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     Economic Outlook  (p. 2)        See also:  Budget/Taxes | Business issues | Investing | Consumer confidence

 

   Economic Outlook, Personal Finances, Consumer Behavior

 
 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Jan. 12-15, 2012. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5.

             

"Regardless of whether or not the recession is over, in terms of your own personal experience, do you feel the economy has or has not begun to recover?"

 
    Has Has not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

1/12-15/12

45

54

1

 

 

 

10/31 - 11/3/11

36

63

1

 

 

 

6/2-5/11

42

57

1

 

 

 

3/10-13/11

46

53

1

 

 

 

12/9-12/10

41

57

2

 

 

 

2/4-8/10

45

53

1

 

 

 

12/10-13/09

50

49

1

 

 

             

"Would you say you, yourself, are better off financially than you were when Obama became president, not as well off, or in about the same shape as then financially?"

 
    Better off Not as
well off
About
the same
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

1/12-15/12

15

30

54

1

 

 

10/31 - 11/3/11

13

34

52

1

 

 

8/29 - 9/1/11

15

35

50

-

 

 

7/15-18/09

8

27

64

-

 

             

"Who do you think is more responsible for the country's current economic problems: Barack Obama or George W. Bush?" Options rotated

 
    Obama Bush Both (vol.) Neither (vol.) Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/12-15/12

29

54

9

6

2


 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Jan. 12-14, 2012. N=906 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"Do you see any signs the nation's economy has started to turn the corner and the worst is over, or not?"

 
    Yes, see
signs worst
is over
No, do not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

1/12-14/12

40

56

4

 

 

 

11/13-15/11

29

68

3

 

 


 

CNN/ORC Poll. Dec. 16-18, 2011. N=1,015 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"Thinking specifically about the economy, which of the following is the most important economic issue facing the country today? Unemployment. The federal budget deficit. The price of gasoline.* Taxes. Mortgages and housing costs. The stock market." Options rotated.
*Prior to 8/11: "Rising gasoline prices."

 
    12/16-18/11 8/5-7/11 4/29 -
5/1/11
3/11-13/11  
    % % % %  
 

Unemployment

51 49

38

38

 

 

Federal deficit

27 27

28

28

 

 

Taxes

7 5

4

6

 

 

Price of gas

6 12

21

19

 

 

Housing costs

6 3

6

5

 

 

Stock market

3 2

2

1

 

 

Other (vol.)

1 1

1

2

 

 

Unsure

- 1

1

-

 


 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Nov. 2-5, 2011. N=approx. 500 adults nationwide.

             

"Thinking about the country's economic recession, do you think the worst is behind us or the worst is ahead of us?"

 
    Worst is
behind us
Worst is
ahead of us
In between
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

11/2-5/11

49

44

2

5

 

 

7/14-17/11

46

45

3

6

 

 

6/9-13/11

52

41

3

4

 

 

11/11-15/10

60

35

2

3

 

 

8/26-30/10

45

45

4

6

 


 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Oct. 31-Nov. 3, 2011. N=1,004 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5.

             

"Regardless of whether or not the recession is over, in terms of your own personal experience, do you feel the economy has or has not begun to recover?"

 
    Has Has not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/31 - 11/3/11

36

63

1

 

 

 

6/2-5/11

42

57

1

 

 

 

3/10-13/11

46

53

1

 

 

 

12/9-12/10

41

57

2

 

 

 

2/4-8/10

45

53

1

 

 

 

12/10-13/09

50

49

1

 

 

             

"Would you say you, yourself, are better off financially than you were when Obama became president, not as well off, or in about the same shape as then financially?"

 
    Better off Not as
well off
About
the same
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

10/31 - 11/3/11

13

34

52

1

 

 

8/29 - 9/1/11

15

35

50

-

 

 

7/15-18/09

8

27

64

-

 

             

"How concerned are you about being able to maintain your current standard of living? Are you very worried, somewhat worried, not so worried or not worried at all?"

