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   White House 2008: Democratic Nomination (p. 2)


Polls listed chronologically.

STATE POLLS are in our subscriber area. INFO     

.

         

ABC News/Facebook poll. Dec. 16-19, 2007. N=1,142 adults nationwide. Fieldwork by TNS. Results below are among leaned Democrats.

.

"If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?"

.

%        
Hillary Clinton

44

       
Barack Obama

27

       
John Edwards

11

       
Dennis Kucinich

3

       
Joe Biden

2

       
Bill Richardson

2

       
Chris Dodd

-

       
Other/None (vol.)

4

       
Unsure

7

       

 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Dec. 14-16, 2007. N=513 Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide. MoE ± 5.

.

"Suppose the choice for the Democratic presidential nomination narrows down to Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. Which one would you prefer the Democratic Party nominate for president: Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama?" Names rotated

.

Clinton Obama Unsure    
% % %    

12/14-16/07

55

38

6

   

11/2-4/07

60

33

7

   
9/7-8/07

63

32

5

   
8/13-16/07

61

34

5

   
8/3-5/07

59

36

5

   
7/12-15/07

54

42

4

   

6/11-14/07

53

42

5

   

6/1-3/07

49

46

5

   

5/10-13/07

54

40

7

   

5/4-6/07

56

37

7

   

4/13-15/07

53

41

6

   

4/2-5/07

61

33

6

   

3/23-25/07

56

37

6

   

3/2-4/07

56

36

8

   

2/9-11/07

62

33

5

   

1/12-14/07

53

39

8

   

 

George Washington University Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). Dec. 9-12, 2007. N=1,013 likely voters nationwide. Results below are among Democratic primary voters.

.

"If the Democratic primary for president was held today and you had to make a choice from this list of candidates, for whom would you vote: [see below]?" If unsure: "And which candidate do you lean toward slightly?"

.

%        
Hillary Clinton

47

       
Barack Obama

24

       
John Edwards

13

       
Bill Richardson

4

       
Joe Biden

3

       
Dennis Kucinich

2

       
Chris Dodd

-

       
Unsure

8

       

 

Associated Press/Pew Research Center poll conducted by Schulman, Ronca, & Bucuvalas. Nov. 20-26, 2007. N=467 likely Democratic primary voters nationwide. MoE ± 5.

.

"Which one of the following Democratic candidates would be your first choice for president: [see below]?" If unsure: "Just as of today, would you say you LEAN toward [see below]?" Names rotated

.

%        

Hillary Clinton

48        

Barack Obama

22        

John Edwards

11        

Joe Biden

3        

Bill Richardson

3        

Chris Dodd

1        

Dennis Kucinich

1        

Mike Gravel

0        

Other (vol.)

2        

None (vol.)

1        

Refused

9        

 

Gallup Poll. Nov. 11-14, 2007. N=485 Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide. MoE ± 5.

.

"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2008, or if you would support someone else. . . ." Names rotated

.

11/11-14/07 11/2-4/07      
% %      
Hillary Clinton

42

43

     
Al Gore

17

14

     
Barack Obama

16

18

     
John Edwards

9

14

     
Dennis Kucinich

4

1

     
Bill Richardson

1

3

     
Joe Biden

1

1

     
Christopher Dodd

1

1

     
Mike Gravel

1

-

     
None (vol.)/Unsure

8

4

     
       
10/12-14/07 10/4-7/07 9/14-16/07 9/7-8/07 8/13-16/07
% % % % %
Hillary Clinton

44

43

40

39

42

Barack Obama

19

24

21

19

21

Al Gore

14

10

15

16

15

John Edwards

10

10

9

14

11

Bill Richardson

3

4

5

1

1

Joe Biden

2

2

3

2

1

Dennis Kucinich

1

1

1

2

1

Christopher Dodd

-

-

1

1

1

Mike Gravel

-

-

1

1

-

Someone else

1

1

-

2

1

None (vol.)/Unsure

5

5

4

4

5

       
8/3-5/07 7/12-15/07 7/6-8/07 6/11-14/07 6/1-3/07
% % % % %
Hillary Clinton

42

34

37

33

29

Barack Obama

19

25

21

21

30

Al Gore

18

16

16

18

17

John Edwards

10

9

13

11

11

Joe Biden

3

3

3

3

3

Bill Richardson

3

4

2

5

3

Dennis Kucinich

1

1

2

1

-

Christopher Dodd

-

1

-

-

-

Mike Gravel

-

-

1

1

-

Someone else

1

-

-

1

1

None (vol.)/Unsure

4

6

5

7

4

       
5/10-13/07 5/4-6/07 4/13-15/07 4/2-5/07 3/23-25/07
% % % % %
Hillary Clinton

35

38

31

38

35

Barack Obama

26

23

26

19

22

Al Gore

16

14

15

14

17

John Edwards

12

12

16

15

14

Joe Biden

2

2

1

1

1

Bill Richardson

2

2

3

2

3

Wesley Clark

1

1

1

3

1

Christopher Dodd

1

-

1

-

-

Al Sharpton

1

-

2

-

-

Dennis Kucinich

-

1

1

-

-

Mike Gravel

-

-

1

1

-

Someone else

1

1

-

2

-

None (vol.)

-

1

1

1

2

Unsure

4

4

3

5

4

       
3/2-4/07 2/9-11/07 1/12-14/07 12/11-14/06 11/9-12/06
% % % % %
Hillary Rodham Clinton

36

40

29

33

31

Barack Obama

22

21

18

20

19

Al Gore

18

14

11

12

9

John Edwards

9

13

13

8

10

Joe Biden

3

1

5

3

4

Wesley Clark

2

1

2

2

3

Mike Gravel

1

-

n/a

n/a

n/a

Bill Richardson

1

4

3

2

2

Christopher Dodd

-

1

1

1

1

Dennis Kucinich

-

-

-

-

n/a

Al Sharpton

-

-

1

n/a

n/a

Someone else

1

-

2

2

2

None (vol.)

3

1

2

3

1

All/Any (vol.)

-

-

-

1

-

Unsure

4

3

4

5

6

Tom Vilsack

n/a

-

-

1

1

John Kerry

n/a

n/a

8

6

7

Evan Bayh

n/a

n/a

n/a

1

2

Russ Feingold

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

1

Tom Daschle

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

1


 

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Oct. 31-Nov. 1, 2007. N=433 registered Democrats and leaners nationwide. MoE ± 6.

.

"Now I’m going to name seven Democratic presidential candidates. After I read all the names, tell me which ONE you would most like to see nominated as the Democratic Party’s presidential candidate in 2008. The choices are [see below]?" Names rotated

.

