All data are from nationwide surveys
of
Americans 18 & older. Polls listed
chronologically. |
|
University of Pennsylvania National Annenberg Election
Survey. April 1-14, 2004. N=1,267
adults nationwide. MoE ±
3. Interviewing conducted
by Schulman, Ronca, Bucuvalas, Inc. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Has
the war in Iraq reduced the risk of terrorism against the United States or
increased the risk of terrorism against the United States?" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Reduced |
Increased |
No Differ-
ence
(vol.) |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/1-14/04 |
29 |
57 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
Newsweek
Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. April
8-9, 2004. N=1,005 adults nationwide.
MoE ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Do you think the U.S. military action against
Iraq has done more to INCREASE the risk or DECREASE the risk that large
numbers of Americans will be killed or injured in a future terrorist attack
-- or that it hasn't made much difference
either way?"
Wording in 2003: "In the long run, do you think the U.S. military
action against Iraq will do more to increase the risk or decrease the risk
that large numbers of Americans will be killed or injured in a future
terrorist attack -- or
that it won't make much
difference either way?" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Increase |
Decrease |
Not
Much
Difference |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
4/8-9/04 |
42 |
29 |
24 |
5 |
|
|
3/25-26/04 |
41 |
25 |
27 |
7 |
|
|
3/18-19/04 |
36 |
30 |
27 |
7 |
|
|
12/18-19/03 |
28 |
30 |
34 |
8 |
|
|
10/23-24/03 |
35 |
27 |
30 |
8 |
|
|
10/9-10/03 |
37 |
25 |
30 |
8 |
|
|
9/25-26/03 |
27 |
30 |
36 |
7 |
|
|
8/21-22/03 |
36 |
25 |
34 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Would you support increasing the number of
U.S.
military personnel in Iraq, if necessary, in response to the recent attacks
on coalition forces by Iraqi militants?" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Would
Support |
Would
Not
Support |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/8-9/04 |
63 |
31 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Do you think the United States should or should
NOT extend the June 30th deadline for turning over power in Iraq to an
interim Iraqi government?" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Should |
Should
Not |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/8-9/04 |
34 |
50 |
16 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"How concerned are you
that Iraq will become another Vietnam in which the U.S. does not accomplish
its goals despite many years of military involvement? Are you very
concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned, or not at all concerned
about Iraq becoming another Vietnam?" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Very |
Some-
what |
Not Too |
Not At All |
Don't
Know |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
4/8-9/04 |
40 |
24 |
14 |
20 |
2 |
|
|
Time/CNN Poll
conducted by Harris Interactive. May 12-13,
2004. N=1,001 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3.1
(total sample). |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Do
you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the
situation with Iraq?" |
|
|
Approve |
Disap-
prove |
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/8/04 |
44 |
51 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Do you think the war with Iraq
has made the U.S. safer or less safe from terrorism?" |
|
|
Safer |
Less
Safe |
No
Change
(vol.) |
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
4/8/04 |
40 |
48 |
7 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Based on what you have heard
or read, do you think the Bush Administration does
or does not have a clear and well thought out plan to deal with the
situation in Iraq?" |
|
|
Does |
Does
Not |
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/8/04 |
43 |
51 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"As you may know, the Bush
Administration has said it will turn over power in Iraq on June 30th to a
civilian government led by Iraqis. Do you think the U.S. should do that, or
should the U.S. keep power in Iraq beyond June 30th?" |
|
|
Turn Over
Power |
Keep
Beyond
June 30th |
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/8/04 |
54 |
38 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Do you think George W. Bush is
telling the truth or not telling the truth when he says that he believed
before the war with Iraq began that Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass
destruction?" |
|
|
Telling
Truth |
Not
Telling
Truth |
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/8/04 |
58 |
38 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Do you think overthrowing Saddam
Hussein was justification enough for the Iraq war, or don't
you believe that?" |
|
|
Justifi-
cation
Enough |
Don't
Believe
That |
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/8/04 |
53 |
42 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"The U.S. currently has about
135,000 troops in Iraq. When it comes to the number of U.S. troops in Iraq,
which of the following do you think the U.S. should do? Increase the number
of U.S. troops to Iraq. Keep the current number of troops. Reduce the number
of troops. Remove all U.S. troops from Iraq." |
|
|
Increase |
Keep
Same |
Reduce |
Remove
All |
Not
Sure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
4/8/04 |
26 |
30 |
12 |
27 |
5 |
|
|
CBS News
Poll.
March 30-April 1, 2004.
