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   White House 2008: General Election Trial Heats           See also:  Candidate ratings | '08 campaign | '04 trial heats | '00 trial heats


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PollingReport.com
Presidential Trial Heat Summary

.

  Where available, based on likely voters and two-way (vs. multi-candidate) match-ups.
 

.

  McCain Obama   Margin
      % %   McCain Obama
  Marist 11/3 43 52     9
  American Research Group 11/3 45 53     8
  Marist 11/2 44 53     9
  FOX/Opinion Dynamics 11/2 43 50     7
  NBC/Wall Street Journal 11/2 43 51     8
  CBS 11/2 42 51     9
  Democracy Corps (D) 11/2 44 51     7
  Ipsos/McClatchy 11/2 42 50     8
  CBS 11/1 41 54     13
  CNN/Opinion Research 11/1 46 53     7
  Pew 11/1 42 49     7
  CBS 10/31 41 54     13
  CBS 10/30 41 52     11
  Marist 10/29 43 50     7
  FOX/Opinion Dynamics 10/28-29 44 47     3
  CBS/New York Times 10/25-29 40 51     11
  American Research Group 10/25-27 45 50     5
  Ipsos/McClatchy 10/23-27 45 50     5
  Diageo/Hotline 10/23-26 42 49     7
  Pew 10/23-26 38 53     15
  Newsweek 10/22-23 41 53     12
  Democracy Corps (D) 10/21-23 43 52     9
  Big Ten Battleground 10/19-22 43 52     9
  CBS/New York Times 10/19-22 39 52     13
  FOX/Opinion Dynamics 10/20-21 40 49     9
  American Research Group 10/18-20 45 49     4
  NBC/Wall Street Journal 10/17-20 42 53     11
  AP-GfK 10/16-20 43 44     1
  Ipsos/McClatchy 10/16-20 42 50     8
  CNN/Opinion Research 10/17-19 46 51     5
  Pew 10/16-19 39 53     14
  Democracy Corps (D) 10/15-19 44 49     5
  Franklin & Marshall 10/13-19 45 50     5
  American Research Group 10/11-13 45 50     5
  CBS/New York Times 10/10-13 39 53     14
  LAT/Bloomberg 10/10-13 41 50     9
  Ipsos/McClatchy 10/9-13 42 51     9
  USA Today/Gallup - expanded 10/10-12 45 52     7
  USA Today/Gallup - traditional 10/10-12 46 50     4
  Pew 10/9-12 42 49     7
  Democracy Corps (D) 10/8-12 40 50     10
  ABC/Washington Post 10/8-11 43 53     10
  FOX/Opinion Dynamics 10/8-9 39 46     7
  Newsweek 10/8-9 41 52     11
  American Research Group 10/4-6 45 49     4
  Time 10/3-6 44 50     6
  Ipsos/McClatchy 10/2-6 40 47     7
  NBC/Wall Street Journal 10/4-5 43 49     6
  CBS 10/3-5 45 48     3
  CNN/Opinion Research 10/3-5 45 53     8
  Democracy Corps (D) 10/1-5 45 48     3
  Democracy Corps (D) 9/28-30 45 49     4
  Marist College 9/28-30 44 49     5
  AP-GfK 9/27-30 41 48     7
  CBS 9/27-30 41 50     9
  ABC/Washington Post 9/27-29 46 50     4
  American Research Group 9/27-29 45 49     4
