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White House 2004: Democratic Nomination (p. 2)
All data are from nationwide surveys of Americans 18 & older.

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Political figures


Polls listed chronologically.

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CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. Sept. 8-10, 2003. N=407 Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide who are registered to vote. MoE ± 5.

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"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2004. . . ." Names rotated

  8/4-6/03 7/25-27/03
  % %
Joe Lieberman 18 21
Dick Gephardt 15 16
Howard Dean 15 11
John Kerry 12 15
Bob Graham 5 4
John Edwards 5 6
Carol Moseley Braun 5 6
Al Sharpton 4 5
Dennis Kucinich 2 2
Other 4 -
No one 5 2
No opinion 10 12

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  6/12-18/03 5/30 -
6/1/03
4/22-23/03 3/14-15/03
  % % % %
Joe Lieberman 21 20 22 15
Dick Gephardt 17 14 16 20
John Kerry 13 17 18 16
Bob Graham 7 4 5 4
Howard Dean 7 5 6 5
John Edwards 6 6 8 6
Al Sharpton 6 7 3 5
Carol Moseley Braun 5 4 4 8
Dennis Kucinich 1 2 3 3
Other 1 1 1 1
No one 5 5 5 3
No opinion 11 15 9 14

 

Zogby International for the Draft Gore 2004 Committee. Sept. 5-9, 2003. N=615 Democratic and independent voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.1.

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"If the Democratic primary for president were held today and the candidates were Howard Dean, John Edwards, Dick Gephardt, Al Gore, John Kerry and Joseph Lieberman, for whom would you vote?"

%
Al Gore 24
Howard Dean 16
Joe Lieberman 12
John Kerry 11
Dick Gephardt 7
John Edwards 2
Other (vol.) 9
Not sure 19

 

CBS News Poll. Aug. 26-28, 2003. N=775 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 4 (total sample).

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"From what you have heard or read, can you name any of the candidates running for the 2004 Democratic nomination for president?" If "Yes": "Who is the first one who comes to mind?"

ALL Repub-
licans
Demo-
crats
Indepen-
dents
% % % %
Yes, can name a candidate 35 39 33 34
  Howard Dean 11 10 12 12
  John Kerry 7 9 6 7
  Joe Lieberman 5 7 2 6
  John Edwards 3 3 2 3
  Richard Gephardt 2 3 2 1
  Bob Graham 1 1 2 1
  Dennis Kucinich 1 0 0 1
  Al Sharpton 1 2 1 1
  Carol Moseley Braun 0 0 0 0
  Other 3 4 4 1
No, can't name a candidate 65 61 67 66

.

"Who would you like to see the Democratic Party nominate as its presidential candidate in 2004: [see below],  or someone else?" Names rotated

Demo-
crats
Indepen-
dents
   
% %    
Joe Lieberman 14 15    
Howard Dean 11 9    
Richard Gephardt 10 8    
John Kerry 5 7    
Al Sharpton 5 6    
Bob Graham 4 3    
John Edwards 2 5    
Carol Moseley Braun 2 1    
Dennis Kucinich 0 0    
Other 15 16    
Don't know 32 30    

 

Zogby International for DraftWesleyClark.com. Aug. 16-19, 2003. N=584 likely Democratic primary voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.1.

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"Thus far, the Democratic candidates for president in 2004 are [see below]. If the primary were held today, for whom would you vote?"

%
Howard Dean 17
Dick Gephardt 11
Joe Lieberman 10
John Kerry 9
Wesley Clark 5
Al Sharpton 3
Carol Moseley Braun 2
John Edwards 2
Dennis Kucinich 2
Bob Graham 2
Other (vol.) 6
Not sure 32

 

Time/CNN Poll conducted by Harris Interactive. July 16-17, 2003. N=400 registered Democrats and independents who lean Democratic nationwide.

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"Thinking ahead to the 2004 presidential election, if you were asked to vote for a Democratic presidential nominee for president today, which of the following Democrats would you vote for? . . ."

    Leaned
Vote
  % %
Joseph Lieberman 16 18
John Kerry 14 15
Dick Gephardt 12 13
Howard Dean 10 10
John Edwards 6 7
Al Sharpton 5 5
Bob Graham 4 4
Carol Moseley Braun 4 5
Dennis Kucinich 3 3
Other 3 3
Not sure 23 17

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. July 9-10, 2003. N=443 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents. MoE ± 4.5. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch.

 

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"If the 2004 Democratic presidential primary in your state were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" Names rotated

7/03 4/03

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% %

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Joseph Lieberman 13 29
John Kerry 12 14
Richard Gephardt 10 19
Howard Dean 8 3
John Edwards 6 4
Al Sharpton 6 3
Carol Moseley Braun 4 6
Bob Graham 3 3
Dennis Kucinich 2 2
Other (vol.) 2 1
None (vol.) 13 1
Wouldn't vote (vol.) 7 0
No opinion 16 14

 

ABC News Poll. May 28-June 1, 2003. N=1,029 adults nationwide. Results shown are among Democrats and independents who lean Democratic. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch.
 