10/31 - 11/1/07 8/1-2/07 6/21/07    
% % %    
Hillary Clinton

43

44

43

   
Barack Obama

24

23

27

   
John Edwards

12

14

14

   
Joe Biden

4

3

1

   
Dennis Kucinich

4

2

3

   
Bill Richardson

3

1

2

   
Chris Dodd

-

1

1

   
Other

-

0

1

   
None/No preference

3

4

1

   
Unsure

7

7

7

   
Mike Gravel

n/a

1

-

   
Michael Bloomberg

n/a

n/a

1

   

 

WNBC/Marist Poll. Oct. 29-Nov. 1, 2007. N=385 Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide. MoE ± 5.

.

"If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

.

10/29 -
11/1/07
       
%        
Hillary Clinton

48

       
Barack Obama

17

       
John Edwards

10

       
Bill Richardson

3

       
Joe Biden

1

       
Dennis Kucinich

1

       
Chris Dodd

1

       
Mike Gravel

-

       
Unsure

19

       

.

4/26 - 5/1/07 2/12-15/07 11/27 - 12/3/06 9/18-20/06 2/13-15/06
% % % % %
Hillary Clinton

35

37

33

35

33

Barack Obama

17

17

12

n/a

n/a

John Edwards

15

11

14

10

16

Al Gore

9

11

13

16

17

Bill Richardson

3

2

1

1

2

Joe Biden

2

2

3

5

4

Dennis Kucinich

1

-

n/a

n/a

n/a

Chris Dodd

1

-

-

1

n/a

Wesley Clark

-

1

1

1

3

Mike Gravel

-

1

n/a

n/a

n/a

Unsure

17

17

16

16

9

Al Sharpton

n/a

1

-

n/a

n/a

Tom Vilsack

n/a

-

1

-

-

John Kerry

n/a

n/a

5

9

11

Evan Bayh

n/a

n/a

1

1

3

Mark Warner

n/a

n/a

n/a

2

2

Tom Daschle

n/a

n/a

n/a

2

n/a

Russ Feingold

n/a

n/a

n/a

1

n/a


 

Quinnipiac University Poll. Oct. 23-29, 2007. N=742 registered Democrats nationwide. MoE ± 3.6.

.

"If the 2008 Democratic primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?"

.

10/23-29/07 8/7-13/07 6/5-11/07 4/25 - 5/1/07 2/13-19/07
% % % % %
Hillary Clinton

47

36

35

32

38

Barack Obama

21

21

21

18

23

John Edwards

12

9

9

12

6

Bill Richardson

3

3

2

3

2

Dennis Kucinich

2

1

1

2

1

Joe Biden

1

2

1

2

1

Chris Dodd

1

-

-

1

-

Mike Gravel

-

-

-

-

n/a

Other (vol.)

1

1

1

1

1

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

2

-

1

-

1

Unsure

11

10

11

15

13

Al Gore

n/a

15

18

14

11

Wesley Clark

n/a

n/a

n/a

-

2

Tom Vilsack

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

-


 

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Oct. 23-24, 2007. N=329 Democratic voters nationwide. MoE ± 5.

.

"If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were [see below]?" Names rotated

.

10/23-24/07 10/9-10/07      
% %      
Hillary Clinton

37

44

     
Barack Obama

23

17

     
Al Gore

13

10

     
John Edwards

11

9

     
Bill Richardson

2

3

     
Dennis Kucinich

1

2

     
Joseph Biden

1

1

     
Chris Dodd

-

1

     
Mike Gravel

-

-

     
Other (vol.)

1

-

     
Unsure

11

11

     
Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1

2

     

.

9/11-12/07 8/21-22/07 7/17-18/07 6/26-27/07 6/5-6/07
% % % % %
Hillary Clinton

39

35

39

42

36

Barack Obama

20

23

23

19

23

John Edwards

13

6

9

10

12

Al Gore

9

10

9

14

14

Dennis Kucinich

2

3

3

2

1

Joseph Biden

1

2

1

1

1

Chris Dodd

1

1

-

1

-

Bill Richardson

1

3

2

1

1

Mike Gravel

-

-

-

1

1

Other (vol.)

-

1

1

-

-

Unsure

11

13

11

6

9

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

2

3

2

3

2

.

5/15-16/07 4/17-18/07 3/27-28/07 2/27-28/07 1/30-31/07
% % % % %
Hillary Clinton

35

41

36

34

43

Barack Obama

20

20

18

23

15

John Edwards

13

12

13

12

12

Al Gore

13

16

14

14

11

Bill Richardson

4

2

2

1

2

Joseph Biden

-

1

1

1

4

Chris Dodd

-

-

-

-

-

Mike Gravel

-

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

Dennis Kucinich

-

2

2

1

-

Other (vol.)

1

-

1

-

2

Unsure

13

5

12

12

9

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

2

1

2

1

1

Tom Vilsack

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

-

.

12/5-6/06 8/29-30/06 3/14-15/06 9/27-28/05 6/14-15/05
% % % % %
Hillary Clinton

33

32

43

42

44

Barack Obama

12

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

Al Gore

11

15

12

11

n/a

John Edwards

8

9

11

14

13

John Kerry

6

13

10

14

17

Evan Bayh

2

2

2

n/a

1

Joseph Biden

2

4

4

5

6

Tom Vilsack

2

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

Wesley Clark

1

4

4

1

2

Bill Richardson

1

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

Other (vol.)

3

-

-

3

2

Unsure

20

18

10

8

13

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

-

1

1

2

1

Mark Warner

n/a

2

3

1

1


 

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Oct. 17-23, 2007. N=837 registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or lean Democratic. MoE ± 4.

.

"I'm going to read you the names of some Democratic presidential candidates. Who would you most like to see nominated as the Democratic Party's candidate for president in 2008: [see below]?" If unsure: "Is there anyone you are leaning toward as of today?" Names rotated

.

10/17-23/07 9/12-16/07      
% %      
Hillary Clinton

45

42

     
Barack Obama

24

25

     
John Edwards

12

14

     
Dennis Kucinich

4

2

     
Joe Biden

2

2

     
Bill Richardson

2

3

     
Chris Dodd

1

1

     
Other (vol.)

-

1

     
None (vol.)

3

2

     
Unsure

7

8

     

 

CBS News Poll. Oct. 12-16, 2007. N=456 Democratic primary voters nationwide. MoE ± 5.

.

"Suppose the race for the Democratic Party's presidential nomination in 2008 comes down to a choice among Hillary Rodham Clinton, Barack Obama, and John Edwards. Who would you most like to see nominated: Clinton, Obama, Edwards -- or would you rather see someone else nominated?" Names rotated

.

Hillary
Clinton
Barack
Obama
John
Edwards
Other/
None
Unsure
% % % % %

10/12-16/07

51 23 13 7 6

9/14-16/07

43 22 16 7 12

9/4-9/07

44 26 17 6 7

8/8-12/07

45 25 14 7 9

7/9-17/07

43 24 16 9 8

6/26-28/07

48 24 11 8 9

5/18-23/07

46 24 14 11 5

4/9-12/07

39 24 21 6 10

3/26-27/07

36 28 18 5 13

.

