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   White House 2008: Democratic Nomination          See also: Rating the contenders


Polls listed chronologically.

STATE POLLS are in our subscriber area. INFO     

.

         

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Aug. 23-24, 2008. N=438 registered Democrats nationwide. MoE 4.5.

.

"If it were up to you, who would you rather see the Democratic Party choose as its nominee for president: Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton?" Options rotated

.

Obama Clinton Other (vol.) Neither (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

8/23-24/08

59

37

1

2

1

6/4-5/08

59

35

1

2

2


 

CBS News Poll. May 30-June 3, 2008. Among Democratic primary voters nationwide (from a total sample of 1,038 adults).

.

"Who would you like to see the Democratic Party nominate as its presidential candidate in 2008: [see below]?"

.

5/30 - 6/3/08 5/1-3/08 4/25-29/08 3/28 - 4/2/08  
% % % %  

Barack Obama

45

50

46

46

 

Hillary Clinton

41

38

38

43

 

Other (vol.)

3

3

2

3

 
Unsure

11

9

14

8

 

.

3/15-18/08 2/20-24/08 1/30 - 2/2/08 1/9-12/08 12/5-9/07
% % % % %

Barack Obama

46

54

41

27

27

Hillary Clinton

43

38

41

42

44

Other (vol.)

3

1

4

0

2

Unsure

8

7

14

14

9

John Edwards

n/a

n/a

n/a

11

11

Dennis Kucinich

n/a

n/a

n/a

4

2

Joe Biden

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

2

Bill Richardson

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

2

Christopher Dodd

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

1


 

Gallup Poll daily tracking. Three-day rolling average. N=approx. 1,200 Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters nationwide. MoE 3.

.

 

Preference for Democratic Nominee:

 

 

Clinton Obama Other Unsure Edwards  

Survey end date

% % % % %  

 

 

6/3/08

43

52

1

5

n/a

 

6/2/08

43

52

1

5

n/a

 

6/1/08

41

51

2

7

n/a

 

5/31/08

42

52

1

6

n/a

 

5/29/08

42

52

1

5

n/a

 

5/28/08

42

52

2

4

n/a

 

5/27/08

44

50

2

4

n/a

 

5/25/08

43

51

2

4

n/a

 

5/24/08

45

50

1

4

n/a

 

5/23/08

44

52

1

4

n/a

 

5/22/08

44

51

1

4

n/a

 

5/21/08

42

53

1

4

n/a

 

5/20/08

42

53

1

5

n/a

 

5/19/08

40

54

1

4

n/a

 

5/18/08

39

55

2

4

n/a

 

5/17/08

41

52

2

5

n/a

 

5/16/08

42

51

2

6

n/a

 

5/15/08

44

48

1

6

n/a

 

5/14/08

44

50

2

5

n/a

 

5/13/08

44

50

1

5

n/a

 

5/12/08

44

50

2

4

n/a

 

5/11/08

43

50

1

6

n/a

 

5/10/08

45

49

1

6

n/a

 

5/9/08

44

49

1

6

n/a

 

5/8/08

46

48

1

5

n/a

 

5/7/08

46

47

2

6

n/a

 

5/6/08

46

47

1

5

n/a

 

5/5/08

46

48

2

5

n/a

 

5/4/08

45

50

1

4

n/a

 

5/3/08

45

49

2

4

n/a

 

5/2/08

47

47

1

5

n/a

 

5/1/08

48

46

1

5

n/a

 

4/30/08

49

45

2

5

n/a

 

4/29/08

47

46

2

5

n/a

 

4/28/08

47

46

2

5

n/a

 

4/27/08

46

47

1

5

n/a

 

4/26/08

47

47

1

5

n/a

 

4/25/08

47

47

1

4

n/a

 

4/24/08

47

48

1

4

n/a

 

4/23/08

44

49

1

5

n/a

 

4/22/08

42

50

1

7

n/a

 

4/21/08

40

50

1

8

n/a

 

4/20/08

42

49

1

8

n/a

 

4/19/08

45

47

1

7

n/a

 

4/18/08

46

45

1

8

n/a

 

