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       White House 2016: Republican Nomination            See also: Rating the contenders


 
 
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CNN/ORC Poll. June 26-28, 2015. N=368 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump or Scott Walker." Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Jeb Bush

17        
 

Donald Trump

12        
 

Ben Carson

8        
 

Rand Paul

8        
 

Marco Rubio

7        
 

Scott Walker

6        
 

Mike Huckabee

5        
 

Rick Perry

4        
 

Rick Santorum

4        
 

Chris Christie

3        
 

Ted Cruz

3        
 

John Kasich

3        
 

Bobby Jindal

2        
 

Carly Fiorina

1        
 

Lindsey Graham

1        
 

George Pataki

-        
 

Someone else

5        
 

None/No one (vol.)

6        
 

Unsure

3        

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). June 21-23, 2015. N=378 likely Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2016 Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican presidential nominee. [See below.]" Options rotated

 
    6/21-23/15 5/31 -
6/2/15
5/9-12/15 4/19-21/15 3/29-31/15
    % % % % %
 

Jeb Bush

15 12 13 9 12
 

Donald Trump

11 4 4 5 3
 

Ben Carson

10 11 13 6 11
 

Rand Paul

9 9 7 10 9
 

Scott Walker

9 12 11 12 15
 

Marco Rubio

8 7 9 13 8
 

Mike Huckabee

6 6 10 9 10
 

Ted Cruz

4 8 6 8 10
 

Carly Fiorina

3 2 1 - 1
 

Rick Santorum

3 2 2 1 2
 

Chris Christie

2 5 6 6 4
 

Bobby Jindal

2 1 1 1 2
 

John Kasich

2 2 2 2 1
 

Rick Perry

2 4 2 2 3
 

Lindsey Graham

1 2 - 1 -
 

George Pataki

1 2 - 1 1
 

Other (vol.)

- 1 1 1 1
 

None of above (vol.)

3 2 3 3 4
 

Unsure

9 10 10 9 6

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). June 14-18, 2015. N=236 Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 6.4.

             

"And, still thinking about people who might seek the Republican nomination for president in 2016, if the next Republican primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates would you favor: Jeb Bush, Scott Walker, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Chris Christie, Mike Huckabee, Ted Cruz, Rick Perry, or Ben Carson, or would you vote for one of the other candidates that were mentioned in the previous question?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Jeb Bush

22        
 

Scott Walker

17        
 

Marco Rubio

14        
 

Ben Carson

11        
 

Mike Huckabee

9        
 

Rand Paul

7        
 

Rick Perry

5        
 

Ted Cruz

4        
 

Chris Christie

4        
 

Carly Fiorina

2        
 

Donald Trump

1        
 

Lindsey Graham

1        
 

John Kasich

1        
 

Bobby Jindal

-        
 

Rick Santorum

-        
 

George Pataki

-        
 

None (vol.)

1        
 

Unsure

1        

 

Monmouth University Poll. June 11-14, 2015. N=351 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 5.2.

             

"I know the 2016 election is far away, but who would you support for the Republican nomination for president if the candidates were [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    6/11-14/15 3/30 -
4/2/15
     
    % %      
 

Ben Carson

11 7      
 

Scott Walker

10 11      
 

Jeb Bush

9 13      
 

Marco Rubio

9 5      
 

Mike Huckabee

8 9      
 

Rand Paul

6 6      
 

Ted Cruz

5 11      
 

Chris Christie

4 5      
 

Rick Perry

4 5      
 

Rick Santorum

3 1      
 

Carly Fiorina

2 1      
 

Lindsey Graham

2 1      
 

Donald Trump

2 7      
 

Bobby Jindal

1 1      
 

John Kasich

1 1      
 

George Pataki

0 0      
 

Other (vol.)

0 1      
 

No one (vol.)

2 2      
 

Unsure

20 14      
 

John Bolton

n/a 0      

 

CNN/ORC Poll. May 29-31, 2015. N=483 Republicans and independents who lean Republican nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump or Scott Walker." Options rotated.
Note: Nov. 2014 results show second choice of respondents who initially supported Mitt Romney when his name was included in the list.