  Pew 9/27-29 43 49     6
  Ipsos/McClatchy 9/26-29 42 46     4
  Time 9/26-29 43 50     7
  Democracy Corps (D) 9/22-24 44 47     3
  CBS/New York Times 9/21-24 43 48     5
  FOX/Opinion Dynamics 9/22-23 39 45     6
  Marist College 9/22-23 44 49     5
  American Research Group 9/20-22 46 48     2
  ABC/Washington Post 9/19-22 43 52     9
  LAT/Bloomberg 9/19-22 45 49     4
  NBC/Wall Street Journal 9/19-22 46 48     2
  Ipsos/McClatchy 9/18-22 43 44     1
  CNN/Opinion Research 9/19-21 47 51     4
  Franklin & Marshall 9/15-21 45 43   2  
  Big Ten Battleground 9/14-17 45 46     1
  CBS/New York Times 9/12-16 44 49     5
  Quinnipiac 9/11-16 45 49     4
  American Research Group 9/13-15 48 45   3  
  Ipsos/McClatchy 9/11-15 45 45      
  ABC/USA Today/CU 9/11-14 45 47     2
  Pew 9/9-14 46 46      
  Reuters/Zogby 9/11-13 45 47     2
  Newsweek 9/10-11 46 46      
  GWU Battleground 8/7-11 48 44   4  
  Democracy Corps (D) 9/8-10 48 46   2  
  AP-GfK 9/5-10 48 44   4  
  FOX/Opinion Dynamics 9/8-9 45 42   3  
  Ipsos/McClatchy 9/5-9 46 45   1  
  American Research Group 9/6-8 46 47     1
  NBC/Wall Street Journal 9/6-8 46 47     1
  ABC/Washington Post 9/5-7 49 47   2  
  CNN/Opinion Research 9/5-7 48 48      
  USA Today/Gallup 9/5-7 54 44   10  
  IBD/TIPP 9/2-7 40 45     5
  CBS News 9/1-3 42 42      
  Democracy Corps (D) 9/1-3 44 49     5
  American Research Group 8/30 - 9/1 43 49     6
  USA Today/Gallup 8/30-31 43 50     7
  CBS News 8/29-31 40 48     8
  CNN/Opinion Research 8/29-31 48 49     1
  Diageo/Hotline 8/29-31 39 48     9
  CNN/Opinion Research 8/23-24 47 47      
  Diageo/Hotline 8/18-24 40 44     4
  USA Today/Gallup 8/21-23 45 48     3
  ABC/Washington Post 8/19-22 45 49     4
  FOX/Opinion Dynamics 8/19-20 39 42     3
  CBS/New York Times 8/15-19 42 45     3
  LAT/Bloomberg 8/15-18 43 45     2
  NBC/Wall Street Journal 8/15-18 42 45     3
  Quinnipiac 8/12-17 42 47     5
  Reuters/Zogby 8/14-16 46 41   5  
  GWU Battleground 8/10-14 47 46   1  
  Pew 7/31 - 8/10 43 46     3
  IBD/TIPP 8/4-9 38 43     5
  CBS/New York Times 7/31 - 8/5 39 45     6
  AP/Ipsos 7/31 - 8/4 41 47     6
  Time 7/31 - 8/4 41 46     5
  CNN/Opinion Research 7/27-29 44 51     7
  USA Today/Gallup 7/25-27 49 45   4  
  Pew 7/23-27 42 47     5
  FOX/Opinion Dynamics 7/22-23 40 41     1
  NBC/Wall Street Journal 7/18-21 41 47     6
  CBS/New York Times 7/7-14 39 45     6
  ABC/Washington Post 7/10-13 46 49     3
  Reuters/Zogby 7/9-13 40 47     7
  Quinnipiac 7/8-13 41 50     9
  IBD/TIPP 7/7-11 37 40     3
  Newsweek 7/9-10 41 44     3
                 