"Suppose Al Gore decided to run for president. If the race for the Democratic Party's nomination in 2008 comes down to a choice among Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, Al Gore, and Barack Obama, who would you like to see nominated: Clinton, Edwards, Gore, Obama, or someone else?"

.

Hillary
Clinton
Al Gore Barack
Obama
John
Edwards
Other/None/
Unsure
% % % % %

10/12-16/07

37 32 16 7 8

 

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Oct. 12-14, 2007. N=485 registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or independents who lean to the Democratic Party. MoE ± 4.5.

.

"Please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2008 . . . ." Names rotated

.

10/12-14/07 9/7-9/07      
% %      

Hillary Clinton

46

39

     

Barack Obama

17

20

     

Al Gore

14

13

     

John Edwards

12

15

     

Bill Richardson

3

4

     

Joe Biden

1

2

     

Christopher Dodd

1

-

     

Mike Gravel

1

1

     

Dennis Kucinich

1

3

     

Unsure

4

3

     

.

8/6-8/07 6/22-24/07 5/4-6/07 4/10-12/07 3/9-11/07
% % % % %

Hillary Clinton

40

35

38

30

37

Barack Obama

21

23

24

26

22

John Edwards

13

13

12

12

12

Al Gore

11

16

12

15

14

Bill Richardson

5

4

5

3

3

Joe Biden

2

2

2

1

1

Dennis Kucinich

2

1

1

1

1

Christopher Dodd

-

-

2

1

-

Mike Gravel

-

-

-

n/a

n/a

Unsure

6

5

6

7

9

Wesley Clark

n/a

n/a

n/a

3

1

Al Sharpton

n/a

n/a

n/a

1

-

.

1/19-21/07 12/5-7/06 11/17-19/06 10/27-29/06 8/30 - 9/2/06
% % % % %

Hillary Rodham Clinton

34

37

33

28

38

Barack Obama

18

15

15

17

n/a

John Edwards

15

9

14

13

12

Al Gore

10

14

14

13

19

John Kerry

5

7

7

12

9

Joe Biden

3

2

3

2

3

Wesley Clark

2

2

4

n/a

n/a

Dennis Kucinich

2

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

Bill Richardson

2

2

3

2

3

Christopher Dodd

1

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

Al Sharpton

1

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

Tom Vilsack

1

1

1

1

-

Unsure

7

10

4

8

8

Evan Bayh

n/a

1

2

2

2

Russ Feingold

n/a

n/a

n/a

2

3

Mark Warner

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

3


 

Associated Press-Ipsos poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. Oct. 1-3, 2007. N=482 Democrats and leaners nationwide. MoE ± 4.4.

.

"If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?"

.

10/1-3/07        
%        
Hillary Clinton

42

       
Barack Obama

20

       
Al Gore

12

       
John Edwards

9

       
Joe Biden

2

       
Bill Richardson

2

       
Chris Dodd

1

       
None (vol.)

3

       
Unsure

9

       

.

9/21-25/07 9/10-12/07 7/9-11/07 6/4-6/07 3/5-7/07
% % % % %
Hillary Clinton

35

34

36

33

38

Barack Obama

23

20

20

21

21

Al Gore

12

16

15

20

14

John Edwards

9

10

11

12

10

Bill Richardson

3

4

2

3

4

Joe Biden

2

3

2

1

1

Chris Dodd

1

1

1

-

-

Other (vol.)

1

-

-

-

-

None (vol.)

5

4

4

3

5

Unsure

9

8

9

7

7


 

Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll. Sept. 13-16, 2007. N=405 Democratic primary voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.9.

.

"I am going to read a list of people who might seek the Democratic nomination for president in 2008, and I will read the list twice. I would like you to tell me who would be your FIRST CHOICE for the nomination. . . ."  Names rotated

.

Without Gore (recalculated, based on second choice of Gore voters):

.

9/13-16/07        
%        
Hillary Rodham Clinton

36

       
Barack Obama

23

       
John Edwards

18

       
Dennis Kucinich

3

       
Bill Richardson

3

       
Joe Biden

2

       
Chris Dodd

1

       
Mike Gravel

-

       
Other (vol.)

2

       
Unsure

12

       

.

8/2-5/07 6/21-23/07 6/15-17/07 5/11-13/07 4/27-29/07
% % % % %
Hillary Rodham Clinton

43

35

32

40

36

Barack Obama

23

24

22

25

26

John Edwards

10

15

16

13

18

Bill Richardson

5

1

4

2

4

Joe Biden

2

3

1

2

2

Dennis Kucinich

1

2

1

1

-

Chris Dodd

-

1

1

2

1

Mike Gravel

-

-

1

2

-

Other (vol.)

2

3

2

1

-

Unsure

14

17

21

12

12


 

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Sept. 11-12, 2007. N=396 Democratic voters nationwide. MoE ± 5.

.

"If Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama were the only choices in the Democratic primary, how would you vote?" Names rotated

.

Hillary
Clinton
Barack
Obama
Unsure Wouldn't
Vote (vol.)
 
% % % %  

9/11-12/07

55

39

5

2

 

3/27-28/07

52

32

11

5

 

2/13-14/07

49

32

14

5

 

12/5-6/06

52

30

16

1

 

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Sept. 4-7, 2007. N=467 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents nationwide. MoE ± 4.5. Fieldwork by TNS.

.

"If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" Names rotated. For 7/07 and earlier, includes second choices of Gore supporters.

.

9/4-7/07 7/18-21/07 5/29 - 6/1/07 4/12-15/07 2/22-25/07
% % % % %
Hillary Clinton

41

45

42

41

43

Barack Obama

27

30

27

25

27

John Edwards

14

12

11

17

14

Joe Biden

3

2

2

2

2

Dennis Kucinich

2

1

2

1

-

Bill Richardson

2

3

2

3

3

Chris Dodd

1

1

1

-

-

Mike Gravel

1

0

-

-

-

Other (vol.)

1

1

-

-

-

None of these (vol.)

4

2

4

3

4

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

0

2

1

1

1

Unsure

5

2

6

5

4

Wesley Clark

n/a

n/a

n/a

1

-

Tom Vilsack

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

-

.

"Overall, how satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the choice of candidates for the Democratic nomination for president this year -- are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied?"

.

Satisfied Dissatisfied Unsure    
% % %    

9/4-7/07

78

21

2

   

7/18-21/07

83

16

1

   

5/29 - 6/1/07

79

18

2

   

4/12-15/07

80

18

2

   

2/22-25/07

86

12

2

   

 

CBS News Poll. Aug. 8-12, 2007. N=492 Democratic primary voters nationwide.

.

"Are you generally satisfied with the candidates now running for the Democratic nomination for president, or do you wish there were more choices?"

.

Satisfied More Choices Unsure    
% % %    

8/8-12/07

67 28 5    

7/9-17/07

61 37 2    

6/26-28/07

61 35 4    

5/18-23/07

63 35 2    

 

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas. July 25-29, 2007. N=623 registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or lean Democratic. Prior surveys conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International.

