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       White House 2016: General Election                 See also: Rating the contenders


     
 
Info on accessing STATE POLLS
 

Monmouth University Poll. July 14-16, 2016. N=805 registered voters nationwide (margin of error 3.5), including 688 likely voters ( 3.7).

             

"If the election for president was today, would you vote for Donald Trump the Republican, Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Gary Johnson the Libertarian, or Jill Stein of the Green Party?" If unsure: "If you had to vote for one of the following candidates at this moment, who do you lean toward: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton?" Options rotated

 
 

Among registered voters:

 
    7/14-16/16 6/15-19/16      
    % %      
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

43 42      
 

Donald Trump (R)

40 36      
 

Gary Johnson (L)

5 9      
 

Jill Stein (G)

2 4      
 

Someone else (vol.)

2 2      
 

Unsure

6 4      
 

No one (vol.)

4 1      
             
 

Among likely voters:

 
    7/14-16/16 6/15-19/16      
    % %      
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

45 44      
 

Donald Trump (R)

43 37      
 

Gary Johnson (L)

5 9      
 

Jill Stein (G)

1 4      
 

Someone else (vol.)

2 1      
 

Unsure

4 3      
 

No one (vol.)

0 1      

 

CNN/ORC Poll. July 13-16, 2016. N=872 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between Hillary Clinton as the Democratic Party's candidate, and Donald Trump and Mike Pence as the Republican Party's candidates. Who would you be more likely to vote for?" If neither or unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: [see below]?" Options rotated. Note: On July 13, question omitted Mike Pence.

 
    Clinton (D) Trump/
Pence (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/13-16/16

49 42 4 4 1
             

"Now suppose that the presidential candidates on the ballot in your state included Hillary Clinton as the Democratic Party's candidate, Donald Trump as the Republican Party's candidate, Gary Johnson as the Libertarian Party candidate, and Jill Stein as the Green Party candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for?" If neither or unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    7/13-16/16 6/16-19/16      
    % %      
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

42 42      
 

Donald Trump (R)

37 38      
 

Gary Johnson (L)

13 9      
 

Jill Stein (G)

5 7      
 

None (vol.)

3 3      
 

Other (vol.)

- 1      
 

Unsure

- 1      

 

Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald Poll conducted by RKM Research and Communications. July 12-16, 2016. N=1,007 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

General Election Trial Heat:

 
    %        
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

44        
 

Donald Trump (R)

41        
 

Gary Johnson (L)

7        
 

Jill Stein (G)

2        
 

Someone else (vol.)

3        
 

Unsure

3        

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. July 11-14, 2016. N=816 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.

             

"If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Would you lean toward Clinton or toward Trump?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/11-14/16

47 43 8 - 2
 

6/20-23/16

51 39 8 1 1
 

5/16-19/16

44 46 7 2 1
 

3/3-6/16

50 41 4 5 1
 

12/10-13/15

50 44 4 2 1
 

9/7-10/15

46 43 7 4 1
             

"If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Donald Trump, the Republican, Gary Johnson of the Libertarian Party, and Jill Stein of the Green Party, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Would you lean toward Clinton, Trump, Johnson, or Stein?" Options rotated

 
    7/11-14/16 6/20-23/16      
    % %      
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

42 47      
 

Donald Trump (R)

38 37      
 

Gary Johnson (L)

8 7      
 

Jill Stein (G)

5 3      
 

Other (vol.)

1 1      
 

None (vol.)

2 3      
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1 -      
 

Unsure

3 3      

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). July 9-13, 2016. N=1,000 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"And, if the election for president were held today, and Donald Trump were the Republican candidate and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

7/9-13/16

46 41 9 4  
 

6/19-23/16

46 41 11 2  
 

5/15-19/16

46 43 9 2  
 

4/10-14/16

50 39 9 2  
 

3/3-6/16

51 38 9 2  
 

2/14-16/16

50 40 9 1  
 

1/9-13/16

51 41 6 2  
 

12/6-9/15

50 40 8 2  
 

10/25-29/15

50 42 6 2  
 

9/20-24/15

49 39 10 2  
             

"If the election for president were held today, and Donald Trump were the Republican candidate, Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, Gary Johnson were the Libertarian candidate, and Jill Stein were the Green Party candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    7/9-13/16 6/19-23/16      
    % %      
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

41 39      
 

Donald Trump (R)

35 38      
 

Gary Johnson (L)

11 10      
 

Jill Stein (G)

6 6      
 

Depends (vol.)

1 -      
 

None/Other (vol.)

2 3      
 

Unsure

4 4      

 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. July 8-12, 2016. N=1,358 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, would you vote for Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Won't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

7/8-12/16

40 40 4 7 8
 

6/9-13/16

43 37 5 6 9
 

5/13-17/16

47 41 2 5 5
 

4/8-12/16

50 40 1 6 2
 

3/17-20/16

50 40 1 6 3
             

"If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, and Gary Johnson, the Libertarian, would you vote for Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump or Gary Johnson?"

 
    7/8-12/16 6/9-13/16      
    % %      
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

36 39      
 

Donald Trump (R)

36 32      
 

Gary Johnson (L)

12 11      
 

Other (vol.)

2 4      
 

Won't vote (vol.)

4 4      
 

Depends (vol.)

1 2      
 

Unsure/No answer

9 9      

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. July 5-9, 2016. N=1,053 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Hillary Clinton the Democrat, and Donald Trump the Republican?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Neither Other Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/5-9/16

42 39 13 1 4
             

"If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Gary Johnson the Libertarian, and Jill Stein of the Green Party?"