                 

 

 


TRACKING POLLS
ABC/Washington Post 
  Gallup    Diageo/Hotline    GWU Battleground    IBD/TIPP    Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby
 

ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll. N=1,300-2,500 likely voters nationwide.

.

"If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats, and John McCain and Sarah Palin, the Republicans, for whom would you vote?" If already voted: "For whom did you vote?" Options rotated. Results include leaners.

.

McCain Obama Other (vol.) Neither (vol.) Unsure

 

% % % % %

10/31 - 11/3/08

44 53

.

10/30 - 11/2/08

44 53 1 1 1

10/29 - 11/1/08

43 54 1 1 1

10/28-31/08

44 53 1 1 2

10/27-30/08

44 53 1 1 2

10/26-29/08

44 52 1 1 2

10/25-28/08

44 52 1 1 3

10/24-27/08

45 52 1 1 2

10/23-26/08

45 52 - 1 2

10/22-25/08

45 52 - 1 2

10/21-24/08

44 53 1 1 2

10/20-23/08

44 53 - 1 2

10/19-22/08

43 54 1 1 2

10/18-21/08

43 54 1 1 1

10/17-20/08

44 53 1 1 2

10/16-19/08

44 53 1 1 2

 

Gallup Poll daily tracking. Three-day rolling average. N=2,600-2,800 registered voters nationwide. MoE 2. Per Gallup: "Gallup is providing two likely voter estimates to take into account different turnout scenarios. The first likely voter model is based on Gallup's traditional likely voter assumptions, which determine respondents' likelihood to vote based on how they answer questions about their current voting intention and past voting behavior. . . . The second likely voter estimate is a variation on the traditional model, but is only based on respondents' current voting intention. This model would take into account increased voter registration this year and possibly higher turnout among groups that are traditionally less likely to vote, such as young adults and racial minorities."

.

"Now, suppose that the presidential election were being held today, and it included Barack Obama and Joe Biden as the Democratic candidates and John McCain and Sarah Palin as the Republican candidates. Would you vote for Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats, or John McCain and Sarah Palin, the Republicans?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward Obama and Biden, the Democrats, or McCain and Palin, the Republicans?" Options rotated

.

McCain Obama Other (vol.) Neither (vol.) Unsure

End date

% % % % %

.

VOTE PROJECTION, with undecideds allocated:

.

.

11/2/08

44 55

.

.

Among likely voters -- expanded model (current voting intention only):

.

11/2/08

42 53 1 1 3

11/1/08

43 52 1 1 4

10/31/08

42 52 1 1 4

10/30/08

43 52 - 1 3

10/29/08

44 51 - 1 3

10/28/08

44 51 1 1 3

10/27/08

44 51 1 1 3

10/26/08

43 53 1 1 3

10/25/08

43 52 1 1 4

10/24/08

43 51 1 1 4

10/23/08

44 51 1 1 4

10/22/08

45 51 - 1 4

10/21/08

44 52 - 1 4

10/20/08

42 52 - 1 4

10/19/08

43 52 1 1 4

10/18/08

44 51 - 1 3

10/17/08

46 50 - 1 2

10/16/08

45 51 - 1 3

10/15/08

45 51 1 1 3

10/14/08

44 52 1 1 3

10/13/08

43 53 1 1 3

10/12/08

43 53 - 1 3

10/11/08

45 51 - 1 3

.

Among likely voters -- traditional model (current voting intention and past voting behavior):

.

11/2/08

42 53 1 1 3

11/1/08

43 51 1 1 4

10/31/08

42 52 1 1 4

10/30/08

43 51 - 1 5

10/29/08

45 50 - 1 4

10/28/08

46 49 1 1 3

10/27/08

47 49 1 1 3

10/26/08

45 50 1 1 3

10/25/08

45 50 1 1 3

10/24/08

44 51 1 1 3

10/23/08

45 50 1 1 3

10/22/08

46 50 - 1 4

10/21/08

45 50 - 1 4

10/20/08

44 51 - 1 4

10/19/08

45 50 - 1 4

10/18/08

46 49 - 1 4

10/17/08

47 49 - 1 2

10/16/08

47 49 - 1 3

10/15/08

47 49 1 1 3

10/14/08

46 49 1 1 3

10/13/08

45 51 1 1 3

10/12/08

44 51 - 1 3

10/11/08

46 50 - 1 3

.

Among registered voters:

.