 
    5/29-31/15        
    %        
 

Marco Rubio

14        
 

Jeb Bush

13        
 

Mike Huckabee

10        
 

Scott Walker

10        
 

Ted Cruz

8        
 

Rand Paul

8        
 

Ben Carson

7        
 

Rick Perry

5        
 

Chris Christie

4        
 

George Pataki

3        
 

Donald Trump

3        
 

Rick Santorum

2        
 

Carly Fiorina

1        
 

Lindsey Graham

1        
 

Bobby Jindal

1        
 

John Kasich

1        
 

Someone else

5        
 

None/No one (vol.)

2        
 

Unsure

1        
 
    4/16-19/15 3/13-15/15 2/12-15/15 12/18-21/14 11/21-23/14
    % % % % %
 

Jeb Bush

17 16 14 23 14
 

Scott Walker

12 13 11 4 5
 

Rand Paul

11 12 10 6 8
 

Marco Rubio

11 7 5 5 3
 

Mike Huckabee

9 10 16 6 10
 

Ted Cruz

7 4 3 4 7
 

Ben Carson

4 9 8 7 11
 

Chris Christie

4 7 7 13 9
 

Rick Perry

3 4 3 4 5
 

Rick Santorum

3 1 3 2 2
 

Carly Fiorina

2 - 1 n/a n/a
 

Lindsey Graham

2 1 1 n/a n/a
 

Bobby Jindal

2 1 1 4 1
 

John Kasich

2 2 2 3 3
 

George Pataki

- n/a n/a n/a n/a
 

Someone else

5 4 4 5 6
 

None/No one (vol.)

5 6 7 5 2
 

Unsure

2 3 3 3 4
 

Paul Ryan

n/a n/a n/a 5 9
 

Mike Pence

n/a n/a n/a - 1
 

Rob Portman

n/a n/a n/a - -

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. May 28-31, 2015. N=836 registered voters nationwide. Results below are among registered voters who are Republicans or lean Republican.

             

"I'm going to read a list of possible candidates for the Republican nomination for president in 2016. If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you vote: [see below]?" If unsure: "Which candidate would you lean toward?"

 
    5/28-31/15 3/26-29/15      
    % %      
 

Rand Paul

11 8      
 

Scott Walker

11 13      
 

Jeb Bush

10 21      
 

Marco Rubio

10 8      
 

Mike Huckabee

9 8      
 

Ben Carson

8 6      
 

Ted Cruz

8 12      
 

Chris Christie

6 7      
 

Rick Santorum

4 2      
 

Donald Trump

4 n/a      
 

John Kasich

3 1      
 

Carly Fiorina

2 1      
 

Rick Perry

2 1      
 

Lindsey Graham

1 1      
 

George Pataki

1 n/a      
 

Bobby Jindal

- 1      
 

Other (vol.)

- 1      
 

None of these (vol.)

2 3      
 

Would not vote (vol.)

1 1      
 

Unsure

5 4      

 

Quinnipiac University. May 19-26, 2015. N=679 registered voters nationwide who are Republican or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 3.8.

             

"If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump and Scott Walker, for whom would you vote?"

 
    5/19-26/15 4/16-21/15 2/26 -
3/2/15
   
    % % %    
 

Jeb Bush

10 13 16    
 

Ben Carson

10 3 7    
 

Mike Huckabee

10 7 8    
 

Marco Rubio

10 15 5    
 

Scott Walker

10 11 18    
 

Rand Paul

7 8 6    
 

Ted Cruz

6 9 6    
 

Donald Trump

5 n/a n/a    
 

Chris Christie

4 7 8    
 

Carly Fiorina

2 1 n/a    
 

John Kasich

2 2 1    
 

Lindsey Graham

1 2 1    
 

Bobby Jindal

1 1 2    
 

Rick Perry

1 3 1    
 

George Pataki

- n/a n/a    
 

Rick Santorum

- 2 2    
 

Someone else (vol.)

- 1 1    
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1 1 2    
 

Unsure/No answer

20 14 17    

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). April 26-30, 2015. N=251 Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 6.2.

             

"And, still thinking about people who might seek the Republican nomination for president in 2016. If the next Republican primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates would you favor?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Jeb Bush

23        
 

Marco Rubio

18        
 

Scott Walker

14        
 

Rand Paul

11        
 

Ted Cruz

11        
 

Ben Carson

7        
 

Chris Christie

5        
 

Mike Huckabee

5        
 

Rick Perry

2        
 

Carly Fiorina

1        
 

Unsure

3        

 

Quinnipiac University. April 16-21, 2015. N=567 registered voters nationwide who are Republican or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 4.1.

