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     Congress 2016

See also: Ratings of Congress


 
 
Info on accessing STATE POLLS
 

Bloomberg Politics Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. Nov. 4-6, 2016. N=799 adults nationwide who say they will definitely vote or have already voted in the 2016 general election. Margin of error ± 3.5.

             

"If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district: the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?" If unsure: "Which way are you leaning—toward the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate?" Options rotated

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Other
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

11/4-6/16

48 45 1 7  
 

10/14-17/16

43 47 1 8  
 

10/14-17/16

43 47 1 8  
 

9/21-24/16

44 46 2 8  
 

8/5-8/16

44 47 1 7  

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Nov. 3-6, 2016. N=1,295 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.5.
RV = registered voters

             

"If the election for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate in your district or the Republican candidate in your district?" If unsure: Well, if you had to vote, which way would you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Other
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

11/3-6/16

46 45 1 7  
 

10/22-25/16

45 47 1 8  
 

10/10-12/16

42 48 1 9  
 

9/27-29/16

43 44 1 12  
 

6/26-28/16 RV

41 46 2 11  

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Nov. 3-5, 2016. N=1,282 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.7.

             

"What is your preference for the outcome of Tuesday's congressional elections: a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?" Options rotated
10/16 & earlier: "
What is your preference for the outcome of this year's congressional elections: a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?"

 
    Republican
control
Democratic
control
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

11/3-5/16

44 47 9    
 
 

Among registered voters:

 

10/10-13/16

44 46 10    
 

10/8-10/16

42 48 10    
 

10/8-9/16

42 49 9    
 

9/16-19/16

45 48 7    
 

7/31 - 8/3/16

43 47 10    
 

6/19-23/16

46 46 8    
 

5/15-19/16

44 48 8    
 

4/10-14/16

45 47 8    
 

10/25-29/15

45 45 10    

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Nov. 1-3, 2016. N=940 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.2.

             

"If next week's election for Congress were held today, which party's candidate are you more likely to vote for in your district: [see below]?" Results include leaners and responses of early voters.

 
    Republican Democrat Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

11/1-3/16

47 48 3 2  
 

9/15-20/16

45 49 2 3  

 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. Oct. 28-Nov. 1, 2016. N=1,333 registered voters nationwide. Results below are among likely voters (margin of error ± 3).

             

"If the 2016 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?" If depends or unsure: "Well as of today, do you lean more toward the Republican candidate or more toward the Democratic candidate?"
If already voted: "In the election for U.S. House of Representatives, did you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?"

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Other
(vol.)
Won't
vote (vol.)
Depends
(vol.)/Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/28 - 11/1/16

46 49 1 1 3
 

10/12-16/16

45 50 1 1 4

 

ABC News Poll. Oct. 22-24, 2016: N=828 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5.
RV = registered voters

             

"If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your congressional district?" If other/unsure: "Would you lean toward the Democratic candidate or toward the Republican candidate?" If already voted: "Did you vote for . . . ?" Options rotated

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Neither/
Other
(vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/22-24/16

46 47 2 1 4
 

10/10-13/16

44 47 3 1 5
 

5/16-19/16 RV

45 45 3 1 6

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Oct. 20-23, 2016. N=779 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5.

             

"If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district?" If unsure: "As of today, who do you lean more toward?"

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Won't
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/20-23/16

47 50 1 2 1
 

9/1-4/16

49 47 2 1 1

 

George Washington University Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). Oct. 8-13, 2016. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1.

             

"Thinking now about the elections for Congress that will be held this November, if the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for the Republican candidate or the Democrat candidate in your district?" If unsure: "And which party's candidate do you lean toward at this time?" Options rotated

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/8-13/16

42 47 11    
 

8/28 - 9/1/16

42 45 13    
 

4/17-20/16

41 46 13    

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Aug. 1-3, 2016. N=983 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1.

             

"If November's election for Congress were held today, which party's candidate are you more likely to vote for in your district: [see below]?"

 
    Republican Democrat Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

8/1-3/16

41 49 3 7  

 

Gallup Poll. Jan. 21-25, 2016. N=903 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.

             

"Please tell me whether you think each of the following political office-holders deserves to be reelected, or not.

"How about the U.S. representative in your congressional district?"

 
    Deserves to
be reelected
Does not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

1/21-25/16

51 37 12    
 

10/29 - 11/2/14

51 37 12    
             

"How about most members of Congress?"

 
    Deserve to
be reelected
Do not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

1/21-25/16

27 67 6    
 

10/29 - 11/2/14

23 67 10    

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Oct. 25-29, 2015. N=847 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.4.

             

"In the next election for U.S. Congress, do you feel that your representative deserves to be reelected, or do you think that it is time to give a new person a chance?" Half sample (Form A)

 
    Deserves to
be reelected
Time for
new person
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/25-29/15

35 57 8    
             

"And, if there were a place on your ballot that allowed you to vote to defeat and replace every single member of Congress, including your own representative, would you do this or not?" Half sample (Form B)

 
    Would Would not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/25-29/15

52 44 4    

 

Quinnipiac University. Aug. 20-25, 2015. N=1,563 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.5.

             

"If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States Senate?"

 
    Republican
Party
Democratic
Party
Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

8/20-25/15

44 44 11    
             

"If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States House of Representatives?"

 
    Republican
Party
Democratic
Party
Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

8/20-25/15

44 46 10    

 

Quinnipiac University. July 23-28, 2015. N=1,644 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.4.

             

"If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district?"

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

7/23-28/15

39 37 3 1 20
 

5/19-26/15

36 39 2 2 22
 

4/16-21/15

40 37 1 2 20
             

"If an election for the U.S. Senate were being held in your state today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate?"

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

7/23-28/15

40 38 2 1 18
 

5/19-26/15

36 41 2 1 19
 

4/16-21/15

40 39 2 2 17

 


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