 |
46 |
51 |
3 |
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"Which of the following
economic problems concerns you the MOST: rising prices and the rate of
inflation, the unemployment rate, the condition of the stock market, high taxes,
or the problems due to the mortgage crisis and falling home values?" |
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% |
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Inflation |
47 |
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Mortgages, home values |
19 |
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High taxes |
13 |
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Unemployment rate |
13 |
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Stock
market |
5 |
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Other
(vol.) |
2 |
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Unsure |
1 |
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"And thinking specifically
about recent increases in prices, which of the following concerns you the MOST:
the price of food, the price of gasoline, or the price of other goods and
services?" |
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% |
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Gasoline |
68 |
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Food |
23 |
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Other
goods and services |
5 |
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All
equally (vol.) |
3 |
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"As you may know, in the
past few years banks and other financial institutions provided mortgages to
many Americans who eventually could not afford to pay them and now may lose
their homes. Do you think those people should receive special treatment that
would prevent them from defaulting on their mortgages?" |
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Should |
Should Not |
Unsure |
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% |
% |
% |
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4/28-30/08 |
49 |
48 |
3 |
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12/6-9/07 |
51 |
46 |
3 |
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USA
Today/Gallup Poll. April 18-20, 2008. N=1,016 adults nationwide. MoE ±
3. |
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"Now, thinking just
about food prices: Have recent price increases in food and other groceries
caused any financial hardship for you or your household?"
If yes:
"Is that a severe hardship
that affects your ability to maintain your current standard of living, or is
it a moderate hardship that affects you somewhat but does not jeopardize
your current standard of living?" |
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Caused
Severe
Hardship |
Caused
Moderate
Hardship |
Has Not
Caused
Hardship |
Unsure |
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% |
% |
% |
% |
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4/18-20/08 |
10 |
36 |
54 |
1 |
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CBS News/New
York Times Poll. March 28-April 2, 2008. N=1,368 adults nationwide. MoE
± 3 (for all adults). |
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"Right now, do you think the United States is in an economic
recession, or not?" |
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Yes |
No |
Unsure |
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% |
% |
% |
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3/28 - 4/2/08 |
66 |
27 |
7 |
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"From what you know, how much do you think the cost of the
war in Iraq has contributed to the U.S. economic problems: a lot, some, not
much or not at all?" |
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A Lot |
Some |
Not
Much |
Not at
All |
Unsure |
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% |
% |
% |
% |
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ALL adults |
67 |
22 |
6 |
4 |
1 |
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Republicans |
40 |
40 |
11 |
8 |
1 |
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Democrats |
85 |
11 |
2 |
2 |
0 |
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Independents |
66 |
21 |
8 |
2 |
3 |
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USA
Today/Gallup Poll. March 14-16, 2008. N=1,025 adults nationwide. MoE ±
3. |
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"Do you think the
economy is now in a recession, or not?" |
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Is |
Is Not |
Unsure |
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% |
% |
% |
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3/14-16/08 |
76 |
22 |
1 |
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10/12-14/07 |
36 |
58 |
7 |
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"Next, we'd like to ask
you about the possibility of an economic depression in the United States. By
depression, we mean an economic downturn that is much more severe than most
recessions and would last several years. How likely do you think it is that
the United States will be in an economic depression within the next two
years: very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, or not at all likely?" |
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Very Likely |
Somewhat
Likely |
Not Too
Likely |
Not at All
Likely |
Unsure |
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% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
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3/14-16/08 |
23 |
36 |
28 |
12 |
1 |
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"Regardless of how
likely you think it is, how much does the possibility of the U.S. economy
going into a depression worry you: a great deal, a moderate amount, not
much, or not at all?" |
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A
Great Deal |
A Moderate
Amount |
Not Much |
Not at All |
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% |
% |
% |
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3/14-16/08 |
46 |
33 |
14 |
7 |
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NBC
News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of
Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). March 7-10, 2008. N=approx. 500
registered voters nationwide. |
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"Let me read you a
number of aspects dealing with the economy, for each please tell me whether
this is currently affecting you a great deal, quite a bit, just some, or
very little. If this does not apply to you, just say so. . . ." |
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A
Great Deal |
Quite a Bit |
Just Some |
Very Little |
Does Not
Apply |
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% |
% |
% |
% |
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The price of gasoline and home heating oil |
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3/7-10/08 |
65 |
14 |
12 |
5 |
3 |
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The cost of groceries and household products |
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3/7-10/08 |
50 |
17 |
21 |
7 |
4 |
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The cost of health care |
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3/7-10/08 |
45 |
13 |
19 |
10 |
12 |
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Savings and pensions for retirement |
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3/7-10/08 |
33 |
12 |
22 |
13 |
19 |
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The impact trade agreements have had on American jobs |
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3/7-10/08 |
28 |
13 |
20 |
13 |
23 |
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Job security and layoffs |
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3/7-10/08 |
26 |
8 |
15 |
13 |
37 |
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Your investments in the stock market |
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3/7-10/08 |
21 |
12 |
18 |
11 |
36 |
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The cost and security of your mortgage |
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3/7-10/08 |
17 |
5 |
12 |
16 |
48 |
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Overtime pay and bonuses at work |
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3/7-10/08 |
15 |
6 |
10 |
13 |
54 |
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Associated
Press-Ipsos poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. Feb. 4-6, 2008.