 
    %        
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

40        
 

Donald Trump (R)

35        
 

Gary Johnson (L)

10        
 

Jill Stein (G)

5        
 

Other

2        
 

Unsure

9        

 

Suffolk University/USA Today. June 26-29, 2016. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If the general election was held today and the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump, for whom will you vote or lean?" Options rotated
12/15 - 4/16: "I'm going to run Democrat Hillary Clinton against the top polled Republicans and for each, please tell me if you would vote for Clinton or the Republican I name. Let's start with Democrat Hillary Clinton versus Republican Donald Trump."
7/15: "Now let's jump right to possible matchups in the general election in 2016. First I'm going to run Democrat Hillary Clinton against each of the top seven nationally polled Republican candidates. Please let me know who would you prefer. ..."

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 

6/26-29/16

46 40 12 2  
 

4/20-24/16

50 39 8 2  
 

2/11-15/16

43 45 10 2  
 

12/2-6/15

48 44 7 1  
 

7/9-12/15

51 34 16 n/a  
             

"Your state's presidential ballot may include Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein. If the general election was held today and the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Green Party Jill Stein, or Libertarian Gary Johnson, for whom will you vote or lean?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

39        
 

Donald Trump (R)

35        
 

Gary Johnson (L)

8        
 

Jill Stein (G)

3        
 

Unsure

14        
 

Refused

1        

 

Investor's Business Daily/TIPP Poll. June 24-29, 2016. N=837 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"If the 2016 election for the president of United States were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

6/24-29/16

44 40 9 6 1
 

5/31 - 6/5/16

45 40 9 6 1
 

4/22-28/16

47 40 7 3 2
 

3/28 - 4/2/16

47 35 9 6 3
             

"If the 2016 election for the president of the United States were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Donald Trump, the Republican, and Gary Johnson, the Libertarian, and Jill Stein of the Green Party, for whom would you vote?"

 
    %        
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

37        
 

Donald Trump (R)

36        
 

Gary Johnson (L)

9        
 

Jill Stein (G)

5        
 

Other (vol.)

3        
 

Unsure

9        
 

Refused

1        

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). June 26-28, 2016. N=1,017 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

6/26-28/16

44 38 7 5 5
 

6/5-8/16

42 39 7 6 6
 

5/14-17/16

42 45 3 6 3
 

4/11-13/16

48 41 2 6 2
 

3/20-22/16

49 38 2 8 3
 

2/15-17/16

47 42 2 6 2
 

1/4-7/16

44 47 2 5 2
 

12/16-17/15

49 38 3 6 4
 

11/16-19/15

41 46 2 7 5
 

10/10-12/15

40 45 4 7 3
 

9/20-22/15

46 42 3 7 2
 

8/11-13/15

47 42 2 7 3
 

6/21-23/15

51 34 3 9 3
             

"How would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, and Libertarian Gary Johnson?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Gary
Johnson (L)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

6/26-28/16

41 36 10 3 11
 

6/5-8/16

39 36 12 4 10
 

5/14-17/16

39 42 10 5 5

 

Quinnipiac University. June 21-27, 2016. N=1,610 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.4.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

6/21-27/16

42 40 6 5 7
 

5/24-30/16

45 41 3 6 5
 

3/16-21/16

46 40 3 7 4
 

2/10-15/16

44 43 3 7 3
 

2/2-4/16

46 41 3 7 3
 

12/16-20/15

47 40 2 6 5
 

11/23-30/15

47 41 2 6 4
 

10/29 -11/2/15

46 43 2 5 4
 

9/17-21/15

45 43 2 6 4
 

8/20-25/15

45 41 3 7 4
 

7/23-28/15

48 36 4 8 4
 

5/19-26/15

50 32 3 9 5
             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Gary Johnson the Libertarian, and Jill Stein the Green Party candidate, for whom would you vote?"

 
    6/21-27/16 5/24-30/16      
    % %      
 

Hillary Clinton (D)

39 40      
 

Donald Trump (R)

37 38      
 

Gary Johnson (L)

8 5      
 

Jill Stein (G)

4 3      
 

Someone else (vol.)

1 1      
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

3 5      
 

Unsure/No answer

7 7      

 

Pew Research Center. June 15-26, 2016. N=1,655 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.7.

             

"Now, suppose the 2016 presidential election were being held TODAY. If you had to choose between [see below], who would you vote for?" If other or unsure: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Gary
Johnson (L)
Someone
else (vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
    % % % % %
 

6/15-26/16

45 36 11 4 3
             

"Now, suppose the 2016 presidential election were being held TODAY. If you had to choose between [see below], who would you vote for?" If other or unsure: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN ore to [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure/
Refused
   
    % % %    
 

6/15-26/16

51 42 7    

 

Allstate/Atlantic Media Heartland Monitor Poll conducted by FTI Consulting. June 19-24, 2016. N=895 registered voters nationwide.

