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       White House 2016: Republican Nomination            See also: Rating the contenders


 
 
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Quinnipiac University. Feb. 2-4, 2016. N=507 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 4.4.

             

"If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?"
9/15: Results include second choice preferences of Walker supporters.

 
    2/2-4/16 12/16-20/15 11/23-30/15 10/29 -
11/2/15
9/17-21/15
    % % % % %
 

Donald Trump

31 28 27 24 25
 

Ted Cruz

22 24 16 13 7
 

Marco Rubio

19 12 17 14 9
 

Ben Carson

6 10 16 23 17
 

Jeb Bush

3 4 5 4 10
 

Chris Christie

3 6 2 3 2
 

John Kasich

3 1 2 3 2
 

Carly Fiorina

2 2 3 3 12
 

Jim Gilmore

- - - - -
 

Someone else (vol.)

1 - - - -
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1 - 1 - -
 

Unsure/No answer

9 8 8 9 9
 

Rand Paul

n/a 2 2 2 1
 

Mike Huckabee

n/a 1 1 1 2
 

Rick Santorum

n/a 1 - 1 -
 

Lindsey Graham

n/a - - - -
 

George Pataki

n/a - - - 1
 

Bobby Jindal

n/a n/a n/a - -
 
    8/20-25/15 7/23-28/15 5/19-26/15 4/16-21/15 2/26 -
3/2/15
    % % % % %
 

Donald Trump

28 20 5 n/a n/a
 

Ben Carson

12 6 10 3 7
 

Jeb Bush

7 10 10 13 16
 

Ted Cruz

7 5 6 9 6
 

Marco Rubio

7 6 10 15 5
 

Scott Walker

6 13 10 11 18
 

John Kasich

5 5 2 2 1
 

Carly Fiorina

5 1 2 1 n/a
 

Chris Christie

4 3 4 7 8
 

Mike Huckabee

3 6 10 7 8
 

Rand Paul

2 6 7 8 6
 

Rick Santorum

1 1 - 2 2
 

Rick Perry

1 2 1 3 1
 

Jim Gilmore

- - n/a n/a n/a
 

Bobby Jindal

- 2 1 1 2
 

George Pataki

- 1 - n/a n/a
 

Lindsey Graham

- 1 1 2 1
 

Someone else (vol.)

1 - - 1 1
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

- 1 1 1 2
 

Unsure/No answer

11 12 20 14 17

 

Investor's Business Daily/TIPP Poll. Jan. 22-27, 2016. N=395 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean to the Republican Party. Margin of error 5.

             

"I am going to read you the names of the candidates who are running for the Republican presidential nomination. If the Republican presidential primary were held today, whom would you support for the nomination? Would you say [see below], or someone else?" Options rotated

 
    1/22-27/16 1/4-8/16 11/30 -
12/4/15
10/24-29/15 9/26 -
10/1/15
    % % % % %
 

Donald Trump

31 34 27 28 17
 

Ted Cruz

21 18 13 6 6
 

Marco Rubio

10 9 14 11 11
 

Ben Carson

9 8 15 23 24
 

Jeb Bush

5 4 3 6 8
 

Rand Paul

4 3 2 2 3
 

Carly Fiorina

2 2 3 3 9
 

John Kasich

2 2 2 1 4
 

Chris Christie

1 4 2 1 2
 

Mike Huckabee

1 1 2 1 2
 

Rick Santorum

1 - - 1 -
 

Jim Gilmore

- - - - 0
 

Someone else

2 3 3 3 2
 

Unsure

12 11 14 11 9
 

Refused

1 1 1 0 1
 

Lindsey Graham

n/a n/a - 0 0
 

Bobby Jindal

n/a n/a n/a 2 -
 

George Pataki

n/a n/a n/a 0 1

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Jan. 21-24, 2016. N=356 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 5.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of candidates for the Republican nomination for president in 2016. If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you vote: [see below]?" If unsure: "Which candidate would you lean toward?"

 
    1/21-24/16 12/10-13/15 11/16-19/15    
    % % %    
 

Donald Trump

37 38 32    
 

Ted Cruz

21 15 8    
 

Marco Rubio

11 12 11    
 

Ben Carson

7 12 22    
 

Jeb Bush

5 5 6    
 

Chris Christie

4 4 2    
 

Carly Fiorina

3 1 4    
 

Mike Huckabee

2 1 3    
 

John Kasich

2 2 3    
 

Rand Paul

1 2 3    
 

Rick Santorum

- - 1    
 

Other (vol.)

1 - -    
 

None of these (vol.)

1 2 1    
 

Would not vote (vol.)

0 0 1    
 

Unsure

5 4 3    
 

Lindsey Graham

n/a 1 1    
 

George Pataki

n/a 0 -    
 

Bobby Jindal

n/a n/a 0    
             
    10/15-18/15 9/7-10/15 7/16-19/15 5/28-31/15 3/26-29/15
    % % % % %
 

Donald Trump

32 33 24 4 n/a
 

Ben Carson

22 20 6 8 6
 

Marco Rubio

10 7 7 10 8
 

Jeb Bush

7 8 12 10 21
 

Ted Cruz

6 7 4 8 12
 

Carly Fiorina

5 2 - 2 1
 

Chris Christie

3 1 3 6 7
 

Mike Huckabee

3 3 8 9 8
 

John Kasich

2 3 2 3 1
 

Rand Paul

2 5 6 11 8
 

Lindsey Graham

1 - - 1 1
 

George Pataki

1 - 1 1 n/a
 

Rick Santorum

- 1 1 4 2
 

Bobby Jindal

0 1 2 - 1
 

Other (vol.)

1 1 - - 1
 

None of these (vol.)

1 1 4 2 3
 

Would not vote (vol.)

0 1 1 1 1
 

Unsure

2 3 2 5 4
 

Scott Walker

n/a 2 13 11 13
 

Rick Perry

n/a 1 4 2 1
 

Jim Gilmore

n/a 0 n/a n/a n/a

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Jan. 21-24, 2016. N=405 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Republican primaries for president this year. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president, or if you would support someone else. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, or Donald Trump." Options rotated.
Note: Lindsey Graham not included in interviews conducted on Dec. 21, 2015.