4/17/08

44

47

2

7

n/a

 

4/16/08

42

49

1

7

n/a

 

4/15/08

42

50

1

6

n/a

 

4/14/08

40

51

1

8

n/a

 

4/13/08

40

50

2

9

n/a

 

4/12/08

41

50

2

8

n/a

 

4/11/08

42

49

1

8

n/a

 

4/10/08

42

51

1

6

n/a

 

4/9/08

42

50

1

7

n/a

 

4/8/08

41

51

2

6

n/a

 

4/7/08

43

51

2

5

n/a

 

4/6/08

43

52

1

4

n/a

 

4/5/08

46

49

1

5

n/a

 

4/4/08

44

49

1

6

n/a

 

4/3/08

44

49

1

6

n/a

 

4/2/08

46

49

1

5

n/a

 

4/1/08

46

49

1

5

n/a

 

3/31/08

45

49

1

4

n/a

 

3/30/08

43

51

2

5

n/a

 

3/29/08

42

52

1

5

n/a

 

3/28/08

43

50

1

6

n/a

 

3/27/08

42

50

2

6

n/a

 

3/26/08

44

48

2

6

n/a

 

3/25/08

46

47

2

5

n/a

 

3/24/08

45

47

2

5

n/a

 

3/22/08

46

47

2

5

n/a

 

3/21/08

45

48

3

5

n/a

 

3/20/08

47

45

3

5

n/a

 

3/19/08

48

43

3

6

n/a

 

3/18/08

49

42

3

6

n/a

 

3/17/08

47

44

3

7

n/a

 

3/16/08

47

45

2

5

n/a

 

3/15/08

45

48

2

5

n/a

 

3/14/08

46

49

1

4

n/a

 

3/13/08

44

50

2

5

n/a

 

3/12/08

46

48

2

5

n/a

 

3/11/08

45

47

2

5

n/a

 

3/10/08

45

48

2

5

n/a

 

3/9/08

44

49

3

5

n/a

 

3/8/08

45

47

3

6

n/a

 

3/7/08

46

45

3

6

n/a

 

3/6/08

48

44

2

6

n/a

 

3/5/08

48

44

2

6

n/a

 

3/4/08

48

44

2

7

n/a

 

3/3/08

45

45

2

8

n/a

 

3/2/08

43

48

2

7

n/a

 

3/1/08

42

50

2

7

n/a

 

2/29/08

43

49

3

5

n/a

 

2/28/08

42

49

3

6

n/a

 

2/27/08

43

48

2

7

n/a

 

2/26/08

43

48

3

7

n/a

 

2/25/08

46

46

2

6

n/a

 

2/24/08

45

47

1

7

n/a

 

2/23/08

46

47

1

6

n/a

 

2/22/08

45

47

1

7

n/a

 

2/20/08

45

44

3

9

n/a

 

2/19/08

42

47

3

9

n/a

 

2/18/08

45

46

2

7

n/a

 

2/17/08

42

49

2

7

n/a

 

2/16/08

43

48

2

7

n/a

 

2/15/08

42

49

2

7

n/a

 

2/14/08

45

47

2

6

n/a

 

2/13/08

45

46

3

6

n/a

 

2/12/08

44

45

3

9

n/a

 

2/11/08

45

44

3

9

n/a

 

2/10/08

46

44

2

8

n/a

 

2/9/08

48

43

3

7

n/a

 

2/8/08

48

43

3

7

n/a

 

2/7/08

49

42

2

7

n/a

 

2/6/08

51

40

1

8

n/a

 

2/5/08

52

39

2

7

n/a

 

2/4/08

47

42

3

8

n/a

 

2/3/08

47

43

4

6

n/a

 

2/2/08

46

44

3

7

n/a

 

2/1/08

48

41

3

7

n/a

 

1/31/08

44

41

3

8

4

 

1/30/08

43

39

3

8

8

 

1/29/08

42

36

2

8

12

 

1/28/08

43

34

2

7

14

 

1/27/08

44

33

2

8

14

 

1/26/08

45

32

2

8

13

 

1/25/08

47

32

3

7

11

 

1/24/08

47

31

3

7

12

 

 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. May 30-June 1, 2008. N=532 Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide. MoE 5.

