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       White House 2016: Republican Nomination            See also: Rating the contenders


 
 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Dec. 11-14, 2014. N=410 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 5.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of possible candidates for the Republican nomination for president in 2016. If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you vote: [see below]?" If unsure: "Which candidate would you lean toward?"

 
    12/11-14/14 10/9-12/14      
    % %      
 

Mitt Romney

21 21      
 

Jeb Bush

10 10      
 

Rand Paul

9 9      
 

Paul Ryan

8 5      
 

Ben Carson

7 6      
 

Chris Christie

6 8      
 

Ted Cruz

6 3      
 

Mike Huckabee

6 10      
 

Scott Walker

5 1      
 

Rick Perry

4 5      
 

Marco Rubio

4 6      
 

Rick Santorum

3 4      
 

Bobby Jindal

2 1      
 

John Kasich

2 1      
 

Other (vol.)

- 1      
 

None of these (vol.)

2 2      
 

Unsure

6 6      
             

"I'm going to read a list of possible candidates for the Republican nomination for president in 2016. If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you vote: [see below]?" If unsure: "Which candidate would you lean toward?"
Asked of Romney supporters: "If Romney does not run for president, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Which candidate would you lean toward?" Combined responses, excluding Romney.

 
    12/11-14/14 10/9-12/14      
    % %      
 

Jeb Bush

14 13      
 

Paul Ryan

11 9      
 

Rand Paul

10 12      
 

Ben Carson

8 7      
 

Ted Cruz

8 4      
 

Chris Christie

7 8      
 

Mike Huckabee

7 12      
 

Marco Rubio

7 8      
 

Scott Walker

7 2      
 

Rick Perry

5 6      
 

Bobby Jindal

3 2      
 

Rick Santorum

3 4      
 

John Kasich

2 2      
 

Other (vol.)

- 1      
 

None of these (vol.)

2 3      
 

Unsure

6 9      

 

Monmouth University Poll. Dec. 10-14, 2014. N=399 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 4.9.

             

"I know the 2016 election is far away, but who would you like to see as the Republican nominee for president?" Open-ended

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

8        
 

Ben Carson

7        
 

Chris Christie

7        
 

Jeb Bush

6        
 

Ted Cruz

5        
 

Rand Paul

5        
 

Scott Walker

3        
 

Mike Huckabee

3        
 

Bobby Jindal

2        
 

Rick Perry

2        
 

Marco Rubio

2        
 

Rick Santorum

1        
 

Other

4        
 

No one

8        
 

Unsure

37        

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Dec. 7-9, 2014. N=392 Republican registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2016 Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican presidential nominee. [See below.]"

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

19        
 

Jeb Bush

10        
 

Chris Christie

8        
 

Rand Paul

8        
 

Mike Huckabee

8        
 

Scott Walker

7        
 

Ben Carson

6        
 

Paul Ryan

6        
 

Ted Cruz

5        
 

Marco Rubio

4        
 

John Kasich

2        
 

Rick Perry

2        
 

Bobby Jindal

1        
 

Rick Santorum

1        
 

None of the above (vol.)

2        
 

Unsure

8        

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Dec. 3-9, 2014. N=360 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 5.2.

             

"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

19        
 

Jeb Bush

14        
 

Chris Christie

9        
 

Mike Huckabee

9        
 

Ben Carson

8        
 

Rand Paul

5        
 

Ted Cruz

4        
 

Rick Perry

4        
 

Paul Ryan

3        
 

Rick Santorum

3        
 

Marco Rubio

3        
 

Scott Walker

3        
 

John Kasich

2        
 

Bobby Jindal

1        
 

Carly Fiorina

1        
 

Unsure

13        
             
 

Without Romney:

 
    %        
 

Jeb Bush

16        
 

Mike Huckabee

12        
 

Chris Christie

10        
 

Ben Carson

8        
 

Paul Ryan

7        
 

Rand Paul

6        
 

Ted Cruz

5        
 

Rick Perry

5        
 

Marco Rubio

3        
 

Scott Walker

3        
 

John Kasich

3        
 

Rick Santorum

3        
 

Bobby Jindal

1        
 

Carly Fiorina

1        
 

Unsure

18        

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Nov. 21-23, 2014. N=510 Republicans and independents who lean Republican nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Mike Pence, Rick Perry, Rob Portman, Mitt Romney, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Rick Santorum, or Scott Walker." Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

20        
 

Ben Carson

10        
 

Jeb Bush

9        
 

Chris Christie

8        
 

Mike Huckabee

7        
 

Rand Paul

6        
 

Paul Ryan

6        
 

Ted Cruz

5        
 

Scott Walker

5        
 

Rick Perry

4        
 

Marco Rubio

3        
 

John Kasich

2        
 

Rick Santorum

2        
 

Bobby Jindal

1        
 

Mike Pence

1        
 

Rob Portman

-        
 

Someone else

6        
 

None/No one (vol.)

2        
 

Unsure/No answer

3        
             
 

Without Romney (Romney supporters allocated based on 2nd choice):

 
    %        
 

Jeb Bush

14        
 

Ben Carson

11        
 

Mike Huckabee

10        
 

Chris Christie

9        
 

Paul Ryan

9        
 

Rand Paul

8        
 

Ted Cruz

7        
 

Rick Perry

5        
 

Scott Walker

5        
 

John Kasich

3        
 

Marco Rubio

3        
 

Rick Santorum

2        
 

Bobby Jindal

1        
 

Mike Pence

1        
 

Rob Portman

-        
 

Someone else

6        
 

None/No one (vol.)

2        
 

Unsure/No answer

4        

 

Quinnipiac University. Nov. 18-23, 2014. N=707 registered voters nationwide who are Republican or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 3.7.

             

"If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?"

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

19        
 

Jeb Bush

11        
 

Ben Carson

8        
 

Chris Christie

8        
 

Rand Paul

6        
 

Ted Cruz

5        
 

Mike Huckabee

5        
 

Paul Ryan

5        
 

Scott Walker

5        
 

Bobby Jindal

2        
 

John Kasich

2        
 

Rick Perry

2        
 

Marco Rubio

2        
 

Rick Santorum

1        
 

Rob Portman

-        
 

Someone else (vol.)

1        
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1        
 

Unsure/No answer

16        
             
 

Without Romney (Romney supporters allocated based on 2nd choice):

 
    %        
 

Jeb Bush

14        
 

Chris Christie

11        
 

Ben Carson

9        
 

Rand Paul

8        
 

Mike Huckabee

7        
 

Paul Ryan

7        
 

Scott Walker

6        
 

Ted Cruz

5        
 

Bobby Jindal

3        
 

Rick Perry

3        
 

Marco Rubio

3        
 

John Kasich

2        
 

Rick Santorum

2        
 

Rob Portman

1        
 

Someone else (vol.)

1        
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1        
 

Unsure/No answer

19        

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Sept. 24-29, 2014. N=376 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 5.1.

             

"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

 
    9/24-29/14 8/4-7/14      
    % %      
 

Jeb Bush

15 13      
 

Rand Paul

13 7      
 

Paul Ryan

13 9      
 

Chris Christie

12 13      
 

Rick Perry

7 7      
 

Marco Rubio

6 9      
 

Ted Cruz

4 10      
 

Bobby Jindal

4 2      
 

Rick Santorum

3 3      
 

Scott Walker

3 4      
 

Unsure

21 23      

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). July 20-22, 2014. N=358 Republican registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2016 Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican presidential nominee. [See below.]"

 
    7/20-22/14 4/13-15/14 12/14-16/13    
    % % %    
 

Jeb Bush

12 14 12    
 

Rick Perry

12 5 3    
 

Rand Paul

11 14 11    
 

Chris Christie

10 15 16    
 

Paul Ryan

9 9 12    
 

Marco Rubio

9 8 8    
 

Ted Cruz

9 7 12    
 

Scott Walker

4 5 6    
 

Bobby Jindal

4 2 n/a    
 

Rick Santorum

3 5 3    
 

John Kasich

2 n/a n/a    
 

Other (vol.)