11/2/08

40 53 1 2 4

11/1/08

41 52 1 2 5

10/31/08

41 52 1 2 5

10/30/08

41 52 - 2 5

10/29/08

42 50 - 2 5

10/28/08

42 51 1 2 5

10/27/08

43 50 1 2 4

10/26/08

42 52 1 2 3

10/25/08

42 51 1 2 4

10/24/08

42 51 1 2 4

10/23/08

42 50 1 2 5

10/22/08

43 50 1 2 5

10/21/08

42 51 - 2 6

10/20/08

41 52 - 2 5

10/19/08

41 52 1 2 4

10/18/08

42 52 1 2 4

10/17/08

42 50 1 2 5

10/16/08

43 50 - 2 5

10/15/08

43 49 1 2 6

10/14/08

43 50 1 2 5

10/13/08

42 51 1 3 4

10/12/08

41 51 - 2 5

10/11/08

43 50 - 3 5

10/10/08

42 51 1 2 4

10/9/08

41 51 1 3 4

10/8/08

41 52 1 2 5

10/7/08

41 52 1 2 5

10/6/08

42 51 - 2 5

10/5/08

42 50 - 3 4

10/4/08

43 50 - 3 5

10/3/08

42 50 - 3 5

10/2/08

42 49 - 3 5

10/1/08

43 48 - 3 6

9/30/08

44 48 - 3 5

9/29/08

43 49 - 2 5

9/28/08

42 50 1 3 5

9/27/08

42 50 1 2 5

9/26/08

44 49 1 2 5

9/25/08

45 48 1 2 4

9/24/08

46 46 1 3 4

9/23/08

44 47 1 3 5

9/22/08

44 47 - 3 5

9/21/08

44 48 - 2 5

9/20/08

45 49 - 2 4

9/19/08

44 50 1 2 4

9/18/08

44 49 - 3 4

9/17/08

44 48 1 4 4

9/16/08

45 47 - 4 4

9/15/08

47 46 - 3 4

9/14/08

47 45 - 3 5

9/13/08

47 45 1 2 5

9/12/08

47 45 1 2 5

9/11/08

48 45 1 2 5

9/10/08

48 44 1 2 5

9/9/08

48 43 1 2 6

9/8/08

49 44 1 2 4

9/7/08

49 44 - 2 4

9/6/08

48 45 - 2 4

9/5/08

45 47 1 2 5

9/4/08

44 48 1 2 6

9/3/08

42 49 1 3 6

9/2/08

43 49 - 3 5

9/1/08

42 50 - 3 5

8/31/08

43 49 - 3 5

8/30/08

42 48 - 4 6

8/29/08

41 49 1 4 5

8/28/08

41 49 1 4 5

8/27/08

42 48 1 4 5

8/26/08

44 45 1 4 5

8/25/08

46 44 1 4 5

8/24/08

45 45 1 4 6

8/23/08

45 45 1 4 5

8/22/08

44 46 1 4 6

8/21/08

44 45 1 4 6

8/20/08

44 45 2 4 5

8/19/08

43 45 2 5 6

8/18/08

44 45 1 5 6

8/17/08

43 46 1 4 6

8/16/08

45 45 1 4 5

8/15/08

44 45 1 5 6

8/14/08

44 44 1 5 6

8/13/08

43 46 1 5 6

8/12/08

42 48 1 4 5

8/11/08

42 47 1 4 6

8/10/08

42 47 1 5 6

8/9/08

43 46 1 4 6

8/8/08

42 47 1 4 6

8/7/08

43 46 1 5 6

8/6/08

43 46 1 5 6

8/5/08

44 46 1 5 5

8/4/08

43 47 1 4 6

8/3/08

43 46 1 4 6

8/2/08

44 45 1 5 6

8/1/08

44 44 2 5 5

7/31/08

44 44 2 5 6

7/30/08

44 45 1 5 7

7/29/08

42 46 1 5 7

7/28/08

41 47 1 5 6

7/27/08

40 48 1 5 5

7/26/08

40 49 1 5 4

7/25/08

41 48 1 5 6

7/24/08

41 47 1 4 7

7/23/08

43 45 1 5 7

7/22/08

42 46 1 5 6

7/21/08

42 45 1 6 6

7/20/08

41 47 1 6 6

7/19/08

42 45 1 6 5

7/18/08

43 45 1 5 5

7/17/08

44 45 1 4 6

7/16/08

44 46 1 4 5

7/15/08

44 47 1 4 5

7/14/08

43 47 1 4 5

7/13/08

43 46 1 4 6

7/12/08

43 46 1 4 6

7/11/08

43 47 1 4 6

7/10/08

42 48 1 4 5

7/9/08

43 46 1 4 6

7/8/08

44 46 1 4 6

7/7/08

44 46 1 3 6

7/6/08