N=1,006 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3.1. |
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"How much do you worry
about each of the following? . . ." |
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A
Lot |
Some |
Not Much |
Not at All |
Doesn't
Apply/Unsure |
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% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
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Seeing the value of your stocks and retirement investments drop |
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2/4-6/08 |
30 |
29 |
14 |
17 |
10 |
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Being unable to pay your bills |
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2/4-6/08 |
25 |
21 |
19 |
35 |
- |
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Seeing the value of your home drop |
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2/4-6/08 |
22 |
26 |
22 |
30 |
- |
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Being unable to pay your monthly mortgage/rent payment |
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2/4-6/08 |
20 |
15 |
16 |
48 |
1 |
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Losing your job |
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2/4-6/08 |
16 |
12 |
15 |
39 |
18 |
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"Do you think the U.S.
economy is now in a recession, or not?" |
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Is |
Is Not |
Unsure |
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% |
% |
% |
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2/4-6/08 |
61 |
36 |
3 |
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"Do you think each of
the following deserves a lot, some, only a little, or none of the blame for
the country's economic problems? . . ." |
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A
Lot |
Some |
Only a Little |
None |
Unsure |
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% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
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Mortgage lenders |
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2/4-6/08 |
56 |
28 |
9 |
4 |
3 |
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President Bush |
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2/4-6/08 |
44 |
30 |
14 |
12 |
- |
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The U.S. Congress |
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2/4-6/08 |
37 |
43 |
13 |
5 |
2 |
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Consumers |
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2/4-6/08 |
22 |
40 |
21 |
16 |
1 |
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Wall Street |
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2/4-6/08 |
20 |
41 |
18 |
14 |
7 |
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The Federal Reserve |
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2/4-6/08 |
19 |
42 |
18 |
16 |
5 |
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ABC
News/Washington Post Poll. Jan. 30-Feb. 1, 2008. N=1,249 adults
nationwide. MoE ± 3. Fieldwork by TNS. |
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"Just your best guess, would you say the nation's economy is in
a recession right now, or not?" |
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Is |
Is
Not |
Unsure |
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% |
% |
% |
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1/30 - 2/1/08 |
59 |
38 |
3 |
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"Do you think the United States is in a long-term economic
decline, or do you think the country's economic system is basically pretty
solid?" |
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Decline |
Pretty Solid |
Unsure |
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% |
% |
% |
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1/30 - 2/1/08 |
49 |
47 |
4 |
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5/96 |
46 |
51 |
3 |
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Fortune
Magazine poll conducted by Abt SRBI. Jan. 14-16, 2008. N=1,000 adults
nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
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"Turning to the economy, in general, how would you rate economic
conditions in the country today: excellent, good, only fair or poor?" |
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Excellent |
Good |
Only Fair |
Poor |
Unsure |
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% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
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1/14-16/08 |
3 |
23 |
44 |
29 |
1 |
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"Right now, do you think that economic conditions in the country
as a whole are getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?" |
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Better |
Worse |
Same |
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% |
% |
% |
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1/14-16/08 |
3 |
65 |
31 |
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"Which of the following best describes the country's
economic condition right now? Would you say that the country is in an economic
recession right now, heading into a recession in the next twelve months,
or not in a recession and not heading into one?" |
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In a
Recession |
Heading Into
A Recession |
Neither |
Unsure |
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% |
% |
% |
% |
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1/14-16/08 |
19 |
57 |
19 |
5 |
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"Just thinking about your own personal economic situation, do
you feel that over the past twelve months things have gotten better, worse, or
stayed about the same?" |
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