             

"If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Scott Walker, for whom would you vote?"

 
    4/16-21/15 2/26 -
3/2/15
     
    % %      
 

Marco Rubio

15 5      
 

Jeb Bush

13 16      
 

Scott Walker

11 18      
 

Ted Cruz

9 6      
 

Rand Paul

8 6      
 

Chris Christie

7 8      
 

Mike Huckabee

7 8      
 

Ben Carson

3 7      
 

Rick Perry

3 1      
 

Lindsey Graham

2 1      
 

John Kasich

2 1      
 

Rick Santorum

2 2      
 

Carly Fiorina

1 n/a      
 

Bobby Jindal

1 2      
 

Someone else (vol.)

1 1      
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1 2      
 

Unsure/No answer

14 17      
             
 

Without Bush (Bush supporters allocated based on 2nd choice):

 
    4/16-21/15 2/26 -
3/2/15
     
    % %      
 

Marco Rubio

18 8      
 

Scott Walker

12 20      
 

Ted Cruz

9 6      
 

Chris Christie

8 10      
 

Mike Huckabee

8 9      
 

Rand Paul

8 6      
 

Ben Carson

4 8      
 

Rick Perry

3 1      
 

Rick Santorum

3 2      
 

Carly Fiorina

2 n/a      
 

Lindsey Graham

2 1      
 

Bobby Jindal

2 3      
 

John Kasich

2 1      
 

Someone else (vol.)

1 2      
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1 2      
 

Unsure/No answer

15 20      

 

Bloomberg Politics Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. April 6-8, 2015. N=655 Republicans and independents nationwide.

             

"I'm going to name some of the people considering running for the Republican nomination for president, including some names I've already mentioned. For each, please tell me if this is someone you would seriously consider supporting, might consider, or would never consider supporting this person. ..."

 
    Would
seriously
consider
Might
consider
Would
never
consider
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

"John Bolton, former U.S. ambassador to the U.N."

 

4/6-8/15

5 35 33 27  
             
 

"Jeb Bush"

 

4/6-8/15

14 38 42 6  
             
 

"Ben Carson, retired neurosurgeon from Maryland"

 

4/6-8/15

15 31 30 24  
             
 

"Chris Christie"

 

4/6-8/15

8 40 42 10  
             
 

"Ted Cruz"

 

4/6-8/15

15 35 36 14  
             
 

"Carly Fiorina, former CEO of Hewlett-Packard and candidate for U.S. Senate in California"

 

4/6-8/15

7 31 35 27  
             
 

"Lindsey Graham, U.S. senator from South Carolina"

 

4/6-8/15

4 31 44 21  
             
 

"Mike Huckabee, former governor of Arkansas"

 

4/6-8/15

15 40 36 9  
             
 

"Bobby Jindal, governor of Louisiana"

 

4/6-8/15

10 34 31 25  
             
 

"John Kasich, governor of Ohio"

 

4/6-8/15

6 35 27 32  
             
 

"George Pataki, former governor of New York"

 

4/6-8/15

3 29 45 23  
             
 

"Rand Paul"

 

4/6-8/15

17 41 33 9  
             
 

"Mike Pence, governor of Indiana"

 

4/6-8/15

3 29 36 32  
             
 

"Rick Perry, former governor of Texas"

 

4/6-8/15

13 41 37 9  
             
 

"Marco Rubio"

 

4/6-8/15

12 41 28 19  
             
 

"Rick Santorum, former U.S. senator from Pennsylvania"

 

4/6-8/15

7 37 38 18  
             
 

"Donald Trump, a businessman from New York"

 

4/6-8/15

9 26 62 3  
             
 

"Scott Walker"

 

4/6-8/15

16 33 26 25  

 

Monmouth University Poll. March 30-April 2, 2015. N=355 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 5.2.

             

"I know the 2016 election is far away, but who would you support for the Republican nomination for president if the candidates were [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Jeb Bush

13        
 

Ted Cruz

11        
 

Scott Walker

11        
 

Mike Huckabee

9        
 

Ben Carson

7        
 

Donald Trump

7        
 

Rand Paul

6        
 

Chris Christie

5        
 

Rick Perry

5        
 

Marco Rubio

5        
 

Carly Fiorina

1        
 

Lindsey Graham

1        
 

Bobby Jindal

1        
 

John Kasich

1        
 

Rick Santorum

1        
 

John Bolton

0        
 

George Pataki

0        
 

Other (vol.)

1        
 

No one (vol.)

2        
 

Unsure

14        
             

"If the only two candidates for the Republican nomination were [see below], who would you choose?" N=175 (Form A), margin of error ± 7.4

 
    Scott
Walker
Jeb Bush Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

3/30 - 4/2/15

46 42 5 7  
             
    Scott
Walker
Chris
Christie
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

3/30 - 4/2/15

58 26 6 10  
             
    Jeb Bush Chris
Christie
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

3/30 - 4/2/15

54 28 12 6  
             

"If the only two candidates for the Republican nomination were [see below], who would you choose?" N=180 (Form B), margin of error ± 7.3

 
    Ted Cruz Scott
Walker
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

3/30 - 4/2/15

41 36 11 12  
             
    Jeb Bush Ted Cruz Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

3/30 - 4/2/15

49 40 6 5  
             
    Ted Cruz Chris
Christie
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

3/30 - 4/2/15

55 30 9 6  

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). March 29-31, 2015. N=379 likely Republican primary voters nationwide.

             

"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2016 Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican presidential nominee. [See below.]"

 
    %        
 

Scott Walker

15        
 

Jeb Bush

12        
 

Ben Carson

11        
 

Ted Cruz

10        
 

Mike Huckabee

10        
 

Rand Paul

9        
 

Marco Rubio

8        
 

Chris Christie

4        
 

Rick Perry

3        
 

Donald Trump

3        
 

Bobby Jindal

2        
 

Rick Santorum

2        
 

Carly Fiorina

1        
 

John Kasich

1        
 

George Pataki

1        
 

Lindsey Graham

-        
 

Other (vol.)

1        
 

None of the above (vol.)

4        
 

Unsure

6        
             
 

Without Bush (Bush supporters allocated based on 2nd choice):

 
    %        
 

Scott Walker

16        
 

Ben Carson

12        
 

Ted Cruz

10        
 

Mike Huckabee

10        
 

Rand Paul

10        
 

Marco Rubio

9        
 

Chris Christie

7        
 

Rick Perry

3        
 

Donald Trump

3        
 

Bobby Jindal

2        
 

Rick Santorum

2        
 

Carly Fiorina

2        
 

John Kasich

1        
 

George Pataki

1        
 

Lindsey Graham

-        
 

Other (vol.)

1        
 

None of the above (vol.)

4        
 

Unsure

6        
             
 

Without Walker (Walker supporters allocated based on 2nd choice):

 
    %        
 

Jeb Bush

13        
 

Ben Carson

13        
 

Ted Cruz

11        
 

Mike Huckabee

10        
 

Rand Paul

10        
 

Marco Rubio

9        
 

Chris Christie

5        
 

Rick Perry

3        
 

Donald Trump

3        
 

Bobby Jindal

3        
 

Rick Santorum

2        
 

Carly Fiorina

2        
 

John Kasich

1        
 

George Pataki

1        
 

Lindsey Graham

-        
 

Other (vol.)

1        
 

None of the above (vol.)

5        
 

Unsure

7        

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). March 1-5, 2015. N=229 Republican presidential primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 6.5.

             

"Next, I'm going to mention a number of people who might seek the Republican nomination for president in 2016. For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for the Republican nomination for president in 2016. If you don't know the name, please just say so. ..."

 
    Yes, could
support
No, could
not support
Don't know
the name
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

"Marco Rubio"

 

3/1-5/15

56 26 14 4  
             
 

"Scott Walker"

 

3/1-5/15

53 17 27 3  
             
 

"Mike Huckabee"

 

3/1-5/15

52 40 3 5  
             
 

"Jeb Bush"

 

3/1-5/15

49 42 4 5  
             
 

"Rand Paul"

 

3/1-5/15

49 40 8 3  
             
 

"Rick Perry"

 

3/1-5/15

45 40 9 5  
             
 

"Ben Carson"

 

3/1-5/15

41 18 38 3  
             
 

"Ted Cruz"

 

3/1-5/15

40 38 18 4  
             
 

"Rick Santorum"

 

3/1-5/15

40 40 16 4  
             
 

"Bobby Jindal"

 

3/1-5/15

36 25 36 3  
             
 

"Chris Christie"

 

3/1-5/15

32 57 7 4  
             
 

"Donald Trump"

 

3/1-5/15

23 74 1 2  
             
 

"Lindsey Graham"

 

3/1-5/15

20 51 24 5  
             
 

"Carly Fiorina"

 

3/1-5/15

18 25 54 3  

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. March 1-4, 2015. N=426 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 4.7.