43 47 1 4 6

7/5/08

42 48 1 4 6

7/3/08

42 47 1 4 6

7/2/08

43 47 1 5 5

7/1/08

44 46 1 4 6

6/30/08

42 47 1 4 6

6/29/08

42 47 1 4 6

6/28/08

42 46 1 6 6

6/26/08

44 44 1 6 5

6/25/08

44 44 1 5 6

6/24/08

45 45 1 4 5

6/23/08

43 46 1 4 6

6/22/08

43 46 1 4 5

6/21/08

44 46 1 4 6

6/20/08

44 46 1 4 6

6/19/08

44 46 1 4 5

6/17/08

42 47 1 4 6

6/16/08

42 46 1 6 5

6/15/08

42 46 1 6 6

6/14/08

42 44 1 7 7

6/13/08

42 45 1 6 7

6/12/08

43 46 1 6 4

6/10/08

42 48 1 5 4

6/9/08

41 48 1 5 5

6/8/08

42 48 1 5 5

.

Based on a five-day rolling average; N=approx. 4,400 registered voters nationwide; MoE 2:

6/7/08

44 46 1 4 5

6/6/08

45 46 1 4 4

6/5/08

45 46 1 5 4

6/4/08

46 45 1 5 4

6/3/08

46 45 1 5 4

6/2/08

46 45 1 5 4

6/1/08

46 46 1 4 3

5/31/08

45 46 1 5 4

5/29/08

45 46 1 5 4

5/28/08

45 46 1 5 3

5/27/08

46 45 1 5 3

5/25/08

47 44 1 5 4

5/24/08

47 45 1 5 3

5/23/08

46 45 1 4 4

5/22/08

46 46 1 5 4

5/21/08

44 47 1 4 3

5/20/08

44 47 1 4 4

5/19/08

44 47 1 4 4

5/18/08

45 46 1 4 4

5/17/08

46 45 1 4 4

5/16/08

47 44 1 4 4

5/15/08

47 45 1 4 4

5/14/08

45 45 1 4 4

5/13/08

45 46 1 5 4

5/12/08

44 47 1 5 4

5/11/08

43 47 1 4 4

5/10/08

44 47 1 5 4

5/9/08

45 46 1 5 4

5/8/08

45 46 1 4 4

5/7/08

45 46 1 5 4

5/6/08

45 46 1 5 4

5/5/08

46 45 1 5 4

5/4/08

47 43 1 5 4

5/3/08

47 42 1 5 4

5/2/08

48 42 1 5 5

5/1/08

48 42 1 5 5

4/30/08

47 43 1 5 4

4/29/08

46 44 1 4 4

4/28/08

46 44 1 4 4

4/27/08

45 45 1 5 4

4/26/08

45 45 1 5 4

4/25/08

45 45 1 5 4

4/24/08

46 45 1 5 4

4/23/08

45 45 1 5 4

4/22/08

46 45 1 4 4

4/21/08

45 45 1 4 5

4/20/08

45 45 1 5 5

4/19/08

45 45 1 5 5

4/18/08

44 45 1 5 4

4/17/08

44 45 1 5 4

4/16/08

44 46 1 5 4

4/15/08

43 46 1 5 4

4/14/08

44 46 1 5 4

4/13/08

44 46 1 5 5

4/12/08

43 46 1 5 5

4/11/08

43 46 1 5 5

4/10/08

43 46 1 5 5

4/9/08

44 45 1 5 5

4/8/08

44 46 1 5 5

4/7/08

44 45 1 5 4

4/6/08

45 45 1 5 4

4/5/08

45 45 1 5 4

4/4/08

45 45 1 5 4

4/3/08

46 45 1 5 4

4/2/08

46 45 1 4 5

4/1/08

46 44 1 4 4

3/31/08

46 44 1 4 4

3/30/08

46 45 1 5 4

3/29/08

47 44 1 5 4

3/28/08

46 44 1 5 4

3/27/08

46 44 1 5 5

3/26/08

45 44 1 5 5

3/25/08

46 44 1 5 5

3/24/08

45 44 1 5 5

3/22/08

47 44 1 5 4

3/21/08

46 44 1 4 4

3/20/08

47 44 1 4 4

3/19/08

47 43 1 4 4

3/18/08

47 43 1 4 5

3/17/08

46 44 1 4 5

3/16/08

46 44 1 4 5

3/15/08

47 44 1 4 4

3/14/08

45 45 1 4 4

3/13/08

45 45 1 4 4

3/12/08

44 46 1 5 4

3/11/08

44 46 1 5 4

 

Diageo/Hotline Daily Tracker Poll conducted by FD. Three-day rolling average. N=approx. 800 likely voters nationwide. MoE 3.5.