             

"If the election for president was held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democratic candidate, and Donald Trump, the Republican candidate, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Neither/Won't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
    % % % % %
 

6/19-24/16

44 36 4 9 7

 

CNN/ORC Poll. June 16-19, 2016. N=891 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between Hillary Clinton as the Democratic Party's candidate, and Donald Trump as the Republican Party's candidate. Who would you be more likely to vote for?" If neither or unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: [see below]?" Options rotated
Prior to 6/16: "If [see below] were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: [see below]?" If neither or unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: [see below]?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

6/16-19/16

47 42 4 6 1
 

4/28 - 5/1/16

54 41 1 4 -
 

3/17-20/16

53 41 2 4 -
 

2/24-27/16

52 44 1 3 -
 

1/21-24/16

48 47 1 4 -
 

12/17-21/15

49 47 1 3 -
 

11/27 - 12/1/15

49 46 1 3 -
 

10/14-17/15

50 45 2 4 -

 

Monmouth University Poll. June 15-19, 2016. N=803 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"If the election for president was today, would you vote for Donald Trump the Republican or Hillary Clinton the Democrat?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Another
candidate
(vol.)
Refused/
No one (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

6/15-19/16

47 40 5 2 6
 

3/17-20/16

48 38 2 9 3

 

CNBC All-America Economic Survey conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). June 11-13, 2016. N=801 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"Thinking again about the November 2016 presidential election: If the election for president were held today, and Donald Trump were the Republican candidate, and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Neither
(vol.)
Other
(vol.)
Depends
(vol.)/Unsure
    % % % % %
 

6/11-13/16

40 35 14 2 9

 

Bloomberg Politics Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. June 10-13, 2016. N=750 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.6.

             

"If the general election were held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats, Donald Trump for the Republicans, and Gary Johnson for the Libertarian Party, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Toward which do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Gary
Johnson (L)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
    % % %    
 

6/10-13/16

49 37 9 1 4

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). June 5-8, 2016. N=1,004 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Bernie Sanders and Republican Donald Trump?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

6/5-8/16

49 38 4 5 4
 

5/14-17/16

46 42 4 5 3
 

4/11-13/16

53 39 2 4 2
 

3/20-22/16

52 38 1 6 2
 

2/15-17/16

53 38 2 5 2
 

11/16-19/15

41 46 3 6 4

 

Investor's Business Daily/TIPP Poll. May 31-June 5, 2016. N=828 registered voters nationwide.

             

"If the 2016 election for the president of the United States were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Donald Trump, the Republican, and Gary Johnson, the Libertarian, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Gary
Johnson (L)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
    % % % % %
 

5/31 - 6/5/16

39 35 11 6 9
             

"If the 2016 election for the president of United States were held today and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

5/31 - 6/5/16

49 39 5 6 1
 

4/22-28/16

50 38 6 4 2
 

3/28 - 4/2/16

53 36 5 4 3

 

Quinnipiac University. May 24-30, 2016. N=1,561 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.5.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

5/24-30/16

48 39 3 6 5
 

3/16-21/16

52 38 2 5 3
 

2/10-15/16

48 42 2 5 4
 

2/2-4/16

49 39 2 6 5
 

12/16-20/15

51 38 1 6 4
 

11/23-30/15

49 41 1 5 4
 

10/29 -11/2/15

46 44 1 4 4
 

9/17-21/15

47 42 1 5 5
 

8/20-25/15

44 41 2 6 6
 

7/23-28/15

45 37 3 8 7

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. May 16-19, 2016. N=829 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"How about if the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Donald Trump, the Republican, and Mitt Romney, running as an independent candidate, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Would you lean toward Clinton, Trump or Romney?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Mitt
Romney (I)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

5/16-19/16

37 35 22 2 4

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). May 15-19, 2016. N=1,000 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"And, if the election for president were held today, and Donald Trump were the Republican candidate and Bernie Sanders were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

5/15-19/16

54 39 - 5 2
 

3/3-6/16

55 37 - 7 1
 

2/14-16/16

53 37 - 8 2
 

1/9-13/16

54 39 1 5 1
 

10/25-29/15

50 41 - 6 3
 

9/21-24/15

52 36 - 8 4

 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. May 13-17, 2016. N=1,109 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were [see below], the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, would you vote for [see below] or [see below]?"

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Won't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

5/13-17/16

51 38 2 5 4
 

4/8-12/16

53 36 1 5 4
 

3/17-20/16

53 38 - 5 3

 

CNN/ORC Poll. April 28-May 1, 2016. N=890 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"If [see below] were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: [see below]?" If neither or unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/28 - 5/1/16

52 42 2 4 -
 

3/17-20/16

48 48 1 3 -
 

2/24-27/16

48 49 1 2 1
 

1/21-24/16

47 50 1 2 -
 

12/17-21/15

46 48 1 4 -
 

11/27 - 12/1/15

50 47 1 2 -
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/28 - 5/1/16

44 51 1 4 -
 

3/17-20/16

45 51 - 3 1
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/28 - 5/1/16

56 40 1 3 -
 

3/17-20/16

58 38 1 3 -
 

2/24-27/16

55 43 - 1 -
 

1/21-24/16

50 47 - 3 -
 

10/14-17/15

53 44 - 3 -
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/28 - 5/1/16

57 39 1 4 -
 

3/17-20/16

55 42 1 2 -
 

2/24-27/16

57 40 - 1 1
 

1/21-24/16

50 47 - 3 -
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/28 - 5/1/16

50 46 - 3 -
 

3/17-20/16

51 45 - 3 1

 

Investor's Business Daily/TIPP Poll. April 22-28, 2016. N=814 registered voters nationwide.

             

"If the 2016 election for the president of United States were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

4/22-28/16

47 40 6 5 2
 

3/28 - 4/2/16

44 39 10 4 3
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

4/22-28/16

41 45 6 6 2
 

3/28 - 4/2/16

38 45 8 6 3
             

"If the 2016 election for the president of United States were held today and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

4/22-28/16

49 38 6 5 2
 

3/28 - 4/2/16

50 38 5 5 3
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

4/22-28/16

46 42 4 6 2
 

3/28 - 4/2/16

45 42 5 5 3

 

Suffolk University/USA Today. April 20-24, 2016. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"I'm going to run Democrat Hillary Clinton against the top polled Republicans and for each, please tell me if you would vote for Clinton or the Republican I name. Let's start with Democrat Hillary Clinton versus Republican [see below]."
7/15: "Now let's jump right to possible matchups in the general election in 2016. First I'm going to run Democrat Hillary Clinton against each of the top seven nationally polled Republican candidates. Please let me know who would you prefer. ..."