 
    Very
worried
Somewhat
worried
Not so
worried
Not worried
at all
 
    % % % %  
 

10/31 - 11/3/11

31

36

18

15

 

 

12/10-13/09

24

39

19

17

 


 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Sept. 15-18, 2011. N=1,004 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.

             

"Do you think the economy is now in a recession, or not?"

 
    Yes No Unsure    
    % % %    
 

9/15-18/11

80

18

2

 

 

 

8/27-30/10

82

16

2

 

 

 

9/11-13/09

84

15

1

 

 

 

3/14-16/08

76

22

1

 

 

 

10/12-14/07

36

58

7

 

 

             

"Do you think the U.S. economy is fully recovered, better than it was a year ago but not fully recovered, about the same as a year ago, or worse than it was a year ago?"

 
    Fully
recovered
Better, but
not fully
recovered
About the
same as
a year ago
Worse than
a year ago
 
    % % % %  
 

9/15-18/11

-

22

35

42

 

             

"Thinking about one year from now, do you think the U.S. economy will be fully recovered, better than it is now but not fully recovered, about the same as now, or worse than it is now?"

 
    Fully
recovered
Better, but
not fully
recovered
About the
same as now
Worse than
it is now
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/15-18/11

-

37

39

22

2

 

8/27-30/10

1

44

33

21

2


 

Pew Research Center/Washington Post. Sept. 1-4, 2011. N=1,001 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.

             

"Which of the following national economic issues worries you most? The job situation. Rising prices. The federal budget deficit. Problems in the financial and housing markets." Options rotated

 
    Job
situation
Budget
deficit
Rising
prices
Financial
and housing
markets
Other
(vol.)/
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/1-4/11

43

22

17

11

8

 

7/20-24/11

39

29

15

11

6

 

5/25-30/11

38

28

20

10

4

 

3/8-14/11

34

24

28

10

4

 

2/2-7/11

44

19

23

10

5


 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Aug. 29-Sept. 1, 2011. N=1,001 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5.

             

"Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel optimistic or pessimistic about the chances that the jobs situation in this country will improve?" Options rotated

 
    Optimistic Pessimistic Unsure    
    % % %    
 

8/29 - 9/1/11

45

50

4

 

 


 

Ipsos/Reuters Poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. Aug. 4-8, 2011. N=1,055 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3. 6/10 & earlier: Ipsos/McClatchy Poll.

             

"Has the U.S. economy turned the corner on the current crisis, is the worst yet to come, or have things stabilized but not yet begun to improve?"

 
    Turned
the corner
Worst yet
to come
Stabilized Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

8/4-8/11

6

47

43

5

 

 

1/7-10/11

12

27

57

5

 

 

6/10-13/10

12

34

49

5

 

 

2/26-28/10

11

31

55

3

 

 

1/28-31/10

10

28

57

5

 

 

1/7-11/10

11

30

56

3

 

 

12/3-6/09

8

35

54

2

 

 

10/29 - 11/1/09

7

32

59

2

 

 

10/1-5/09

11

31

55

3

 

 

8/27-31/09

11

35

49

4

 

 

7/30 - 8/3/09

9

32

56

3

 

 

7/9-13/09

6

39

49

5

 

 

6/4-8/09

9

37

48

6

 

 

4/30 - 5/3/09

10

38

48

4

 

 

4/2-6/09

8

36

52

4

 

 

3/5-9/09

3

57

35

4

 

 

2/6-9/09

7

54

35

4

 


 

CNN/ORC Poll. Aug. 5-7, 2011. N=1,008 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"Thinking specifically about the economy, which of the following is the most important economic issue facing the country today? Unemployment. The federal budget deficit. The price of gasoline.* Taxes. Mortgages and housing costs. The stock market." Options rotated.
*Prior to 8/11: "Rising gasoline prices."

 
    8/5-7/11 4/29 -
5/1/11
3/11-13/11    
    % % %    
 

Unemployment

49

38

38

 

 

 

Federal deficit

27

28

28

 

 

 

Price of gas

12

21

19

 

 

 

Taxes

5

4

6

 

 

 

Housing costs

3

6

5

 

 

 

Stock market

2

2

1

 

 

 

Other (vol.)

