White House
2004: Democratic Nomination
All data are from nationwide surveys
of Americans 18 & older. |
See also:
Political figures |
| Polls listed chronologically. |
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CBS News Poll.
Feb. 24-27, 2004.
N=546 likely Democratic primary voters nationwide. MoE ±
4. |
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. |
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"Who would you like to see the Democratic
Party nominate as its
presidential candidate in 2004:
[see below],
or someone else?"
Names rotated |
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. |
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2/24-27/04 |
2/12-15/04 |
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. |
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% |
% |
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. |
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Kerry |
57 |
53 |
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|
. |
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Edwards |
18 |
7 |
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|
. |
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Sharpton |
4 |
4 |
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|
. |
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Kucinich |
1 |
1 |
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|
. |
|
Other (vol.) |
8 |
12 |
|
|
. |
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Don't know |
12 |
15 |
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. |
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Dean |
n/a |
8 |
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|
. |
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. |
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1/12-15/04 |
12/21-22/03 |
12/14-16/03 |
11/10-13/03 |
. |
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|
% |
% |
% |
% |
. |
|
Dean |
24 |
16 |
23 |
14 |
. |
|
Clark |
12 |
10 |
10 |
9 |
. |
|
Gephardt |
11 |
9 |
6 |
12 |
. |
|
Kerry |
7 |
4 |
4 |
7 |
. |
|
Edwards |
5 |
5 |
2 |
2 |
. |
|
Lieberman |
5 |
6 |
10 |
9 |
. |
|
Braun |
4 |
6 |
1 |
4 |
. |
|
Sharpton |
3 |
2 |
5 |
3 |
. |
|
Kucinich |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
. |
|
Other (vol.) |
13 |
16 |
10 |
15 |
. |
|
Don't know |
15 |
24 |
28 |
23 |
. |
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|
Newsweek
Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates.
Feb. 19-20, 2004.
N=391 registered Democrats and independents who lean Democratic nationwide. MoE ±
6. |
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. |
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"Which of the following four
Democrats would you MOST like to see nominated as the Democratic Party's
presidential candidate this year?"
Names rotated |
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|
% |
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|
. |
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|
John Kerry |
54 |
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|
. |
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John Edwards |
19 |
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. |
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Al Sharpton |
4 |
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. |
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Dennis Kucinich |
2 |
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. |
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Howard Dean (vol.) |
3 |
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. |
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None (vol.) |
2 |
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. |
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Don't know |
16 |
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. |
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. |
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"If the Democratic presidential
race comes down to a choice between John Kerry and John Edwards, which would
you rather see as the party's candidate this fall?"
Names rotated |
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|
% |
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|
. |
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John Kerry |
63 |
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|
. |
|
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John Edwards |
26 |
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. |
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Neither (vol.) |
2 |
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. |
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Don't know |
9 |
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. |
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FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll.
Feb. 18-19, 2004.
N=345 registered
Democrats nationwide. |
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. |
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"If a 2004 Democratic primary
for president were held today, which ONE of the following candidates would
you most likely vote for?" If
"Not sure," ask: "Well,
to whom do you lean at this time?"