.

"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Democratic primary for president. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in 2008, or if you would support someone else. . . ." Names rotated. For 11/11-14/07 and earlier, includes second choices of Gore supporters.

.

5/30 - 6/1/08 5/1-3/08 4/18-20/08 3/14-16/08 2/21-24/08
% % % % %
Barack Obama

53

44

50

49

51

Hillary Clinton

40

51

40

42

39

Someone else

1

1

2

1

1

None (vol.)/Unsure

6

4

8

8

7

Mike Gravel

n/a

n/a

n/a

1

1

       
2/8-10/08 1/30 - 2/2/08 1/10-13/08 1/4-6/08 12/14-16/07
% % % % %
Barack Obama

47

44

33

33

27

Hillary Clinton

44

45

45

33

45

Mike Gravel

3

2

1

-

-

Someone else

1

1

1

1

1

None (vol.)/Unsure

6

7

5

8

4

John Edwards

n/a

n/a

13

20

15

Dennis Kucinich

n/a

n/a

1

3

2

Bill Richardson

n/a

n/a

n/a

1

2

Joe Biden

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

3

Christopher Dodd

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

-

       
11/30 -
12/2/07
11/11-14/07 11/2-4/07 10/12-14/07 10/4-7/07
% % % % %
Hillary Clinton

39

48

50

50

47

Barack Obama

24

21

22

21

26

John Edwards

15

12

15

13

11

Joe Biden

4

2

1

3

2

Dennis Kucinich

4

4

1

1

1

Bill Richardson

4

2

4

4

4

Christopher Dodd

1

1

1

-

1

Mike Gravel

-

1

-

-

-

Someone else

1

-

1

1

1

None (vol.)/Unsure

6

9

5

6

5

       
9/14-16/07 9/7-8/07 8/13-16/07 8/3-5/07 7/12-15/07
% % % % %
Hillary Clinton

47

45

48

48

40

Barack Obama

25

24

25

26

28

John Edwards

11

16

13

12

13

Bill Richardson

5

2

2

4

5

Joe Biden

3

3

1

3

3

Dennis Kucinich

2

2

2

1

1

Christopher Dodd

1

1

1

-

1

Mike Gravel

1

1

-

-

-

Someone else

-

2

1

2

-

None (vol.)/Unsure

4

5

6

5

8

       
7/6-8/07 6/11-14/07 6/1-3/07 5/10-13/07 5/4-6/07
% % % % %
Hillary Clinton

42

39

37

42

45

Barack Obama

26

26

36

28

27

John Edwards

16

13

13

14

14

Joe Biden

4

3

4

2

2

Bill Richardson

4

5

4

3

3

Dennis Kucinich

2

1

-

1

1

Mike Gravel

1

1

1

-

-

Christopher Dodd

-

-

-

1

-

Someone else

-

1

1

1

1

None (vol.)/Unsure

5

8

5

6

5

Wesley Clark

n/a

n/a

n/a

1

1

Al Sharpton

n/a

n/a

n/a

1

-

       
4/13-15/07 4/2-5/07 3/23-25/07 3/2-4/07 2/9-11/07
% % % % %
Hillary Rodham Clinton

37

43

42

44

48

Barack Obama

29

19

24

27

23

John Edwards

19

18

17

10

14

Bill Richardson

4

3

4

2

5

Wesley Clark

2

3

2

3

1

Joe Biden

2

2

2

3

2

Al Sharpton

2

-

-

1

-

Dennis Kucinich

1

-

1

-

-

Christopher Dodd

1

-

-

-

1

Mike Gravel

1

1

-

1

-

Someone else

1

2

-

2

1

None (vol.)

1

1

2

3

1

Unsure

3

7

5

5

4

Tom Vilsack

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

-


 

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. May 21-25, 2008. N=618 registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or lean Democratic. MoE 4.5. April 2008 survey conducted by Abt SRBI.

.