 
    1/21-24/16 12/17-21/15 11/27 -
12/1/15
10/14-17/15  
    % % % %  
 

Donald Trump

41 39 36 27  
 

Ted Cruz

19 18 16 4  
 

Marco Rubio

8 10 12 8  
 

Ben Carson

6 10 14 22  
 

Jeb Bush

5 3 3 8  
 

Chris Christie

4 5 4 4  
 

Mike Huckabee

3 2 2 5  
 

Rand Paul

3 4 1 5  
 

Carly Fiorina

2 1 3 4  
 

John Kasich

1 2 2 3  
 

Rick Santorum

- - - 2  
 

Jim Gilmore

- - - -  
 

Someone else

3 3 1 1  
 

None/No one (vol.)

1 1 4 2  
 

Unsure

4 1 2 4  
 

Lindsey Graham

n/a 1 - 1  
 

George Pataki

n/a - - -  
 

Bobby Jindal

n/a n/a n/a -  
 
    9/17-19/15 9/4-8/15 8/13-16/15 7/22-25/15 6/26-28/15
    % % % % %
 

Donald Trump

24 32 24 18 12
 

Carly Fiorina

15 3 5 1 1
 

Ben Carson

14 19 9 4 8
 

Marco Rubio

11 3 8 6 7
 

Jeb Bush

9 9 13 15 17
 

Ted Cruz

6 7 5 7 3
 

Mike Huckabee

6 5 4 5 5
 

Rand Paul

4 3 6 6 8
 

Chris Christie

3 2 3 4 3
 

John Kasich

2 2 5 4 3
 

Rick Santorum

1 1 1 2 4
 

Jim Gilmore

- - - - n/a
 

Lindsey Graham

- 1 - 1 1
 

Bobby Jindal

- 1 - 2 2
 

George Pataki

- - - 1 -
 

Scott Walker

- 5 8 10 6
 

Someone else

- 3 4 4 5
 

None/No one (vol.)

1 2 3 4 6
 

Unsure

3 2 1 3 3
 

Rick Perry

n/a - 2 3 4

 

Public Religion Research Institute. Jan. 20-24, 2016. N=215 registered Republicans nationwide.

             

"Which of the following Republican candidates would you most like to see as the Republican Party's 2016 nominee for president: [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    1/20-24/16 12/2-6/15      
    % %      
 

Donald Trump

33 22      
 

Ted Cruz

14 8      
 

Ben Carson

14 17      
 

Marco Rubio

12 12      
 

Jeb Bush

5 9      
 

John Kasich

2 2      
 

Mike Huckabee

2 3      
 

Rand Paul

1 2      
 

Chris Christie

1 2      
 

Carly Fiorina

1 2      
 

Other/Unsure/Refused

14 19      

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Jan. 18-21, 2016. N=405 likely Republican primary and caucus voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2016 Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican presidential nominee. [See below.]" If unsure: "Well, if you had to decide today, which one would you choose?" Options rotated
Note: Follow-up question added June 21-23, 2015.

 
    1/18-21/16 1/4-7/16 12/16-17/15 11/16-19/15 11/1-3/15
    % % % % %
 

Donald Trump

34 35 39 28 26
 

Ted Cruz

20 20 18 14 11
 

Marco Rubio

11 13 11 14 11
 

Ben Carson

8 10 9 18 23
 

Jeb Bush

4 4 3 5 4
 

John Kasich

4 2 2 2 4
 

Chris Christie

3 2 3 3 2
 

Rand Paul

2 2 3 2 4
 

Mike Huckabee

2 1 1 3 4
 

Carly Fiorina

1 3 3 3 3
 

Jim Gilmore

1 0 0 0 -
 

Rick Santorum

- - 1 0 -
 

Other (vol.)

- - 0 1 1
 

None of above (vol.)

- 2 1 1 1
 

Unsure

8 6 6 5 5
 

George Pataki

n/a n/a - 1 0
 

Lindsey Graham

n/a n/a - - -
 

Bobby Jindal

n/a n/a n/a n/a -
             
    10/10-12/15 9/20-22/15 8/11-13/15 7/30 -
8/2/15
7/13-15/15
    % % % % %
 

Donald Trump

24 26 25 26 18
 

Ben Carson

23 18 12 7 6
 

Ted Cruz

10 8 10 6 4
 

Marco Rubio

9 9 4 5 7
 

Jeb Bush

8 7 9 15 14
 

Carly Fiorina

5 9 5 2 1
 

Mike Huckabee

5 3 6 6 4
 

Rand Paul

3 2 3 5 8
 

Chris Christie

1 5 3 3 3
 

John Kasich

1 4 4 3 2
 

George Pataki

1 1 1 - -
 

Bobby Jindal

1 0 1 1 -
 

Jim Gilmore

- - - - n/a
 

Rick Santorum

- 0 1 2 2
 

Lindsey Graham

0 0 - - -
 

Other (vol.)

1 3 - 1 1
 

None of above (vol.)

1 1 2 1 4
 

Unsure

7 4 7 7 9
 

Rick Perry

n/a n/a 1 1 1
 

Scott Walker

n/a n/a 6 9 15
             
    6/21-23/15 5/31 -
6/2/15
5/9-12/15 4/19-21/15 3/29-31/15
    % % % % %
 

Jeb Bush

15 12 13 9 12
 

Donald Trump

11 4 4 5 3
 

Ben Carson

10 11 13 6 11
 

Rand Paul

9 9 7 10 9
 

Scott Walker

9 12 11 12 15
 

Marco Rubio

8 7 9 13 8
 

Mike Huckabee

6 6 10 9 10
 

Ted Cruz

4 8 6 8 10
 

Carly Fiorina

3 2 1 - 1
 

Rick Santorum

3 2 2 1 2
 

Chris Christie

2 5 6 6 4
 

Bobby Jindal

2 1 1 1 2
 

John Kasich

2 2 2 2 1
 

Rick Perry

2 4 2 2 3
 

Lindsey Graham

1 2 - 1 -
 

George Pataki

1 2 - 1 1
 

Other (vol.)

- 1 1 1 1
 

None of above (vol.)

3 2 3 3 4
 

Unsure

9 10 10 9 6

 

Monmouth University Poll. Jan. 15-18, 2016. N=385 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 5.

             

"Who would you support for the Republican nomination for president if the candidates were [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    1/15-18/16 12/10-13/15 10/15-18/15    
    % % %    
 

Donald Trump

36 41 28    
 

Ted Cruz

17 14 10    
 

Marco Rubio

11 10 6    
 

Ben Carson

8 9 18    
 

Jeb Bush

5 3 5    
 

John Kasich

3 3 1    
 

Chris Christie

3 2 3    
 

Mike Huckabee

3 2 4    
 

Rand Paul

2 2 4    
 

Carly Fiorina

1 2 6    
 

Rick Santorum

1 - 0    
 

Jim Gilmore

0 0 0    
 

No one (vol.)