.

"I'm going to read you the names of some possible Democratic presidential candidates. Who would you most like to see nominated as the Democratic Party's candidate for president in 2008: [see below]?" If unsure: "Is there anyone you are leaning toward as of today?" Names rotated

.

7/25-29/07 4/18-22/07 3/21-25/07    
% % %    
Hillary Clinton

40

34

35

   
Barack Obama

21

24

26

   
Al Gore

12

14

12

   
John Edwards

11

18

16

   
Bill Richardson

2

1

1

   
Dennis Kucinich

2

1

-

   
Joe Biden

2

1

1

   
Chris Dodd

1

-

-

   
Other (vol.)

1

-

-

   
None (vol.)

2

5

3

   
Unsure

6

2

6

   

 

Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll. June 7-10, 2007. N=449 Democratic primary voters nationwide. MoE ± 5.

.

"What if the primary or caucus in your state was narrowed down to Hillary Rodham Clinton, John Edwards and Barack Obama? Regardless of your choice for president, if the election were being held today for whom would you vote: Clinton, Edwards or Obama?"  Names rotated. Results include leaners.

.

Clinton Obama Edwards Other (vol.)/
Unsure
 
% % % %  
6/7-10/07

42

32

20

6

 
4/5-9/07

42

32

20

6

 

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. July 18-21, 2007. N=606 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents nationwide. MoE ± 4. Fieldwork by TNS.

.

"If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" Names rotated

.

7/18-21/07        
%        
Hillary Clinton

39

       
Barack Obama

28

       
Al Gore

14

       
John Edwards

9

       
Bill Richardson

2

       
Joe Biden

2

       
Dennis Kucinich

1

       
Chris Dodd

-

       
Mike Gravel

0

       
None of these (vol.)

2

       
Wouldn't vote (vol.)

2

       
Unsure

2

       

.

5/29 - 6/1/07 4/12-15/07 2/22-25/07 1/16-19/07 12/7-11/06
% % % % %
Hillary Clinton

35

37

36

41

39

Barack Obama

23

20

24

17

17

Al Gore

17

17

14

10

10

John Edwards

8

14

12

11

12

Joe Biden

2

2

1

3

2

Bill Richardson

2

3

3

1

2

Chris Dodd

1

-

-

-

-

Dennis Kucinich

1

1

-

1

n/a

Mike Gravel

-

-

0

-

n/a

None of these (vol.)

4

3

3

2

2

Other (vol.)

-

-

-

1

-

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1

-

1

-

1

Unsure

5

2

3

3

4

Wesley Clark

n/a

1

-

1

1

Tom Vilsack

n/a

n/a

-

-

1

John Kerry

n/a

n/a

n/a

8

7

Evan Bayh

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

1


 

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. July 2-3, 2007. N=484 registered Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide. MoE ± 5.

.

"Suppose the race for the Democratic Party's presidential nomination next year comes down to a choice between [see below]. Who would you MOST like to see nominated?" If other/unsure: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward [see below]?"

.

Hillary
Clinton
Barack
Obama
Unsure    
% % %    

7/2-3/07

56 33 11    

5/2-3/07

51 39 10    

2/28 - 3/1/07

52 38 10    

1/24-25/07

55 35 10    

 

Diageo/Hotline Poll conducted by Financial Dynamics. May 16-20, 2007. N=261 Democratic primary voters nationwide.

.

"If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidates were [see below]?" If "All": "If you absolutely had to choose, which one person would you support?" Names rotated

.

%        
Hillary Clinton 31        
Barack Obama 21        
Al Gore 13        
John Edwards 10        
Dennis Kucinich 2        
Bill Richardson 2        
Joe Biden -        
Christopher Dodd -        
Mike Gravel -        
All of these (vol.) 2        
None of these (vol.) 2        
Unsure 16        

 

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. May 15-16, 2007. N=900 registered voters nationwide. Results below are among Democratic voters (MoE ± 5).

.

"If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were [see below]?" Names rotated

.

Without Clinton (recalculated, based on second choice of Clinton voters):

.

%        
Barack Obama

34

       
Al Gore

23

       
John Edwards

16

       
Bill Richardson

5

       
Joseph Biden

1

       
Chris Dodd

-

       
Mike Gravel

-

       
Dennis Kucinich

-

       

.

Without Obama (recalculated, based on second choice of Obama voters):

.

%        
Hillary Clinton

47

       
Al Gore

15

       
John Edwards

15

       
Bill Richardson

4

       
Joseph Biden

1

       
Chris Dodd

-

       
Mike Gravel

-

       
Dennis Kucinich

-

       

.

Without Edwards (recalculated, based on second choice of Edwards voters):

.

%        
Hillary Clinton

39

       
Barack Obama

23

       
Al Gore

14

       
Bill Richardson

4

       
Joseph Biden

1

       
Mike Gravel

1

       
Dennis Kucinich

1

       
Chris Dodd

-

       

 

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. May 4-6, 2007. N=454 registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or independents who lean to the Democratic Party. MoE ± 4.5.

.

"How satisfied are you with the field of Democratic candidates running for president? Are you very satisfied, fairly satisfied, not very satisfied, or not satisfied at all?"

.

Very
Satisfied
Fairly
Satisfied
Not Very
Satisfied
Not at All
Satisfied
Unsure
% % % % %

5/4-6/07

38

46

10

4

3


 

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. May 2-3, 2007. N=422 registered Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide. MoE ± 6.

.

"Suppose the race for the Democratic Party's presidential nomination next year comes down to a choice between [see below]. Who would you MOST like to see nominated?" If other/unsure: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward [see below]?"

.

Hillary
Clinton
John
Edwards
Unsure    
% % %    

5/2-3/07

57 38 5    

2/28 - 3/1/07

63 32 5    

1/24-25/07

62 29 9    

.

Barack
Obama
John
Edwards
Unsure    
% % %    

5/2-3/07

49 41 10    

2/28 - 3/1/07

49 42 9    

1/24-25/07

46 39 15    

.

"All in all, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the choice of candidates running for your party's presidential nomination?"

.

Satisfied Dissatisfied Unsure    
% % %    

5/2-3/07

77 14 9    

 

Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll. April 27-29, 2007. N=303 registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or lean Democratic. MoE ± 5.6.

.

"I am going to read a list of people who might seek the Democratic nomination for president in 2008, and I will read the list twice. I would like you to tell me who would be your FIRST CHOICE for the nomination. . . ."  Names rotated

.

Without Gore or Clinton (recalculated, based on second choice of Gore and Clinton voters):

.

%        
Barack Obama

43

       
John Edwards

29

       
Bill Richardson

5

       
Joe Biden

2

       
Chris Dodd

2

       
Dennis Kucinich

1

       
Mike Gravel

-

       
Other (vol.)

1

       
Unsure

17

       

.

Without Gore or Edwards (recalculated, based on second choice of Gore and Edwards voters):

.