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"If the 2004 Democratic presidential primary in your state were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" Names rotated

%  

.

Hillary Clinton 37
Joseph Lieberman 14
Richard Gephardt 10
John Kerry 7
John Edwards 6
Bob Graham 4
Howard Dean 3
Al Sharpton 2
Carol Moseley Braun 1
Dennis Kucinich 1
None (vol.) 3
Wouldn't vote (vol.) 2
No opinion 11

 

Time/CNN Poll conducted by Harris Interactive. May 21-22, 2003. N=368 registered Democrats and independents who lean Democratic nationwide.

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"As you may know, Al Gore has said he will not run for president in 2004. Now suppose Al Gore changes his mind and runs for the Democratic nomination for president -- who would you vote for? . . ."

  %
Al Gore 40
Joseph Lieberman 7
Dick Gephardt 7
John Kerry 7
John Edwards 5
Al Sharpton 4
Bob Graham 4
Howard Dean 3
Dennis Kucinich 2
Carol Moseley Braun 1
Other 1
Not sure 19

 

CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. March 14-15, 2003. N=420 Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide who are registered to vote. MoE ± 5.

.

"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2004. . . ."

  %
Hillary Rodham Clinton 28
Dick Gephardt 16
John Kerry 13
Joe Lieberman 11
John Edwards 5
Howard Dean 4
Carol Moseley Braun 3
Al Sharpton 2
Dennis Kucinich 2
Bob Graham 2
Other 1
No one 2
No opinion 11

 

The Los Angeles Times Poll. Jan. 30-Feb. 2, 2003. N=399 registered Democrats nationwide. MoE ± 5 (total sample).

.

"I am now going to mention a list of Democrats who have either declared themselves a candidate for president in 2004 or have formed an exploratory committee to decide whether they will run for president. I realize that the first caucus and primary are more than a year away, but if the Democratic primary or caucus for president were being held in your state today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote [see below]?"

ALL Men Women
% % %
Joe Lieberman 25 12 35
John Kerry 20 24 17
John Edwards 8 9 8
Gary Hart 8 10 6
Dick Gephardt 6 8 4
Bob Graham 6 7 5
Al Sharpton 2 3 1
Howard Dean 1 2 1
Someone else (vol.) - 1 -
Don't know 24 24 23

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Robert Teeter (R). Jan. 19-21, 2003. N=1,025 adults nationwide. These questions were asked of Democrats, as well as non-Democrats who said they would vote in a Democratic presidential primary.

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"If Hillary Clinton decided to run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2004, and if the next Democratic primary for president were being held today, which one of these same candidates would you vote for: [see below]?" If "Not sure," ask: "Well, which way do you lean?"

%
Hillary Clinton 39
Joe Lieberman 13
Richard Gephardt 10
John Kerry 8
John Edwards 5
Bob Graham 4
Howard Dean 2
Al Sharpton 2
None/Other (vol.) 3
Not sure 14

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Jan. 16-20, 2003. N=1,133 adults nationwide. Results shown are among Democrats and independents who lean Democratic. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch.

         

.

 

"Suppose your state holds a Democratic primary or caucus for president in 2004 and the candidates are [see below] -- for whom would you vote?" If "Don't know": "Which one are you leaning toward right now?"

    1/03 7/02      
    % %      
  Joseph Lieberman 27 21      
  Richard Gephardt 14 13      
  John Edwards 11 7      
  John Kerry 10 10      
  Al Sharpton 7 n/a      
  Howard Dean 3 3      
  Other (vol.) 1 4      
  None (vol.) 4 n/a      
  Don't know 24 29      
  Tom Daschle n/a 14      

 

CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. Jan. 10-12, 2003. N=391 Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide who are registered to vote. MoE ± 5.
         

.

 

"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2004 . . . ."

    1/10-12/03 1/3-5/03 12/02 11/02  
    % % % %  
  Joe Lieberman 19 18 25 12  
  John Kerry 17 17 21 12  
  Dick Gephardt 13 13 14 9  
  John Edwards 12 14 5 4  
  Bob Graham 6 n/a n/a n/a  
  Gary Hart 6 n/a n/a n/a  
  Al Sharpton 4 4 4 n/a  
  Howard Dean 4 6 3 4  
  Other 2 1 3 1  
  No one 5 3 5 3  
  Undecided 12 10 10 7  
  Tom Daschle n/a 14 10 12  
  Al Gore n/a n/a n/a 36  

 

Time/CNN Poll conducted by Harris Interactive. Dec. 17-18, 2002. N=400 registered Democrats and independents who lean Democratic nationwide. MoE ± 4.9.

         

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"Thinking ahead to the 2004 presidential election, if you were asked to vote for a Democratic presidential nominee for president today, which of the following Democrats would you vote for? . . ."

    With
Clinton
Without
Clinton
     
    % %      
  Hillary Clinton 30 n/a      
  John Kerry 13 16      
  Joseph Lieberman 13 16      
  Dick Gephardt 9 10      
  Tom Daschle 7 9      
  John Edwards 4 8