.

"Now, suppose that the presidential election were being held today, and it included John McCain and Sarah Palin as the Republican candidates, and Barack Obama and Joe Biden as the Democratic candidates. Would you vote for McCain and Palin, the Republicans, or Obama and Biden, the Democrats?" If unsure/refused: "Which way would you lean as of today?" Options rotated

.

McCain Obama      

End date

% %      

.

11/2/08 *

45 50      

11/1/08 *

45 50      

10/31/08 *

44 51      

.

10/30/08

41 48      

10/29/08

42 48      

10/28/08

42 49      

10/27/08

42 50      

10/26/08

42 50      

10/25/08

42 50      

10/24/08

43 50      

10/23/08

43 50      

10/22/08

43 48      

10/21/08

42 47      

10/20/08

41 47      

10/19/08

42 47      

10/18/08

41 48      

10/17/08

42 49      

10/16/08

40 50      

10/15/08

41 49      

10/14/08

41 49      

10/13/08

42 48      

10/12/08

42 48      

10/11/08

41 49      

10/10/08

40 50      

.

Among registered voters; N=approx. 900; MoE 3.3:

.

10/9/08

41 48      

10/8/08

41 47      

10/7/08

44 45      

10/6/08

44 46      

10/5/08

41 47      

10/4/08

41 48      

10/3/08

41 48      

10/2/08

42 48      

10/1/08

42 47      

9/30/08

42 47      

9/29/08

41 47      

9/28/08

42 47      

9/27/08

42 47      

9/26/08

43 48      

9/25/08

42 49      

9/24/08

43 47      

9/23/08

42 48      

9/22/08

43 47      

9/21/08

42 47      

9/20/08

44 45      

9/19/08

44 45      

9/18/08

44 45      

9/17/08

42 46      

9/16/08

42 45      

9/15/08

42 46      

9/14/08

43 44      

9/13/08

43 45      

9/12/08

45 44      

9/11/08

44 45      

9/10/08

46 44      

9/9/08

45 45      

9/8/08

45 44      

9/7/08

44 44      

9/4/08

40 46      

.

* Per Diageo/Hotline: "Based on an analysis of responses to questions on candidates' images, partisan identification and demographics, 'Refused' responses in the head-to-head question were assigned either to Obama, McCain or Undecided."


 

George Washington University Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). N=800-1,000 likely voters nationwide.

.

McCain/
Palin
Obama/
Biden
Barr Nader  

 

% % % %  

VOTE PROJECTIONS, with undecideds allocated:

 

.

Ed Goeas (R)

48.3 50.2 0.9 0.6  

Celinda Lake (D)

46.5 51.5 1 1  

.

General Election Trial Heat:
2-way ballot, with Barr and Nader voters redistributed

.

McCain/
Palin
Obama/
Biden
Unsure    

 