%        
Hillary Rodham Clinton

43

       
Barack Obama

32

       
Bill Richardson

6

       
Joe Biden

3

       
Chris Dodd

2

       
Dennis Kucinich

1

       
Mike Gravel

-

       
Unsure

13

       

 

Time Poll conducted by Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. April 5-9, 2007. N=493 registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or lean Democratic. MoE ± 4.

.

"What if your choices for the Democratic nomination were just Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama and John Edwards -- which one would you vote for if you had to decide today?" Names rotated

.

4/5-9/07 3/23-26/07 3/9-12/07 2/23-26/07  
% % % %  
Hillary Rodham Clinton

33

38

42

42

 
Barack Obama

26

30

31

30

 
John Edwards

25

26

17

22

 
Other (vol.)

-

-

1

-

 
Will not vote (vol.)

3

1

2

2

 
Unsure

13

4

8

4

 

 

Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll. March 29-April 1, 2007. N=355 registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or lean Democratic. MoE ± 5.2.

.

"I am going to read a list of people who might seek the Democratic nomination for president in 2008, and I will read the list twice. I would like you to tell me who would be your FIRST CHOICE for the nomination. . . ."  Names rotated

.

3/29 - 4/1/07 2/15-18/07 11/9-12/06 8/25-27/06 6/1-4/06
% % % % %
Hillary Rodham Clinton

41

42

34

32

31

John Edwards

19

16

9

11

11

Barack Obama

17

20

20

n/a

n/a

Joe Biden

4

1

4

5

4

Bill Richardson

3

5

2

2

2

Wesley Clark

-

1

2

1

3

Chris Dodd

-

-

-

1

1

Dennis Kucinich

-

1

n/a

n/a

n/a

Mike Gravel

-

1

n/a

n/a

n/a

Other (vol.)

1

1

n/a

n/a

n/a

Unsure

16

11

11

11

10

Tom Vilsack

n/a

1

1

1

-

Al Gore

n/a

n/a

11

19

18

John Kerry

n/a

n/a

4

9

14

Evan Bayh

n/a

n/a

1

2

2

Russ Feingold

n/a

n/a

1

3

2

Mark Warner

n/a

n/a

n/a

2

3

.

Without Obama (recalculated, based on second choice of Obama voters):

.

3/29 - 4/1/07 2/15-18/07 11/9-12/06
% % %
Hillary Rodham Clinton

50

53

45

 

 

John Edwards

22

19

12

 

 

Joe Biden

4

3

4

 

 

Bill Richardson

3

7

2

 

 

Wesley Clark

-

1

2

 

 

Mike Gravel

-

1

n/a

 

 

Dennis Kucinich

-

1

n/a

 

 

Chris Dodd

-

-

-

 

 

Other (vol.)

1

1

n/a

 

 

Unsure

19

12

13

 

 

Tom Vilsack

n/a

1

1

 

 

Al Gore

n/a

n/a

13

 

 

John Kerry

n/a

n/a

5

 

 

Russ Feingold

n/a

n/a

2

 

 

Evan Bayh

n/a

n/a

1

 

 

.

Without Clinton (recalculated, based on second choice of Clinton voters):

.

3/29 - 4/1/07 2/15-18/07
% %
Barack Obama

33

35

 

 

John Edwards

29

28

 

 

 

Joe Biden

6

3

 

 

Bill Richardson

4

6

 

 

 

Chris Dodd

1

1

 

 

 

Mike Gravel

1

2

 

 

 

Dennis Kucinich

1

1

 

 

 

Wesley Clark

-

4

 

 

 

Other (vol.)

1

1

 

 

Unsure

24

18

 

 

Tom Vilsack

n/a

1

 

 

 

.

Without Edwards (recalculated, based on second choice of Edwards voters):

.

3/29 - 4/1/07 2/15-18/07
% %
Hillary Rodham Clinton

51

46

 

 

 

Barack Obama

20

23

 

 

Bill Richardson

5

7

 

 

 

Joe Biden

4

3

 

 

Wesley Clark

-

1

 

 

 

Chris Dodd

-

1

 

 

 

Mike Gravel

-

1

 

 

 

Dennis Kucinich

-

1

 

 

 

Other (vol.)

1

-

 

 

Unsure

19

15

 

 

Tom Vilsack

n/a

1

 

 

 


 

Time Poll conducted by Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. March 23-26, 2007. N=511 registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or lean Democratic.

.

"Now I'm going to read a list of candidates who might be running for the Democratic Party presidential nomination in 2008. If the Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, listen carefully to the names and then tell me which candidate you would be most likely to vote for. . . ." Names rotated

.

3/23-26/07 3/9-12/07 2/23-26/07 1/22-23/07  
% % % %  
Hillary Rodham Clinton

31

34

36

40

 
Barack Obama

24

26

24

21

 
John Edwards

16

10

11

11

 
Al Gore

15

13

13

9

 
Bill Richardson

3

2

3

4

 
Joe Biden

2

1

2

2

 
Chris Dodd

1

-

-

1

 
Dennis Kucinich

-

2

1

1

 
Al Sharpton

-

1

1

1

 
Other (vol.)

-

1

1

1

 
Will not vote (vol.)

-

1

1

-

 
Unsure

7

10

7

6

 
John Kerry

n/a

n/a

n/a

4

 
Tom Vilsack

n/a

n/a

n/a

-

 

.

"What if your choices for the Democratic nomination were just Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama and John Edwards -- which one would you vote for if you had to decide today?" Names rotated

.

3/23-26/07 3/9-12/07 2/23-26/07    
% % %    
Hillary Rodham Clinton

38

42

42

   
Barack Obama

30

31

30

   
John Edwards

26

17

22

   
Other (vol.)

-

1

-

   
Will not vote (vol.)

1

2

2

   
Unsure

4

8

4

   

 

McLaughlin & Associates (R). March 21-25, 2007. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Results below are among Democrats and independents.

.

Preference for Democratic Presidential Nominee:

.

%        
Hillary Clinton

26

       
Barack Obama

18

       
John Edwards

11

       
Al Gore

11

       
Bill Richardson

2

       
Joe Biden

1

       
Dennis Kucinich

1

       
Al Sharpton

1

       
Wesley Clark

0

       
Chris Dodd

0

       
Unsure

28

       

 

Democracy Corps Poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D). March 20-25, 2007. N=617 likely Democratic primary/caucus voters nationwide.

.

"I know it is a long way off, but thinking about next year's Democratic primary/caucus for president, if the Democratic primary/caucus for president were held today and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?"

.

%        
Hillary Rodham Clinton

39

       
Barack Obama

26

       
John Edwards

20

       
Bill Richardson

3

       
Joe Biden

3

       
Dennis Kucinich

2

       
Chris Dodd

1

       
Mike Gravel

0

       
Other (vol.)

1

       
None (vol.)

1

       
Unsure

5

       

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Neil Newhouse (R). March 2-5, 2007. Asked of Democrats, and non-Democrats who said they would vote in a Democratic presidential primary (from a total sample of 1,007 adults nationwide).