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 

4/20-24/16

49 42 8 2  
 

2/11-15/16

44 45 10 1  
 

12/2-6/15

47 45 7 1  
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 

4/20-24/16

41 46 11 2  
 

2/11-15/16

38 49 11 1  
             

"Now I'm going to run Democrat Bernie Sanders against the same four Republicans. Let's start with Democrat Bernie Sanders versus Republican [see below]."

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 

4/20-24/16

52 37 10 1  
 

2/11-15/16

43 44 10 2  
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 

4/20-24/16

50 38 10 2  
 

2/11-15/16

44 42 12 2  
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 

4/20-24/16

44 43 11 2  
 

2/11-15/16

41 44 14 2  

 

George Washington University Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). April 17-20, 2016. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"Thinking more about the election for president --

"If the general election were held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote: Donald Trump, the Republican, or Hillary Clinton, the Democrat?" If unsure: "And which candidate do you lean toward slightly?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

4/17-20/16

46 43 11    
             

"If the general election were held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote: Donald Trump, the Republican, or Bernie Sanders, the Democrat?" If unsure: "And which candidate do you lean toward slightly?" Options rotated

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

4/17-20/16

51 40 10    

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). April 10-14, 2016. N=1,000 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"And, if the election for president were held today, and [see below] were the Republican candidate and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/10-14/16

46 44 - 9 1
 

3/3-6/16

47 45 - 6 2
 

2/14-16/16

46 46 - 6 2
 

1/9-13/16

49 45 1 4 1
 

12/6-9/15

48 45 - 6 1
 

10/15-18/15

49 41 - 6 4
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/10-14/16

39 51 1 6 3
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Paul
Ryan (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/10-14/16

44 45 - 8 3
             

"And, if the election for president were held today, and Ted Cruz were the Republican candidate and Bernie Sanders were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/10-14/16

52 40 - 6 2
 

2/14-16/16

50 40 - 6 4
 

10/15-18/15

50 38 - 6 6

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). April 11-13, 2016. N=1,021 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat [see below] and Republican [see below]?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/11-13/16

45 44 3 6 2
 

3/20-22/16

44 47 1 6 2
 

2/15-17/16

45 46 2 5 2
 

1/4-7/16

43 50 1 4 3
 

12/16-17/15

45 45 2 4 4
 

11/16-19/15

41 45 2 5 5
 

6/21-23/15

48 42 3 4 4
 

5/9-12/15

48 43 1 4 4
 

4/19-21/15

47 42 1 5 5
 

3/29-31/15

48 42 2 4 4
 

3/2-4/14

52 36 2 4 5
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/11-13/16

40 49 2 6 2
 

3/20-22/16

40 51 2 4 3
 

2/15-17/16

44 47 2 5 3
 

5/9-12/15

48 40 1 5 6
 

12/7-9/14

53 37 2 3 5
 

7/20-22/14

54 35 1 4 7
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/11-13/16

51 39 1 5 3
 

3/20-22/16

47 43 1 4 4
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/11-13/16

47 43 2 5 4
 

3/20-22/16

43 44 1 6 5

 

CBS News Poll. April 8-12, 2016. N=1,098 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were [see below], the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, would you vote for [see below] or [see below]?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Other
(vol.)
Won't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

4/8-12/16

45 42 1 8 3
 

3/17-20/16

47 44 1 5 4
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Other
(vol.)
Won't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

4/8-12/16

41 47 1 7 5
 

3/17-20/16

43 47 - 4 4
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Other
(vol.)
Won't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

4/8-12/16

50 38 1 7 4
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Other
(vol.)
Won't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

4/8-12/16

46 41 1 7 5

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. March 29-31, 2016. N=1,066 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/29-31/16

50 41 9    
 

10/29 - 11/4/15

56 41 3    
 

7/22-28/15

54 38 8    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/29-31/16

47 47 6    
 

10/29 - 11/4/15

53 43 4    
 

7/22-28/15

49 40 11    
 

3/1-4/15

53 39 8    
 

4/7-10/14

54 39 7    
 

2/4-9/14

56 39 5    
 

12/3-5/13

57 35 7    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/29-31/16

42 51 7    
 

7/22-28/15

49 39 12    
             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Bernie Sanders, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican?"

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/29-31/16

57 37 6    
 

10/29 - 11/4/15

53 41 6    
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/29-31/16

53 41 6    
 

10/29 - 11/4/15

51 39 10    
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/29-31/16

52 41 7    

 

Bloomberg Politics Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. March 19-22, 2016. N=815 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.4.

             

"If the general election were held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats, and [see below] for the Republicans, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/19-22/16

54 36 9    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/19-22/16

51 42 7    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/19-22/16

43 47 11    
             

"If the general election were held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders for the Democrats, and [see below] for the Republicans, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/19-22/16

58 34 8    
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/19-22/16

52 40 8    
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/19-22/16

46 42 11    

 

Quinnipiac University. March 16-21, 2016. N=1,451 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.6.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below] the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

3/16-21/16

45 42 3 6 4
 

2/10-15/16

43 46 3 5 4
 

2/2-4/16

45 45 2 5 3
 

12/16-20/15

44 44 1 4 6
 

11/23-30/15

47 42 2 5 5
 

10/29 -11/2/15

43 46 2 4 5
 

5/19-26/15

48 37 3 5 7
 

4/16-21/15

48 41 2 3 6
 

2/26 - 3/2/15

48 38 3 4 7
 

11/18-23/14

48 37 2 4 9
 

1/15-19/14

50 35 2 4 10
 

12/3-9/13

50 37 3 3 7
 

11/6-11/13

51 36 3 3 7
 

9/23-29/13

54 31 3 3 9
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

3/16-21/16

39 47 3 6 4
 

2/10-15/16

39 47 3 5 5
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

3/16-21/16

50 39 2 5 5
 

2/10-15/16

49 39 1 5 6
 

2/2-4/16

46 42 1 5 6
 

12/16-20/15

43 44 1 5 7
 

11/23-30/15

49 39 1 5 6
 

10/29 -11/2/15

44 45 1 4 7
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

3/16-21/16

44 45 2 5 4
 

2/10-15/16

45 41 2 5 7

 

Monmouth University Poll. March 17-20, 2016. N=848 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.4.

             

"If the election for president was today, who would you vote for if the candidates were [see below] the Republican and Hillary Clinton the Democrat?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Another
candidate
(vol.)
No one
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

3/17-20/16

45 40 2 9 4
 

7/25-30/13

48 32 4 n/a 17
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Another
candidate
(vol.)
No one
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

3/17-20/16

39 45 2 9 5
             

"If the election for president was today, who would you vote for if the candidates were Donald Trump the Republican, Hillary Clinton the Democrat, and Gary Johnson the Libertarian?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Gary
Johnson (L)
No one
(vol.)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

3/17-20/16

42 34 11 7 6

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). March 3-6, 2016. N=1,200 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.8.

             

"And, if the election for president were held today, and Marco Rubio were the Republican candidate and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

3/3-6/16

46 46 - 6 2
 

1/9-13/16

47 46 1 4 2
 

12/6-9/15

45 48 - 5 2
 

10/25-29/15

47 44 - 5 4
 

10/15-18/15

46 45 - 5 4
 

6/14-18/15

50 40 1 4 5
 

4/26-30/15

49 43 - 4 4

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Feb. 24-27, 2016. N=920 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If [see below] were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: [see below]?" If neither or unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: [see below]?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/24-27/16

47 50 1 2 -
 

1/21-24/16

47 50 1 2 1
 

12/17-21/15

46 49 2 3 -
 

11/27 - 12/1/15

48 49 1 2 -
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/24-27/16

53 45 - 1 1
 

1/21-24/16

49 48 - 2 1
             

"If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate, Donald Trump were the Republican Party's candidate, and Michael Bloomberg ran as an independent candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: [see below]?" If neither or unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: [see below]?" N=460 (Version A), margin of error 4.5

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
None
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/24-27/16

38 37 23 2 1
             

"If Bernie Sanders were the Democratic Party's candidate, Donald Trump were the Republican Party's candidate, and Michael Bloomberg ran as an independent candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: [see below]?" If neither or unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: [see below]?" N=460 (Version A), margin of error 4.5

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
None
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/24-27/16

44 36 18 1 1

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Feb. 15-17, 2016. N=1,031 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat [see below] and Republican [see below]?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/15-17/16

44 48 2 4 2
 

1/4-7/16

41 50 1 5 3
 

12/16-17/15

43 45 2 5 5
 

11/16-19/15

42 50 1 3 4
 

8/11-13/15

44 46 1 4 4
 

6/21-23/15

45 44 1 5 5
 

5/9-12/15

47 43 2 4 4
 

4/19-21/15

46 42 2 4 5
 

3/29-31/15

47 43 2 4 4
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/15-17/16

45 46 3 6 1
 

1/4-7/16

44 44 2 7 3
 

11/16-19/15

39 45 3 9 4
 

10/10-12/15

40 44 4 9 2
 

8/11-13/15

42 44 3 8 3
 

6/21-23/15

43 43 3 5 6
 

5/9-12/15

44 45 2 5 4
 

4/19-21/15

45 41 2 6 6
 

3/29-31/15

45 45 1 6 3
 

1/25-27/15

48 43 2 4 3
 

12/7-9/14

49 42 1 3 4
 

7/20-22/14

52 39 1 4 3
 

4/13-15/14

51 42 1 3 3
 

3/2-4/14

51 38 3 4 4
             

"How would you vote if the candidates were Democrat [see below], Republican Donald Trump, and independent Michael Bloomberg?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/15-17/16

39 37 17 4 3
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/15-17/16

46 35 12 3 4

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Feb. 14-16, 2016. N=800 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"And, if the election for president were held today, and Donald Trump were the Republican candidate, and Bernie Sanders were the Democratic candidate, and Michael Bloomberg were the independent candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

2/14-16/16

43 33 16 4 4

 

Suffolk University/USA Today. Feb. 11-15, 2016. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"I'm going to run Democrat Hillary Clinton against the top polled Republicans and for each, please tell me if you would vote for Clinton or the Republican I name. Let's start with Democrat Hillary Clinton versus Republican [see below]."
7/15: "Now let's jump right to possible matchups in the general election in 2016. First I'm going to run Democrat Hillary Clinton against each of the top seven nationally polled Republican candidates. Please let me know who would you prefer. ..."

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 

2/11-15/16

42 48 9 2  
 

12/2-6/15

45 48 7 -  
 

7/9-12/15

46 40 14 n/a  
             

"Now I'm going to run Democrat Bernie Sanders against the same four Republicans. Let's start with Democrat Bernie Sanders versus Republican [see below]."

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 

2/11-15/16

42 46 11 2  
             

"Now, if I added independent Michael Bloomberg against Democrat Bernie Sanders and Republican Donald Trump, would you vote for Sanders, Trump, or Bloomberg?"