2 2 3    
 

Unsure

8 6 9    
 

George Pataki

n/a 1 -    
 

Lindsey Graham

n/a 1 1    
 

Bobby Jindal

n/a n/a 1    
             
    8/31 -
9/2/15
7/30 -
8/2/15
7/9-12/15 6/11-14/15 3/30 -
4/2/15
    % % % % %
 

Donald Trump

30 26 13 2 7
 

Ben Carson

18 5 6 11 7
 

Jeb Bush

8 12 15 9 13
 

Ted Cruz

8 6 9 5 11
 

Marco Rubio

5 4 6 9 5
 

Carly Fiorina

4 2 1 2 1
 

Mike Huckabee

4 6 7 8 9
 

Scott Walker

3 11 7 10 11
 

Chris Christie

2 4 2 4 5
 

John Kasich

2 3 1 1 1
 

Rand Paul

2 4 6 6 6
 

Rick Perry

1 2 2 4 5
 

Bobby Jindal

- 1 2 1 1
 

George Pataki

- - - 0 0
 

Jim Gilmore

0 0 0 n/a n/a
 

Lindsey Graham

0 1 - 2 1
 

Rick Santorum

0 1 2 3 1
 

Other (vol.)

0 0 0 0 1
 

No one (vol.)

2 1 1 2 2
 

Unsure

9 10 18 20 14
 

John Bolton

n/a n/a n/a n/a 0

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Jan. 9-13, 2016. N=400 Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.9.

             

"And, if a Republican primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates would you favor: [see below]?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated
10/15: "If a Republican primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates would you favor: Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, John Kasich, Mike Huckabee, Ted Cruz, Ben Carson, Donald Trump, or Carly Fiorina, or would you vote for one of the other candidates?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?"

 
    1/9-13/16 12/6-9/15      
    % %      
 

Donald Trump

33 27      
 

Ted Cruz

20 22      
 

Marco Rubio

13 15      
 

Ben Carson

12 11      
 

Chris Christie

5 3      
 

Jeb Bush

5 7      
 

Carly Fiorina

3 5      
 

John Kasich

3 2      
 

Rand Paul

3 2      
 

Mike Huckabee

1 3      
 

None (vol.)

1 -      
 

Unsure

1 3      
 
    10/25-29/15 10/15-18/15 9/20-24/15 7/26-30/15 6/14-18/15
    % % % % %
 

Ben Carson

29 22 20 10 11
 

Donald Trump

23 25 21 19 1
 

Marco Rubio

11 13 11 5 14
 

Ted Cruz

10 9 5 9 4
 

Jeb Bush

8 8 7 14 22
 

Carly Fiorina

3 7 11 - 2
 

John Kasich

3 3 6 3 1
 

Mike Huckabee

3 3 2 6 9
 

Chris Christie

3 1 3 3 4
 

Rand Paul

2 2 3 6 7
 

Jim Gilmore

- - - - n/a
 

Rick Santorum

- - 1 1 -
 

Bobby Jindal

- - 1 1 -
 

Lindsey Graham

- - - - 1
 

George Pataki

- - - - -
 

Other (vol.)

1 1 1 - -
 

None (vol.)

1 1 2 1 1
 

Unsure

3 5 6 4 1
 

Scott Walker

n/a n/a n/a 15 17
 

Rick Perry

n/a n/a n/a 3 5
             

"Now if you had to choose between ONLY the following candidates running for the Republican primary for president, which one would you favor: [see below]?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    1/9-13/16 12/6-9/15      
    % %      
 

Donald Trump

36 30      
 

Ted Cruz

25 24      
 

Marco Rubio

19 21      
 

Ben Carson

12 13      
 

Jeb Bush

7 9      
 

None (vol.)

1 1      
 

Unsure

- 2      
             

"Now, if you had to choose between ONLY Donald Trump and Ted Cruz in the Republican primary for president, which one would you favor?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    1/9-13/16        
    %        
 

Ted Cruz

51        
 

Donald Trump

43        
 

Neither (vol.)

5        
 

Unsure

1        
             

"Now, if you had to choose between ONLY Donald Trump and Marco Rubio in the Republican primary for president, which one would you favor?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    1/9-13/16        
    %        
 

Donald Trump

52        
 

Marco Rubio

45        
 

Neither (vol.)

2        
 

Unsure

1        

 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. Jan. 7-10, 2016. N=442 Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error 6.

             

"Which one of these candidates would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for president in 2016: [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    1/7-10/16        
    %        
 

Donald Trump

36        
 

Ted Cruz

19        
 

Marco Rubio

12        
 

Jeb Bush

6        
 

Ben Carson

6        
 

Mike Huckabee

4        
 

Chris Christie

3        
 

Carly Fiorina

3        
 

John Kasich

2        
 

Rand Paul

1        
 

Rick Santorum

-        
 

None of them (vol.)

1        
 

Unsure/No answer

7        
             
    12/4-8/15 10/21-25/15 10/4-8/15 9/9-13/15 7/29 -
8/2/15
    % % % % %
 

Donald Trump

35 22 27 27 24
 

Ted Cruz

16 4 9 5 6
 

Ben Carson

13 26 21 23 6
 

Marco Rubio

9 8 8 6 6
 

Rand Paul

4 4 4 3 4
 

Jeb Bush

3 7 6 6 13
 

Mike Huckabee

3 4 2 6 8
 

John Kasich

3 4 2 3 1
 

Chris Christie

3 1 3 1 3
 

Carly Fiorina

1 7 6 4 -
 

Rick Santorum

- 1 1 1 1
 

Lindsey Graham

- 2 - - -
 

George Pataki

- - - - 1
 

Jim Gilmore

- - - - 1
 

Someone else (vol.)

- - - - 1
 

None of them (vol.)

2 3 2 4 3
 

Unsure/No answer

7 6 11 9 9
 

Bobby Jindal

n/a - - - 2
 

Scott Walker

n/a n/a n/a 2 10
 

Rick Perry

n/a n/a n/a 1 2

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Dec. 16-17, 2015. N=402 likely Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error 5.

             

"Who would you support for the nomination if the only Republican candidates running were [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    12/16-17/15        
    %        
 

Donald Trump

41        
 

Ted Cruz

25        
 

Marco Rubio

17        
 

Ben Carson

12        
 

None of above (vol.)