"Which Democratic candidate would be your first choice for president: [see below]?" If unsure: "Just as of today, would you say you lean toward [see below]?" Names rotated

.

5/21-25/08 4/23-27/08      
% %      
Barack Obama

54

47

     
Hillary Clinton

41

45

     
None (vol.)

1

2

     
Unsure

4

6

     
       
3/19-22/08 2/20-24/08 1/30 - 2/2/08 1/9-13/08 12/19-30/07
% % % % %
Barack Obama

49

49

38

31

26

Hillary Clinton

39

40

46

46

46

Other (vol.)

0

0

1

-

-

None (vol.)

1

2

1

1

2

Unsure

11

9

14

5

4

John Edwards

n/a

n/a

n/a

13

14

Dennis Kucinich

n/a

n/a

n/a

4

3

Bill Richardson

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

3

Joe Biden

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

2

Chris Dodd

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

-

Mike Gravel

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

0


 

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. May 21-22, 2008. N=608 registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or lean Democratic. MoE 5.

.

"Who would you MOST like to see nominated as the Democratic Party's presidential candidate this year: Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama?" Names rotated

.

Obama Clinton Other (vol.)/
Unsure
   
% % %    
5/21-22/08

50

42

8

   
4/24-25/08

48

41

11

   
4/16-17/08

54

35

11

   
3/5-6/08

45

44

11

   
2/6-7/08

42

41

17

   

 

Reuters/Zogby Poll. May 15-18, 2008. N=516 likely Democratic primary voters nationwide. MoE 4.4.

.

Preference for Democratic Presidential Nominee:

.

5/15-18/08 4/10-12/08 3/13-14/08 2/13-16/08 1/10-11/08
% % % % %
Barack Obama

59

51

47

52

38

Hillary Clinton

33

38

44

38

39

Someone else

 

3

2

3

2

Unsure

 

8

7

8

9

John Edwards

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

9

Dennis Kucinich

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

4

.

12/12-14/07 11/14-17/07 10/24-27/07 10/10-14/07 9/13-16/07
% % % % %
Hillary Clinton

40

38

38

46

35

Barack Obama

32

27

24

25

21

John Edwards

13

13

12

9

10

Joe Biden

3

2

2

2

4

Bill Richardson

3

3

2

2

3

Dennis Kucinich

2

2

2

3

2

Christopher Dodd

1

-

-

-

-

Mike Gravel

1

-

-

-

-

Someone else

1

2

2

1

3

Unsure

4

14

18

12

22

.

7/12-14/07 3/22-26/07 2/22-24/07 1/5-9/07 12/6-8/05
% % % % %
Hillary Clinton

37

32

33

29

26

Barack Obama

25

22

25

14

7

John Edwards

11

13

12

13

12

Bill Richardson

3

2

5

1

3

Dennis Kucinich

2

1

-

1

n/a

Joe Biden

1

2

2

7

3

Mike Gravel

-

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

Someone else

2

4

3

1

6

Unsure

18

24

20

14

19

Wesley Clark

n/a

n/a

1

1

3

Christopher Dodd

n/a

n/a

-

-

n/a

Al Gore

n/a

n/a

n/a

13

n/a

John Kerry

n/a

n/a

n/a

4

9

Joe Lieberman

n/a

n/a

n/a

2

10

Ed Rendell

n/a

n/a

n/a

-

n/a

Bill Moyers

n/a

n/a

n/a

-

n/a

Tom Vilsack

n/a

n/a

n/a

-

n/a

Mark Warner

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

1

Evan Bayh

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

1

Tim Kaine

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

1


 

Quinnipiac University Poll. May 8-12, 2008. Asked of Democratic voters (from a total sample of 1,745 registered voters).

.

"Who would you like to see win the Democratic nomination for president this year: Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama?"

.

Obama Clinton Unsure    
% % %    

5/8-12/08

45

41

14

   

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. May 8-11, 2008. Asked of Democrats and Democratic-leaners nationwide (from a total sample of 1,122 adults). Fieldwork by TNS.

.

"Who would you like to see win the Democratic nomination for president this year: Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama?" If unsure: "Which candidate are you leaning toward?" Names rotated

.