1

1

2

 

 

 

Unsure

1

1

-

 

 

             

"Which of the following statements comes closest to your view of economic conditions today? The economy is starting to recover from the problems it faced in the past year or so. An economic recovery has not started but conditions have stabilized and are not getting any worse. The economy is still in a downturn and conditions are continuing to worsen."

 
    Starting to
recover
Stabilized Still in a
downturn
   
    % % %    
 

8/5-7/11

9

31

60

 

 

 

4/9-10/11

24

38

36

 

 

 

10/5-7/10

17

44

38

 

 

 

4/9-11/10

19

46

34

 

 

 

1/22-24/10

12

49

39

 

 

 

12/2-3/09

15

46

39

 

 

 

10/16-18/09

17

50

33

 

 

 

6/26-28/09

12

48

40

 

 

             

"Did the fall of the stock market in recent weeks shake your confidence in the American economy, or didn't it change your opinion?"

 
    Confidence
shaken
Didn't change
opinion
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

8/5-7/11

38

60

1

 

 

             

"Did the fall of the stock market affect your family's financial position in a major way, a minor way, or not at all?"

 
    A major way A minor way Not at all    
    % % %    
 

8/5-7/11

16

39

45

 

 


 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. June 24-28, 2011. N=979 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"Which comes closer to your view? The current economic downturn is temporary and eventually the economy will fully recover. OR, The current economic downturn is part of a long-term permanent decline and the economy will never fully recover."

 
    Temporary Permanent Unsure    
    % % %    
 

6/24-28/11

57

39

4

 

 

 

10/21-26/10

68

28

4

 

 


 

CBS News Poll. Feb. 11-14, 2011. N=1,031 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"Some people say the recession will be over soon and that an economic recovery has begun. Do you think that's true, or not?"

 
    True Not true Unsure    
    % % %    
 

2/11-14/11

37

57

6

 

 


 

Quinnipiac University Poll. Jan. 4-11, 2011. N=1,647 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.4.

             

"Do you think the United States economy is in a recession now?"

 
    Yes No Unsure    
    % % %    
 

1/4-11/11

73

24

3

 

 

 

7/13-19/10

79

18

3

 

 

 

5/19-24/10

74

21

5

 

 

 

5/8-12/08

71

24

5

 

 

             

"Do you think the economy is beginning to recover or not?"

 
    Is Is not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

1/4-11/11

54

43

3

 

 

 

7/13-19/10

44

52

5

 

 


 

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Sept. 29-30, 2010. N=1,025 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.8.

             

"As a result of what's happening in the economy, please tell me whether or not you are worried about each of the following. First, are you worried about . . . ?"

 
    Worried Not
worried
Doesn't
apply (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

"Having enough savings for retirement"

 

9/29-30/10

66

30

3

1

 

 

8/23-25/94

71

27

2

-

 

 
 

"Maintaining your current standard of living"

 

9/29-30/10

63

36

-

1

 

 

8/23-25/94

54

46

-

-

 

 
 

"Being able to pay medical or health care costs"

 

9/29-30/10

62

36

1

1

 

 

8/23-25/94

63

36

1

-

 

 
 

"A major wage earner in your household losing a job"

 

9/29-30/10

49

44

6

1

 

 

8/23-25/94

48

44

8

0

 

 
 

"Affording mortgage payments or rent"

 

9/29-30/10

47

48

4

1

 

 

8/23-25/94

41

54

5

-

 

 
 

"Financing your children's education"

 

9/29-30/10

45

38

16

1

 

 

8/23-25/94

49

32

19

-

 

             

"Considering everything, how worried are you about the economic future facing you and your family? Are you very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried, or not at all worried?"

 
    Very
worried
Somewhat
worried
Not too
worried
Not at all
worried
 
    % % % %  
 

9/29-30/10

31

45

16

8

 


Economic outlook continued


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