2        
 

Unsure

4        

 

Suffolk University/USA Today. Dec. 2-6, 2015. N=357 likely voters nationwide who say they will participate in the Republican presidential primary or caucus in their state. Margin of error 5.2.

             

"If the Republican primary for president of the United States were held today, who would be your first choice to win the Republican nomination: [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    12/2-6/15 9/24-28/15 7/9-12/15    
    % % %    
 

Donald Trump

27 23 17    
 

Ted Cruz

17 6 6    
 

Marco Rubio

16 9 5    
 

Ben Carson

10 13 4    
 

Jeb Bush

4 8 14    
 

Rand Paul

2 2 4    
 

Chris Christie

2 1 3    
 

John Kasich

2 2 1    
 

Mike Huckabee

1 2 4    
 

Carly Fiorina

1 13 1    
 

Rick Santorum

1 0 1    
 

Jim Gilmore

0 n/a n/a    
 

Lindsey Graham

0 1 -    
 

George Pataki

0 0 -    
 

Other

- 1 1    
 

Unsure

17 18 30    
 

Bobby Jindal

n/a 1 1    
 

Scott Walker

n/a n/a 8    
 

Rick Perry

n/a n/a 1    

 

Bloomberg Politics Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. Nov. 15-17, 2015. N=379 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean to the Republican Party. Margin of error 5.

             

"Which one of the following Republicans would be your first choice for president: [see below]?" Options rotated 11/15: Jindal supporters allocated based on 2nd choice.

 
    11/15-17/15 9/18-21/15 7/30 -
8/2/15
   
    % % %    
 

Donald Trump

24 21 21    
 

Ben Carson

20 16 5    
 

Marco Rubio

12 8 6    
 

Ted Cruz

9 5 4    
 

Jeb Bush

6 13 10    
 

Chris Christie

4 4 4    
 

Carly Fiorina

3 11 1    
 

Mike Huckabee

3 3 7    
 

John Kasich

3 4 4    
 

Rand Paul

3 2 5    
 

Lindsey Graham

1 - 1    
 

George Pataki

1 - -    
 

Rick Santorum

1 1 2    
 

Uncommitted

5 5 6    
 

Unsure

7 5 12    
 

Rick Perry

n/a n/a 2    
 

Bobby Jindal

n/a 1 1    
 

Scott Walker

n/a 1 8    
 

Jim Gilmore

n/a - -    

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Oct. 29-Nov. 4, 2015. N=431 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 4.7.

             

Republican Presidential Preference, including those who are leaning toward a candidate:

 
    10/29 -
11/4/15
3/1-4/15      
    % %      
 

Ben Carson

24 9      
 

Donald Trump

23 n/a      
 

Marco Rubio

12 5      
 

Ted Cruz

8 4      
 

Jeb Bush

8 19      
 

Rand Paul

5 7      
 

John Kasich

4 n/a      
 

Carly Fiorina

3 2      
 

Mike Huckabee

3 10      
 

Chris Christie

2 6      
 

George Pataki

1 n/a      
 

Bobby Jindal

1 n/a      
 

Rick Santorum

1 2      
 

Jim Gilmore

- n/a      
 

Lindsey Graham

- 1      
 

Unsure

4 13      
 

Scott Walker

n/a 18      
 

Rick Perry

n/a 3      

 

Fairleigh Dickinson University's PublicMind. Oct. 1-5, 2015. N=305 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean to the Republican Party. Margin of error 5.6.

             

"I'm going to read you a list of current and prospective candidates for the Republican nomination for president. If the election were held today, who would you vote for: [see below]?"

 
    %        
 

Donald Trump

26        
 

Ben Carson

22        
 

Marco Rubio

8        
 

Jeb Bush

7        
 

Carly Fiorina

7        
 

Mike Huckabee

6        
 

Ted Cruz

5        
 

Rand Paul

4        
 

Chris Christie

3        
 

Bobby Jindal

1        
 

John Kasich

1        
 

Rick Santorum

-        
 

Lindsey Graham

-        
 

Jim Gilmore

0        
 

George Pataki

0        
 

Other (vol.)

1        
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1        
 

Unsure/Refused

8        

 

Pew Research Center. Sept. 22-27, 2015. N=496 potential Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error 5.

             

"Thinking about the 2016 presidential election, who would be your first choice for the Republican nomination for president?" Open-ended. One response accepted.

 
    %        
 

Donald Trump

25        
 

Ben Carson

16        
 

Marco Rubio

8        
 

Carly Fiorina

8        
 

Ted Cruz

6        
 

Jeb Bush

4        
 

Mike Huckabee

2        
 

Rand Paul

2        
 

John Kasich

1        
 

Chris Christie

1        
 

Lindsey Graham

1        
 

Bobby Jindal

-        
 

Rick Santorum

-        
 

George Pataki

0        
 

Jim Gilmore

0        
 

Other (vol.)

1        
 

None (vol.)

6        
 

Unsure

17        
 

Refused

2        

 

Monmouth University Poll. Aug. 31-Sept. 2, 2015. N=366 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 5.1.

             

"Who would you vote for if the only two candidates for the Republican nomination were Donald Trump and Jeb Bush?"

 
    Donald
Trump
Jeb
Bush
No one
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

8/31 - 9/2/15

56 37 5 2  
             

"Who would you vote for if the only two candidates for the Republican nomination were Donald Trump and [see below]?" Asked of random half samples, margin of error 7.3.

 
    Donald
Trump
Ben
Carson
No one
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

8/31 - 9/2/15

36 55 1 8  
 
    Donald
Trump
Marco
Rubio
No one
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

8/31 - 9/2/15

52 38 1 9  
 
    Donald
Trump
Chris
Christie
No one
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

8/31 - 9/2/15

63 30 2 5  
 
    Donald
Trump
John
Kasich
No one
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

8/31 - 9/2/15

62 29 3 7  
 
    Donald
Trump
Ted
Cruz
No one
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

8/31 - 9/2/15

48 41 4 7  
 
    Donald
Trump
Carly
Fiorina
No one
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

8/31 - 9/2/15

50 37 5 8  
 
    Donald
Trump
Scott
Walker
No one
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

8/31 - 9/2/15

53 38 3 6  
 
    Donald
Trump
Rand
Paul
No one
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

8/31 - 9/2/15

60 27 5 8  

 

CNN/ORC Poll. May 29-31, 2015. N=483 Republicans and independents who lean Republican nationwide. Margin of error 4.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump or Scott Walker." Options rotated.
Note: Nov. 2014 results show second choice of respondents who initially supported Mitt Romney when his name was included in the list.