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

2/11-15/16

30 37 16 15 2

 

Quinnipiac University. Feb. 10-15, 2016. N=1,342 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.7.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below] the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

2/10-15/16

41 48 2 6 3
 

2/2-4/16

41 48 2 4 4
 

12/16-20/15

44 43 2 4 6
 

11/23-30/15

45 44 2 5 5
 

10/29 -11/2/15

41 46 2 4 7
 

8/20-25/15

44 43 2 6 5
 

5/19-26/15

45 41 2 5 7
 

4/16-21/15

45 43 2 3 7
 

2/26 - 3/2/15

46 41 2 3 7
 

2/27 - 3/4/13

50 34 2 3 11
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

2/10-15/16

43 44 3 7 3
 

9/17-21/15

42 44 3 7 4
 

8/20-25/15

42 40 3 10 5
 

7/23-28/15

41 42 5 5 6
 

5/19-26/15

47 37 3 7 6
 

4/16-21/15

46 39 3 6 6
 

2/26 - 3/2/15

45 42 3 4 6
 

11/18-23/14

46 41 3 3 7
 

6/24-30/14

48 41 2 5 5
 

1/15-19/14

49 38 3 3 7
 

12/3-9/13

48 39 3 3 6
 

5/22-28/13

48 40 3 3 7
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

2/10-15/16

47 41 2 4 6
 

2/2-4/16

43 43 1 5 8
 

12/16-20/15

42 45 1 6 6
 

11/23-30/15

44 43 1 5 6
 

10/29 -11/2/15

41 47 1 4 6
 

8/20-25/15

40 41 2 5 11
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

2/10-15/16

49 39 2 5 5
 

9/17-21/15

44 44 2 6 5
 

8/20-25/15

43 39 2 7 9
 

7/23-28/15

39 44 3 5 9
             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, and Michael Bloomberg running as an independent, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Other/Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

2/10-15/16

38 38 12 3 9
 

2/2-4/16

35 36 15 4 10
             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat, Ted Cruz the Republican, and Michael Bloomberg running as an independent, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

2/10-15/16

39 33 14 3 11
 

2/2-4/16

37 36 15 4 8

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Dec. 16-17, 2015. N=1,013 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Ben Carson?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated.

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

12/16-17/15

46 44 2 5 4
 

11/16-19/15

42 47 2 4 4
 

10/10-12/15

39 50 1 4 5
 

6/21-23/15

46 41 2 4 7
 

5/9-12/15

48 42 2 4 5

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Dec. 6-9, 2015. N=849 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.4.

             

"And, if the election for president were held today, and [see below] were the Republican candidate and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

12/6-9/15

46 47 - 5 2
 

10/25-29/15

47 47 - 4 2
 

10/15-18/15

47 45 - 5 3
 

9/20-24/15

45 46 - 6 3

 

Suffolk University/USA Today. Dec. 2-6, 2015. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"I'm going to run Democrat Hillary Clinton against the top four polled Republicans and for each, please tell me if you would vote for Clinton or the Republican I name. Let's start with Democrat Hillary Clinton versus Republican [see below]."
7/15: "Now let's jump right to possible matchups in the general election in 2016. First I'm going to run Democrat Hillary Clinton against each of the top seven nationally polled Republican candidates. Please let me know who would you prefer. ..."

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 

12/2-6/15

46 45 8 1  
 

7/9-12/15

49 36 16 n/a  

 

MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist Poll. Nov. 15-Dec. 2, 2015. N=2,360 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

11/15 - 12/2/15

48 45 6    
 

8/26 - 9/9/15

50 44 6    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

11/15 - 12/2/15

52 41 6    
 

8/26 - 9/9/15

53 40 7    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

11/15 - 12/2/15

49 45 6    
 

8/26 - 9/9/15

49 45 6    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

11/15 - 12/2/15

51 44 6    
 

8/26 - 9/9/15

52 41 7    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

11/15 - 12/2/15

48 47 5    

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Nov. 27-Dec. 1, 2015. N=930 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: [see below]?" If neither or unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: [see below]?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

11/27 - 12/1/15

47 50 - 2 1
 

10/14-17/15

47 48 1 4 -
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

11/27 - 12/1/15

49 47 1 4 -

 

Quinnipiac University. Nov. 23-30, 2015. N=1,453 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.6.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below] the Democrat and Ben Carson the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

11/23-30/15

46 43 1 6 4
 

10/29 - 11/2/15

40 50 2 3 6
 

9/17-21/15

42 49 2 3 4
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

11/23-30/15

47 41 1 6 5
 

10/29 -11/2/15

39 51 1 3 7
 

9/17-21/15

39 49 1 4 7

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Nov. 16-19, 2015. N=1,016 registered voters nationwide.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat [see below] and Republican [see below]?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated. Split sample. Margin of error 4.

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Carly
Fiorina (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

11/16-19/15

42 42 2 7 6
 

10/10-12/15

39 42 3 7 8
 

8/11-13/15

47 40 1 6 5
 

6/21-23/15

45 39 3 6 7
 

5/9-12/15

49 37 2 6 6
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

11/16-19/15

43 46 3 4 4
 

1/25-27/15

48 42 1 6 3
 

12/7-9/14

52 40 1 3 4
 

7/20-22/14

50 40 1 4 3
 

4/13-15/14

50 42 2 4 3
 

3/2-4/14

49 38 3 5 5

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Oct. 29-Nov. 4, 2015. Registered voters nationwide.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican?" N=541, margin of error 4.2.