Obama Clinton Other (vol.) Neither (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

5/8-11/08

53

41

-

4

2

4/10-13/08

51

41

1

2

5

2/28 - 3/2/08

50

43

1

3

2


 

Ipsos Public Affairs poll. April 30-May 4, 2008. N=514 Democrats and leaners nationwide. MoE 4.3. 4/23-27/08 and earlier: Associated Press/Ipsos Poll.

.

"If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" Names rotated. For 10/07 and earlier, includes second choices of Gore supporters.

.

4/30 - 5/4/08        
%        
Hillary Clinton

47

       
Barack Obama

40

       
Other (vol.)

1

       
None (vol.)

5

       
Unsure

7

       

.

4/23-27/08 4/7-9/08 2/22-24/08 2/7-10/08 1/15-17/08
% % % % %
Barack Obama

46

46

46

41

33

Hillary Clinton

43

43

43

46

40

Other (vol.)

-

3

-

1

-

None (vol.)

5

4

5

7

6

Unsure

6

4

6

5

8

John Edwards

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

13

.

12/3-5/07 11/5-7/07 10/1-3/07 9/21-25/07 9/10-12/07
% % % % %
Hillary Clinton

45

45

46

40

43

Barack Obama

23

22

25

26

23

John Edwards

12

12

11

12

13

Bill Richardson

4

3

3

4

4

Joe Biden

2

2

2

2

4

Chris Dodd

1

1

1

1

-

Other (vol.)

1

2

-

1

-

None (vol.)

5

6

3

4

4

Unsure

7

7

9

10

9


 

Diageo/Hotline Poll conducted by Financial Dynamics. April 30-May 3, 2008. N=374 Democratic primary voters nationwide. MoE 5.1.

.

"If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidates were [see below]?" If "All": "If you absolutely had to choose, which one person would you support?" Names rotated

.

4/30 - 5/3/08        
%        
Barack Obama 48        
Hillary Clinton 37        
Neither (vol.) 4        
Both (vol.) 1        
Unsure 8        

.

3/28-31/08 2/14-17/08 1/10-12/08 12/10-14/07 7/19-22/07
% % % % %
Barack Obama 50 43 35 30 30
Hillary Clinton 38 45 38 35 39
None of these (vol.) 4 1 1 1 4
Other (vol.) 1 - 1 - -
All of these (vol.) 1 - - - 1
Unsure 6 9 8 13 8
Mike Gravel n/a 1 - 1 n/a
John Edwards n/a n/a 13 14 11
Dennis Kucinich n/a n/a 2 1 3
Bill Richardson n/a n/a n/a 2 2
Joe Biden n/a n/a n/a 2 2
Christopher Dodd n/a n/a n/a 1 n/a

 

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. April 28-30, 2008. N=441 registered Democrats nationwide. MoE 4.5.

.

"Who would you MOST like to see win the Democratic nomination for president: Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama?" Names rotated

.

Obama Clinton Neither (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  

4/28-30/08

46

45

6

3

 

3/14-16/08

52

45

-

3

 

 

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. April 28-29, 2008. N=400 Democratic voters nationwide. MoE 5.

.

"Who do you want to win the Democratic nomination for president: Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama?" Names rotated

.

Clinton Obama Other/
Neither (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  

4/28-29/08

44

41

8

7

 

3/18-19/08

40

38

8

13

 

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Neil Newhouse (R). April 25-28, 2008. Asked of Democrats, and non-Democrats who said they would vote or have voted in a Democratic presidential primary (from a total sample of 1,006 registered voters nationwide).

.

"Regardless of whether you have already voted or not, if the Democratic primary election were being held today would you vote for Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?"
1/08: "Suppose the choice for the Democratic nomination came down to Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. For whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?"

.

Clinton Obama Other (vol.) Neither (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

4/25-28/08

43

46

1

3

7

3/24-25/08

45

45

1

1

8

3/7-10/08

47

43

1

2

7

1/20-22/08

53

37

1

1

8


 

Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll. Feb. 21-25, 2008. N=436 Democratic primary voters nationwide. MoE 5.

