White House 2000: Trial Heats
All data are from nationwide surveys of
Americans 18 & older.
Respondents who lean to a candidate are included, where available. |
See Election HQ for a summary of
2000 presidential election
polls.
Trial
Heats from 1998-99 |
|
See below for
additional candidate match-ups. |
. |
|
|
Gore/
Lieberman
(D) |
Bush/
Cheney
(R) |
Buchanan/
Foster
(Reform) |
Nader/
LaDuke
(Green) |
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
N |
| ABC News
Poll |
|
11/3-5/00 # |
45 |
48 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
1,801LV |
|
11/2-4/00 # |
45 |
49 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
1,741LV |
|
11/1-3/00 # |
45 |
49 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
1,495LV |
|
10/31-11/2/00 # |
45 |
48 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
1,280LV |
|
10/30-11/1/00 # |
45 |
49 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
1,032LV |
|
10/29-31/00 # |
45 |
49 |
- |
3 |
2 |
1,036LV |
|
10/28-30/00 # |
45 |
48 |
- |
3 |
1 |
1,020LV |
|
10/27-29/00 # |
47 |
47 |
- |
3 |
2 |
998LV |
|
10/26-28/00 # |
46 |
47 |
1 |
4 |
2 |
1,015LV |
|
10/25-27/00 # |
46 |
47 |
1 |
4 |
3 |
1,009LV |
|
10/24-26/00 # |
45 |
49 |
1 |
4 |
2 |
1,027LV |
|
10/23-25/00 # |
45 |
48 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
1,035LV |
|
10/22-24/00 # |
46 |
48 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
1,000LV |
|
10/21-23/00 # |
46 |
47 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
1,011LV |
|
10/20-22/00 # |
47 |
47 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
1,074LV |
|
10/19-21/00 # |
45 |
48 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
1,071LV |
|
10/18-20/00 # |
45 |
48 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
1,020LV |
|
10/17-19/00 # |
43 |
48 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
1,020LV |
|
10/12-15, 17-18/00 # |
44 |
48 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
1,770LV |
|
10/12-15, 17/00 # |
43 |
48 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
1,464LV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| ABC News/Washington
Post Poll |
|
10/12-15/00 |
44 |
48 |
1 |
4 |
4 |
1,103LV |
|
10/6-9/00 |
45 |
48 |
- |
3 |
3 |
826LV |
|
9/28-10/1/00 |
48 |
46 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
995LV |
|
9/4-6/00 |
47 |
47 |
- |
3 |
4 |
LV |
|
8/18-20/00 |
48 |
44 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
LV |
|
8/8-10/00 |
42 |
50 |
2 |
5 |
1 |
LV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| Bloomberg
News Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates |
|
10/23-29/00 |
43 |
46 |
1 |
5 |
5 |
LV |
|
9/7-12/00 |
46 |
40 |
1 |
4 |
9 |
773RV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| CNN/Time
Poll conducted by Yankelovich Partners |
|
10/25-26/00 |
43 |
49 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
1,076LV |
|
10/12-13/00 |
43 |
48 |
- |
4 |
5 |
603LV |
|
10/4-5/00 |
45 |
47 |
1 |
4 |
3 |
636LV |
|
9/6-7/00 |
47 |
46 |
1 |
4 |
2 |
818LV |
|
8/9-10/00 |
39 |
53 |
2 |
4 |
2 |
781LV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| Fox
News/Opinion Dynamics Poll |
|
8/23-24/00 |
44 |
40 |
2 |
4 |
10 |
773LV |
|
8/9-10/00 |
40 |
46 |
1 |
5 |
8 |
725LV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| Gallup/CNN/USA
Today Poll |
|
11/5-6/00 # @ |
46 |
48 |
1 |
4 |
- |
2,350LV |
|
11/5-6/00 # |
45 |
47 |
1 |
4 |
3 |
2,350LV |
|
11/4-5/00 # |
45 |
47 |
1 |
4 |
3 |
2,386LV |
|
11/2-4/00 # |
43 |
48 |
1 |
4 |
4 |
2,733LV |
|
11/1-3/00 # |
43 |
47 |
- |
5 |
5 |
2,222LV |
|
10/31-11/2/00 # |
42 |
48 |
- |
5 |
5 |
2,128LV |
|
10/30-11/1/00 # |
43 |
47 |
1 |
4 |
5 |
2,123LV |
|
10/29-31/00 # |
43 |
48 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
2,167LV |
|
10/28-30/00 # |
44 |
47 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
2,182LV |
|
10/27-29/00 # |
44 |
47 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
2,207LV |
|
10/26-28/00 # |
42 |
49 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
1,858LV |
|
10/25-27/00 # |
42 |
49 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
1,368LV |
|
10/24-26/00 # |
39 |
52 |
1 |
4 |
4 |
851LV |
|
10/23-25/00 # |
42 |
49 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
678LV |
|
10/22-24/00 # |
43 |
48 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
735LV |
|
10/21-23/00 # |
46 |
45 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