N=1,024 adults nationwide. MoE ±
3 (total sample). |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"As a result of the U.S. military action against
Iraq, do you think the threat of terrorism against the United States has
increased, decreased, or stayed about the same?" |
|
|
More
Safe |
Less
Safe |
No Diff-
erence |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
3/30 - 4/1/04 |
36 |
22 |
38 |
4 |
|
|
2/12-15/04 |
42 |
19 |
36 |
3 |
|
|
1/12-15/04 |
50 |
18 |
29 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"How long do you think the United States troops
will have to remain in Iraq: for less than a year,
one to two years, two to five years, or will U.S. troops have to stay in
Iraq for longer than five years?" |
|
|
Less Than
1 Year |
1 to 2
Years |
2 to 5
Years |
More Than
5 Years |
Don't
Know |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
3/30 - 4/1/04 |
8 |
22 |
35 |
26 |
9 |
|
12/14-15/03 |
15 |
34 |
31 |
12 |
8 |
|
7/03 |
13 |
31 |
31 |
18 |
7 |
|
|
Newsweek
Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. March
25-26, 2004. Nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Please tell me if each of the following makes you
more likely or less likely to vote to reelect George W. Bush
this year, or
if it won't have much effect on your vote. What
about
[see below]?
Does
this make you more likely or less likely to vote to reelect Bush, or will it
not have much effect on your vote?"
N=815 registered voters,
MoE ±
4 |
|
|
More
Likely |
Less
Likely |
Not
Much
Effect |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
"The
Bush Administration's
Iraq policy and decision to
go to war last spring" |
|
3/25-26/04 |
37 |
40 |
20 |
3 |
|
|
1/8-9/04 |
40 |
36 |
21 |
3 |
|
|
12/18-19/03 |
44 |
35 |
17 |
5 |
|
|
12/11-12/03 |
39 |
40 |
18 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"The way George W. Bush and his
Administration have handled the situation in postwar
Iraq" |
|
3/25-26/04 |
34 |
42 |
20 |
4 |
|
|
1/8-9/04 |
40 |
36 |
22 |
2 |
|
|
12/18-19/03 |
41 |
35 |
19 |
5 |
|
|
12/11-12/03 |
34 |
44 |
18 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"The capture of
Saddam Hussein" |
|
3/25-26/04 |
50 |
17 |
30 |
3 |
|
|
1/8-9/04 |
53 |
14 |
31 |
2 |
|
|
12/18-19/03 |
52 |
12 |
33 |
3 |
|
|
|
Program on
International Policy Attitudes/Knowledge Networks Poll.
March 16-22,
2004. N=approx. 800 adults
nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.
This
survey was fielded by Knowledge Networks using its nationwide research
panel.
Knowledge Networks employs a random-digit-dial telephone
methodology to develop a representative sample of households for
participation in its panel. Participants receive free hardware and free
Internet access. Surveys are administered via
interactive TV devices. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Do you think the U.S. made the right decision or
the wrong decision in going to war against Iraq?" |
|
|
Right
Decision |
Wrong
Decision |
No
Answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/16-22/04 |
55 |
44 |
1 |
|
|
|
11/21-30/03 |
55 |
41 |
4 |
|
|
|
10/29 - 11/10/03 |
57 |
38 |
5 |
|
|
|
8-9/03 |
62 |
33 |
5 |
|
|
|
7/03 |
63 |
32 |
5 |
|
|
|
6/03 |
65 |
29 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
Newsweek
Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. March
18-19, 2004. N=1,006 adults nationwide.
MoE ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Do you think the amount of
money the United States is spending for operations in postwar Iraq is too
high, too low, or about right?" |
|
|
Too
High |
Too
Low |
About
Right |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
3/18-19/04 |
53 |
4 |
34 |
9 |
|
|
11/6-7/03 |
60 |
3 |
31 |
6 |
|
|
10/30-31/03 |
56 |
4 |
29 |
11 |
|
|
10/23-24/03 |
58 |
3 |
31 |
8 |
|
|
9/25-26/03 |
56 |
4 |
31 |
9 |
|
|
9/18-19/03 |
56 |
5 |
31 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"As far as the number of U.S.
military personnel now in Iraq, do you think the United States should send
more troops to Iraq, keep the same amount of troops, or reduce their number
and begin bringing troops home?" |
|
|
Send
More |
Keep
Same |
Reduce |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
3/18-19/04 |
10 |
27 |
55 |
8 |
|
|
11/6-7/03 |
16 |
23 |
54 |
7 |
|
|
10/30-31/03 |
13 |
26 |
52 |
9 |
|
|
10/23-24/03 |
12 |
23 |
56 |
9 |
|
|
9/25-26/03 |
14 |
29 |
49 |
8 |
|
|
9/11-12/03 |
16 |
31 |
46 |
7 |
|
|
|
University of Pennsylvania National Annenberg Election
Survey. March 1-15, 2004.
