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White House 2004: Democratic Nomination
All data are from nationwide surveys of Americans 18 & older.

See also:
Political figures


Polls listed chronologically.

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CBS News Poll. Feb. 24-27, 2004. N=546 likely Democratic primary voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.

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"Who would you like to see the Democratic Party nominate as its presidential candidate in 2004: [see below],  or someone else?" Names rotated

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2/24-27/04 2/12-15/04

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% %

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Kerry 57 53

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Edwards 18 7

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Sharpton 4 4

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Kucinich 1 1

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Other (vol.) 8 12

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Don't know 12 15

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Dean n/a 8

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1/12-15/04 12/21-22/03 12/14-16/03 11/10-13/03

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% % % %

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Dean 24 16 23 14

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Clark 12 10 10 9

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Gephardt 11 9 6 12

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Kerry 7 4 4 7

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Edwards 5 5 2 2

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Lieberman 5 6 10 9

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Braun 4 6 1 4

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Sharpton 3 2 5 3

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Kucinich 1 2 1 2

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Other (vol.) 13 16 10 15

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Don't know 15 24 28 23

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Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. Feb. 19-20, 2004. N=391 registered Democrats and independents who lean Democratic nationwide. MoE ± 6.

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"Which of the following four Democrats would you MOST like to see nominated as the Democratic Party's presidential candidate this year?" Names rotated

%

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John Kerry 54

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John Edwards 19

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Al Sharpton 4

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Dennis Kucinich 2

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Howard Dean (vol.) 3

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None (vol.) 2

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Don't know 16

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"If the Democratic presidential race comes down to a choice between John Kerry and John Edwards, which would you rather see as the party's candidate this fall?" Names rotated

%

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John Kerry 63

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John Edwards 26

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Neither (vol.) 2

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Don't know 9

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FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Feb. 18-19, 2004. N=345 registered Democrats nationwide.

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"If a 2004 Democratic primary for president were held today, which ONE of the following candidates would you most likely vote for?" If "Not sure," ask: "Well, to whom do you lean at this time?" Names rotated

  2/18-19 2/4-5 1/21-22 1/7-8 11/18-19
  % % % % %
John Kerry 58 54 29 7 8
John Edwards 21 12 13 4 3
Someone else/Other (vol.) 2 2 3 5 6
Wouldn't vote (vol.)/Not sure 19 12 17 27 25
Wesley Clark n/a 8 11 13 14
Howard Dean n/a 7 17 20 18
Al Sharpton n/a 5 3 2 2
Dennis Kucinich n/a - 1 3 2
Joe Lieberman n/a n/a 5 8 10
Dick Gephardt n/a n/a n/a 7 9
Carol Moseley Braun n/a n/a n/a 4 3

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  10/14-15 9/23-24 9/9-10    
  % % %    
John Kerry 10 10 17    
Howard Dean 12 13 14    
John Edwards 3 5 4    
Wesley Clark 13 20 n/a    
Joe Lieberman 11 9 16    
Al Sharpton 2 2 2    
Dennis Kucinich 2 1 2    
Someone else/Other (vol.) - 5 7    
Wouldn't vote (vol.)/Not sure 35 21 26    
Dick Gephardt 9 9 6    
Carol Moseley Braun 3 2 3    
Bob Graham n/a 2 3    

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  8/12-13 6/17-18 5/6-7 2/25-26 1/14-15
  % % % % %
Howard Dean 11 4 5 4 2
Joe Lieberman 18 15 19 15 29
John Kerry 13 15 12 10 13
Dick Gephardt 12 7 14 16 15
Carol Moseley Braun 4 3 2 5 n/a
John Edwards 3 5 5 6 8
Dennis Kucinich 2 2 1 2 n/a
Al Sharpton 5 2 5 4 5
Bob Graham 2 5 4 n/a n/a
Someone else/Other (vol.) 5 8 3 5 8
Wouldn't vote (vol.)/Not sure 25 34 30 33 20

 

CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. Feb. 16-17, 2004. N=426 Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide who are registered to vote. MoE ± 5.