.

 

"Which candidate did you/will you vote for in the Democratic primary or caucus for president . . . ?"

 

 

Obama Clinton Other Unsure    

 

% % % %    

2/21-25/08

48

42

5

5

   

 

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Feb. 19-20, 2008. N=391 Democratic voters nationwide. MoE 5.

.

"If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were [see below]?" Names rotated. For 10/07 and earlier, includes second choices of Gore supporters.

.

2/19-20/08 1/30-31/08      
% %      
Hillary Clinton

44

47

     
Barack Obama

44

37

     
Other (vol.)

2

2

     
Unsure

8

11

     
Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1

3

     
       
12/18-19/07 11/13-14/07 10/23-24/07 10/9-10/07 9/11-12/07
% % % % %
Hillary Clinton

49

44

42

50

43

Barack Obama

20

23

25

18

24

John Edwards

10

12

13

11

13

Joseph Biden

3

1

2

1

2

Bill Richardson

2

5

2

4

1

Mike Gravel

1

-

-

-

-

Dennis Kucinich

1

2

1

2

2

Chris Dodd

-

1

1

1

1

Other (vol.)

-

-

1

1

-

Unsure

12

10

12

12

11

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

3

2

1

2

2

       
8/21-22/07 7/17-18/07 6/26-27/07 6/5-6/07 5/15-16/07
% % % % %
Hillary Clinton

38

41

47

41

39

Barack Obama

25

25

21

26

23

John Edwards

8

12

13

15

15

Dennis Kucinich

4

4

2

2

-

Bill Richardson

3

2

3

1

4

Joseph Biden

2

1

2

2

1

Chris Dodd

1

-

1

1

-

Mike Gravel

-

-

1

1

-

Other (vol.)

1

1

1

1

2

Unsure

15

13

7

10

15

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

3

2

3

2

2


 

American Research Group poll. Feb. 9-13, 2008. N=600 likely Democratic primary and caucus voters nationwide. MoE 4.

.

"If the 2008 Democratic presidential preference primary/caucus were being held today between [see below], for whom would you vote: [see below], someone else, or are you undecided?" Names rotated

.

2/9-13/08 1/9-12/08      
% %      
Barack Obama

47

27

     
Hillary Clinton

45

47

     
Unsure

8

11

     
John Edwards

n/a

13

     
Dennis Kucinich

n/a

1

     
Bill Richardson

n/a

1

     
Mike Gravel

n/a

-

     

.

12/9-12/07 11/9-12/07 10/9-12/07 9/9-12/07 8/9-12/07
% % % % %
Hillary Clinton

41

46

45

39

36

Barack Obama

22

21

20

21

21

John Edwards

13

11

13

15

16

Joe Biden

5

4

5

5

4

Dennis Kucinich

4

1

1

1

1

Bill Richardson

3

4

3

5

7

Christopher Dodd

2

1

1

1

1

Mike Gravel

-

-

-

1

1

Unsure

10

12

12

12

12

Wesley Clark

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

1

.

7/9-12/07 6/9-12/07 5/9-12/07 4/9-12/07 3/2-5/07
% % % % %
Hillary Clinton

38

39

39

36

34

Barack Obama

25

19

22

24

31

John Edwards

16

13

19

19

15

Bill Richardson

3

5

2

2

2

Joe Biden

2

3

3

2

1

Wesley Clark

1

2

1

1

1

Christopher Dodd

1

1

2

1

1

Mike Gravel

1

1

-

-

-

Dennis Kucinich

1

1

1

1

1

Unsure

12

16

11

14

14


 

Time Poll conducted by abt SRBI. Feb. 1-4, 2008. N=439 registered Democratic likely voters. MoE 4.

.

"Turning now to the primary elections now underway, what if your choices for the Democratic Party nomination for president were Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama, which one would you vote for if you had to decide today?" If unsure: "Do you lean more toward Hillary Clinton or more toward Barack Obama?" Names rotated

.

Clinton Obama Neither (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  

2/1-4/08

48

42

3

6

 

 

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Feb. 1-3, 2008. N=500 registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or lean Democrats. MoE 4.5.