.

"Thinking of these same candidates again, are there any candidates for whom you would definitely NOT vote for the Democratic nomination for president?"

.

3/2-5/07        
%        
Hillary Clinton

16

       
Dennis Kucinich

11

       
Joe Biden

9

       
John Edwards

7

       
Chris Dodd

7

       
Barack Obama

7

       
Wesley Clark

5

       
Bill Richardson

5

       
Other (vol.)

1

       
None (vol.)

29

       
Unsure

17

       

.

"If the choice for the Democratic nomination came down to Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?"

.

Hillary
Clinton
Barack
Obama
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  

3/2-5/07

47 39 4 10  

 

Times Union/Siena College Poll. Feb. 6-9, 2007. N=1,120 registered voters nationwide. Results below are among Democratic voters.

.

"If the Democratic candidates for president in 2008 were [see below], who would you vote for?" Names rotated

.

%        
Hillary Clinton

45

       
Barack Obama

12

       
John Edwards

10

       
Al Gore

10

       
Bill Richardson

2

       
Joe Biden

1

       
Dennis Kucinich

1

       
Tom Vilsack

0

       
Unsure

20

       

 

Time Poll conducted by Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. Jan. 22-23, 2007. N=480 registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or lean Democratic.

.

"What if your choices for the Democratic nomination were just Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama -- which one would you vote for?" Names rotated

.

%        
Hillary Rodham Clinton

55

       
Barack Obama

32

       
Neither (vol.)

4

       
Unsure

9

       

 

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Jan. 19-21, 2007. N=467 registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or independents who lean to the Democratic Party. MoE ± 4.5.

.

"Please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2008 . . . . And who would be your second choice?" Names rotated

.

First
Choice
Second
Choice
     
% %      

Hillary Rodham Clinton

34

21

     

Barack Obama

18

17

     

John Edwards

15

14

     

Al Gore

10

14

     

John Kerry

5

13

     

Joe Biden

3

3

     

Wesley Clark

2

2

     

Dennis Kucinich

2

1

     

Bill Richardson

2

4

     

Christopher Dodd

1

1

     

Al Sharpton

1

3

     

Tom Vilsack

1

1

     

Unsure

7

6

     

.

.

With certain candidates excluded -- substituting respondents' second choices:

.

Excluding
Clinton
Excluding
Gore
Excluding
Kerry
Excluding
Obama
Excluding
Edwards
% % % % %

Hillary Rodham Clinton

n/a

37

36

41

39

Barack Obama

27

18

18

n/a

21

John Edwards

21

16

16

18

n/a

Al Gore

18

n/a

12

12

11

John Kerry

9

8

n/a

7

6

Joe Biden

4

3

3

4

4

Wesley Clark

2

2

2

2

2

Dennis Kucinich

2

2

2

2

2

Bill Richardson

4

2

2

3

3

Christopher Dodd

2

1

1

1

1

Al Sharpton

1

1

1

1

2

Tom Vilsack

1

1

1

2

1

.

"Regardless of who you support, please tell me whether you would or would not like to see each of the following people run for the Democratic nomination for president. . . ."

.

Would Would Not Unsure    
% % %    

Hillary Rodham Clinton

75

23

2

   

Barack Obama

60

28

12

   

Al Gore

59

40

1

   

John Kerry

45

51

4

   

 

CBS News Poll. Jan. 18-21, 2007. N=1,168 adults nationwide. Results below are among Democratic primary voters.

.

"Suppose the race for the Democratic Party's presidential nomination in 2008 comes down to a choice between Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama. Who would you most like to see nominated: Clinton or Obama, or neither of these two candidates?"

.

Clinton Obama Neither Undecided Don't know/
No Answer

%

%

%

%

%

1/18-21/07

45

28

11

11

5


 

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Dec. 6-7, 2006. N=422 registered Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide. MoE ± 5.

.

"Suppose the race for the Democratic Party's presidential nomination in 2008 comes down to a choice between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. Who would you MOST like to see nominated: Clinton or Obama?"

.

Hillary
Clinton
Barack
Obama
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  

12/6-7/06

50 32 2 16  

 

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Dec. 5-6, 2006. N=900 registered voters nationwide. Results below are among Democratic voters (MoE ± 5).

.

"If Hillary Clinton and [see below] were the only choices in the Democratic primary, how would you vote?" Names rotated

.

Hillary
Clinton
Al Gore Unsure Wouldn't
Vote (vol.)
% % % %

12/5-6/06

53

36

9

2

 

8/29-30/06

53

34

11

2

 


 

Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll. Nov. 9-12, 2006. N=1,735 registered voters nationwide.

.

"I am going to read a list of people who might seek the Democratic nomination for president in 2008, and I will read the list twice. I would like you to tell me who would be your FIRST CHOICE for the nomination. . . ."  Names rotated. Among Democrats and leaners.

.

.

Without Gore (recalculated, based on second choice of Gore voters):

.

11/9-12/06 8/25-27/06
% %
Hillary Rodham Clinton

39

37

 

 

 

Barack Obama

21

n/a

 

 

John Edwards

11

17

 

 

 

John Kerry

6

12

 

 

Joe Biden

4

6

 

 

Bill Richardson

2

3

 

 

 

Wesley Clark

2

2

 

 

 

Evan Bayh

1

2

 

 

 

Russ Feingold

1

5

 

 

Tom Vilsack

1

1

 

 

 

Chris Dodd

-

1

 

 

 

Unsure

12

12

 

 

Mark Warner

n/a

2

 

 

 


 

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Nov. 9-12, 2006. N=1,191 registered voters nationwide. Results below are among Democratic voters.

.

"Now I am going to read you the names of some possible candidates for the Democratic nomination for president in 2008. AFTER I READ ALL THE NAMES, please tell me which one you would most like to see nominated as the Democratic Party's candidate for president." If unsure: "Well as of today, to whom do you most lean?" Names rotated

.

%        
Hillary Clinton

39

       
Barack Obama

23

       
John Edwards

10

       
Al Gore

10

       
John Kerry

7

       
Joe Biden

2

       
Bill Richardson

1

       
Russ Feingold

1

       
None (vol.)

3

       
Unsure

4

       

 

McLaughlin & Associates (R). Nov. 7, 2006. N=1,000 Nov. 2006 general election voters nationwide.

.

Preference for Democratic Presidential Nominee:

.

Democrats Democrats +
Independents
     
% %      
Hillary Clinton

31

27

     
Barack Obama

19

21

     
Al Gore

10

9

     
John Kerry

10

8

     
John Edwards

6

7

     
Joseph Biden

2

2

     
Bill Richardson

2

2

     
Evan Bayh

1

1

     
Russ Feingold

1

1

     
Christopher Dodd

-

-

     
Tom Vilsack

-

-

     
Unsure

18

24

     

 

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Aug. 9-13, 2006. N=1,219 registered voters nationwide, including 407 Democrats.