2 1 1    
 

None of the above (vol.)

4 6 5    
 

Unsure

6 9 11    

 

CNN/ORC Poll. July 18-20, 2014. N=470 Republicans and independents who lean Republican nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, Texas Senator Ted Cruz, Kentucky Senator Rand Paul, Texas Governor Rick Perry, Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan, Florida Senator Marco Rubio, former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee or Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker." Options rotated

 
    7/18-20/14 5/29 -
6/1/14
     
    % %      
 

Chris Christie

13 8      
 

Rand Paul

12 14      
 

Mike Huckabee

12 11      
 

Rick Perry

11 6      
 

Paul Ryan

11 10      
 

Jeb Bush

8 12      
 

Ted Cruz

8 9      
 

Marco Rubio

6 8      
 

Scott Walker

5 5      
 

Rick Santorum

3 4      
 

Someone else (vol.)

6 6      
 

None/No one (vol.)

2 2      
 

Unsure

3 5      
             
    5/2-4/14 3/7-9/14 1/31 -
2/2/14
11/18-20/13 9/6-8/13
    % % % % %
 

Jeb Bush

13 9 10 6 10
 

Rand Paul

13 16 13 13 13
 

Paul Ryan

12 15 9 11 16
 

Mike Huckabee

10 10 14 n/a n/a
 

Chris Christie

9 8 10 24 17
 

Rick Perry

8 11 8 7 6
 

Ted Cruz

7 8 8 10 7
 

Scott Walker

7 n/a n/a n/a n/a
 

Marco Rubio

6 5 9 9 9
 

Rick Santorum

2 3 4 6 5
 

Someone else (vol.)

4 6 8 6 6
 

None/No one (vol.)

4 4 3 2 4
 

Unsure

7 5 4 6 6

 

Quinnipiac University. June 24-30, 2014. N=620 registered voters nationwide who are Republican or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 3.9.

             

"If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?"

 
    6/24-30/14 1/15-19/14 12/3-9/13 9/23-29/13 3/26 -
4/1/13
    % % % % %
 

Rand Paul

11 13 14 17 15
 

Jeb Bush

10 11 11 11 10
 

Chris Christie

10 12 17 13 14
 

Mike Huckabee

10 n/a n/a n/a n/a
 

Ted Cruz

8 9 13 10 n/a
 

Paul Ryan

8 13 9 10 17
 

Scott Walker

8 6 5 4 2
 

Marco Rubio

6 8 7 12 19
 

Rick Perry

3 n/a n/a n/a n/a
 

John Kasich

2 2 2 n/a n/a
 

Rick Santorum

2 n/a n/a n/a n/a
 

Bobby Jindal

1 3 3 3 3
 

Someone else (vol.)

- - 2 - 1
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

2 1 1 1 -
 

Unsure/No answer

20 22 17 19 18
 

Bob McDonnell

n/a n/a n/a n/a 1

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. April 24-27, 2014. N=424 Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of possible candidates for the Republican nomination for president in 2016. After you hear the list, please tell me, if the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you vote: [see below]?" If unsure: "Which candidate would you lean toward?"

 
    %        
 

Rand Paul

15        
 

Mike Huckabee

14        
 

Paul Ryan

12        
 

Jeb Bush

12        
 

Chris Christie

9        
 

Ted Cruz

7        
 

Marco Rubio

6        
 

Rick Perry

5        
 

Scott Walker

5        
 

Bobby Jindal

2        
 

John Kasich

1        
 

Other (vol.)

2        
 

None of these (vol.)

4        
 

Unsure

5        

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. April 7-10, 2014. N=416 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 4.8.