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"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2004. . . ." Names rotated

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  2/16-17

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  %

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John Kerry 65

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John Edwards 19

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Howard Dean 8

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Dennis Kucinich 2

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Al Sharpton -

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Other/None/No opinion 6

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  2/6-8 1/29 - 2/1 1/9-11 1/2-5 12/15-16
  % % % % %
John Kerry 52 49 9 11 7
Howard Dean 14 14 26 24 27
John Edwards 13 13 7 6 6
Wesley Clark 10 9 20 20 12
Al Sharpton 4 3 3 2 6
Dennis Kucinich 1 2 1 2 2
Other/None/No opinion 6 5 14 15 18
Joe Lieberman n/a 5 9 10 12
Dick Gephardt n/a n/a 7 9 7
Carol Moseley Braun n/a n/a 4 3 3

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  12/11-14 12/5-7 11/14-16 11/10-12 10/24-26
  % % % % %
Howard Dean 31 25 17 17 16
Wesley Clark 10 17 17 14 15
Joe Lieberman 13 10 13 15 12
John Kerry 10 7 9 10 10
Dick Gephardt 8 14 13 12 12
John Edwards 4 7 6 7 6
Carol Moseley Braun 3 5 4 4 4
Al Sharpton 5 3 5 3 6
Dennis Kucinich 1 2 3 3 1
Other/None/No opinion 15 10 13 15 18

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  10/10-12 10/6-8 9/19-21 9/8-10 8/25-26
  % % % % %
Howard Dean 13 16 13 14 12
Wesley Clark 18 21 22 10 2
Joe Lieberman 13 13 10 13 23
John Kerry 11 13 11 12 10
Dick Gephardt 10 8 11 16 13
John Edwards 6 2 4 5 5
Carol Moseley Braun 5 4 3 4 5
Al Sharpton 6 6 4 2 4
Dennis Kucinich 3 2 2 2 1
Other/None/No opinion 15 15 16 17 21
Bob Graham n/a n/a 4 5 4

 

University of Connecticut Poll. Feb. 12-16, 2004. N=474 registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or lean Democratic. MoE ± 4.5.

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"Three main candidates for the Democratic presidential nomination are still in the race. Who would you like to see get the nomination for president -- would you say [see below]?"

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%        
John Kerry 64        
John Edwards 16        
Howard Dean 8        
Other (vol.) 1        
Don't know 11        

 

Time/CNN Poll conducted by Harris Interactive. Feb. 5-6, 2004. N=377 registered Democrats and independents who lean Democratic nationwide. MoE ± 5.

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"Thinking ahead to the 2004 presidential election, if you were asked to vote for a Democratic presidential nominee for president today, which of the following Democrats would you vote for? . . ."

2/5-6/04

1/14-15/04

12/30/03
& 1/1/04

11/18-19/03

%

%

%

%

John Kerry 43 9 10 9
John Edwards 18 9 5 5
Wesley Clark 11 14 8 12
Howard Dean 8 19 22 14
Al Sharpton 6 6 6 5
Dennis Kucinich 5 2 5 2
Other 1 2 3 9
Not sure 8 17 23 23
Joseph Lieberman n/a 9 9 11
Dick Gephardt n/a 8 7 6
Carol Moseley Braun n/a 5 2 4

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  9/3-4/03 7/16-17/03 5/21-22/03 2/19-20/03 1/15-16/03

%

%

%

%

%

John Kerry 16 14 14 8 11
John Edwards 7 6 7 7 12
Howard Dean 11 10 4 3 3
Al Sharpton 5 5 8 7 2
Dennis Kucinich 3 3 2 2 n/a
Other 9 3 1 7 11
Not sure 21 23 30 30 27
Joseph Lieberman 13 16 13 16 21
Dick Gephardt 7 12 13 13 10
Carol Moseley Braun 4 4 3 4 n/a
Bob Graham 4 4 5 3 3

 

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. Feb. 5-6, 2004. N=383 registered Democrats and independents who lean Democratic nationwide. MoE ± 5.

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"Now I'm going to name six Democrats in the race for president. After I read you their names, tell me which ONE you would most like to see nominated as the Democratic Party's presidential candidate this year. Here are the choices . . . ." Names rotated

2/5-6 1/29-30 1/22-23 1/8-9 12/18-19
% % % % %
John Kerry 48 45 30 11 6
Howard Dean 13