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National Public Radio Poll
conducted by Public Opinion Strategies (R) and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner
Research (D). May 7-8, 10, 2008. N=800 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5. |
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. |
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"If the election for president were being held today, for whom
would you vote if the candidates were John McCain, Republican, and [see
below], Democrat?" If unsure:
"Which way do you lean as of today, towards [see below]?" |
|
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|
|
|
. |
|
|
McCain (R) |
Obama (D) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
5/7-8, 10/08 |
43 |
48 |
1 |
7 |
|
|
1/29-31/08 |
48 |
47 |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
McCain (R) |
Clinton (D) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
5/7-8, 10/08 |
46 |
45 |
2 |
6 |
|
|
1/29-31/08 |
48 |
45 |
3 |
3 |
|
|
12/7, 9-10/06 |
48 |
41 |
2 |
9 |
|
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|
Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg
Poll. May 1-8, 2008. N=1,986 registered voters
nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
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. |
|
"If the November 2008 general election for president were
being held today and the choices were
[see below], the Democrat, and John McCain, the Republican, for whom would you vote:
[see below] or McCain, or would you vote for a candidate from some other party?"
Names rotated. Results include leaners. |
|
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|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
McCain (R) |
Clinton (D) |
Other |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
5/1-8/08 |
38 |
47 |
4 |
11 |
|
|
2/21-25/08 |
46 |
40 |
5 |
9 |
|
|
1/18-22/08 |
42 |
46 |
5 |
7 |
|
|
10/19-22/07 |
38 |
48 |
6 |
8 |
|
|
6/7-10/07 |
45 |
41 |
9 |
5 |
|
|
4/5-9/07 |
42 |
45 |
10 |
3 |
|
|
12/8-11/06 |
50 |
36 |
10 |
4 |
|
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|
Ipsos Public
Affairs poll. April 30-May 4, 2008. N=1,000 adults nationwide.
MoE ± 3.1. 4/23-27/08
and earlier: Associated Press/Ipsos Poll. |
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|
"If the election for president were held today and the candidates were
[see below], for whom would you vote?" If neither or unsure: "Well, do
you lean more toward [see below]?" Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
McCain
(R) |
Clinton (D) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
4/30 - 5/4/08 |
42 |
47 |
8 |
2 |
|
|
4/23-27/08 |
41 |
50 |
7 |
2 |
|
|
4/7-9/08 |
45 |
48 |
5 |
2 |
|
|
2/22-24/08 |
43 |
48 |
7 |
2 |
|
|
2/7-10/08 |
45 |
46 |
7 |
2 |
|
|
|
Diageo/Hotline Poll
conducted by Financial Dynamics. April
30-May 3, 2008. N=803 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5. |
|
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|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Now, suppose the general election for
president in 2008 were being held today between Republican John McCain and
Democrat [see below], for whom would you vote?" If unsure:
"Which way would you lean as of today?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
McCain (R) |
Clinton (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/30 - 5/3/08 |
43 |
46 |
11 |
|
|
|
3/28-31/08 |
50 |
41 |
10 |
|
|
|
2/14-17/08 |
48 |
40 |
12 |
|
|
|
1/10-12/08 |
48 |
45 |
8 |
|
|
|
5/16-20/07 |
43 |
45 |
12 |
|
|
|
4/26-30/07 |
45 |
45 |
11 |
|
|
|
1/11-14/07 |
48 |
39 |
12 |
|
|
|
11/8-12/06 |
45 |
40 |
15 |
|
|
|
7/20-23/06 |
49 |
37 |
15 |
|
|
|
6/21-25/06 |
50 |
40 |
11 |
|
|
|
5/18-21/06 |
49 |
38 |
13 |
|
|
|
2/16-19/06 |
50 |
40 |
11 |
|
|
|
1/12-15/06 |
52 |
36 |
12 |
|
|
|
11/11-15/05 |
52 |
39 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Now, suppose the general election for
president in 2008 were being held today between Republican John McCain,
Democrat [see below], and independent Ralph Nader, for whom would you
vote?" If unsure: "Which way would you lean as of today?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
McCain (R) |
Obama (D) |
Nader (I) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
4/30 - 5/3/08 |
40 |
45 |
5 |
9 |
|
|
3/28-31/08 |
45 |
41 |
3 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
McCain (R) |
Clinton (D) |
Nader (I) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
4/30 - 5/3/08 |
42 |
44 |
4 |
10 |
|
|
3/28-31/08 |
46 |
39 |
5 |
10 |
|
|
|
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll .
April 28-29, 2008. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.