N=2,575 adults nationwide. MoE ±
2 (total sample). Interviewing conducted
by Schulman, Ronca, Bucuvalas, Inc. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Should the federal government
spend more money, the same as now, less, or no money
at all on rebuilding Iraq?" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
More |
Same |
Less |
None |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
ALL |
9 |
33 |
31 |
22 |
|
|
Republicans |
9 |
48 |
31 |
10 |
|
|
Democrats |
12 |
21 |
33 |
29 |
|
|
Independents |
7 |
33 |
31 |
25 |
|
|
|
NBC
News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling
organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Robert Teeter (R).
March 6-8, 2004. N=1,018
adults nationwide. MoE ± 3.1
(total sample). |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Generally speaking, would you
say the war in Iraq has gone better than you expected, worse than
you expected, or about what you expected?" |
|
|
Better |
Worse |
As
Expected |
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
3/04 |
16 |
29 |
53 |
2 |
|
|
3/03 |
25 |
10 |
62 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Do you think that Iraq did or
did not have weapons of mass destruction before the war began last
March?"
Wording
prior to 3/04: "Do you think that Iraq did or did not have weapons of
mass destruction before the war in March?" |
|
|
Did |
Did Not |
Depends
(vol.)/Not
Sure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/04 |
57 |
35 |
8 |
|
|
|
11/03 |
63 |
30 |
7 |
|
|
|
7/03 |
70 |
21 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
CNN/USA
Today/Gallup Poll.
March 5-7, 2004. N=1,005 adults
nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Just your best guess, which do you think is more
likely to happen in Iraq when the U.S. troops leave there: the situation in
Iraq will turn into chaos and civil war, or the Iraqi people will be able to
establish a stable government?"
Options rotated |
|
|
Chaos/
Civil War |
Stable
Gov't |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/5-7/04 |
48 |
45 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
Pew Research Center for the
People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research
Associates. Feb. 11-16, 2004.
N=715 adults nationwide.
MoE ± 4. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Do you think the war with Iraq
has or has not contributed to the long-term security of the United States?" |
|
|
Has |
Has
Not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/11-16/04 |
56 |
38 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
CBS News
Poll. Feb. 12-15, 2004.
N=1,221 adults nationwide. MoE ±
3 (total sample). |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Based on what you've heard or read, do you think
U.S. intelligence agencies such as the CIA did an excellent job, good job,
fair job, or poor job assessing the threat of weapons of mass destruction in
Iraq before the war?" |
|
|
Excellent |
Good |
Fair |
Poor |
Don't
Know |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
2/12-15/04 |
3 |
25 |
38 |
28 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Based on what you've
heard or read, how do you think the Bush Administration
handled the intelligence they received about weapons of mass destruction in
Iraq? Do you think they probably interpreted the
intelligence accurately, or did they probably exaggerate the
intelligence to build support for the war against Iraq?" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Interpreted
Accurately |
Exagger-
ated |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/12-15/04 |
35 |
57 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post
Poll. Feb. 10-11,
2004. N=1,003 adults
nationwide. MoE ± 3. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Regardless of whether or not
it exaggerated the evidence, do you think the Bush Administration honestly
believed that Iraq has weapons of mass destruction, or not?" |
|
|
Believed |
Did Not
Believe |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/10-11/04 |
68 |
27 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Which of these do you think is
a more important issue: The accuracy of the intelligence about Iraq that the
Administration received from the CIA and other sources, or the way the
Administration used that intelligence?" |
|
|
Accuracy |
Way
Used |
Both
(vol.) |
Not
Important
(vol.) |
No
Opinion |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
2/10-11/04 |
35 |
53 |
7 |
1 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Do you think Iraq did have
weapons of mass destruction that have not been found, or do you think Iraq
did not have any weapons of mass destruction?" |
|
|
Did
Have |
Did Not
Have |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/10-11/04 |
61 |
33 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Which of these do you think is
more important right now: to have a commission
look into the accuracy and use of pre-war intelligence about Iraq, with a
report BEFORE the November election,
OR, to have a commission take a wider look at the
accuracy of U.S. intelligence overall, with a report AFTER the November
election?"
Options rotated |
|
|
Before
Election |
Wider
Look/
After
Election |
Both
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
No
Opinion |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |