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       White House 2016: General Election                 See also: Rating the contenders


     
 
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Investor's Business Daily/TIPP Tracking Poll. Most recent results based on 1,107 likely voters nationwide; margin of error 3.1.

             

"If the 2016 election for the president of the United States were held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

11/4-7/16

43 42 5 9  
 

11/3-6/16

43 42 5 9  
 

11/2-5/16

45 44 4 7  
 

11/1-4/16

46 43 4 7  
 

10/30 - 11/3/16

45 44 4 7  
 

10/29 - 11/2/16

44 44 4 7  
 

10/28 - 11/1/16

44 44 5 7  
 

10/26-31/16

45 44 4 7  
 

10/25-30/16

45 43 4 7  
 

10/24-29/16

45 41 5 9  
 

10/23-28/16

46 41 6 8  
 

10/22-27/16

45 42 6 7  
 

10/21-26/16

44 42 6 8  
 

10/20-25/16

43 41 7 9  
 

10/19-24/16

43 42 6 9  
 

10/18-23/16

42 42 6 10  
 

10/17-22/16

42 43 5 10  
 

10/16-21/16

42 42 5 11  
 

10/15-20/16

43 41 5 12  
 

10/14-19/16

43 41 5 11  
 

10/13-18/16

44 41 6 10  
             

"And if the 2016 election for the president of the United States were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Donald Trump, the Republican, Gary Johnson, the Libertarian, and Jill Stein of the Green Party, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "And who do you LEAN more toward? Would you say [see below]?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Gary
Johnson (L)
Jill
Stein (G)
Other
    % % % % %
 

Projected vote
(allocating unsure)

43 45 8 2 2
 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Gary
Johnson (L)
Jill
Stein (G)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

11/4-7/16

41 43 7 2 7
 

11/3-6/16

41 43 6 2 8
 

11/2-5/16

43 44 5 2 6
 

11/1-4/16

44 44 5 2 6
 

10/30 - 11/3/16

44 44 4 2 6
 

10/29 - 11/2/16

44 44 4 2 6
 

10/28 - 11/1/16

44 44 4 2 5
 

10/26-31/16

45 44 4 2 5
 

10/25-30/16

45 44 4 2 5
 

10/24-29/16

44 42 6 2 6
 

10/23-28/16

45 41 7 2 6
 

10/22-27/16

44 41 7 2 6
 

10/21-26/16

43 41 8 2 6
 

10/20-25/16

42 41 8 3 6
 

10/19-24/16

42 41 8 3 6
 

10/18-23/16

41 41 8 4 6
 

10/17-22/16

41 43 7 3 6
 

10/16-21/16

40 42 7 4 7
 

10/15-20/16

40 41 8 4 7
 

10/14-19/16

40 41 7 5 7
 

10/13-18/16

40 41 8 6 6

 

Bloomberg Politics Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. Nov. 4-6, 2016. N=799 adults nationwide who say they will definitely vote or have already voted in the 2016 general election. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"If the general election were held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats, and Donald Trump for the Republicans, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated. If unsure: "Toward which do you lean?"
If already voted: "In the election for president, for whom did you vote: Hillary Clinton for the Democrats, Donald Trump for the Republicans, or for someone else?" Candidate options rotated. If unsure: "Do you just not want to tell, or do you not remember?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Won't vote/
Other (vol.)
Unsure/
Don't
remember
Don't want
to say
    % % % % %
 

11/4-6/16

46 43 5 1 5
 

10/14-17/16

50 41 4 2 3
 

9/21-24/16

46 46 3 2 2
             

"If the general election were held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats, Donald Trump for the Republicans, Gary Johnson for the Libertarian Party, and Jill Stein for the Green Party, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated. If unsure: "Toward which do you lean?"
If already voted: "In the election for president, for whom did you vote: Hillary Clinton for the Democrats, Donald Trump for the Republicans, Gary Johnson for the Libertarian Party, or Jill Stein for the Green Party?" Options rotated. If unsure: "Do you just not want to tell, or do you not remember?"

 
    11/4-6/16 10/14-17/16 9/21-24/16    
    % % %    
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

44 47 41    
 

Donald Trump (R)

41 38 43    
 

Gary Johnson (L)

4 8 8    
 

Jill Stein (G)

2 3 4    
 

Won't vote (vol.)

3 1 1    
 

Unsure/Don't remember

1 2 1    
 

Don't want to say

4 2 2    

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Tracking poll (starting Oct. 20-22). Most recent results based on N=2,220 likely voters nationwide; margin of error 2.5.

             

"If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats, Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans, Gary Johnson and Bill Weld of the Libertarian Party, and Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka of the Green Party, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Would you lean toward Clinton and Kaine, Trump and Pence, Johnson and Weld, or Stein and Baraka?" If already voted: "Confidentially and for statistical purposes only, did you vote for [see below]?"

 
    11/3-6/16        
    %        
 

Clinton/Kaine (D)

47        
 

Trump/Pence (R)

43        
 

Johnson/Weld (L)

4        
 

Stein/Baraka (G)

1        
 

Other (vol.)

2        
 

None (vol.)

1        
 

Unsure

1        
 
    11/2-5/16 11/1-4/16 10/31 -
11/3/16
10/30 -
11/2/16
10/29 -
11/1/16
    % % % % %
 

Clinton/Kaine (D)

47 48 47 47 47
 

Trump/Pence (R)

43 43 43 44 45
 

Johnson/Weld (L)

4 4 4 3 3
 

Stein/Baraka (G)

2 2 2 2 2
 

Other (vol.)

1 1 1 1 -
 

None (vol.)

1 1 1 1 1
 

Unsure

2 2 2 2 2
 
    10/28-31/16 10/27-30/16 10/26-29/16 10/25-28/16 10/24-27/16
    % % % % %
 

Clinton/Kaine (D)

46 45 46 46 47
 

Trump/Pence (R)

46 46 45 45 45
 

Johnson/Weld (L)

3 3 4 4 4
 

Stein/Baraka (G)

2 2 2 2 2
 

Other (vol.)

- - 1 1 1
 

None (vol.)

1 2 1 1 1
 

Unsure

2 2 2 2 2
 
    10/23-26/16 10/22-25/16 10/21-24/16 10/20-23/16 10/20-22/16
    % % % % %
 

Clinton/Kaine (D)

48 48 49 50 50
 

Trump/Pence (R)

44 42 40 38 38
 

Johnson/Weld (L)

4 5 5 5 5
 

Stein/Baraka (G)

1 1 2 2 2
 

Other (vol.)

- - - 1 1
 

None (vol.)

1 1 2 2 2
 

Unsure

2 2 2 2 2
 
    10/10-13/16 9/19-22/16 9/5-8/16 8/1-4/16  
    % % % %  
 

Clinton/Kaine (D)

47 46 46 47  
 

Trump/Pence (R)

43 44 41 39  
 

Johnson/Weld (L)

5 5 9 7  
 

Stein/Baraka (G)

2 1 2 3  
 

Other (vol.)

- - 1 1  
 

None (vol.)

1 1 1 1  
 

Unsure

2 3 1 2  

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Nov. 3-6, 2016. N=1,295 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.5.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrats Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, Republicans Donald Trump and Mike Pence, Libertarians Gary Johnson and Bill Weld, Green Party candidates Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    11/3-6/16 11/1-3/16 10/22-25/16    
    % % %    
 

Clinton/Kaine (D)

48 45 44    
 

Trump/Pence (R)

44 43 41    
 

Johnson/Weld (L)

3 5 7    
 

Stein/Baraka (G)

2 2 3    
 

Other (vol.)

2 2 1    
 

Unsure

1 4 4    
             
    10/15-17/16 10/10-12/16 10/3-6/16 9/27-29/16 9/11-14/16
    % % % % %
 

Clinton/Kaine (D)

45 45 44 43 41
 

Trump/Pence (R)

39 38 42 40 40
 

Johnson/Weld (L)

5 7 6 8 8
 

Stein/Baraka (G)

3 3 2 4 3
 

Other (vol.)

2 1 1 1 1
 

Unsure

6 6 5 3 6
             

"How would you vote if the candidates were Democrats Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, and Republicans Donald Trump and Mike Pence?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Clinton/
Kaine (D)
Trump/
Pence (R)
Other
(vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

11/3-6/16

48 44 2 3 4
 

11/1-3/16

46 45 1 2 4
 

10/22-25/16

49 44 1 3 4
 

10/15-17/16

49 42 1 4 4
 

10/10-12/16

49 41 1 5 4
 

10/3-6/16

48 44 1 3 4
 

9/27-29/16

49 44 2 3 3
 

9/11-14/16

45 46 2 3 4

 

Monmouth University Poll. Nov. 3-6, 2016. N=802 registered voters nationwide (margin of error 3.5), including 748 likely voters ( 3.6).

             

"If the election for president was today, would you vote for Donald Trump the Republican, Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Gary Johnson the Libertarian, or Jill Stein of the Green Party?" If unsure: "If you had to vote for one of the following candidates at this moment, who do you lean toward: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton?" Options rotated

 
 

Among likely voters:

 
    11/3-6/16 10/14-16/16      
    % %      
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

50 50      
 

Donald Trump (R)

44 38      
 

Gary Johnson (L)

4 5      
 

Jill Stein (G)

1 2      
 

Someone else (vol.)

2 1      
 

Unsure

1 3      
             
    9/22-25/16 8/25-28/16 8/4-7/16 7/14-16/16 6/15-19/16
    % % % % %
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

46 46 50 45 44
 

Donald Trump (R)

42 39 37 43 37
 

Gary Johnson (L)

8 7 7 5 9
 

Jill Stein (G)

2 2 2 1 4
 

Someone else (vol.)

1 1 - 2 1
 

Unsure

2 5 3 4 3
 

No one (vol.)

0 0 0 0 1
             
 

Among registered voters:

 
    11/3-6/16 10/14-16/16      
    % %      
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

49 47      
 

Donald Trump (R)

42 38      
 

Gary Johnson (L)

4 5      
 

Jill Stein (G)

1 3      
 

Someone else (vol.)

1 1      
 

Unsure

1 4      
 

No one (vol.)

2 2      
             
    9/22-25/16 8/25-28/16 8/4-7/16 7/14-16/16 6/15-19/16
    % % % % %
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

45 43 46 43 42
 

Donald Trump (R)

40 36 34 40 36
 

Gary Johnson (L)

8 8 7 5 9
 

Jill Stein (G)

3 2 2 2 4
 

Someone else (vol.)

1 1 - 2 2
 

Unsure

3 7 6 6 4
 

No one (vol.)

0 4 4 4 1

 

CBS News Poll. Nov. 2-6, 2016. N=1,426 registered voters nationwide. Results below are among likely voters (margin of error 3).

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton for president and Tim Kaine for vice president, the Democrats, and Donald Trump for president and Mike Pence for vice president, the Republicans, would you vote for Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, or Donald Trump and Mike Pence?" If depends or unsure: "Well as of today, do you lean more toward Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, or more toward Donald Trump and Mike Pence?"

 
    Clinton/
Kaine (D)
Trump/
Pence (R)
Other
(vol.)
Won't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

11/2-6/16

47 43 5 1 4
 

10/28 - 11/1/16

47 44 5 1 4
 

10/12-16/16

51 40 5 2 3
 

9/28 - 10/2/16

49 43 4 2 3
 

9/9-13/16

46 44 5 2 2
             

"If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Donald Trump, the Republican, Gary Johnson, the Libertarian, and Jill Stein, the Green Party candidate, would you vote for Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Gary Johnson, or Jill Stein?" If depends or unsure: "Well as of today, do you lean more toward Hillary Clinton, or more toward Donald Trump, or more toward Gary Johnson, or more toward Jill Stein?"

 
    11/2-6/16 10/28 -
11/1/16
10/12-16/16 9/28 -
10/2/16
9/9-13/16
    % % % % %
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

45 45 47 45 42
 

Donald Trump (R)

41 42 38 41 42
 

Gary Johnson (L)

5 5 8 8 8
 

Jill Stein (G)

2 4 3 3 4
 

Other (vol.)

2 1 2 1 1
 

Won't vote (vol.)

1 1 1 1 -
 

Unsure/No answer

4 3 2 2 2

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Nov. 3-5, 2016. N=1,282 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.7.

             

"If the next election for president were held today, with Donald Trump as the Republican candidate, Hillary Clinton as the Democratic candidate, Gary Johnson the Libertarian candidate, and Jill Stein the Green Party candidate, for whom would you vote?" First two options rotated. Stein not asked in states where she is not on the ballot.

 
    11/3-5/16 10/10-13/16 10/8-10/16 10/8-9/16 9/16-19/16
    % % % % %
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

44 48 46 46 43
 

Donald Trump (R)

40 37 37 35 37
 

Gary Johnson (L)

6 7 8 9 9
 

Jill Stein (G)

2 2 2 2 3
 

Depends (vol.)

- - 1 - 1
 

None/Other (vol.)

3 3 4 4 4
 

Won't vote (vol.)

1 1 - - 1
 

Unsure

4 2 2 4 2
             

"And, if the election for president were held today, with only Donald Trump and Mike Pence as the Republican candidates, and Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine as the Democratic candidates, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    11/3-5/16 10/10-13/16 10/8-10/16 10/8-9/16 9/16-19/16
    % % % % %
 

Clinton/Kaine (D)

48 51 50 52 48
 

Trump/Pence (R)

43 41 40 38 41
 

Neither (vol.)

2 2 6 6 3
 

Other (vol.)

1 1 1 1 1
 

Won't vote (vol.)

2 3 - - 4
 

Unsure

4 2 3 3 3

 

Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald Poll conducted by RKM Research and Communications. Nov. 1-5, 2016. N=1,009 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

General Election Trial Heat:

 
    11/1-5/16 10/9-13/16 9/18-22/16 8/31 -
9/4/16
7/12-16/16
    % % % % %
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

48 46 45 44 44
 

Donald Trump (R)

44 41 43 41 41
 

Gary Johnson (L)

4 6 6 8 7
 

Jill Stein (G)

2 2 2 3 2
 

Someone else

1 3 1 1 3
 

Unsure

1 2 3 3 3

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Nov. 1-3, 2016. N=940 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.2.

             

"If next week's presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats, and Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans?" Results include leaners and responses of early voters.

 
    Clinton/
Kaine (D)
Trump/
Pence (R)
Neither Other Unsure
    % % % % %
 

11/1-3/16

46 44 6 2 2
 

9/15-20/16

48 41 8 1 2
             

"If next week's presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Donald Trump, the Republican, Gary Johnson, the Libertarian, and Jill Stein, of the Green Party?" Results include leaners and responses of early voters. Stein included only in states where she appears on the ballot.

 
    11/1-3/16 9/15-20/16      
    % %      
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

44 45      
 

Donald Trump (R)

43 39      
 

Gary Johnson (L)

6 10      
 

Jill Stein (G)

2 4      
 

Other

3 1      
 

Unsure

2 2      

 

Pew Research Center. Oct. 20-25, 2016. N=2,120 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.4.

             

"If the presidential election were being held TODAY, would you vote for the Democratic ticket of Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, for the Republican ticket of Donald Trump and Mike Pence, for the Libertarian Party ticket headed by Gary Johnson, or for the Green Party ticket headed by Jill Stein?" If unsure: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to [see below]?"

 
    10/20-25/16 8/23 -
9/2/16
8/9-16/16    
    % % %    
 

Clinton/Kaine (D)

46 43 41    
 

Trump/Pence (R)

40 34 37    
 

Gary Johnson (L)

6 8 10    
 

Jill Stein (G)

3 5 4    
 

Someone else (vol.)

2 2 2    
 

Unsure/Refused

4 8 5    

 

CNBC All-America Economic Survey conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Oct. 21-24, 2016. N=804 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"If the election for president were being held today between Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Donald Trump, the Republican, Gary Johnson, the Libertarian Party candidate, and Jill Stein, the Green Party candidate, who would you vote for: Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Gary Johnson, or Jill Stein?"

 
    Registered
voters
Likely
voters
     
    % %      
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

43 43      
 

Donald Trump (R)

33 34      
 

Gary Johnson (L)

7 7      
 

Jill Stein (G)

2 2      
 

Depends (vol.)

1 1      
 

None/Other (vol.)

5 4      
 

Unsure

9 9      

 

Suffolk University/USA Today. Oct. 20-24, 2016. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If the general election was held today and the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump, for whom will you vote or lean toward?" Options rotated
12/15 - 4/16: "I'm going to run Democrat Hillary Clinton against the top polled Republicans and for each, please tell me if you would vote for Clinton or the Republican I name. Let's start with Democrat Hillary Clinton versus Republican Donald Trump."
7/15: "Now let's jump right to possible matchups in the general election in 2016. First I'm going to run Democrat Hillary Clinton against each of the top seven nationally polled Republican candidates. Please let me know who would you prefer. ..."

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 

10/20-24/16

49 39 10 2  
 

8/24-29/16

48 41 9 2  
 

6/26-29/16

46 40 12 2  
 

4/20-24/16

50 39 8 2  
 

2/11-15/16

43 45 10 2  
 

12/2-6/15

48 44 7 1  
 

7/9-12/15

51 34 16 n/a  
             

"Your state's presidential ballot may include Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein. If the general election was held today and the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Green Party Jill Stein, or Libertarian Gary Johnson, for whom will you vote or lean toward?" Options rotated

 
    10/20-24/16 8/24-29/16 6/26-29/16    
    % % %    
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

47 42 39    
 

Donald Trump (R)

38 35 35    
 

Gary Johnson (L)

4 9 8    
 

Jill Stein (G)

2 4 3    
 

Unsure

7 10 14    
 

Refused

2 1 1    

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Oct. 20-23, 2016. N=779 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine as the Democratic Party's candidates, Donald Trump and Mike Pence as the Republican Party's candidates, Gary Johnson and Bill Weld as the Libertarian Party's candidates, and Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka as the Green Party's candidates. Who would you be more likely to vote for?" If none or unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    10/20-23/16 9/28 -
10/2/16
9/1-4/16    
    % % %    
 

Clinton/Kaine (D)

49 47 43    
 

Trump/Pence (R)

44 42 45    
 

Johnson/Weld (L)

3 7 7    
 

Stein/Baraka (G)

2 2 2    
 

None (vol.)

2 1 1    
 

Unsure

- 1 -    
             

"Now suppose that the presidential candidates on the ballot in your state included only Hillary Clinton as the Democratic Party's candidate, and Donald Trump and as the Republican Party's candidate. Who would you be more likely to vote for?" If neither or unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
 
    % % % %  
 

10/20-23/16

51 45 2 2  
 

9/28 - 10/2/16

51 45 1 3  
 

9/1-4/16

48 49 1 3  

 

Quinnipiac University. Oct. 17-18, 2016. N=1,007 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"If the presidential election were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine the Democrats, Donald Trump and Mike Pence the Republicans, Gary Johnson and Bill Weld the Libertarians, and Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka the Green party candidates, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward Clinton and Kaine, Trump and Pence, Johnson and Weld, or Stein and Baraka?"

 
    10/17-18/16 10/5-6/16 9/22-25/16    
    % % %    
 

Clinton/Kaine (D)

47 45 44    
 

Trump/Pence (R)

40 40 43    
 

Johnson/Weld (L)

7 6 8    
 

Stein/Baraka (G)

1 3 2    
 

Someone else (vol.)

1 - 1    
 

Unsure/No answer

5 4 4    

 

Public Religion Research Institute/Brookings Institution. Oct. 12-17, 2016. N=692 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.4..

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, for whom would you vote?" If unsure/refused: "As of today, do you lean more toward [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    10/12-17/16 10/5-9/16 9/28 -
10/2/16
9/22-25/16  
    % % % %  
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

51 49 47 43  
 

Donald Trump (R)

36 38 41 43  
 

Gary Johnson (vol.)

3 2 3 2  
 

Jill Stein (vol.)

- - - 1  
 

Someone else (vol.)

4 4 4 3  
 

Unsure/Refused

6 8 5 7  

 

George Washington University Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). Oct. 8-13, 2016. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"If the election for president were held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote: Donald Trump, the Republican, Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Gary Johnson, Libertarian, OR Jill Stein, Green Party?" If unsure: "And which candidate do you lean toward slightly?"

 
    10/8-13/16 8/28 -
9/1/16
     
    % %      
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

47 42      
 

Donald Trump (R)

39 40      
 

Gary Johnson (L)

8 10      
 

Jill Stein (G)

2 3      
 

Unsure

4 5      

 

Fairleigh Dickinson University's PublicMind. Sept. 28-Oct. 2, 2016. N=788 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.4.

             

"If the election for president was held today, and the choices were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

9/28 - 10/2/16

50 40 5 4 2
             

"Now let me ask the question in a slightly different way: If the election for president was held today, and the choices were Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, or third party candidates Gary Johnson and Jill Stein, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated. N=385; margin of error 5.

 
    %        
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

45        
 

Donald Trump (R)

36        
 

Gary Johnson (L)

11        
 

Jill Stein (G)

3        
 

Other (vol.)

1        
 

Unsure

3        
 

Refused

1        
             

"If the major party vice presidential candidates were the presidential candidates, for whom would you vote: Republican Mike Pence or Democrat Tim Kaine?" Options rotated

 
    Tim
Kaine (D)
Mike
Pence (R)
Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 

9/28 - 10/2/16

49 41 10 1  
             

"If the choices for president were Republican Mike Pence and Democrat Hillary Clinton, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mike
Pence (R)
Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 

9/28 - 10/2/16

47 46 5 1  
             

"If the choices for president were Democrat Tim Kaine and Republican Donald Trump, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Tim
Kaine (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 

9/28 - 10/2/16

55 39 5 1  

 

Quinnipiac University. Sept. 8-13, 2016. N=960 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.2.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward Clinton or Trump?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
 
    % % % %  
 

9/8-13/16

48 43 3 6  
 

8/18-24/16

51 41 3 4  
             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Gary Johnson the Libertarian, and Jill Stein the Green party candidate, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward Clinton, Trump, Johnson, or Stein?"

 
    %        
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

41        
 

Donald Trump (R)

39        
 

Gary Johnson (L)

13        
 

Jill Stein (G)

4        
 

Unsure/No answer

3        

 

Investor's Business Daily/TIPP Poll. Aug. 26-Sept. 1, 2016. N=861 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.4.

             

"If the 2016 election for the president of United States were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)/
Unsure
Refused
    % % % % %
 

8/26 - 9/1/16

44 43 4 8 -
 
 

Among registered voters:

 

7/29 - 8/4/16

46 39 5 10 1
 

6/24-29/16

44 40 9 6 1
 

5/31 - 6/5/16

45 40 9 6 1
 

4/22-28/16

47 40 7 3 2
 

3/28 - 4/2/16

47 35 9 6 3
             

"If the 2016 election for the president of the United States were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Donald Trump, the Republican, and Gary Johnson, the Libertarian, and Jill Stein of the Green Party, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Likely voters:
8/26 -
9/1/16
Reg. voters:
7/29 -
8/4/16
Reg. voters:
6/24-29/16
   
    % % %    
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

39 39 37    
 

Donald Trump (R)

39 35 36    
 

Gary Johnson (L)

12 12 9    
 

Jill Stein (G)

3 5 5    
 

Other (vol.)

1 1 3    
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

- 2 -    
 

Unsure

6 5 9    
 

Refused

- 1 1    

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Aug. 28-30, 2016. N=1,011 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrats Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, Republicans Donald Trump and Mike Pence, Libertarians Gary Johnson and Bill Weld, Green Party candidates Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Clinton/Kaine (D)

41        
 

Trump/Pence (R)

39        
 

Johnson/Weld (L)

9        
 

Stein/Baraka (G)

4        
 

Other (vol.)

1        
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1        
 

Unsure

5        
             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrats Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, and Republicans Donald Trump and Mike Pence?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Clinton/
Kaine (D)
Trump/
Pence (R)
Other
(vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

8/28-30/16

48 42 1 5 4
 

7/31 - 8/2/16

49 39 5 4 4

 

Quinnipiac University. Aug. 18-24, 2016. N=1,498 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.5.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Gary Johnson the Libertarian, and Jill Stein the Green party candidate, for whom would you vote?"

 
    %        
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

45        
 

Donald Trump (R)

38        
 

Gary Johnson (L)

10        
 

Jill Stein (G)

4        
 

Unsure/No answer

3        

 

Public Religion Research Institute. Aug. 10-16, 2016. N=1,630 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.9.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, for whom would you vote?" If unsure/refused: "As of today, do you lean more toward [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Gary
Johnson (vol.)
Someone
else (vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
    % % % % %
 

8/10-16/16

48 35 2 5 10

 

Bloomberg Politics Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. Aug. 5-8, 2016. N=749 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.6.

             

"If the general election were held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats, and Donald Trump for the Republicans, for whom would you vote?" If unsure or would not vote: "Toward which do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Wouldn't vote/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

8/5-8/16

50 44 3 3  
             

"If the general election were held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats, Donald Trump for the Republicans, Gary Johnson for the Libertarian Party, and Jill Stein for the Green Party, for whom would you vote?" If unsure or would not vote: "Toward which do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

44        
 

Donald Trump (R)

40        
 

Gary Johnson (L)

9        
 

Jill Stein (G)

4        
 

Unsure

3        

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Aug. 1-4, 2016. N=815 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.

             

"If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats, and Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Would you lean toward Clinton and Kaine or toward Trump and Pence?" Options rotated

 
    Clinton/
Kaine (D)
Trump/
Pence (R)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

8/1-4/16

50 42 5 1 1
             

"If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats, Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans, Gary Johnson and Bill Weld of the Libertarian Party, and Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka of the Green Party, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Would you lean toward Clinton and Kaine, Trump and Pence, Johnson and Weld, or Stein and Baraka?"

 
    %        
 

Clinton/Kaine (D)

45        
 

Trump/Pence (R)

37        
 

Johnson/Weld (L)

8        
 

Stein/Baraka (G)

4        
 

Other (vol.)

1        
 

None (vol.)

2        
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

2        
 

Unsure

2        

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Aug. 1-3, 2016. N=983 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats, and Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans?"

 
    Clinton/
Kaine (D)
Trump/
Pence (R)
Neither Other Unsure
    % % % % %
 

8/1-3/16

48 33 12 2 5
             

"If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Gary Johnson the Libertarian, and Jill Stein of the Green Party?"

 
    8/1-3/16 7/5-9/16      
    % %      
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

45 40      
 

Donald Trump (R)

31 35      
 

Gary Johnson (L)

10 10      
 

Jill Stein (G)

6 5      
 

Other

1 2      
 

Unsure

8 9      

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). July 31-Aug. 3, 2016. N=800 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"I'd like to ask you some questions about the November 2016 presidential election. If the next election for president were held today, with Donald Trump and Mike Pence as the Republican candidates, and Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine as the Democratic candidates, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Clinton/
Kaine (D)
Trump/
Pence (R)
Neither
(vol.)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/31 - 8/3/16

47 38 8 3 4
             

"And, if the next election for president were held today, with Donald Trump as the Republican candidate, Hillary Clinton as the Democratic candidate, Gary Johnson the Libertarian candidate, and Jill Stein the Green Party candidate, for whom would you vote?"

 
    7/31 -
8/3/16
7/9-13/16 6/19-23/16    
    % % %    
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

43 41 39    
 

Donald Trump (R)

34 35 38    
 

Gary Johnson (L)

10 11 10    
 

Jill Stein (G)

5 6 6    
 

Depends (vol.)

1 1 -    
 

None/Other (vol.)

3 2 3    
 

Unsure

4 4 4    

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). July 31-Aug. 2, 2016. N=1,022 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"How would you vote if the candidates were Democrats Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, Republicans Donald Trump and Mike Pence, and Libertarians Gary Johnson and Bill Weld?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Clinton/Kaine (D)

44        
 

Trump/Pence (R)

35        
 

Johnson/Weld (L)

12        
 

Other (vol.)

1        
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

3        
 

Unsure

5        

 

CBS News Poll. July 29-31, 2016. N=1,131 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, would you vote for Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?" If depends or unsure: "Well as of today, do you lean more toward Hillary Clinton or more toward Donald Trump?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Won't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

7/29-31/16

47 41 3 7 3
 

7/22-24/16

43 44 4 6 4
             

"If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, and Gary Johnson, the Libertarian, would you vote for Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump or Gary Johnson?" If depends or unsure: "Well as of today, do you lean more toward Hillary Clinton, or more toward Donald Trump, or more towards Gary Johnson?"

 
    7/29-31/16 7/22-24/16      
    % %      
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

43 39      
 

Donald Trump (R)

38 40      
 

Gary Johnson (L)

10 12      
 

Other (vol.)

2 2      
 

Won't vote (vol.)

3 3      
 

Unsure/No answer

3 4      

 

CNN/ORC Poll. July 29-31, 2016. N=894 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine as the Democratic Party's candidates, and Donald Trump and Mike Pence as the Republican Party's candidates. Who would you be more likely to vote for?" If neither or unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: [see below]?" Options rotated
Notes: Mike Pence's name added July 14. Tim Kaine's name added July 22, after interviewing began.

 
    Clinton/
Kaine (D)
Trump/
Pence (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/29-31/16

52 43 2 3 -
 

7/22-24/16

45 48 2 4 1
 

7/13-16/16

49 42 4 4 1
             

"Now suppose that the presidential candidates on the ballot in your state included Hillary Clinton as the Democratic Party's candidate, Donald Trump as the Republican Party's candidate, Gary Johnson as the Libertarian Party candidate, and Jill Stein as the Green Party candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for?" If neither or unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    7/29-31/16 7/22-24/16 7/13-16/16 6/16-19/16  
    % % % %  
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

45 39 42 42  
 

Donald Trump (R)

37 44 37 38  
 

Gary Johnson (L)

9 9 13 9  
 

Jill Stein (G)

5 3 5 7  
 

None (vol.)

2 2 3 3  
 

Other (vol.)

1 - - 1  
 

Unsure

1 2 - 1  

 

University of Delaware Center for Political Communication survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. July 21-24, 2016. N=818 registered voters nationwide.

             

"Now, suppose the 2016 presidential election were being held TODAY. If you had to choose between Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, who would you vote for?" If unsure: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

46        
 

Donald Trump (R)

42        
 

Gary Johnson (vol.)

1        
 

Jill Stein (vol.)

1        
 

Other (vol.)

2        
 

Unsure

5        
 

Refused

3        

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. July 11-14, 2016. N=816 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.

             

"If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Would you lean toward Clinton or toward Trump?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/11-14/16

47 43 8 - 2
 

6/20-23/16

51 39 8 1 1
 

5/16-19/16

44 46 7 2 1
 

3/3-6/16

50 41 4 5 1
 

12/10-13/15

50 44 4 2 1
 

9/7-10/15

46 43 7 4 1
             

"If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Donald Trump, the Republican, Gary Johnson of the Libertarian Party, and Jill Stein of the Green Party, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Would you lean toward Clinton, Trump, Johnson, or Stein?" Options rotated

 
    7/11-14/16 6/20-23/16      
    % %      
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

42 47      
 

Donald Trump (R)

38 37      
 

Gary Johnson (L)

8 7      
 

Jill Stein (G)

5 3      
 

Other (vol.)

1 1      
 

None (vol.)

2 3      
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1 -      
 

Unsure

3 3      

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). July 9-13, 2016. N=1,000 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"And, if the election for president were held today, and Donald Trump were the Republican candidate and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

7/9-13/16

46 41 9 4  
 

6/19-23/16

46 41 11 2  
 

5/15-19/16

46 43 9 2  
 

4/10-14/16

50 39 9 2  
 

3/3-6/16

51 38 9 2  
 

2/14-16/16

50 40 9 1  
 

1/9-13/16

51 41 6 2  
 

12/6-9/15

50 40 8 2  
 

10/25-29/15

50 42 6 2  
 

9/20-24/15

49 39 10 2  

 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. July 8-12, 2016. N=1,358 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, would you vote for Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Won't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

7/8-12/16

40 40 4 7 8
 

6/9-13/16

43 37 5 6 9
 

5/13-17/16

47 41 2 5 5
 

4/8-12/16

50 40 1 6 2
 

3/17-20/16

50 40 1 6 3
             

"If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, and Gary Johnson, the Libertarian, would you vote for Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump or Gary Johnson?"

 
    7/8-12/16 6/9-13/16      
    % %      
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

36 39      
 

Donald Trump (R)

36 32      
 

Gary Johnson (L)

12 11      
 

Other (vol.)

2 4      
 

Won't vote (vol.)

4 4      
 

Depends (vol.)

1 2      
 

Unsure/No answer

9 9      

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. July 5-9, 2016. N=1,053 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Hillary Clinton the Democrat, and Donald Trump the Republican?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Neither Other Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/5-9/16

42 39 13 1 4

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). June 26-28, 2016. N=1,017 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

6/26-28/16

44 38 7 5 5
 

6/5-8/16

42 39 7 6 6
 

5/14-17/16

42 45 3 6 3
 

4/11-13/16

48 41 2 6 2
 

3/20-22/16

49 38 2 8 3
 

2/15-17/16

47 42 2 6 2
 

1/4-7/16

44 47 2 5 2
 

12/16-17/15

49 38 3 6 4
 

11/16-19/15

41 46 2 7 5
 

10/10-12/15

40 45 4 7 3
 

9/20-22/15

46 42 3 7 2
 

8/11-13/15

47 42 2 7 3
 

6/21-23/15

51 34 3 9 3
             

"How would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, and Libertarian Gary Johnson?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Gary
Johnson (L)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

6/26-28/16

41 36 10 3 11
 

6/5-8/16

39 36 12 4 10
 

5/14-17/16

39 42 10 5 5

 

Quinnipiac University. June 21-27, 2016. N=1,610 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.4.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

6/21-27/16

42 40 6 5 7
 

5/24-30/16

45 41 3 6 5
 

3/16-21/16

46 40 3 7 4
 

2/10-15/16

44 43 3 7 3
 

2/2-4/16

46 41 3 7 3
 

12/16-20/15

47 40 2 6 5
 

11/23-30/15

47 41 2 6 4
 

10/29 -11/2/15

46 43 2 5 4
 

9/17-21/15

45 43 2 6 4
 

8/20-25/15

45 41 3 7 4
 

7/23-28/15

48 36 4 8 4
 

5/19-26/15

50 32 3 9 5
             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Gary Johnson the Libertarian, and Jill Stein the Green Party candidate, for whom would you vote?"

 
    6/21-27/16 5/24-30/16      
    % %      
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

39 40      
 

Donald Trump (R)

37 38      
 

Gary Johnson (L)

8 5      
 

Jill Stein (G)

4 3      
 

Someone else (vol.)

1 1      
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

3 5      
 

Unsure/No answer

7 7      

 

Pew Research Center. June 15-26, 2016. N=1,655 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.7.

             

"Now, suppose the 2016 presidential election were being held TODAY. If you had to choose between [see below], who would you vote for?" If other or unsure: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Gary
Johnson (L)
Someone
else (vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
    % % % % %
 

6/15-26/16

45 36 11 4 3
             

"Now, suppose the 2016 presidential election were being held TODAY. If you had to choose between [see below], who would you vote for?" If other or unsure: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN ore to [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure/
Refused
   
    % % %    
 

6/15-26/16

51 42 7    

 

Allstate/Atlantic Media Heartland Monitor Poll conducted by FTI Consulting. June 19-24, 2016. N=895 registered voters nationwide.

             

"If the election for president was held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democratic candidate, and Donald Trump, the Republican candidate, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Neither/Won't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
    % % % % %
 

6/19-24/16

44 36 4 9 7

 

CNN/ORC Poll. June 16-19, 2016. N=891 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between Hillary Clinton as the Democratic Party's candidate, and Donald Trump as the Republican Party's candidate. Who would you be more likely to vote for?" If neither or unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: [see below]?" Options rotated
Prior to 6/16: "If [see below] were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: [see below]?" If neither or unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: [see below]?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

6/16-19/16

47 42 4 6 1
 

4/28 - 5/1/16

54 41 1 4 -
 

3/17-20/16

53 41 2 4 -
 

2/24-27/16

52 44 1 3 -
 

1/21-24/16

48 47 1 4 -
 

12/17-21/15

49 47 1 3 -
 

11/27 - 12/1/15

49 46 1 3 -
 

10/14-17/15

50 45 2 4 -

 

Monmouth University Poll. June 15-19, 2016. N=803 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"If the election for president was today, would you vote for Donald Trump the Republican or Hillary Clinton the Democrat?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Another
candidate
(vol.)
Refused/
No one (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

6/15-19/16

47 40 5 2 6
 

3/17-20/16

48 38 2 9 3

 

CNBC All-America Economic Survey conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). June 11-13, 2016. N=801 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"Thinking again about the November 2016 presidential election: If the election for president were held today, and Donald Trump were the Republican candidate, and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Neither
(vol.)
Other
(vol.)
Depends
(vol.)/Unsure
    % % % % %
 

6/11-13/16

40 35 14 2 9

 

Bloomberg Politics Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. June 10-13, 2016. N=750 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.6.

             

"If the general election were held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats, Donald Trump for the Republicans, and Gary Johnson for the Libertarian Party, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Toward which do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Gary
Johnson (L)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
    % % %    
 

6/10-13/16

49 37 9 1 4

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). June 5-8, 2016. N=1,004 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Bernie Sanders and Republican Donald Trump?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

6/5-8/16

49 38 4 5 4
 

5/14-17/16

46 42 4 5 3
 

4/11-13/16

53 39 2 4 2
 

3/20-22/16

52 38 1 6 2
 

2/15-17/16

53 38 2 5 2
 

11/16-19/15

41 46 3 6 4

 

Investor's Business Daily/TIPP Poll. May 31-June 5, 2016. N=828 registered voters nationwide.

             

"If the 2016 election for the president of the United States were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Donald Trump, the Republican, and Gary Johnson, the Libertarian, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Gary
Johnson (L)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
    % % % % %
 

5/31 - 6/5/16

39 35 11 6 9
             

"If the 2016 election for the president of United States were held today and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

5/31 - 6/5/16

49 39 5 6 1
 

4/22-28/16

50 38 6 4 2
 

3/28 - 4/2/16

53 36 5 4 3

 

Quinnipiac University. May 24-30, 2016. N=1,561 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.5.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

5/24-30/16

48 39 3 6 5
 

3/16-21/16

52 38 2 5 3
 

2/10-15/16

48 42 2 5 4
 

2/2-4/16

49 39 2 6 5
 

12/16-20/15

51 38 1 6 4
 

11/23-30/15

49 41 1 5 4
 

10/29 -11/2/15

46 44 1 4 4
 

9/17-21/15

47 42 1 5 5
 

8/20-25/15

44 41 2 6 6
 

7/23-28/15

45 37 3 8 7

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. May 16-19, 2016. N=829 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"How about if the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Donald Trump, the Republican, and Mitt Romney, running as an independent candidate, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Would you lean toward Clinton, Trump or Romney?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Mitt
Romney (I)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

5/16-19/16

37 35 22 2 4

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). May 15-19, 2016. N=1,000 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"And, if the election for president were held today, and Donald Trump were the Republican candidate and Bernie Sanders were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

5/15-19/16

54 39 - 5 2
 

3/3-6/16

55 37 - 7 1
 

2/14-16/16

53 37 - 8 2
 

1/9-13/16

54 39 1 5 1
 

10/25-29/15

50 41 - 6 3
 

9/21-24/15

52 36 - 8 4

 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. May 13-17, 2016. N=1,109 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were [see below], the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, would you vote for [see below] or [see below]?"

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Won't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

5/13-17/16

51 38 2 5 4
 

4/8-12/16

53 36 1 5 4
 

3/17-20/16

53 38 - 5 3

 

CNN/ORC Poll. April 28-May 1, 2016. N=890 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"If [see below] were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: [see below]?" If neither or unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/28 - 5/1/16

52 42 2 4 -
 

3/17-20/16

48 48 1 3 -
 

2/24-27/16

48 49 1 2 1
 

1/21-24/16

47 50 1 2 -
 

12/17-21/15

46 48 1 4 -
 

11/27 - 12/1/15

50 47 1 2 -
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/28 - 5/1/16

44 51 1 4 -
 

3/17-20/16

45 51 - 3 1
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/28 - 5/1/16

56 40 1 3 -
 

3/17-20/16

58 38 1 3 -
 

2/24-27/16

55 43 - 1 -
 

1/21-24/16

50 47 - 3 -
 

10/14-17/15

53 44 - 3 -
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/28 - 5/1/16

57 39 1 4 -
 

3/17-20/16

55 42 1 2 -
 

2/24-27/16

57 40 - 1 1
 

1/21-24/16

50 47 - 3 -
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/28 - 5/1/16

50 46 - 3 -
 

3/17-20/16

51 45 - 3 1

 

Investor's Business Daily/TIPP Poll. April 22-28, 2016. N=814 registered voters nationwide.

             

"If the 2016 election for the president of United States were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

4/22-28/16

47 40 6 5 2
 

3/28 - 4/2/16

44 39 10 4 3
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

4/22-28/16

41 45 6 6 2
 

3/28 - 4/2/16

38 45 8 6 3
             

"If the 2016 election for the president of United States were held today and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

4/22-28/16

49 38 6 5 2
 

3/28 - 4/2/16

50 38 5 5 3
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

4/22-28/16

46 42 4 6 2
 

3/28 - 4/2/16

45 42 5 5 3

 

Suffolk University/USA Today. April 20-24, 2016. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"I'm going to run Democrat Hillary Clinton against the top polled Republicans and for each, please tell me if you would vote for Clinton or the Republican I name. Let's start with Democrat Hillary Clinton versus Republican [see below]."
7/15: "Now let's jump right to possible matchups in the general election in 2016. First I'm going to run Democrat Hillary Clinton against each of the top seven nationally polled Republican candidates. Please let me know who would you prefer. ..."

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 

4/20-24/16

49 42 8 2  
 

2/11-15/16

44 45 10 1  
 

12/2-6/15

47 45 7 1  
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 

4/20-24/16

41 46 11 2  
 

2/11-15/16

38 49 11 1  
             

"Now I'm going to run Democrat Bernie Sanders against the same four Republicans. Let's start with Democrat Bernie Sanders versus Republican [see below]."

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 

4/20-24/16

52 37 10 1  
 

2/11-15/16

43 44 10 2  
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 

4/20-24/16

50 38 10 2  
 

2/11-15/16

44 42 12 2  
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 

4/20-24/16

44 43 11 2  
 

2/11-15/16

41 44 14 2  

 

George Washington University Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). April 17-20, 2016. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"Thinking more about the election for president --

"If the general election were held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote: Donald Trump, the Republican, or Hillary Clinton, the Democrat?" If unsure: "And which candidate do you lean toward slightly?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

4/17-20/16

46 43 11    
             

"If the general election were held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote: Donald Trump, the Republican, or Bernie Sanders, the Democrat?" If unsure: "And which candidate do you lean toward slightly?" Options rotated

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

4/17-20/16

51 40 10    

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). April 10-14, 2016. N=1,000 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"And, if the election for president were held today, and [see below] were the Republican candidate and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/10-14/16

46 44 - 9 1
 

3/3-6/16

47 45 - 6 2
 

2/14-16/16

46 46 - 6 2
 

1/9-13/16

49 45 1 4 1
 

12/6-9/15

48 45 - 6 1
 

10/15-18/15

49 41 - 6 4
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/10-14/16

39 51 1 6 3
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Paul
Ryan (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/10-14/16

44 45 - 8 3
             

"And, if the election for president were held today, and Ted Cruz were the Republican candidate and Bernie Sanders were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/10-14/16

52 40 - 6 2
 

2/14-16/16

50 40 - 6 4
 

10/15-18/15

50 38 - 6 6

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). April 11-13, 2016. N=1,021 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat [see below] and Republican [see below]?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/11-13/16

45 44 3 6 2
 

3/20-22/16

44 47 1 6 2
 

2/15-17/16

45 46 2 5 2
 

1/4-7/16

43 50 1 4 3
 

12/16-17/15

45 45 2 4 4
 

11/16-19/15

41 45 2 5 5
 

6/21-23/15

48 42 3 4 4
 

5/9-12/15

48 43 1 4 4
 

4/19-21/15

47 42 1 5 5
 

3/29-31/15

48 42 2 4 4
 

3/2-4/14

52 36 2 4 5
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/11-13/16

40 49 2 6 2
 

3/20-22/16

40 51 2 4 3
 

2/15-17/16

44 47 2 5 3
 

5/9-12/15

48 40 1 5 6
 

12/7-9/14

53 37 2 3 5
 

7/20-22/14

54 35 1 4 7
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/11-13/16

51 39 1 5 3
 

3/20-22/16

47 43 1 4 4
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/11-13/16

47 43 2 5 4
 

3/20-22/16

43 44 1 6 5

 

CBS News Poll. April 8-12, 2016. N=1,098 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were [see below], the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, would you vote for [see below] or [see below]?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Other
(vol.)
Won't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

4/8-12/16

45 42 1 8 3
 

3/17-20/16

47 44 1 5 4
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Other
(vol.)
Won't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

4/8-12/16

41 47 1 7 5
 

3/17-20/16

43 47 - 4 4
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Other
(vol.)
Won't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

4/8-12/16

50 38 1 7 4
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Other
(vol.)
Won't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

4/8-12/16

46 41 1 7 5

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. March 29-31, 2016. N=1,066 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/29-31/16

50 41 9    
 

10/29 - 11/4/15

56 41 3    
 

7/22-28/15

54 38 8    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/29-31/16

47 47 6    
 

10/29 - 11/4/15

53 43 4    
 

7/22-28/15

49 40 11    
 

3/1-4/15

53 39 8    
 

4/7-10/14

54 39 7    
 

2/4-9/14

56 39 5    
 

12/3-5/13

57 35 7    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/29-31/16

42 51 7    
 

7/22-28/15

49 39 12    
             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Bernie Sanders, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican?"

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/29-31/16

57 37 6    
 

10/29 - 11/4/15

53 41 6    
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/29-31/16

53 41 6    
 

10/29 - 11/4/15

51 39 10    
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/29-31/16

52 41 7    

 

Bloomberg Politics Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. March 19-22, 2016. N=815 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.4.

             

"If the general election were held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats, and [see below] for the Republicans, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/19-22/16

54 36 9    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/19-22/16

51 42 7    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/19-22/16

43 47 11    
             

"If the general election were held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders for the Democrats, and [see below] for the Republicans, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/19-22/16

58 34 8    
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/19-22/16

52 40 8    
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/19-22/16

46 42 11    

 

Quinnipiac University. March 16-21, 2016. N=1,451 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.6.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below] the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

3/16-21/16

45 42 3 6 4
 

2/10-15/16

43 46 3 5 4
 

2/2-4/16

45 45 2 5 3
 

12/16-20/15

44 44 1 4 6
 

11/23-30/15

47 42 2 5 5
 

10/29 -11/2/15

43 46 2 4 5
 

5/19-26/15

48 37 3 5 7
 

4/16-21/15

48 41 2 3 6
 

2/26 - 3/2/15

48 38 3 4 7
 

11/18-23/14

48 37 2 4 9
 

1/15-19/14

50 35 2 4 10
 

12/3-9/13

50 37 3 3 7
 

11/6-11/13

51 36 3 3 7
 

9/23-29/13

54 31 3 3 9
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

3/16-21/16

39 47 3 6 4
 

2/10-15/16

39 47 3 5 5
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

3/16-21/16

50 39 2 5 5
 

2/10-15/16

49 39 1 5 6
 

2/2-4/16

46 42 1 5 6
 

12/16-20/15

43 44 1 5 7
 

11/23-30/15

49 39 1 5 6
 

10/29 -11/2/15

44 45 1 4 7
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

3/16-21/16

44 45 2 5 4
 

2/10-15/16

45 41 2 5 7

 

Monmouth University Poll. March 17-20, 2016. N=848 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.4.