Names rotated |
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|
2/18-19 |
2/4-5 |
1/21-22 |
1/7-8 |
11/18-19 |
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|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
John Kerry |
58 |
54 |
29 |
7 |
8 |
|
John Edwards |
21 |
12 |
13 |
4 |
3 |
|
Someone else/Other (vol.) |
2 |
2 |
3 |
5 |
6 |
|
Wouldn't vote (vol.)/Not sure |
19 |
12 |
17 |
27 |
25 |
|
Wesley Clark |
n/a |
8 |
11 |
13 |
14 |
|
Howard Dean |
n/a |
7 |
17 |
20 |
18 |
|
Al Sharpton |
n/a |
5 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
|
Dennis Kucinich |
n/a |
- |
1 |
3 |
2 |
|
Joe Lieberman |
n/a |
n/a |
5 |
8 |
10 |
|
Dick Gephardt |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
7 |
9 |
|
Carol Moseley Braun |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
4 |
3 |
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|
. |
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|
10/14-15 |
9/23-24 |
9/9-10 |
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|
% |
% |
% |
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|
John Kerry |
10 |
10 |
17 |
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Howard Dean |
12 |
13 |
14 |
|
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John Edwards |
3 |
5 |
4 |
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Wesley Clark |
13 |
20 |
n/a |
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Joe Lieberman |
11 |
9 |
16 |
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Al Sharpton |
2 |
2 |
2 |
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|
Dennis Kucinich |
2 |
1 |
2 |
|
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Someone else/Other (vol.) |
- |
5 |
7 |
|
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Wouldn't vote (vol.)/Not sure |
35 |
21 |
26 |
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Dick Gephardt |
9 |
9 |
6 |
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Carol Moseley Braun |
3 |
2 |
3 |
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Bob Graham |
n/a |
2 |
3 |
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. |
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8/12-13 |
6/17-18 |
5/6-7 |
2/25-26 |
1/14-15 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Howard Dean |
11 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
2 |
|
Joe Lieberman |
18 |
15 |
19 |
15 |
29 |
|
John Kerry |
13 |
15 |
12 |
10 |
13 |
|
Dick Gephardt |
12 |
7 |
14 |
16 |
15 |
|
Carol Moseley Braun |
4 |
3 |
2 |
5 |
n/a |
|
John Edwards |
3 |
5 |
5 |
6 |
8 |
|
Dennis Kucinich |
2 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
n/a |
|
Al Sharpton |
5 |
2 |
5 |
4 |
5 |
|
Bob Graham |
2 |
5 |
4 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
Someone else/Other (vol.) |
5 |
8 |
3 |
5 |
8 |
|
Wouldn't vote (vol.)/Not sure |
25 |
34 |
30 |
33 |
20 |
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CNN/USA Today/Gallup
Poll. Feb. 16-17, 2004.
N=426
Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide
who are registered to vote. MoE
± 5. |
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. |
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"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may
be running in the Democratic primary for president in the next election.
After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you
would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president
in the year 2004. . . ."
Names rotated
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. |
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2/16-17 |
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. |
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|
% |
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|
. |
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John Kerry |
65 |
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|
. |
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John Edwards |
19 |
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|
. |
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Howard Dean |
8 |
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|
. |
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Dennis Kucinich |
2 |
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. |
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Al Sharpton |
- |
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. |
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Other/None/No opinion |
6 |
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. |
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. |
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2/6-8 |
1/29 - 2/1 |
1/9-11 |
1/2-5 |
12/15-16 |
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|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
John Kerry |
52 |
49 |
9 |
11 |
7 |
|
Howard Dean |
14 |
14 |
26 |
24 |
27 |
|
John Edwards |
13 |
13 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
|
Wesley Clark |
10 |
9 |
20 |
20 |
12 |
|
Al Sharpton |
4 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
6 |
|
Dennis Kucinich |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|
Other/None/No opinion |
6 |
5 |
14 |
15 |
18 |
|
Joe Lieberman |
n/a |
5 |
9 |
10 |
12 |
|
Dick Gephardt |
n/a |
n/a |
7 |
9 |
7 |
|
Carol Moseley Braun |
n/a |
n/a |
4 |
3 |
3 |
|
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|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
12/11-14 |
12/5-7 |
11/14-16 |
11/10-12 |
10/24-26 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Howard Dean |
31 |
25 |
17 |
17 |
16 |
|
Wesley Clark |
10 |
17 |
17 |
14 |
15 |
|
Joe Lieberman |
13 |
10 |
13 |
15 |
12 |
|
John Kerry |
10 |
7 |
9 |
10 |
10 |
|
Dick Gephardt |
8 |
14 |
13 |
12 |
12 |
|
John Edwards |
4 |
7 |
6 |
7 |
6 |
|
Carol Moseley Braun |
3 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
|
Al Sharpton |
5 |
3 |
5 |
3 |
6 |
|
Dennis Kucinich |
1 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
|
Other/None/No opinion |
15 |
10 |
13 |
15 |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
10/10-12 |
10/6-8 |
9/19-21 |
9/8-10 |
8/25-26 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Howard Dean |
13 |
16 |
13 |
14 |
12 |
|
Wesley Clark |
18 |
21 |
22 |
10 |
2 |
|
Joe Lieberman |
13 |
13 |
10 |
13 |
23 |
|
John Kerry |
11 |
13 |
11 |
12 |
10 |
|
Dick Gephardt |
10 |
8 |
11 |
16 |
13 |
|
John Edwards |
6 |
2 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
|
Carol Moseley Braun |
5 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
|
Al Sharpton |
6 |
6 |
4 |
2 |
4 |
|
Dennis Kucinich |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
|
Other/None/No opinion |
15 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
21 |
|
Bob Graham |
n/a |
n/a |
4 |
5 |
4 |
|
|
University
of Connecticut Poll. Feb.