.

"Now I am going to read you the names of some possible candidates for the Democratic nomination for president in 2008. AFTER I READ ALL THE NAMES, please tell me which one you would most like to see nominated as the Democratic Party's candidate for president." If unsure: "Well as of today, to whom do you most lean?" Names rotated

.

ALL Democrats      
% %      
Hillary Clinton

29

40

     
Al Gore

13

18

     
John Edwards

11

11

     
John Kerry

9

11

     
Joe Biden

6

6

     
Bill Richardson

5

4

     
Mark Warner

3

2

     
Russ Feingold

3

2

     
Other (vol.)

2

1

     
None (vol.)

16

4

     
Unsure

3

1

     

 

Gallup Poll. June 1-4, 2006. N=447 Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide who are registered to vote. MoE ± 5.

.

"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2008, or if you would support someone else. . . ." Names rotated

.

%        
Hillary Rodham Clinton

36

       
Al Gore

16

       
John Edwards

12

       
John Kerry

11

       
Wesley Clark

4

       
Joe Biden

4

       
Russ Feingold

3

       
Mark Warner

2

       
Tom Daschle

-

       
Tom Vilsack

-

       
Someone else

3

       
None (vol.)

2

       
Unsure

5

       

 

Diageo/Hotline Poll conducted by Financial Dynamics. April 19-23, 2006. N=603 registered Democrats nationwide. MoE ± 4.

.

"If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidates were [see below]?" If "all": "If you absolutely had to choose, which one person would you support?"

.

%        
Hillary Clinton 38        
John Kerry 14        
John Edwards 13        
Joe Biden 5        
Wesley Clark 3        
Russ Feingold 3        
Bill Richardson 2        
Mark Warner 2        
Evan Bayh 1        
Tom Vilsack -        
All of these (vol.) 1        
None of these (vol.) 5        
Unsure 12        

.

"Now, suppose the 2008 Democratic presidential primary were being held today between Hillary Clinton and [see below], for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Which way would you lean as of today?"

.

Hillary
Clinton
John
Kerry
Unsure Refused  
% % % %  
4/19-23/06 57 30 11 3  

.

Hillary
Clinton
John
Edwards
Unsure Refused  
% % % %  
4/19-23/06 52 33 12 3  

.

Hillary
Clinton
Mark
Warner
Unsure Refused  
% % % %  
4/19-23/06 66 15 17 3  

.

Hillary
Clinton
Al Gore Unsure Refused  
% % % %  
4/19-23/06 57 29 12 2  

 

Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll. Feb. 23-26, 2006. Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters nationwide.

.

"Thinking now about the Democratic nomination for president in 2008, will you support Hillary Clinton, the senator from New York, John Kerry, the senator from Massachusetts, John Edwards, the former candidate for vice president, or someone else for the Democratic nomination for president in 2008?" Names rotated

.

Hillary
Clinton
John
Edwards
John
Kerry
Someone
Else
Unsure
% % % % %

2/23-26/06

44 16 14 12 14

 

WNBC/Marist Poll. Feb. 13-15, 2006. Asked of Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide. MoE ± 5.

.

"If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

.

2/13-15/06 10/12-13
& 17/05
4/18-21/05 2/14-16/05
% % % %
Hillary Clinton

40

41

40

39

 

John Edwards

16

14

16

15

 

John Kerry

15

17

18

21

 

Joe Biden

7

5

7

5

 

Wesley Clark

4

3

4

4

 

Evan Bayh

3

2

-

1

 

Bill Richardson

3

n/a

1

2

 

Mark Warner

2

1

-

1

 

Tom Vilsack

-

1

-

-

 

Unsure

10

16

12

10

 

Russ Feingold

n/a

n/a

2

2

 


 

CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. Feb. 9-12, 2006. N=429 Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide who are registered to vote. MoE ± 5.

.

"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2008, or if you would support someone else. Delaware Senator Joe Biden; New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton; former North Carolina senator John Edwards; former vice president Al Gore; Massachusetts Senator John Kerry; former Virginia governor Mark Warner." Names rotated

.

%        
Hillary Rodham Clinton

39

       
John Kerry

15

       
Al Gore

13

       
John Edwards

12

       
Mark Warner

5

       
Joe Biden

5

       
Russ Feingold (vol.)

1

       
Someone else

3

       
None (vol.)

3

       
All/Any (vol.)

1

       
Unsure

4

       

 

CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. Dec. 9-11, 2005. N=446 Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide who are registered to vote. MoE ± 5.

.

"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2008, or if you would support someone else. Indiana Senator Evan Bayh; Delaware Senator Joe Biden; New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton; Former North Carolina senator John Edwards; Massachusetts Senator John Kerry; New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson; Iowa Governor Tom Vilsack; Virginia Governor Mark Warner." Names rotated

.

%        
Hillary Rodham Clinton

43

       
John Edwards

14

       
John Kerry

14

       
Joe Biden

8

       
Mark Warner

3

       
Bill Richardson

3

       
Evan Bayh

1

       
Tom Vilsack

1

       
Someone else

1

       
None (vol.)

4

       
All/Any (vol.)

1

       
Unsure

7

       

 

Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll. Dec. 8-11, 2005. N=460 Democrats/Democratic leaners nationwide.

.

"I am going to read a list of people who might seek the Democratic nomination for president in 2008, and I will read the list twice. I would like you to tell me who would be your first choice for the nomination: Hillary Rodham Clinton, the senator from New York; John Kerry, the senator from Massachusetts; John Edwards, former candidate for vice president; Joe Biden, the senator from Delaware; Bill Richardson, the governor of New Mexico; Russ Feingold, the senator from Wisconsin; Mark Warner, the governor of Virginia; Wesley Clark, retired general; Evan Bayh, the senator from Indiana; or Tom Vilsack, the governor of Iowa?" Names rotated

.

%
Hillary Clinton

33

 

 

 

 

John Kerry

17

 

 

John Edwards

15

 

 

 

 

Joe Biden

7

 

 

Bill Richardson

4

 

 

 

 

Russ Feingold

4

 

 

Mark Warner

4

 

 

 

 

Wesley Clark

3

 

 

 

 

Evan Bayh

3

 

 

 

 

Tom Vilsack

-

 

 

 

 

Unsure

11

 

 

.

Without Clinton (recalculated, based on second choice of Clinton voters):

%
John Kerry

28

 

 

John Edwards

23

 

 

 

 

Joe Biden

9

 

 

Russ Feingold

6

 

 

Bill Richardson

6

 

 

 

 

Wesley Clark

5

 

 

 

 

Mark Warner

5

 

 

 

 

Evan Bayh

4

 

 

 

 

Tom Vilsack

-

 

 

 

 

Unsure

14

 

 


 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Nov. 4-7, 2005. N=1,003 adults nationwide.

.

"Let me mention some people who might seek the Democratic nomination for president in 2008. If the next Democratic primary for president were being held today, for which one of the following candidates would you vote: [see below]?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Asked of registered voters who are Democrats/leaners, or are independents who would vote in a Democratic presidential primary.