             

"If the election for president was today, who would you vote for if the candidates were [see below] the Republican and Hillary Clinton the Democrat?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Another
candidate
(vol.)
No one
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

3/17-20/16

45 40 2 9 4
 

7/25-30/13

48 32 4 n/a 17
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Another
candidate
(vol.)
No one
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

3/17-20/16

39 45 2 9 5
             

"If the election for president was today, who would you vote for if the candidates were Donald Trump the Republican, Hillary Clinton the Democrat, and Gary Johnson the Libertarian?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Gary
Johnson (L)
No one
(vol.)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

3/17-20/16

42 34 11 7 6

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). March 3-6, 2016. N=1,200 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.8.

             

"And, if the election for president were held today, and Marco Rubio were the Republican candidate and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

3/3-6/16

46 46 - 6 2
 

1/9-13/16

47 46 1 4 2
 

12/6-9/15

45 48 - 5 2
 

10/25-29/15

47 44 - 5 4
 

10/15-18/15

46 45 - 5 4
 

6/14-18/15

50 40 1 4 5
 

4/26-30/15

49 43 - 4 4

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Feb. 24-27, 2016. N=920 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If [see below] were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: [see below]?" If neither or unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: [see below]?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/24-27/16

47 50 1 2 -
 

1/21-24/16

47 50 1 2 1
 

12/17-21/15

46 49 2 3 -
 

11/27 - 12/1/15

48 49 1 2 -
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/24-27/16

53 45 - 1 1
 

1/21-24/16

49 48 - 2 1
             

"If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate, Donald Trump were the Republican Party's candidate, and Michael Bloomberg ran as an independent candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: [see below]?" If neither or unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: [see below]?" N=460 (Version A), margin of error 4.5

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
None
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/24-27/16

38 37 23 2 1
             

"If Bernie Sanders were the Democratic Party's candidate, Donald Trump were the Republican Party's candidate, and Michael Bloomberg ran as an independent candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: [see below]?" If neither or unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: [see below]?" N=460 (Version A), margin of error 4.5

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
None
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/24-27/16

44 36 18 1 1

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Feb. 15-17, 2016. N=1,031 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat [see below] and Republican [see below]?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/15-17/16

44 48 2 4 2
 

1/4-7/16

41 50 1 5 3
 

12/16-17/15

43 45 2 5 5
 

11/16-19/15

42 50 1 3 4
 

8/11-13/15

44 46 1 4 4
 

6/21-23/15

45 44 1 5 5
 

5/9-12/15

47 43 2 4 4
 

4/19-21/15

46 42 2 4 5
 

3/29-31/15

47 43 2 4 4
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/15-17/16

45 46 3 6 1
 

1/4-7/16

44 44 2 7 3
 

11/16-19/15

39 45 3 9 4
 

10/10-12/15

40 44 4 9 2
 

8/11-13/15

42 44 3 8 3
 

6/21-23/15

43 43 3 5 6
 

5/9-12/15

44 45 2 5 4
 

4/19-21/15

45 41 2 6 6
 

3/29-31/15

45 45 1 6 3
 

1/25-27/15

48 43 2 4 3
 

12/7-9/14

49 42 1 3 4
 

7/20-22/14

52 39 1 4 3
 

4/13-15/14

51 42 1 3 3
 

3/2-4/14

51 38 3 4 4
             

"How would you vote if the candidates were Democrat [see below], Republican Donald Trump, and independent Michael Bloomberg?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/15-17/16

39 37 17 4 3
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/15-17/16

46 35 12 3 4

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Feb. 14-16, 2016. N=800 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"And, if the election for president were held today, and Donald Trump were the Republican candidate, and Bernie Sanders were the Democratic candidate, and Michael Bloomberg were the independent candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/14-16/16

43 33 16 4 4

 

Suffolk University/USA Today. Feb. 11-15, 2016. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"I'm going to run Democrat Hillary Clinton against the top polled Republicans and for each, please tell me if you would vote for Clinton or the Republican I name. Let's start with Democrat Hillary Clinton versus Republican [see below]."
7/15: "Now let's jump right to possible matchups in the general election in 2016. First I'm going to run Democrat Hillary Clinton against each of the top seven nationally polled Republican candidates. Please let me know who would you prefer. ..."

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 

2/11-15/16

42 48 9 2  
 

12/2-6/15

45 48 7 -  
 

7/9-12/15

46 40 14 n/a  
             

"Now I'm going to run Democrat Bernie Sanders against the same four Republicans. Let's start with Democrat Bernie Sanders versus Republican [see below]."

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 

2/11-15/16

42 46 11 2  
             

"Now, if I added independent Michael Bloomberg against Democrat Bernie Sanders and Republican Donald Trump, would you vote for Sanders, Trump, or Bloomberg?"

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

2/11-15/16

30 37 16 15 2

 

Quinnipiac University. Feb. 10-15, 2016. N=1,342 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.7.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below] the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

2/10-15/16

41 48 2 6 3
 

2/2-4/16

41 48 2 4 4
 

12/16-20/15

44 43 2 4 6
 

11/23-30/15

45 44 2 5 5
 

10/29 -11/2/15

41 46 2 4 7
 

8/20-25/15

44 43 2 6 5
 

5/19-26/15

45 41 2 5 7
 

4/16-21/15

45 43 2 3 7
 

2/26 - 3/2/15

46 41 2 3 7
 

2/27 - 3/4/13

50 34 2 3 11
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

2/10-15/16

43 44 3 7 3
 

9/17-21/15

42 44 3 7 4
 

8/20-25/15

42 40 3 10 5
 

7/23-28/15

41 42 5 5 6
 

5/19-26/15

47 37 3 7 6
 

4/16-21/15

46 39 3 6 6
 

2/26 - 3/2/15

45 42 3 4 6
 

11/18-23/14

46 41 3 3 7
 

6/24-30/14

48 41 2 5 5
 

1/15-19/14

49 38 3 3 7
 

12/3-9/13

48 39 3 3 6
 

5/22-28/13

48 40 3 3 7
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

2/10-15/16

47 41 2 4 6
 

2/2-4/16

43 43 1 5 8
 

12/16-20/15

42 45 1 6 6
 

11/23-30/15

44 43 1 5 6
 

10/29 -11/2/15

41 47 1 4 6
 

8/20-25/15

40 41 2 5 11
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

2/10-15/16

49 39 2 5 5
 

9/17-21/15

44 44 2 6 5
 

8/20-25/15

43 39 2 7 9
 

7/23-28/15

39 44 3 5 9
             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, and Michael Bloomberg running as an independent, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)