12-16, 2004. N=474 registered voters
nationwide who are Democrats or lean Democratic. MoE ±
4.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Three
main candidates for the Democratic presidential
nomination are still in the race. Who would you like to see get the
nomination for president -- would you say
[see below]?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
John Kerry |
64 |
|
|
|
|
|
John Edwards |
16 |
|
|
|
|
|
Howard Dean |
8 |
|
|
|
|
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Other (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
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Don't know |
11 |
|
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|
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Time/CNN
Poll conducted by Harris Interactive.
Feb. 5-6, 2004.
N=377 registered Democrats and independents who lean Democratic nationwide. MoE ±
5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Thinking ahead to the 2004
presidential election, if you were asked to vote for a Democratic
presidential nominee for president today, which of the following Democrats
would you vote for? . . ." |
|
|
2/5-6/04 |
1/14-15/04 |
12/30/03
&
1/1/04 |
11/18-19/03 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
John Kerry |
43 |
9 |
10 |
9 |
|
|
John Edwards |
18 |
9 |
5 |
5 |
|
|
Wesley Clark |
11 |
14 |
8 |
12 |
|
|
Howard Dean |
8 |
19 |
22 |
14 |
|
|
Al Sharpton |
6 |
6 |
6 |
5 |
|
|
Dennis
Kucinich |
5 |
2 |
5 |
2 |
|
|
Other |
1 |
2 |
3 |
9 |
|
|
Not sure |
8 |
17 |
23 |
23 |
|
|
Joseph Lieberman |
n/a |
9 |
9 |
11 |
|
|
Dick Gephardt |
n/a |
8 |
7 |
6 |
|
|
Carol
Moseley Braun |
n/a |
5 |
2 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
9/3-4/03 |
7/16-17/03 |
5/21-22/03 |
2/19-20/03 |
1/15-16/03 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
John Kerry |
16 |
14 |
14 |
8 |
11 |
|
John Edwards |
7 |
6 |
7 |
7 |
12 |
|
Howard Dean |
11 |
10 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
|
Al Sharpton |
5 |
5 |
8 |
7 |
2 |
|
Dennis
Kucinich |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
n/a |
|
Other |
9 |
3 |
1 |
7 |
11 |
|
Not sure |
21 |
23 |
30 |
30 |
27 |
|
Joseph Lieberman |
13 |
16 |
13 |
16 |
21 |
|
Dick Gephardt |
7 |
12 |
13 |
13 |
10 |
|
Carol
Moseley Braun |
4 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
n/a |
|
Bob Graham |
4 |
4 |
5 |
3 |
3 |
|
|
Newsweek
Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates.
Feb. 5-6, 2004.
N=383 registered Democrats and independents who lean Democratic nationwide. MoE ±
5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Now I'm going to name six Democrats in the race
for president. After I read you their names, tell
me which ONE you would most like to see nominated
as the Democratic Party's presidential candidate this
year.
Here are the choices . . . ."
Names rotated |
|
|
2/5-6 |
1/29-30 |
1/22-23 |
1/8-9 |
12/18-19 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
John Kerry |
48 |
45 |
30 |
11 |
6 |
|
Howard Dean |
13 |
| |