.

"Please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president: [see below]?" Names rotated. For 10/07 and earlier, includes second choices of Gore supporters.

.

2/1-3/08 1/14-17/08 1/9-10/08    
% % %    

Barack Obama

49

33

36

   

Hillary Clinton

46

42

49

   

Mike Gravel

2

-

-

   

Unsure

4

4

2

   

John Edwards

n/a

17

12

   

Dennis Kucinich

n/a

3

1

   

.

12/6-9/07 11/2-4/07 10/12-14/07 9/7-9/07 8/6-8/07
% % % % %

Hillary Clinton

40

44

51

46

44

Barack Obama

30

25

21

23

24

John Edwards

14

14

15

16

16

Joe Biden

4

3

1

2

3

Bill Richardson

4

4

4

5

5

Christopher Dodd

2

2

1

-

-

Dennis Kucinich

2

2

1

3

2

Mike Gravel

-

1

1

1

-

Unsure

4

5

7

3

6

.

6/22-24/07 5/4-6/07 4/10-12/07 3/9-11/07 1/19-21/07
% % % % %

Hillary Rodham Clinton

43

41

36

44

37

Barack Obama

25

27

28

23

18

John Edwards

17

14

15

14

16

Bill Richardson

5

6

3

4

2

Joe Biden

3

3

1

1

3

Dennis Kucinich

2

1

2

1

2

Christopher Dodd

-

2

1

-

1

Mike Gravel

-

-

n/a

n/a

n/a

Unsure

6

7

8

10

17

Wesley Clark

n/a

n/a

3

2

2

Al Sharpton

n/a

n/a

2

-

1


 

Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll. Jan. 31-Feb. 2, 2008. N=376 Democratic primary voters nationwide. MoE 5.1.

.

"I am going to read a list of people who might seek the Democratic nomination for president in 2008. I would like you to tell me who would be your FIRST CHOICE for the nomination. . . ."  Names rotated

.

1/31 - 2/2/08 12/15-17/07 11/8-11/07 9/13-16/07  
% % % %  
Barack Obama

43

26

22

22

 
Hillary Rodham Clinton

37

38

39

33

 
Other (vol.)

3

3

4

2

 
Unsure

17

5

15

12

 
John Edwards

n/a

17

12

16

 
Bill Richardson

n/a

4

4

2

 
Joe Biden

n/a

4

3

2

 
Chris Dodd

n/a

-

1

1

 
Dennis Kucinich

n/a

3

1

3

 
Mike Gravel

n/a

1

-

-

 
Al Gore

n/a

n/a

n/a

8

 

.

8/2-5/07 6/21-23/07 6/15-17/07 5/11-13/07 4/27-29/07
% % % % %
Hillary Rodham Clinton

39

32

30

35

32

Barack Obama

21

22

20

24

23

Al Gore

10

12

9

10

11

John Edwards

8

11

13

11

16

Bill Richardson

4

1

3

2

4

Joe Biden

1

2

-

1

2

Dennis Kucinich

1

2

1

1

-

Chris Dodd

-

1

1

2

1

Mike Gravel

-

-

1

1

-

Other (vol.)

2

2

2

1

-

Unsure

14

15

20

12

12


 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Jan. 30-Feb. 1, 2008. N=1,249 adults nationwide. Fieldwork by TNS.

.

"If the Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" Names rotated. Includes leaners. For 7/07 and earlier, includes second choices of Gore supporters.

.

Among likely Democratic primary voters:

.

1/30 - 2/1/08        
%        
Hillary Clinton

47

       
Barack Obama

43

       
John Edwards (vol.)

2

       
None of these (vol.)

2

       
Unsure

5

       

.

1/9-12/08 12/6-9/07      
% %      
Hillary Clinton

42

53

     
Barack Obama

37

23

     
John Edwards

11

10

     
Dennis Kucinich

2

2

     
None of these (vol.)

3

1

     
Unsure

3

3

     
Bill Richardson

n/a

3

     
Joe Biden

n/a

3

     
Chris Dodd

n/a

-

     

.