             

Republican Presidential Preference, including those who are leaning toward a candidate:

 
    %        
 

Jeb Bush

19        
 

Scott Walker

18        
 

Mike Huckabee

10        
 

Ben Carson

9        
 

Rand Paul

7        
 

Chris Christie

6        
 

Marco Rubio

5        
 

Ted Cruz

4        
 

Rick Perry

3        
 

Rick Santorum

2        
 

Carly Fiorina

2        
 

Lindsey Graham

1        
 

Unsure

13        

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Jan. 25-27, 2015. N=394 Republican registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2016 Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican presidential nominee. [See below.]"

 
    1/25-27/15 12/7-9/14      
    % %      
 

Mitt Romney

21 19      
 

Mike Huckabee

11 8      
 

Rand Paul

11 8      
 

Jeb Bush

10 10      
 

Ben Carson

9 6      
 

Scott Walker

8 7      
 

Marco Rubio

5 4      
 

Chris Christie

4 8      
 

Ted Cruz

4 5      
 

Rick Perry

4 2      
 

Bobby Jindal

2 1      
 

John Kasich

1 2      
 

Rick Santorum

1 1      
 

Lindsey Graham

1 n/a      
 

Other (vol.)

1 -      
 

None of the above (vol.)

4 2      
 

Unsure

5 8      
 

Paul Ryan

n/a 6      
             
 

Without Romney (Romney supporters allocated based on 2nd choice):

 
    %        
 

Jeb Bush

15        
 

Rand Paul

13        
 

Mike Huckabee

13        
 

Ben Carson

10        
 

Scott Walker

9        
 

Chris Christie

6        
 

Marco Rubio

5        
 

Ted Cruz

4        
 

Rick Perry

4        
 

Bobby Jindal

3        
 

John Kasich

2        
 

Rick Santorum

2        
 

Lindsey Graham

1        
 

Other (vol.)

1        
 

None of the above (vol.)

6        
 

Unsure

6        

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Dec. 11-14, 2014. N=410 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 5.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of possible candidates for the Republican nomination for president in 2016. If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you vote: [see below]?" If unsure: "Which candidate would you lean toward?"

 
    12/11-14/14 10/9-12/14      
    % %      
 

Mitt Romney

21 21      
 

Jeb Bush

10 10      
 

Rand Paul

9 9      
 

Paul Ryan

8 5      
 

Ben Carson

7 6      
 

Chris Christie

6 8      
 

Ted Cruz

6 3      
 

Mike Huckabee

6 10      
 

Scott Walker

5 1      
 

Rick Perry

4 5      
 

Marco Rubio

4 6      
 

Rick Santorum

3 4      
 

Bobby Jindal

2 1      
 

John Kasich

2 1      
 

Other (vol.)

- 1      
 

None of these (vol.)

2 2      
 

Unsure

6 6      
             

"I'm going to read a list of possible candidates for the Republican nomination for president in 2016. If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you vote: [see below]?" If unsure: "Which candidate would you lean toward?"
Asked of Romney supporters: "If Romney does not run for president, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Which candidate would you lean toward?" Combined responses, excluding Romney.

 
    12/11-14/14 10/9-12/14      
    % %      
 

Jeb Bush

14 13      
 

Paul Ryan

11 9      
 

Rand Paul

10 12      
 

Ben Carson

8 7      
 

Ted Cruz

8 4      
 

Chris Christie

7 8      
 

Mike Huckabee

7 12      
 

Marco Rubio

7 8      
 

Scott Walker

7 2      
 

Rick Perry

5 6      
 

Bobby Jindal

3 2      
 

Rick Santorum

3 4      
 

John Kasich

2 2      
 

Other (vol.)

- 1      
 

None of these (vol.)