% % %    

11/2-3/08

44 49 7    

10/29-30, 11/2

44 50 6    

10/27-30

45 49 6    

10/23, 26-29

46 49 6    

10/22-23, 26-28

46 49 5    

10/21-23, 26-27

46 49 5    

10/20-23, 26

46 49 6    

10/19-23

46 49 6    

10/16, 19-22

45 49 5    

10/15-16, 19-21

47 49 5    

10/14-16, 19-20

47 48 6    

10/13-16, 19

45 49 6    

10/12-16

45 49 6    

10/9, 12-15

44 50 6    

10/8-9, 12-14

43 51 7    

10/8-9, 12-13

40 53 7    

10/7-9, 12

43 51 7    

10/6-9

43 51 6    

10/5-8

45 48 7    

10/2, 5-7

45 49 6    

10/1-2, 5-6

43 50 7    

9/30 - 10/2, 5

43 50 7    

9/28 - 10/2

46 49 6    

9/28 - 10/1

44 49 7    

9/25, 28-30

46 48 7    

9/24-25, 28-29 *

46 48 7    

9/22-25, 28

48 46 6    

9/21-25

48 46 6    

9/18, 21-24

48 47 5    

9/17-18, 21-23

48 46 6    

9/17-18, 21-22

48 46 6    

9/14, 17-18, 21

48 47 6    

9/11, 14, 17-18

47 47 6    

9/10-11, 14, 17/08

47 45 8    

.

"Now, as you think about the election for president and vice president that will be held in November -- If the election for president and vice president were held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote: John McCain and Sarah Palin, the Republicans, Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats, Bob Barr and Wayne Allen Root, the Libertarians, OR Ralph Nader and Matt Gonzalez, the independents?" If unsure: "And which candidate do you lean toward slightly?"

.

McCain Obama Barr Nader Unsure

 

% % % % %

10/23, 26-29

45 48 1 1 5

10/16, 19-22

45 48 1 2 4

10/9, 12-15

43 49 1 2 5

10/6-9

41 51 1 2 5

9/28 - 10/2

44 48 1 2 5

9/21-25/08

47 45 1 2 5
             
  * As of this date, the pollsters altered the sample weighting scheme for the Battleground Poll.

 

Investor's Business Daily/TIPP tracking poll conducted by TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence. N=800-1,100 likely voters nationwide.

.

"If the 2008 election for United States president were held today and the following were candidates for whom would you vote? Would you say Democrat Barack Obama or Republican John McCain?" Options rotated

.

McCain Obama Other    

 

% % %    

VOTE PROJECTION, with undecideds allocated:

   

.

11/1-3/08

44.3 51.5 4.2    

.

McCain Obama Unsure    

 

% % %    

11/1-3/08

42.8 47.3 10.0    

10/30 - 11/2/08

43 48 10    

10/29 - 11/1/08

45 47 9    

10/27-31/08

43 48 9    

10/26-30/08

44 48 8    

10/25-29/08

44 48 9    

10/24-28/08

44 47 9    

10/23-27/08

44 48 9    

10/22-26/08

44 47 9    

10/21-25/08

43 47 10    

10/20-24/08

42 46 12    

10/19-23/08

42 46 12    

10/18-22/08

44 45 12    

10/17-21/08

42 46 12    

10/16-20/08

41 47 12    

10/15-19/08

41 47 12    

10/14-18/08

42 47 12    

10/13-17/08

40 47 13    

10/12-16/08

41 46 14    

10/11-15/08

42 45 13    

10/9-14/08

42 45 13    

10/7-13/08

42 45 13    

10/6-12/08

43 45 13    

 

Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby tracking poll. Rolling sample from three 24-hour periods. N=approx. 1,200 likely voters nationwide. MoE approx. 2.8.

.

General Election Trial Heat:

.

McCain Obama OTHER

.

End date

% % %

.

VOTE PROJECTION, with undecideds allocated:

   

.

11/3/08

42.7 54.1 3.1    

.

McCain Obama Nader Barr Unsure

 

% % % % %

11/2/08

44 51      

11/1/08

44 50      

10/31/08

44 49      

10/30/08

43 50      

10/29/08

43 50      

10/28/08

44 49      

10/27/08

45 49      

10/26/08

45 50      

10/25/08

44 49      

10/24/08

42 51      

10/23/08

41 51      

10/22/08

40 52      

10/21/08

42 52      

10/20/08

42 50      

10/19/08

44 50      

10/18/08

45 48      

10/17/08

44 48      

10/16/08

44 49      

10/15/08

44 49      

10/14/08

44 48      

10/13/08

43 49      

10/12/08

44 48      

10/11/08

43 49      

10/10/08

44 48      

10/9/08

43 48      

10/8/08

44 48      

10/7/08

45 47      

10/6/08

45 48 1 1 4

 


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