 
    5/29-31/15        
    %        
 

Marco Rubio

14        
 

Jeb Bush

13        
 

Mike Huckabee

10        
 

Scott Walker

10        
 

Ted Cruz

8        
 

Rand Paul

8        
 

Ben Carson

7        
 

Rick Perry

5        
 

Chris Christie

4        
 

George Pataki

3        
 

Donald Trump

3        
 

Rick Santorum

2        
 

Carly Fiorina

1        
 

Lindsey Graham

1        
 

Bobby Jindal

1        
 

John Kasich

1        
 

Someone else

5        
 

None/No one (vol.)

2        
 

Unsure

1        
 
    4/16-19/15 3/13-15/15 2/12-15/15 12/18-21/14 11/21-23/14
    % % % % %
 

Jeb Bush

17 16 14 23 14
 

Scott Walker

12 13 11 4 5
 

Rand Paul

11 12 10 6 8
 

Marco Rubio

11 7 5 5 3
 

Mike Huckabee

9 10 16 6 10
 

Ted Cruz

7 4 3 4 7
 

Ben Carson

4 9 8 7 11
 

Chris Christie

4 7 7 13 9
 

Rick Perry

3 4 3 4 5
 

Rick Santorum

3 1 3 2 2
 

Carly Fiorina

2 - 1 n/a n/a
 

Lindsey Graham

2 1 1 n/a n/a
 

Bobby Jindal

2 1 1 4 1
 

John Kasich

2 2 2 3 3
 

George Pataki

- n/a n/a n/a n/a
 

Someone else

5 4 4 5 6
 

None/No one (vol.)

5 6 7 5 2
 

Unsure

2 3 3 3 4
 

Paul Ryan

n/a n/a n/a 5 9
 

Mike Pence

n/a n/a n/a - 1
 

Rob Portman

n/a n/a n/a - -

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). April 26-30, 2015. N=251 Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error 6.2.

             

"And, still thinking about people who might seek the Republican nomination for president in 2016. If the next Republican primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates would you favor?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Jeb Bush

23        
 

Marco Rubio

18        
 

Scott Walker

14        
 

Rand Paul

11        
 

Ted Cruz

11        
 

Ben Carson

7        
 

Chris Christie

5        
 

Mike Huckabee

5        
 

Rick Perry

2        
 

Carly Fiorina

1        
 

Unsure

3        

 

Quinnipiac University. April 16-21, 2015. N=567 registered voters nationwide who are Republican or lean Republican. Margin of error 4.1.

             

"If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Scott Walker, for whom would you vote?"

 
    4/16-21/15 2/26 -
3/2/15
     
    % %      
 

Marco Rubio

15 5      
 

Jeb Bush

13 16      
 

Scott Walker

11 18      
 

Ted Cruz

9 6      
 

Rand Paul

8 6      
 

Chris Christie

7 8      
 

Mike Huckabee

7 8      
 

Ben Carson

3 7      
 

Rick Perry

3 1      
 

Lindsey Graham

2 1      
 

John Kasich

2 1      
 

Rick Santorum

2 2      
 

Carly Fiorina

1 n/a      
 

Bobby Jindal

1 2      
 

Someone else (vol.)

1 1      
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1 2      
 

Unsure/No answer

14 17      
             
 

Without Bush (Bush supporters allocated based on 2nd choice):

 
    4/16-21/15 2/26 -
3/2/15
     
    % %      
 

Marco Rubio

18 8      
 

Scott Walker

12 20      
 

Ted Cruz

9 6      
 

Chris Christie

8 10      
 

Mike Huckabee

8 9      
 

Rand Paul

8 6      
 

Ben Carson

4 8      
 

Rick Perry

3 1      
 

Rick Santorum

3 2      
 

Carly Fiorina

2 n/a      
 

Lindsey Graham

2 1      
 

Bobby Jindal

2 3      
 

John Kasich

2 1      
 

Someone else (vol.)

1 2      
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1 2      
 

Unsure/No answer

15 20      

 

Bloomberg Politics Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. April 6-8, 2015. N=655 Republicans and independents nationwide.

             

"I'm going to name some of the people considering running for the Republican nomination for president, including some names I've already mentioned. For each, please tell me if this is someone you would seriously consider supporting, might consider, or would never consider supporting this person. ..."

 
    Would
seriously
consider
Might
consider
Would
never
consider
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

"John Bolton, former U.S. ambassador to the U.N."

 

4/6-8/15

5 35 33 27  
             
 

"Jeb Bush"

 

4/6-8/15

14 38 42 6  
             
 

"Ben Carson, retired neurosurgeon from Maryland"

 

4/6-8/15

15 31 30 24  
             
 

"Chris Christie"

 

4/6-8/15

8 40 42 10  
             
 

"Ted Cruz"

 

4/6-8/15

15 35 36 14  
             
 

"Carly Fiorina, former CEO of Hewlett-Packard and candidate for U.S. Senate in California"

 

4/6-8/15

7 31 35 27  
             
 

"Lindsey Graham, U.S. senator from South Carolina"

 

4/6-8/15

4 31 44 21  
             
 

"Mike Huckabee, former governor of Arkansas"

 

4/6-8/15

15 40 36 9  
             
 

"Bobby Jindal, governor of Louisiana"

 

4/6-8/15

10 34 31 25  
             
 

"John Kasich, governor of Ohio"

 

4/6-8/15

6 35 27 32  
             
 

"George Pataki, former governor of New York"

 

4/6-8/15

3 29 45 23  
             
 

"Rand Paul"

 

4/6-8/15

17 41 33 9  
             
 

"Mike Pence, governor of Indiana"

 

4/6-8/15

3 29 36 32  
             
 

"Rick Perry, former governor of Texas"

 

4/6-8/15

13 41 37 9  
             
 

"Marco Rubio"

 

4/6-8/15

12 41 28 19  
             
 

"Rick Santorum, former U.S. senator from Pennsylvania"

 

4/6-8/15

7 37 38 18  
             
 

"Donald Trump, a businessman from New York"

 

4/6-8/15

9 26 62 3  
             
 

"Scott Walker"

 

4/6-8/15

16 33 26 25  

 

Monmouth University Poll. March 30-April 2, 2015. N=355 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 5.2.