Among Democrats and leaners:

.

10/29 - 11/1/07 9/27-30/07      
% %      
Hillary Clinton

49

53

     
Barack Obama

26

20

     
John Edwards

12

13

     
Joe Biden

3

2

     
Dennis Kucinich

2

1

     
Bill Richardson

2

3

     
Chris Dodd

1

-

     
Mike Gravel

-

0

     
None of these (vol.)

1

4

     
Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1

1

     
Unsure

2

2

     

.

9/4-7/07 7/18-21/07 5/29 - 6/1/07 4/12-15/07 2/22-25/07
% % % % %
Hillary Clinton

41

45

42

41

43

Barack Obama

27

30

27

25

27

John Edwards

14

12

11

17

14

Joe Biden

3

2

2

2

2

Dennis Kucinich

2

1

2

1

-

Bill Richardson

2

3

2

3

3

Chris Dodd

1

1

1

-

-

Mike Gravel

1

0

-

-

-

Other (vol.)

1

1

-

-

-

None of these (vol.)

4

2

4

3

4

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

0

2

1

1

1

Unsure

5

2

6

5

4

Wesley Clark

n/a

n/a

n/a

1

-

Tom Vilsack

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

-


 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Jan. 20-22, 2008. Asked of Democrats, and non-Democrats who said they would vote in a Democratic presidential primary (from a total sample of 1,008 adults nationwide). MoE 4.4.

.

"Let me mention some people who might seek the Democratic nomination for president in 2008. If the next Democratic primary for president were being held today, for which one of the following candidates would you vote . . . ?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?"

.

1/20-22/08 12/14-17/07 11/1-5/07 9/7-10/07  
% % % %  
Hillary Clinton

47

45

47

44

 
Barack Obama

32

23

25

23

 
John Edwards

12

13

11

16

 
Dennis Kucinich

3

4

2

3

 
Other (vol.)

-

-

3

1

 
None (vol.)

1

1

1

1

 
Unsure

5

7

4

5

 
Joe Biden

n/a

4

3

2

 
Bill Richardson

n/a

2

4

4

 
Chris Dodd

n/a

1

-

1

 
Mike Gravel

n/a

-

-

-

 

.

7/27-30/07 6/8-11/07 4/20-23/07 3/2-5/07 12/8-11/06
% % % % %
Hillary Clinton

43

39

36

40

37

Barack Obama

22

25

31

28

18

John Edwards

13

15

20

15

14

Bill Richardson

6

4

2

5

2

Joe Biden

5

4

3

2

4

Dennis Kucinich

2

3

1

1

n/a

Chris Dodd

1

1

-

1

n/a

Mike Gravel

-

-

-

n/a

n/a

Other (vol.)

1

2

1

1

3

None (vol.)

2

2

1

1

3

Unsure

5

5

5

5

5

Wesley Clark

n/a

n/a

n/a

1

n/a

John Kerry

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

11

Evan Bayh

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

3

Tom Vilsack

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

-


 

Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll. Jan. 18-22, 2008. N=532 likely Democratic primary voters nationwide. MoE 4.

.

"If the Democratic primary for president were being held in your state today and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote: [see below]?" Names rotated. Results include leaners.

.

1/18-22/08 11/30 -
12/3/07
10/19-22/07 6/7-10/07 4/5-9/07
% % % % %

Hillary Clinton

42

45

48

33

33

Barack Obama

33

21

17

22

23

John Edwards

11

11

13

8

14

Dennis Kucinich

1

1

1

2

n/a

Other (vol.)

1

-

2

1

n/a

Unsure

12

15

15

9

13

Joe Biden

n/a

3

2

5

1

Bill Richardson

n/a

3

2

4

3

Chris Dodd

n/a

1

-

1

-

Al Gore

n/a

n/a

n/a

15

13


 

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Jan. 9-10, 2008. N=443 registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or lean Democrats. MoE 4.5.

.

"Suppose the only Democratic candidates were Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. Which of those two would you support?"

.

Clinton Obama Neither (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  

1/9-10/08

53

44

3

1

 

Earlier polling on the Democratic nomination


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