2 3      
 

Unsure

6 9      

 

Monmouth University Poll. Dec. 10-14, 2014. N=399 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 4.9.

             

"I know the 2016 election is far away, but who would you like to see as the Republican nominee for president?" Open-ended

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

8        
 

Ben Carson

7        
 

Chris Christie

7        
 

Jeb Bush

6        
 

Ted Cruz

5        
 

Rand Paul

5        
 

Scott Walker

3        
 

Mike Huckabee

3        
 

Bobby Jindal

2        
 

Rick Perry

2        
 

Marco Rubio

2        
 

Rick Santorum

1        
 

Other

4        
 

No one

8        
 

Unsure

37        

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Dec. 3-9, 2014. N=360 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 5.2.

             

"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

19        
 

Jeb Bush

14        
 

Chris Christie

9        
 

Mike Huckabee

9        
 

Ben Carson

8        
 

Rand Paul

5        
 

Ted Cruz

4        
 

Rick Perry

4        
 

Paul Ryan

3        
 

Rick Santorum

3        
 

Marco Rubio

3        
 

Scott Walker

3        
 

John Kasich

2        
 

Bobby Jindal

1        
 

Carly Fiorina

1        
 

Unsure

13        
             
 

Without Romney:

 
    %        
 

Jeb Bush

16        
 

Mike Huckabee

12        
 

Chris Christie

10        
 

Ben Carson

8        
 

Paul Ryan

7        
 

Rand Paul

6        
 

Ted Cruz

5        
 

Rick Perry

5        
 

Marco Rubio

3        
 

Scott Walker

3        
 

John Kasich

3        
 

Rick Santorum

3        
 

Bobby Jindal

1        
 

Carly Fiorina

1        
 

Unsure

18        

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Nov. 21-23, 2014. N=510 Republicans and independents who lean Republican nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Mike Pence, Rick Perry, Rob Portman, Mitt Romney, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Rick Santorum, or Scott Walker." Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

20        
 

Ben Carson

10        
 

Jeb Bush

9        
 

Chris Christie

8        
 

Mike Huckabee

7        
 

Rand Paul

6        
 

Paul Ryan

6        
 

Ted Cruz

5        
 

Scott Walker

5        
 

Rick Perry

4        
 

Marco Rubio

3        
 

John Kasich

2        
 

Rick Santorum

2        
 

Bobby Jindal

1        
 

Mike Pence

1        
 

Rob Portman

-        
 

Someone else

6        
 

None/No one (vol.)

2        
 

Unsure/No answer

3        

 

Quinnipiac University. Nov. 18-23, 2014. N=707 registered voters nationwide who are Republican or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 3.7.

             

"If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?"

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

19        
 

Jeb Bush

11        
 

Ben Carson

8        
 

Chris Christie

8        
 

Rand Paul

6        
 

Ted Cruz

5        
 

Mike Huckabee

5        
 

Paul Ryan

5        
 

Scott Walker

5        
 

Bobby Jindal

2        
 

John Kasich

2        
 

Rick Perry

2        
 

Marco Rubio

2        
 

Rick Santorum

1        
 

Rob Portman

-        
 

Someone else (vol.)

1        
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1        
 

Unsure/No answer

16        
             
 

Without Romney (Romney supporters allocated based on 2nd choice):

 
    %        
 

Jeb Bush

14        
 

Chris Christie

11        
 

Ben Carson

9        
 

Rand Paul

8        
 

Mike Huckabee

7        
 

Paul Ryan

7        
 

Scott Walker

6        
 

Ted Cruz

5        
 

Bobby Jindal

3        
 

Rick Perry

3        
 

Marco Rubio

3        
 

John Kasich

2        
 

Rick Santorum

2        
 

Rob Portman

1        
 

Someone else (vol.)

1        
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1        
 

Unsure/No answer

19        

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Sept. 24-29, 2014. N=376 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 5.1.

             

"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

 
    9/24-29/14 8/4-7/14      
    % %      
 

Jeb Bush

15 13      
 

Rand Paul

13 7      
 

Paul Ryan

13 9      
 

Chris Christie

12 13      
 

Rick Perry

7 7      
 

Marco Rubio

6 9      
 

Ted Cruz

4 10      
 

Bobby Jindal

4 2      
 

Rick Santorum

3 3      
 

Scott Walker

3 4      
 

Unsure

21 23      

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). July 20-22, 2014. N=358 Republican registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2016 Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican presidential nominee. [See below.]"

 
    7/20-22/14 4/13-15/14 12/14-16/13    
    % % %    
 

Jeb Bush

12 14 12    
 

Rick Perry

12 5 3    
 

Rand Paul

11 14 11    
 

Chris Christie

10 15 16    
 

Paul Ryan

9 9 12    
 

Marco Rubio

9 8 8    
 

Ted Cruz

9 7 12    
 

Scott Walker

4 5 6    
 

Bobby Jindal

4 2 n/a    
 

Rick Santorum

3 5 3    
 

John Kasich

2 n/a n/a    
 

Other (vol.)

2 1 1    
 

None of the above (vol.)

4 6 5    
 

Unsure

6 9 11    

 

CNN/ORC Poll. July 18-20, 2014. N=470 Republicans and independents who lean Republican nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, Texas Senator Ted Cruz, Kentucky Senator Rand Paul, Texas Governor Rick Perry, Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan, Florida Senator Marco Rubio, former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee or Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker." Options rotated

 
    7/18-20/14 5/29 -
6/1/14
     
    % %      
 

Chris Christie

13 8      
 

Rand Paul

12 14      
 

Mike Huckabee

12 11      
 

Rick Perry

11 6      
 

Paul Ryan

11 10      
 

Jeb Bush

8 12      
 

Ted Cruz

8 9      
 

Marco Rubio

6 8      
 

Scott Walker

5 5      
 

Rick Santorum

3 4      
 

Someone else (vol.)

6 6      
 

None/No one (vol.)

2 2      
 

Unsure

3 5      
             
    5/2-4/14 3/7-9/14 1/31 -
2/2/14
11/18-20/13 9/6-8/13
    % % % % %
 

Jeb Bush

13 9 10 6 10
 

Rand Paul

13 16 13 13 13
 

Paul Ryan

12 15 9 11 16
 

Mike Huckabee

10 10 14 n/a n/a
 

Chris Christie

9 8 10 24 17
 

Rick Perry

8 11 8 7 6
 

Ted Cruz

7 8 8 10 7
 

Scott Walker

7 n/a n/a n/a n/a
 

Marco Rubio

6 5 9 9 9
 

Rick Santorum

2 3 4 6 5
 

Someone else (vol.)

4 6 8 6 6
 

None/No one (vol.)

4 4 3 2 4
 

Unsure

7 5 4 6 6

 

Quinnipiac University. June 24-30, 2014. N=620 registered voters nationwide who are Republican or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 3.9.

             

"If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?"

 
    6/24-30/14 1/15-19/14 12/3-9/13 9/23-29/13 3/26 -
4/1/13
    % % % % %
 

Rand Paul

11 13 14 17 15
 

Jeb Bush

10 11 11 11 10
 

Chris Christie

10 12 17 13 14
 

Mike Huckabee

10 n/a n/a n/a n/a
 

Ted Cruz

8 9 13 10 n/a
 

Paul Ryan

8 13 9 10 17
 

Scott Walker

8 6 5 4 2
 

Marco Rubio

6 8 7 12 19
 

Rick Perry

3 n/a n/a n/a n/a
 

John Kasich

2 2 2 n/a n/a
 

Rick Santorum

2 n/a n/a n/a n/a
 

Bobby Jindal

1 3 3 3 3
 

Someone else (vol.)

- - 2 - 1
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

2 1 1 1 -
 

Unsure/No answer

20 22 17 19 18
 

Bob McDonnell

n/a n/a n/a n/a 1

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. April 24-27, 2014. N=424 Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of possible candidates for the Republican nomination for president in 2016. After you hear the list, please tell me, if the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you vote: [see below]?" If unsure: "Which candidate would you lean toward?"

 
    %        
 

Rand Paul

15        
 

Mike Huckabee

14        
 

Paul Ryan

12        
 

Jeb Bush

12        
 

Chris Christie

9        
 

Ted Cruz

7        
 

Marco Rubio

6        
 

Rick Perry

5        
 

Scott Walker

5        
 

Bobby Jindal

2        
 

John Kasich

1        
 

Other (vol.)

2        
 

None of these (vol.)