.

%
Hillary Clinton

41

 

 

 

 

John Edwards

14

 

 

 

 

Al Gore

12

 

 

John Kerry

10

 

 

Joe Biden

5

 

 

Wesley Clark

4

 

 

 

 

Bill Richardson

3

 

 

 

 

Other (vol.)

1

 

 

 

 

None (vol.)

4

 

 

 

 

Unsure

6

 

 

.

"Are there any candidates on this list for whom you would definitely NOT vote for the 2008 Democratic presidential nomination?" Multiple responses accepted. Asked of registered voters who are Democrats/leaners, or are independents who would vote in a Democratic presidential primary.

.

%
Al Gore

17

 

 

John Kerry

14

 

 

Hillary Clinton

13

 

 

 

 

Wesley Clark

9

 

 

 

 

Joe Biden

6

 

 

Bill Richardson

4

 

 

 

 

John Edwards

3

 

 

 

 

None (vol.)

31

 

 

 

 

Unsure

13

 

 


 

CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. Aug. 5-7, 2005. N=424 Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide who are registered to vote. MoE ± 5.

.

"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2008: Indiana Senator Evan Bayh, Delaware Senator Joe Biden, retired general Wesley Clark, New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, former North Carolina senator John Edwards, Massachusetts Senator John Kerry, New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson, Virginia Governor Mark Warner." Names rotated

.

%
Hillary Rodham Clinton

40

 

 

 

 

John Kerry

16

 

 

 

 

John Edwards

15

 

 

 

 

Joe Biden

9

 

 

 

 

Wesley Clark

5

 

 

 

 

Bill Richardson

3

 

 

 

 

Evan Bayh

3

 

 

 

 

Mark Warner

2

 

 

 

 

None (vol.)

2

 

 

 

 

All/Any (vol.)

1

 

 

 

 

Unsure

4

 

 

 

 


 

Zogby America Poll. June 20-22, 2005. N=638 Democratic primary voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.

.

"If the Democratic primary for president were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, John Kerry, John Edwards, Joe Biden, Wesley Clark, Bill Richardson, and Evan Bayh, for whom would you vote?"

.

%
Hillary Clinton

33

 

 

 

 

John Edwards

14

 

 

 

 

John Kerry

14

 

 

 

 

Joe Biden

6

 

 

 

 

Bill Richardson

5

 

 

 

 

Evan Bayh

5

 

 

 

 

Wesley Clark

5

 

 

 

 

Unsure

19

 

 

 

 

.

"If the Democratic primary for president were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, John Kerry, John Edwards, Joe Biden, Wesley Clark, Bill Richardson, Evan Bayh, Al Gore, and Howard Dean, for whom would you vote?"

.

%
Hillary Clinton

29

 

 

 

 

John Kerry

13

 

 

 

 

John Edwards

12

 

 

 

 

Howard Dean

6

 

 

 

 

Al Gore

6

 

 

 

 

Joe Biden

5

 

 

 

 

Evan Bayh

4

 

 

 

 

Wesley Clark

4

 

 

 

 

Bill Richardson

3

 

 

 

 

Unsure

17

 

 

 

 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1

 

 

 

 


 

CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. Feb. 4-6, 2005. N=383 Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide who are registered to vote. MoE ± 6.

.

"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2008: New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, former North Carolina Senator John Edwards, Massachusetts Senator John Edwards -- or would you support someone else?" Names rotated

.

%
Hillary Rodham Clinton

40

 

 

 

 

John Kerry

25

 

 

 

 

John Edwards

18

 

 

 

 

Other

6

 

 

 

 

All/Any (vol.)

1

 

 

 

 

None (vol.)

4

 

 

 

 

Unsure

6

 

 

 

 


 

Ipsos-Public Affairs poll. Dec. 17-19, 2004. N=399 registered voters nationwide who consider themselves Democrats or lean Democratic, plus independent and undeclared voters who say they generally vote in Democratic primaries. MoE ± 4.9.

.

"I know it is early, but if the Democratic primary for president were held today, which of the following would you support for the Democratic nomination for president? . . . "

.

  %    
Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton 33    
Senator John Kerry 19    
Senator John Edwards 15    
Retired General Wesley Clark 11    
Governor Bill Richardson 3    
Senator Evan Bayh 2    
Senator Russ Feingold 1    
Governor Tom Vilsack 1    
Governor Mark Warner -    
Other (vol.) 3    
Don't vote in primaries (vol.) 3    
Unsure 9    

 

Fabrizio, McLaughlin & Associates (R). Nov. 14-16, 2004. N=423 Democratic presidential primary voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.8.

.

"If the Democrat primary for president were held today and the candidates were John Edwards and Hillary Rodham Clinton, for whom would you vote?" Names rotated

.

%
Hillary Rodham Clinton

46

 

 

 

 

John Edwards

28

 

 

 

 

Unsure

26

 

 

 

 


 

Gallup Poll. Nov. 7-10, 2004. N=465 Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide. MoE ± 5.

.

"Looking ahead to four years from now, who do you want to be the Democratic Party presidential nominee in 2008, if you had to choose today?" Open-ended

.

%
Hillary Clinton

25

 

 

 

 

John Kerry

15

 

 

 

 

John Edwards

7

 

 

 

 

Bill Clinton

3

 

 

 

 

Barack Obama

3

 

 

 

 

Al Gore

2

 

 

 

 

None

3

 

 

 

 

Other

9

 

 

 

 

Unsure

33

 

 

 

 

.

"Suppose the choice for the Democratic presidential nomination narrows down to New York Senator Hillary Clinton or North Carolina Senator John Edwards. Which one would you prefer the Democratic Party nominate for president: Hillary Clinton or John Edwards?" Names rotated

.

%
Hillary Clinton

55

 

 

 

 

John Edwards

39

 

 

 

 

Unsure

6

 

 

 

 


 

McLaughlin & Associates (R). Conducted the evening of Election Day, Nov. 2, 2004. N=1,000 Nov. 2004 general election voters nationwide.

.

"Thinking ahead to the next presidential election, if the 2008 Democrat primary for president were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, Al Gore, John Kerry, Mark Warner, Howard Dean, John Edwards, Harold Ford Jr., Evan Bayh, Barack Obama, and Wesley Clark, for whom would you vote?"

.

Dems. +
Inds.
Demo-
crats
Indepen-
dents
% % %
Hillary Clinton

27

31

16

.

.

John Kerry

16

20

6

.

.

John Edwards

7

6

8

.

.

Al Gore

4

4

4

.

.

Howard Dean

4

4

3

.

.

Evan Bayh

3

3

2

.

.

Wesley Clark

2

2

3

.

.

Barack Obama

2

2

2

.

.

Harold Ford Jr.

1

1

1

.

.

Mark Warner

1

0

2

.

.

Unsure

35

29

53

.

.


 


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