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/29 - 11/4/15

50 45 4    
 

7/22-28/15

47 42 10    
 

3/1-4/15

49 42 8    
 

4/7-10/14

54 38 8    
 

2/4-9/14

58 37 4    
 

12/3-5/13

52 42 5    
 

7/15-18/13

50 38 12    
 

3/25-27/13

52 40 8    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/29 - 11/4/15

52 44 4    
 

7/22-28/15

49 43 8    
 

3/1-4/15

49 42 9    
 

12/3-9/14

53 40 7    
 

9/24-29/14

53 42 4    
 

8/4-7/14

48 41 10    
 

4/7-10/14

55 39 6    
 

2/4-9/14

58 38 4    
 

12/3-5/13

53 41 6    
 

7/15-18/13

48 40 12    
 

3/25-27/13

54 38 8    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/29 - 11/4/15

50 48 2    
 

7/22-28/15

49 39 12    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Carly
Fiorina (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/29 - 11/4/15

53 43 4    
 

7/22-28/15

53 35 13    
             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Bernie Sanders, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican?" N=540, margin of error 4.2.

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/29 - 11/4/15

48 45 7    
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/29 - 11/4/15

51 41 8    
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/29 - 11/4/15

45 47 8    
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Carly
Fiorina (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/29 - 11/4/15

53 39 8    

 

Quinnipiac University. Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2015. N=1,144 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.9.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below] the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

10/29 -11/2/15

41 46 3 6 5
 

5/19-26/15

46 37 3 7 6
 

4/16-21/15

45 40 3 5 7
 

2/26 - 3/2/15

46 39 3 5 7
 

11/18-23/14

43 42 3 4 8
 

6/24-30/14

47 38 2 6 7
 

1/15-19/14

46 38 3 5 9
 

12/3-9/13

41 42 4 3 9
 

11/6-11/13

42 43 3 4 9
 

9/23-29/13

49 36 3 3 9
 

6/28 - 7/8/13

46 40 3 3 8
 

2/27 - 3/4/13

45 37 3 4 12
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

10/29 -11/2/15

42 45 1 4 7

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Oct. 25-29, 2015. N=847 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.4.

             

"And, if the election for president were held today, and [see below] were the Republican candidate and [see below] were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/25-29/15

47 43 - 7 3
 

9/20-24/15

45 44 - 8 3
 

6/14-18/15

48 40 - 8 4
 

4/26-30/15

49 43 - 5 3
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/25-29/15

46 41 - 7 6
 

10/15-18/15

45 41 1 6 7

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Oct. 15-18, 2015. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters.

             

"And, if the election for president were held today, and [see below] were the Republican candidate and [see below] were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/15-18/15

44 43 - 6 7

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Oct. 14-17, 2015. N=956 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If [see below] were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: [see below]?" If neither or unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: [see below]?"

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/14-17/15

46 48 1 5 1
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/14-17/15

53 43 1 3 -
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/14-17/15

52 44 1 3 -

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Oct. 10-12, 2015. N=1,004 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Joe Biden and Republican [see below]?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated. Split sample. Margin of error 4.

 
    Joe
Biden (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/10-12/15

50 37 2 7 3
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/10-12/15

46 41 2 7 4
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Carly
Fiorina (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/10-12/15

46 42 3 4 6
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/10-12/15

46 42 3 4 5
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/10-12/15

44 43 2 4 7
 

"Let's say the Democratic ticket is Joe Biden for president and Elizabeth Warren for vice president, and the Republican ticket is Donald Trump for president and Carly Fiorina for vice president. If you were voting today, how would you vote?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Biden/
Warren (D)
Trump/
Fiorina (R)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

10/10-12/15

48 42 6 4  
 

"Let's say the Democratic ticket is Joe Biden for president and Elizabeth Warren for vice president, and the Republican ticket is Jeb Bush for president and Marco Rubio for vice president. If you were voting today, how would you vote?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Biden/
Warren (D)
Bush/
Rubio (R)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

10/10-12/15

45 43 7 5  

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Sept. 20-24, 2015. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters.

             

"And, if the election for president were held today, and [see below] were the Republican candidate and [see below] were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Carly
Fiorina (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/20-24/15

44 45 - 7 4
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/20-24/15

48 40 1 8 3
 

4/26-30/15

40 48 - 8 4
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/20-24/15

56 35 - 7 -
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/20-24/15

49 41 - 5 5
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Carly
Fiorina (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/20-24/15

47 41 - 8 4

 

Quinnipiac University. Sept. 17-21, 2015. N=1,574 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.5.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below] the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Carly
Fiorina (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

9/17-21/15

43 44 2 6 5
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

9/17-21/15

46 41 2 5 5
 

8/20-25/15

45 39 2 7 7
 

7/23-28/15

43 42 4 5 6
 

5/22-28/13

38 44 4 5 9
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

9/17-21/15

45 45 1 3 6
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Carly
Fiorina (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

9/17-21/15

46 43 1 5 5
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

9/17-21/15

51 40 1 4 4
 

8/20-25/15

48 40 2 5 5
 

7/23-28/15

49 37 3 6 5
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Carly
Fiorina (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

9/17-21/15

43 44 1 6 6

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Sept. 7-10, 2015. N=821 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: Would you lean toward Clinton or toward Trump?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

ALL

46 43 7 4 1
 

Men

37 52      
 

Women

55 34      

 

MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist Poll. Aug. 26-Sept. 9, 2015. N=1,115 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.9.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Joe Biden, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican?"