4        
 

Unsure

5        

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. April 7-10, 2014. N=416 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 4.8.

             

"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

 
    4/7-10/14 2/4-9/14 12/3-5/13 7/15-18/13  
    % % % %  
 

Mike Huckabee

13 13 n/a n/a  
 

Jeb Bush

13 8 10 10  
 

Rand Paul

12 9 12 9  
 

Chris Christie

12 13 18 15  
 

Paul Ryan

12 9 11 13  
 

Marco Rubio

7 12 7 12  
 

Scott Walker

5 7 4 2  
 

Ted Cruz

4 5 10 7  
 

Bobby Jindal

4 n/a n/a 1  
 

Rick Santorum

3 2 4 2  
 

Rick Perry

3 2 3 4  
 

John Kasich

- 1 n/a n/a  
 

Unsure

14 12 13 25  
 

Sarah Palin

n/a 8 8 n/a  
 

Susana Martinez

n/a n/a n/a 1  

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Feb. 4-9, 2014. N=403 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 4.9.

             

"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

 
    %        
 

Marco Rubio

15        
 

Mike Huckabee

15        
 

Paul Ryan

13        
 

Jeb Bush

12        
 

Rand Paul

11        
 

Scott Walker

8        
 

Ted Cruz

6        
 

Rick Santorum

4        
 

Rick Perry

3        
 

John Kasich

1        
 

Unsure

14        

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Jan. 20-23, 2014. N=1,003 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters who are Republican or lean Republican.

             

"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state was being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Which candidate would you lean toward?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Paul Ryan

18        
 

Jeb Bush

18        
 

Chris Christie

14        
 

Ted Cruz

12        
 

Rand Paul

11        
 

Marco Rubio

10        
 

Other (vol.)

2        
 

None of these (vol.)

4        
 

Would not vote (vol.)

1        
 

Unsure

9        

 

NBC News/Marist Poll. Jan. 12-14, 2014. N=385 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 5.

             

"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

 
    %        
 

Chris Christie

16        
 

Paul Ryan

12        
 

Rand Paul

9        
 

Jeb Bush

8        
 

Marco Rubio

7        
 

Rick Perry

6        
 

Rick Santorum

5        
 

Ted Cruz

5        
 

Scott Walker

4        
 

Bobby Jindal

3        
 

Unsure

25        
             
 

Without Christie:

 
    %        
 

Paul Ryan

15        
 

Rand Paul

11        
 

Jeb Bush

11        
 

Marco Rubio

10        
 

Rick Santorum

7        
 

Ted Cruz

6        
 

Rick Perry

6        
 

Scott Walker

5        
 

Bobby Jindal

4        
 

Unsure

26        

 

NBC News Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Nov. 7-10, 2013. N=394 Republicans and independents who lean Republican nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.8.

             

"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary were held today and Chris Christie were running, do you think you would vote for Chris Christie or for another Republican candidate?"

 
    Chris
Christie
Another
candidate
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

11/7-10/13

32 31 1 35 1

 

Fairleigh Dickinson University’s PublicMind. April 22-28, 2013. N=323 Republicans and voters who lean Republican nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.5.

             

"I know it's early, but if the election for president were held today, which of the following people would you like to see as the Republican candidate: Chris Christie, Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, or someone else?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Marco Rubio

18        
 

Jeb Bush

16        
 

Chris Christie

14        
 

Rick Santorum

9        
 

Other

21        
 

Unsure

21        
 

Refused

1        

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Dec. 17-18, 2012. N=290 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 6.

             

"I'm going to read you the names of a few people who might run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2016. For each one, please tell me whether you would be very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not likely at all to support them if they decide to run for the Republican nomination four years from now. . . ."

 
    Very
likely
Somewhat
likely
Not very
likely
Not likely
at all
Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan"

 

12/17-18/12

32 43 12 10 2
             
 

"Florida Senator Marco Rubio"

 

12/17-18/12

28 30 17 16 9
             
 

"New Jersey Governor Chris Christie"

 

12/17-18/12

23 36 21 16 4
             
 

"Kentucky Senator Rand Paul"

 

12/17-18/12

19 29 25 22 5
             
 

"Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush"

 

12/17-18/12

13 38 23 24 2
             
 

"Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum"

 

12/17-18/12

10 38 28 21 3

 


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