TIPP Online 5/17
Obama Maintains 3-Point Advantage
In the latest Investor's Business Daily/Christian Science Monitor/TIPP Poll conducted after President Obama announced his support for gay marriage, the President continues to maintain a 3-point lead over Governor Romney. ...

Mark Mellman 5/16
A poll question I hate
I hate questions asking whether people are "more or less likely to vote" for a candidate based on some factor. I admit to using them, but rarely, and under some form of duress. ...

David Hill 5/16
Obama is crazy for his base
As a pollster and political consultant, even for the other political party, it's easy for me -- in a perverse sort of way -- to admire President Obama's all-in bid to recapture the affections of his liberal Democratic base voter. ...

Gallup 5/16
National Mood a Drag on Obama's Re-Election Prospects
Some six months before voters head to the polls to choose the next president of the United States, Gallup finds several indicators of the economic and political climate holding steady at levels that could be troublesome for President Barack Obama. ...

Pew 5/15
Assessing the Representativeness of Opinion Surveys
... A new study by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press finds that, despite declining response rates, telephone surveys that include landlines and cell phones and are weighted to match the demographic composition of the population continue to provide accurate data on most political, social and economic measures. ...

Washington Post: Jon Cohen 5/15
Voters split on Obama's gay marriage announcement
Voters divide straight down the middle on President Obama's recent statement that he supports allowing gays and lesbians to get married, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. As with the issue itself, views of the president's major announcement last week are closely related to partisanship, education and age, with Democrats, more highly educated and younger adults generally supportive of Obama's move. ...

New York Times 5/14
Poll Sees Gay Marriage Support Motivated by Politics
Most Americans suspect that President Obama was motivated by politics, not policy, when he declared his support for same-sex marriage, according to a new poll released on Monday, suggesting the impact of his decision was undercut by the unplanned way it became public. ...

CBS News 5/14
Most Americans support same-sex unions
A new CBS News/New York Times Poll shows a solid majority of Americans support legal recognition for same-sex couples - though not necessarily through the official act of marriage - and the number of people who do support full marriage rights for gay and lesbian couples is significantly higher among younger generations. ...

Gallup 5/14
Acceptance of Gay/Lesbian Relations Is the New Normal
The slight majority of American adults, 54%, consider gay or lesbian relations morally acceptable. Public acceptance of gay/lesbian relations as morally acceptable grew slowly but steadily from 38% in 2002 to 56% in 2011 and is now holding at the majority level. ...

Bill Galston, Brookings 5/11
Six Months To Go
Between now and November 6, the people will ask themselves whether President Obama's stewardship of the economy has met their hopes -- a judgment that will depend heavily on the performance of the economy over the next six months. If the people decide that the president has done well enough, he will be reelected, whatever Mitt Romney says or does. ...

New York Times 5/11
Annual Census at Risk in House Budget Bill
One casualty of the sweeping budget bill that passed the House on Thursday was an annual survey conducted by the Census Bureau, a rich source of data that social researchers say is critical to modern demography. ...

Gallup 5/11
Six in 10 Say Obama Marriage View Won't Sway Vote
A majority of Americans, 60%, say President Barack Obama's newly announced support for same-sex marriage will make no difference to their vote. ...

Ronald Brownstein 5/10
Understanding Voters on Gay Issue: It's One for the Ages
One potential complication for President Obama's embrace of gay marriage is that minority voters at the core of the modern Democratic electoral coalition have usually resisted the idea more than whites. But that gap is narrowing-driven mostly by the same process of shifting generational attitudes evident among whites. ...

Public Religion Research Institute 5/10
Evangelical Voters Strongly Support Romney
Presumptive Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney holds a nearly 50-point lead over President Barack Obama (68 percent vs. 19 percent) among white evangelical Protestant voters, a new survey finds. ...

Resurgent Republic 5/10
Electoral fundamentals favor Republicans
... These results present a different perspective on the two candidates than much of the political punditry. It is Barack Obama, not Mitt Romney, who is viewed as outside the ideological mainstream. ...

Gallup 5/10
In Tight Race, Obama, Romney Have Core Support Groups
Because the overwhelming majority of nonwhite registered voters in the U.S. vote Democratic -- 77% currently support Barack Obama for president -- likely Republican nominee Mitt Romney must do well among white registered voters in order to offset this advantage. ...