 
    Joe
Biden (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

8/26 - 9/9/15

50 42 8    
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

8/26 - 9/9/15

56 38 7    
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

8/26 - 9/9/15

50 42 8    
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

8/26 - 9/9/15

54 39 8    

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Sept. 4-8, 2015. N=930 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"For the next few questions, let's assume that former secretary of state Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2016. I'm going to read the names of a few Republicans who may run for their party's nomination. After I read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more likely to vote for Hillary Clinton. ... Former Florida governor Jeb Bush ... Businessman Donald Trump ... Former neurosurgeon Ben Carson."

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/4-8/15

47 49 - 3 -
 

8/13-16/15

52 43 - 5 -
 

7/22-25/15

51 46 - 3 -
 

6/26-28/15

54 41 1 3 -
 

1/31 - 2/2/14

57 37 - 3 2
 

12/16-19/13

58 37 1 3 1
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/4-8/15

48 48 - 3 -
 

8/13-16/15

51 45 - 4 -
 

7/22-25/15

56 40 - 4 -
 

6/26-28/15

59 35 - 6 -
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/4-8/15

46 51 1 2 -
             

"And now, let's assume that Vice President Joe Biden will be the Democratic presidential nominee for 2016. ..."

 
    Joe
Biden (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/4-8/15

52 44 1 3 -
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/4-8/15

54 44 - 1 -
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/4-8/15

47 50 - 2 -

 

Quinnipiac University. Aug. 20-25, 2015. N=1,563 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.5.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below] the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Joe
Biden (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

8/20-25/15

44 41 2 5 7
 

2/27 - 3/4/13

45 38 2 4 11
             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Jeb Bush the Republican, and Donald Trump running as an independent, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Donald
Trump (I)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Someone else
(vol.)/Unsure
/No answer
    % % % % %
 

8/20-25/15

40 24 24 4 7

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Aug. 13-16, 2015. N=897 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"For the next few questions, let's assume that former secretary of state Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2016. I'm going to read the names of a few Republicans who may run for their party's nomination. After I read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more likely to vote for Hillary Clinton. ... Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker ... Businesswoman Carly Fiorina."

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Scott
Walker (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

8/13-16/15

52 46 - 2 -
 

7/22-25/15

53 44 - 2 1
 

6/26-28/15

57 40 - 3 -
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Carly
Fiorina (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

8/13-16/15

53 43 - 3 -

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Aug. 11-13, 2015. N=1,008 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"How would you vote if the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, [see below], the Republican, and Donald Trump, an independent?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Carly
Fiorina (R)
Donald
Trump (I)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

8/11-13/15

42 24 25 4 5
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Donald
Trump (I)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

8/11-13/15

42 30 22 3 4
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Donald
Trump (I)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

8/11-13/15

40 29 23 4 4

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. July 22-28, 2015. N=964 registered voters nationwide.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican?" Each match-up asked of approx. half the sample.

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Scott
Walker (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/22-28/15

48 41 11    
 

3/1-4/15

48 44 9    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Rick
Perry (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/22-28/15

47 40 13    
 

3/1-4/15

51 42 8    
 

12/3-5/13

58 37 5    
 

7/15-18/13

52 36 12    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Rand
Paul (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/22-28/15

48 43 9    
 

3/1-4/15

51 40 9    
 

12/3-9/14

54 40 6    
 

9/24-29/14

52 43 5    
 

8/4-7/14

48 42 10    
 

4/7-10/14

54 40 6    
 

2/4-9/14

58 38 4    
 

12/3-5/13

55 40 5    
 

7/15-18/13

50 38 11    
 

3/25-27/13

52 41 7    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/22-28/15

50 40 10    
 

12/3-9/14

53 41 6    
 

9/24-29/14

51 42 6    
 

8/4-7/14

47 41 12    
 

4/7-10/14

53 42 5    
 

2/4-9/14

58 37 6    
 

12/3-5/13

48 45 7    
 

7/15-18/13

47 41 12    
 

3/25-27/13

46 43 11    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mike
Huckabee (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/22-28/15

50 41 9    
 

4/7-10/14

53 40 6    
 

2/4-9/14

55 41 4    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Rick
Santorum (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/22-28/15

51 39 10    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Bobby
Jindal (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/22-28/15

52 36 12    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Lindsey
Graham (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/22-28/15

52 35 13    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
George
Pataki (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/22-28/15

50 37 13    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jim
Gilmore (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/22-28/15

53 32 15    
             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Jeb Bush, the Republican, and Donald Trump, an independent?" N=964 registered voters, margin of error 3.2.

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Donald
Trump (I)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

7/22-28/15

44 29 20 6  

 

Quinnipiac University. July 23-28, 2015. N=1,644 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.4.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below] the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Scott
Walker (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

7/23-28/15

44 43 4 3 7
 

5/19-26/15

46 38 2 4 10
 

4/16-21/15

46 41 2 3 8
 

2/26 - 3/2/15

48 39 2 4 8
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Scott
Walker (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

7/23-28/15

43 43 2 4 8
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Scott
Walker (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

7/23-28/15

37 42 3 6 12

 

CNN/ORC Poll. July 22-25, 2015. N=898 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"And now, let's assume Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2016. After I read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more likely to vote for Bernie Sanders. ... Former Florida governor Jeb Bush ... Businessman Donald Trump ... Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker."

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/22-25/15

47 48 - 4 1
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/22-25/15

59 38 - 3 -
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Scott
Walker (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/22-25/15

48 43 - 7 2

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. July 16-19, 2015. N=815 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Jeb Bush, the Republican, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Would you lean toward Clinton or toward Bush?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/16-19/15

50 44 4 2 1
 

5/28-31/15

47 44 4 4 1
 

3/26-29/15