             

"I know the 2016 election is far away, but who would you support for the Republican nomination for president if the candidates were [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Jeb Bush

13        
 

Ted Cruz

11        
 

Scott Walker

11        
 

Mike Huckabee

9        
 

Ben Carson

7        
 

Donald Trump

7        
 

Rand Paul

6        
 

Chris Christie

5        
 

Rick Perry

5        
 

Marco Rubio

5        
 

Carly Fiorina

1        
 

Lindsey Graham

1        
 

Bobby Jindal

1        
 

John Kasich

1        
 

Rick Santorum

1        
 

John Bolton

0        
 

George Pataki

0        
 

Other (vol.)

1        
 

No one (vol.)

2        
 

Unsure

14        
             

"If the only two candidates for the Republican nomination were [see below], who would you choose?" N=175 (Form A), margin of error 7.4

 
    Scott
Walker
Jeb Bush Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

3/30 - 4/2/15

46 42 5 7  
             
    Scott
Walker
Chris
Christie
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

3/30 - 4/2/15

58 26 6 10  
             
    Jeb Bush Chris
Christie
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

3/30 - 4/2/15

54 28 12 6  
             

"If the only two candidates for the Republican nomination were [see below], who would you choose?" N=180 (Form B), margin of error 7.3

 
    Ted Cruz Scott
Walker
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

3/30 - 4/2/15

41 36 11 12  
             
    Jeb Bush Ted Cruz Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

3/30 - 4/2/15

49 40 6 5  
             
    Ted Cruz Chris
Christie
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

3/30 - 4/2/15

55 30 9 6  

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). March 29-31, 2015. N=379 likely Republican primary voters nationwide.

             

"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2016 Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican presidential nominee. [See below.]"

 
    %        
 

Scott Walker

15        
 

Jeb Bush

12        
 

Ben Carson

11        
 

Ted Cruz

10        
 

Mike Huckabee

10        
 

Rand Paul

9        
 

Marco Rubio

8        
 

Chris Christie

4        
 

Rick Perry

3        
 

Donald Trump

3        
 

Bobby Jindal

2        
 

Rick Santorum

2        
 

Carly Fiorina

1        
 

John Kasich

1        
 

George Pataki

1        
 

Lindsey Graham

-        
 

Other (vol.)

1        
 

None of the above (vol.)

4        
 

Unsure

6        
             
 

Without Bush (Bush supporters allocated based on 2nd choice):

 
    %        
 

Scott Walker

16        
 

Ben Carson

12        
 

Ted Cruz

10        
 

Mike Huckabee

10        
 

Rand Paul

10        
 

Marco Rubio

9        
 

Chris Christie

7        
 

Rick Perry

3        
 

Donald Trump

3        
 

Bobby Jindal

2        
 

Rick Santorum

2        
 

Carly Fiorina

2        
 

John Kasich

1        
 

George Pataki

1        
 

Lindsey Graham

-        
 

Other (vol.)

1        
 

None of the above (vol.)

4        
 

Unsure

6        
             
 

Without Walker (Walker supporters allocated based on 2nd choice):

 
    %        
 

Jeb Bush

13        
 

Ben Carson

13        
 

Ted Cruz

11        
 

Mike Huckabee

10        
 

Rand Paul

10        
 

Marco Rubio

9        
 

Chris Christie

5        
 

Rick Perry

3        
 

Donald Trump

3        
 

Bobby Jindal

3        
 

Rick Santorum

2        
 

Carly Fiorina

2        
 

John Kasich

1        
 

George Pataki

1        
 

Lindsey Graham

-        
 

Other (vol.)

1        
 

None of the above (vol.)

5        
 

Unsure

7        

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). March 1-5, 2015. N=229 Republican presidential primary voters nationwide. Margin of error 6.5.

             

"Next, I'm going to mention a number of people who might seek the Republican nomination for president in 2016. For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for the Republican nomination for president in 2016. If you don't know the name, please just say so. ..."

 
    Yes, could
support
No, could
not support
Don't know
the name
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

"Marco Rubio"

 

3/1-5/15

56 26 14 4  
             
 

"Scott Walker"

 

3/1-5/15

53 17 27 3  
             
 

"Mike Huckabee"

 

3/1-5/15

52 40 3 5  
             
 

"Jeb Bush"

 

3/1-5/15

49 42 4 5  
             
 

"Rand Paul"

 

3/1-5/15

49 40 8 3  
             
 

"Rick Perry"

 

3/1-5/15

45 40 9 5  
             
 

"Ben Carson"

 

3/1-5/15

41 18 38 3  
             
 

"Ted Cruz"

 

3/1-5/15

40 38 18 4  
             
 

"Rick Santorum"

 

3/1-5/15

40 40 16 4  
             
 

"Bobby Jindal"

 

3/1-5/15

36 25 36 3  
             
 

"Chris Christie"

 

3/1-5/15

32 57 7 4  
             
 

"Donald Trump"

 

3/1-5/15

23 74 1 2  
             
 

"Lindsey Graham"

 

3/1-5/15

20 51 24 5  
             
 

"Carly Fiorina"

 

3/1-5/15

18 25 54 3  

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Jan. 25-27, 2015. N=394 Republican registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2016 Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican presidential nominee. [See below.]"

 
    1/25-27/15 12/7-9/14      
    % %      
 

Mitt Romney

21 19      
 

Mike Huckabee

11 8      
 

Rand Paul

11 8      
 

Jeb Bush

10 10      
 

Ben Carson

9 6      
 

Scott Walker

8 7      
 

Marco Rubio

5 4      
 

Chris Christie

4 8      
 

Ted Cruz

4 5      
 

Rick Perry

4 2      
 

Bobby Jindal

2 1      
 

John Kasich

1 2      
 

Rick Santorum

1 1      
 

Lindsey Graham

1 n/a      
 

Other (vol.)

1 -      
 

None of the above (vol.)

4 2      
 

Unsure

5 8      
 

Paul Ryan

n/a 6      
             
 

Without Romney (Romney supporters allocated based on 2nd choice):

 
    %        
 

Jeb Bush

15        
 

Rand Paul

13        
 

Mike Huckabee

13        
 

Ben Carson

10        
 

Scott Walker

9        
 

Chris Christie

6        
 

Marco Rubio

5        
 

Ted Cruz

4        
 

Rick Perry

4        
 

Bobby Jindal

3        
 

John Kasich

2        
 

Rick Santorum

2        
 

Lindsey Graham

1        
 

Other (vol.)

1        
 

None of the above (vol.)

6        
 

Unsure

6        

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Dec. 11-14, 2014. N=410 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 5.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of possible candidates for the Republican nomination for president in 2016. If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you vote: [see below]?" If unsure: "Which candidate would you lean toward?"

 
    12/11-14/14 10/9-12/14      
    % %      
 

Mitt Romney

21 21      
 

Jeb Bush

10 10      
 

Rand Paul

9 9      
 

Paul Ryan

8 5      
 

Ben Carson

7 6      
 

Chris Christie

6 8      
 

Ted Cruz

6 3      
 

Mike Huckabee

6 10      
 

Scott Walker

5 1      
 

Rick Perry

4 5      
 

Marco Rubio

4 6      
 

Rick Santorum

3 4      
 

Bobby Jindal

2 1      
 

John Kasich

2 1      
 

Other (vol.)

- 1      
 

None of these (vol.)

2 2      
 

Unsure

6 6      
             

"I'm going to read a list of possible candidates for the Republican nomination for president in 2016. If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you vote: [see below]?" If unsure: "Which candidate would you lean toward?"
Asked of Romney supporters: "If Romney does not run for president, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Which candidate would you lean toward?" Combined responses, excluding Romney.

 
    12/11-14/14 10/9-12/14      
    % %      
 

Jeb Bush

14 13      
 

Paul Ryan

11 9      
 

Rand Paul

10 12      
 

Ben Carson

8 7      
 

Ted Cruz

8 4      
 

Chris Christie

7 8      
 

Mike Huckabee

7 12      
 

Marco Rubio

7 8      
 

Scott Walker

7 2      
 

Rick Perry

5 6      
 

Bobby Jindal

3 2      
 

Rick Santorum

3 4      
 

John Kasich

2 2      
 

Other (vol.)

- 1      
 

None of these (vol.)

2 3      
 

Unsure

6 9      

 

Monmouth University Poll. Dec. 10-14, 2014. N=399 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 4.9.

             

"I know the 2016 election is far away, but who would you like to see as the Republican nominee for president?" Open-ended

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

8        
 

Ben Carson

7        
 

Chris Christie

7        
 

Jeb Bush

6        
 

Ted Cruz

5        
 

Rand Paul

5        
 

Scott Walker

3        
 

Mike Huckabee

3        
 

Bobby Jindal

2        
 

Rick Perry

2        
 

Marco Rubio

2        
 

Rick Santorum

1        
 

Other

4        
 

No one

8        
 

Unsure

37        

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Dec. 3-9, 2014. N=360 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 5.2.

             

"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

19        
 

Jeb Bush

14        
 

Chris Christie

9        
 

Mike Huckabee

9        
 

Ben Carson

8        
 

Rand Paul

5        
 

Ted Cruz

4        
 

Rick Perry

4        
 

Paul Ryan

3        
 

Rick Santorum

3        
 

Marco Rubio

3        
 

Scott Walker

3        
 

John Kasich

2        
 

Bobby Jindal

1        
 

Carly Fiorina

1        
 

Unsure

13        
             
 

Without Romney:

 
    %        
 

Jeb Bush

16        
 

Mike Huckabee

12        
 

Chris Christie

10        
 

Ben Carson

8        
 

Paul Ryan

7        
 

Rand Paul

6        
 

Ted Cruz

5        
 

Rick Perry

5        
 

Marco Rubio

3        
 

Scott Walker

3        
 

John Kasich

3        
 

Rick Santorum

3        
 

Bobby Jindal

1        
 

Carly Fiorina

1        
 

Unsure

18        

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Nov. 21-23, 2014. N=510 Republicans and independents who lean Republican nationwide. Margin of error 4.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Mike Pence, Rick Perry, Rob Portman, Mitt Romney, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Rick Santorum, or Scott Walker." Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

20        
 

Ben Carson

10        
 

Jeb Bush

9        
 

Chris Christie

8        
 

Mike Huckabee

7        
 

Rand Paul

6        
 

Paul Ryan

6        
 

Ted Cruz

5        
 

Scott Walker

5        
 

Rick Perry

4        
 

Marco Rubio

3        
 

John Kasich

2        
 

Rick Santorum

2        
 

Bobby Jindal

1        
 

Mike Pence

1        
 

Rob Portman

-        
 

Someone else

6        
 

None/No one (vol.)

2        
 

Unsure/No answer

3        

 

Quinnipiac University. Nov. 18-23, 2014. N=707 registered voters nationwide who are Republican or lean Republican. Margin of error 3.7.

             

"If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?"

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

19        
 

Jeb Bush

11        
 

Ben Carson

8        
 

Chris Christie

8        
 

Rand Paul

6        
 

Ted Cruz

5        
 

Mike Huckabee

5        
 

Paul Ryan

5        
 

Scott Walker

5        
 

Bobby Jindal

2        
 

John Kasich

2        
 

Rick Perry

2        
 

Marco Rubio

2        
 

Rick Santorum

1        
 

Rob Portman

-        
 

Someone else (vol.)

1        
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1        
 

Unsure/No answer

16        
             
 

Without Romney (Romney supporters allocated based on 2nd choice):

 
    %        
 

Jeb Bush

14        
 

Chris Christie

11        
 

Ben Carson

9        
 

Rand Paul

8        
 

Mike Huckabee

7        
 

Paul Ryan

7        
 

Scott Walker

6        
 

Ted Cruz

5        
 

Bobby Jindal

3        
 

Rick Perry

3        
 

Marco Rubio

3        
 

John Kasich

2        
 

Rick Santorum

2        
 

Rob Portman

1        
 

Someone else (vol.)

1        
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1        
 

Unsure/No answer

19        

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Sept. 24-29, 2014. N=376 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 5.1.

             

"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

 
    9/24-29/14 8/4-7/14      
    % %      
 

Jeb Bush

15 13      
 

Rand Paul

13 7      
 

Paul Ryan

13 9      
 

Chris Christie

12 13      
 

Rick Perry

7 7      
 

Marco Rubio

6 9      
 

Ted Cruz

4 10      
 

Bobby Jindal

4 2      
 

Rick Santorum

3 3      
 

Scott Walker

3 4      
 

Unsure

21 23      

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). July 20-22, 2014. N=358 Republican registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2016 Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican presidential nominee. [See below.]"

 
    7/20-22/14 4/13-15/14 12/14-16/13    
    % % %    
 

Jeb Bush

12 14 12    
 

Rick Perry

12 5 3    
 

Rand Paul

11 14 11    
 

Chris Christie

10 15 16    
 

Paul Ryan

9 9 12    
 

Marco Rubio

9 8 8    
 

Ted Cruz

9 7 12    
 

Scott Walker

4 5 6    
 

Bobby Jindal

4 2 n/a    
 

Rick Santorum

3 5 3    
 

John Kasich

2 n/a n/a    
 

Other (vol.)