LV = likely voters |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Thinking ahead to the next
presidential election, if the 2008 general election were held today for whom
would you vote if the candidates were
[see below]?" Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
McCain (R) |
Clinton (D) |
Other (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/28-29/08 |
44 |
45 |
11 |
|
|
|
3/18-19/08 |
43 |
46 |
11 |
|
|
|
2/19-20/08 |
47 |
44 |
9 |
|
|
|
1/30-31/08 |
45 |
44 |
10 |
|
|
|
12/18-19/07 |
47 |
42 |
12 |
|
|
|
11/13-14/07 |
45 |
46 |
9 |
|
|
|
10/9-10/07 |
44 |
47 |
9 |
|
|
|
9/25-26/07 |
39 |
46 |
15 |
|
|
|
7/17-18/07 |
42 |
45 |
12 |
|
|
|
6/5-6/07 |
43 |
43 |
14 |
|
|
|
3/27-28/07 |
47 |
43 |
9 |
|
|
|
12/5-6/06 |
48 |
40 |
12 |
|
|
|
10/24-25/06
LV |
45 |
39 |
15 |
|
|
|
8/29-30/06 |
47 |
39 |
13 |
|
|
|
5/16-18/06 |
46 |
42 |
13 |
|
|
|
3/14-15/06 |
50 |
39 |
11 |
|
|
|
2/7-8/06 |
51 |
38 |
11 |
|
|
|
9/27-28/05 |
49 |
38 |
12 |
|
|
|
11/16-17/04 |
53 |
37 |
10 |
|
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|
Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll.
April 17-20, 2008. N=802 registered voters nationwide.
MoE ± 3.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"I know the election in November is a long way off, but if
[see below]
were the Democratic Party's candidate and
Arizona Senator John McCain were the Republican Party's candidate, who would
you vote for:
[see below], the Democrat, or John McCain, the Republican?"
If neither/unsure:
"As of today, do you lean more toward
[see below], the Democrat, or McCain, the
Republican?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
McCain (R) |
Clinton (D) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
4/17-20/08 |
45 |
45 |
3 |
7 |
|
|
3/6-9/08 |
47 |
45 |
1 |
6 |
|
|
1/31 - 2/2/08 |
45 |
41 |
3 |
10 |
|
|
4/20-22/07 |
43 |
42 |
2 |
13 |
|
|
1/18-21/07 |
48 |
42 |
4 |
6 |
|
|
12/14-17/06 |
40 |
39 |
5 |
16 |
|
|
11/9-12/06 |
44 |
42 |
4 |
9 |
|
|
6/1-4/06 |
47 |
40 |
6 |
7 |
|
|
4/6-9/06 |
46 |
37 |
7 |
9 |
|
|
2/23-26/06 |
48 |
36 |
5 |
11 |
|
|
|
Newsweek Poll
conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. April
16-17, 2008. N=1,209 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Suppose that neither Clinton nor Obama
is able to secure the Democratic nomination and the party turns to Al Gore
as its presidential candidate. If the presidential election were being held
TODAY and you HAD TO CHOOSE between Al Gore, the Democrat, and John McCain,
the Republican, who would you be more likely to vote for?" If
other/unsure:
"As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward Gore, the Democrat, or McCain, the
Republican?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
McCain (R) |
Gore (D) |
Other (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/16-17/08 |
46 |
49 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
Zogby Poll .
March 13-14, 2008. N=1,001 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.2. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
General Election Trial Heats: |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
McCain (R) |
Obama (D) |
Nader (I) |
Other/Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
3/13-14/08 |
44 |
39 |
5 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
McCain (R) |
Clinton (D) |
Nader (I) |
Other/Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
3/13-14/08 |
45 |
39 |
6 |
11 |
|
|
|
Diageo/Hotline Poll
conducted by Financial Dynamics. Feb.
14-17, 2008. N=803 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Now, suppose the general election for
president in 2008 were being held today between Republican
[see below] and
Democrat [see below], for whom would you vote?" If unsure:
"Which way would you lean as of today?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Huckabee (R) |
Obama (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/14-17/08 |
38 |
49 |
13 |
|
|
|
1/10-12/08 |
31 |
54 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Huckabee (R) |
Clinton (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/14-17/08 |
39 |
49 |
12 |
|
|
|
1/10-12/08 |
40 |
49 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Now, suppose the general election for
president in 2008 were being held today between Republican [see below],
Democrat [see below], and independent Mike Bloomberg, for whom would
you vote?" If unsure: "Which way would you lean as of today?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
McCain (R) |
Obama (D) |
Bloomberg (I) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2/14-17/08 |
39 |
44 |
6 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
McCain (R) |
Clinton (D) |
Bloomberg (I) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2/14-17/08 |
40 |
42 |
6 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Huckabee (R) |
Obama (D) |
Bloomberg (I) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2/14-17/08 |
33 |
47 |
8 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Huckabee (R) |
Clinton (D) |
Bloomberg (I) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2/14-17/08 |
35 |
45 |
7 |
12 |
|
|
|
Time
Poll
conducted by abt SRBI. Feb. 1-4, 2008.
N=958 likely voters nationwide.
RV = registered voters |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Turning now to the presidential election in November: If
the candidates were [see below], the Democrat, and [see below],
the Republican, and you had to choose, for which of these candidates would
you vote?" If unsure: "Do you lean more toward [see below],
the Democrat, or more toward [see below], the Republican?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
McCain (R) |
Clinton (D) |
Other (vol.) |
Neither (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
2/1-4/08 |
46 |
46 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
|
4/5-9/07
RV |
46 |
44 |
1 |
5 |
4 |
|
3/23-26/07
RV |
48 |
42 |
1 |
4 |
5 |
|
3/9-12/07
RV |
43 |
44 |
1 |
5 |
6 |
|
2/23-26/07
RV |
45 |
46 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
|
1/22-23/07
RV |
47 |
47 |
- |
2 |
3 |
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Feb. 1-3, 2008. N=974 registered
voters nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
|
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|