             

"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

 
    4/7-10/14 2/4-9/14 12/3-5/13 7/15-18/13  
    % % % %  
 

Mike Huckabee

13 13 n/a n/a  
 

Jeb Bush

13 8 10 10  
 

Rand Paul

12 9 12 9  
 

Chris Christie

12 13 18 15  
 

Paul Ryan

12 9 11 13  
 

Marco Rubio

7 12 7 12  
 

Scott Walker

5 7 4 2  
 

Ted Cruz

4 5 10 7  
 

Bobby Jindal

4 n/a n/a 1  
 

Rick Santorum

3 2 4 2  
 

Rick Perry

3 2 3 4  
 

John Kasich

- 1 n/a n/a  
 

Unsure

14 12 13 25  
 

Sarah Palin

n/a 8 8 n/a  
 

Susana Martinez

n/a n/a n/a 1  

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Feb. 4-9, 2014. N=403 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 4.9.

             

"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

 
    %        
 

Marco Rubio

15        
 

Mike Huckabee

15        
 

Paul Ryan

13        
 

Jeb Bush

12        
 

Rand Paul

11        
 

Scott Walker

8        
 

Ted Cruz

6        
 

Rick Santorum

4        
 

Rick Perry

3        
 

John Kasich

1        
 

Unsure

14        

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Jan. 20-23, 2014. N=1,003 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters who are Republican or lean Republican.

             

"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state was being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Which candidate would you lean toward?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Paul Ryan

18        
 

Jeb Bush

18        
 

Chris Christie

14        
 

Ted Cruz

12        
 

Rand Paul

11        
 

Marco Rubio

10        
 

Other (vol.)

2        
 

None of these (vol.)

4        
 

Would not vote (vol.)

1        
 

Unsure

9        

 

NBC News/Marist Poll. Jan. 12-14, 2014. N=385 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 5.

             

"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

 
    %        
 

Chris Christie

16        
 

Paul Ryan

12        
 

Rand Paul

9        
 

Jeb Bush

8        
 

Marco Rubio

7        
 

Rick Perry

6        
 

Rick Santorum

5        
 

Ted Cruz

5        
 

Scott Walker

4        
 

Bobby Jindal

3        
 

Unsure

25        
             
 

Without Christie:

 
    %        
 

Paul Ryan

15        
 

Rand Paul

11        
 

Jeb Bush

11        
 

Marco Rubio

10        
 

Rick Santorum

7        
 

Ted Cruz

6        
 

Rick Perry

6        
 

Scott Walker

5        
 

Bobby Jindal

4        
 

Unsure

26        

 

NBC News Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Nov. 7-10, 2013. N=394 Republicans and independents who lean Republican nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.8.

             

"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary were held today and Chris Christie were running, do you think you would vote for Chris Christie or for another Republican candidate?"

 
    Chris
Christie
Another
candidate
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

11/7-10/13

32 31 1 35 1

 

Fairleigh Dickinson University’s PublicMind. April 22-28, 2013. N=323 Republicans and voters who lean Republican nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.5.

             

"I know it's early, but if the election for president were held today, which of the following people would you like to see as the Republican candidate: Chris Christie, Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, or someone else?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Marco Rubio

18        
 

Jeb Bush

16        
 

Chris Christie

14        
 

Rick Santorum

9        
 

Other

21        
 

Unsure

21        
 

Refused

1        

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Dec. 17-18, 2012. N=290 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 6.

             

"I'm going to read you the names of a few people who might run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2016. For each one, please tell me whether you would be very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not likely at all to support them if they decide to run for the Republican nomination four years from now. . . ."

 
    Very
likely
Somewhat
likely
Not very
likely
Not likely
at all
Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan"

 

12/17-18/12

32 43 12 10 2
             
 

"Florida Senator Marco Rubio"

 

12/17-18/12

28 30 17 16 9
             
 

"New Jersey Governor Chris Christie"

 

12/17-18/12

23 36 21 16 4
             
 

"Kentucky Senator Rand Paul"

 

12/17-18/12

19 29 25 22 5
             
 

"Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush"

 

12/17-18/12

13 38 23 24 2
             
 

"Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum"

 

12/17-18/12

10 38 28 21 3

 


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