2 1 1    
 

None of the above (vol.)

4 6 5    
 

Unsure

6 9 11    

 

CNN/ORC Poll. July 18-20, 2014. N=470 Republicans and independents who lean Republican nationwide. Margin of error 4.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, Texas Senator Ted Cruz, Kentucky Senator Rand Paul, Texas Governor Rick Perry, Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan, Florida Senator Marco Rubio, former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee or Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker." Options rotated

 
    7/18-20/14 5/29 -
6/1/14
     
    % %      
 

Chris Christie

13 8      
 

Rand Paul

12 14      
 

Mike Huckabee

12 11      
 

Rick Perry

11 6      
 

Paul Ryan

11 10      
 

Jeb Bush

8 12      
 

Ted Cruz

8 9      
 

Marco Rubio

6 8      
 

Scott Walker

5 5      
 

Rick Santorum

3 4      
 

Someone else (vol.)

6 6      
 

None/No one (vol.)

2 2      
 

Unsure

3 5      
             
    5/2-4/14 3/7-9/14 1/31 -
2/2/14
11/18-20/13 9/6-8/13
    % % % % %
 

Jeb Bush

13 9 10 6 10
 

Rand Paul

13 16 13 13 13
 

Paul Ryan

12 15 9 11 16
 

Mike Huckabee

10 10 14 n/a n/a
 

Chris Christie

9 8 10 24 17
 

Rick Perry

8 11 8 7 6
 

Ted Cruz

7 8 8 10 7
 

Scott Walker

7 n/a n/a n/a n/a
 

Marco Rubio

6 5 9 9 9
 

Rick Santorum

2 3 4 6 5
 

Someone else (vol.)

4 6 8 6 6
 

None/No one (vol.)

4 4 3 2 4
 

Unsure

7 5 4 6 6

 

Quinnipiac University. June 24-30, 2014. N=620 registered voters nationwide who are Republican or lean Republican. Margin of error 3.9.

             

"If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?"

 
    6/24-30/14 1/15-19/14 12/3-9/13 9/23-29/13 3/26 -
4/1/13
    % % % % %
 

Rand Paul

11 13 14 17 15
 

Jeb Bush

10 11 11 11 10
 

Chris Christie

10 12 17 13 14
 

Mike Huckabee

10 n/a n/a n/a n/a
 

Ted Cruz

8 9 13 10 n/a
 

Paul Ryan

8 13 9 10 17
 

Scott Walker

8 6 5 4 2
 

Marco Rubio

6 8 7 12 19
 

Rick Perry

3 n/a n/a n/a n/a
 

John Kasich

2 2 2 n/a n/a
 

Rick Santorum

2 n/a n/a n/a n/a
 

Bobby Jindal

1 3 3 3 3
 

Someone else (vol.)

- - 2 - 1
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

2 1 1 1 -
 

Unsure/No answer

20 22 17 19 18
 

Bob McDonnell

n/a n/a n/a n/a 1

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. April 24-27, 2014. N=424 Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of possible candidates for the Republican nomination for president in 2016. After you hear the list, please tell me, if the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you vote: [see below]?" If unsure: "Which candidate would you lean toward?"

 
    %        
 

Rand Paul

15        
 

Mike Huckabee

14        
 

Paul Ryan

12        
 

Jeb Bush

12        
 

Chris Christie

9        
 

Ted Cruz

7        
 

Marco Rubio

6        
 

Rick Perry

5        
 

Scott Walker

5        
 

Bobby Jindal

2        
 

John Kasich

1        
 

Other (vol.)

2        
 

None of these (vol.)

4        
 

Unsure

5        

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. April 7-10, 2014. N=416 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 4.8.

             

"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

 
    4/7-10/14 2/4-9/14 12/3-5/13 7/15-18/13  
    % % % %  
 

Mike Huckabee

13 13 n/a n/a  
 

Jeb Bush

13 8 10 10  
 

Rand Paul

12 9 12 9  
 

Chris Christie

12 13 18 15  
 

Paul Ryan

12 9 11 13  
 

Marco Rubio

7 12 7 12  
 

Scott Walker

5 7 4 2  
 

Ted Cruz

4 5 10 7  
 

Bobby Jindal

4 n/a n/a 1  
 

Rick Santorum

3 2 4 2  
 

Rick Perry

3 2 3 4  
 

John Kasich

- 1 n/a n/a  
 

Unsure

14 12 13 25  
 

Sarah Palin

n/a 8 8 n/a  
 

Susana Martinez

n/a n/a n/a 1  

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Feb. 4-9, 2014. N=403 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 4.9.

             

"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

 
    %        
 

Marco Rubio

15        
 

Mike Huckabee

15        
 

Paul Ryan

13        
 

Jeb Bush

12        
 

Rand Paul

11        
 

Scott Walker

8        
 

Ted Cruz

6        
 

Rick Santorum

4        
 

Rick Perry

3        
 

John Kasich

1        
 

Unsure

14        

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Jan. 20-23, 2014. N=1,003 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters who are Republican or lean Republican.

             

"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state was being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Which candidate would you lean toward?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Paul Ryan

18        
 

Jeb Bush

18        
 

Chris Christie

14        
 

Ted Cruz

12        
 

Rand Paul

11        
 

Marco Rubio

10        
 

Other (vol.)

2        
 

None of these (vol.)

4        
 

Would not vote (vol.)

1        
 

Unsure

9        

 

NBC News/Marist Poll. Jan. 12-14, 2014. N=385 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 5.

             

"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

 
    %        
 

Chris Christie

16        
 

Paul Ryan

12        
 

Rand Paul

9        
 

Jeb Bush

8        
 

Marco Rubio

7        
 

Rick Perry

6        
 

Rick Santorum

5        
 

Ted Cruz

5        
 

Scott Walker

4        
 

Bobby Jindal

3        
 

Unsure

25        
             
 

Without Christie:

 
    %        
 

Paul Ryan

15        
 

Rand Paul

11        
 

Jeb Bush

11        
 

Marco Rubio

10        
 

Rick Santorum

7        
 

Ted Cruz

6        
 

Rick Perry

6        
 

Scott Walker

5        
 

Bobby Jindal

4        
 

Unsure

26        

 

NBC News Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Nov. 7-10, 2013. N=394 Republicans and independents who lean Republican nationwide. Margin of error 5.8.