752LV |
|
10/20-22/00 # |
44 |
46 |
1 |
4 |
5 |
769LV |
|
10/19-21/00 # |
41 |
50 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
708LV |
|
10/18-20/00 # |
40 |
51 |
1 |
4 |
4 |
718LV |
|
10/17-19/00 # |
40 |
50 |
- |
4 |
6 |
702LV |
|
10/16-18/00 # |
39 |
49 |
- |
5 |
7 |
706LV |
|
10/15-17/00 # |
42 |
48 |
- |
4 |
6 |
LV |
|
10/14-16/00 # |
44 |
47 |
- |
3 |
6 |
728LV |
|
10/13-15/00 # |
44 |
47 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
756LV |
|
10/12-14/00 # |
43 |
48 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
727LV |
|
10/11-13/00 # |
44 |
48 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
687LV |
|
10/10-12/00 # |
45 |
45 |
0 |
3 |
7 |
683LV |
|
10/9-11/00 # |
45 |
44 |
1 |
2 |
8 |
690LV |
|
10/8-10/00 # |
45 |
45 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
730LV |
|
10/7-9/00 # |
44 |
47 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
790LV |
|
10/6-8/00 # |
42 |
50 |
- |
4 |
4 |
790LV |
|
10/5-7/00 # |
41 |
49 |
1 |
4 |
5 |
769LV |
|
10/4-6/00 # |
41 |
48 |
1 |
4 |
6 |
725LV |
|
10/3-5/00 # |
45 |
44 |
1 |
4 |
6 |
683LV |
|
10/2-4/00 # |
51 |
40 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
672LV |
|
10/1-3/00 # |
49 |
41 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
660LV |
|
9/30-10/2/00 # |
46 |
44 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
684LV |
|
9/29-10/1/00 # |
45 |
45 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
736LV |
|
9/28-30/00 # |
45 |
45 |
1 |
4 |
5 |
691LV |
|
9/27-29/00 # |
46 |
44 |
1 |
4 |
5 |
664LV |
|
9/26-28/00 # |
44 |
46 |
0 |
4 |
6 |
621LV |
|
9/25-27/00 # |
46 |
46 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
640LV |
|
9/24-26/00 # |
44 |
46 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
686LV |
|
9/23-25/00 # |
44 |
46 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
710LV |
|
9/22-24/00 # |
44 |
47 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
718LV |
|
9/21-23/00 # |
46 |
47 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
693LV |
|
9/20-22/00 # |
48 |
45 |
- |
1 |
6 |
661LV |
|
9/19-21/00 # |
50 |
42 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
657LV |
|
9/18-20/00 # |
51 |
41 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
657LV |
|
9/17-19/00 # |
49 |
43 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
678LV |
|
9/16-18/00 # |
48 |
44 |
- |
2 |
6 |
697LV |
|
9/15-17/00 # |
48 |
43 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
741LV |
|
9/14-16/00 # |
49 |
41 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
728LV |
|
9/13-15/00 # |
48 |
42 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
736LV |
|
9/12-14/00 # |
49 |
42 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
690LV |
|
9/11-13/00 # |
49 |
42 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
701LV |
|
9/10-12/00 # |
49 |
41 |
1 |
4 |
5 |
685LV |
|
9/9-11/00 # |
48 |
42 |
1 |
4 |
5 |
732LV |
|
9/8-10/00 # |
49 |
42 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
727LV |
|
9/7-9/00 # |
47 |
44 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
704LV |
|
9/6-8/00 # |
45 |
46 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
675LV |
|
9/5-7/00 # |
46 |
43 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
667LV |
|
9/4-6/00 # |
47 |
44 |
- |
3 |
6 |
777LV |
|
8/24-27/00 |
45 |
46 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
664LV |
|
8/18-19/00 |
47 |
46 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
697LV |
|
8/11-12/00 |
39 |
55 |
- |
2 |
4 |
641LV |
|
8/7/00 |
43 |
45 |
1 |
4 |
7 |
667RV |
|
@ Vote projection,
with undecideds allocated (1% chose other candidates). |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| Marist College |
|
11/1-2/00 |
44 |
49 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
623LV |
|
9/27-28, 10/1/00 |
45 |
47 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
588LV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| NBC News Poll
conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Robert Teeter (R) |
|
10/18/00 |
43 |
45 |
1 |
3 |
8 |
LV |
|
8/17/00 |
46 |
43 |
1 |
2 |
8 |
506RV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| NBC News/Wall
Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and
Robert Teeter (R) |
|
11/3-5/00 |
44 |
47 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
1,026LV |
|
11/2-3/00 |
44 |
47 |
2 |
4 |
3 |
751LV |
|
10/13-15/00 |
42 |
48 |
1 |
5 |
4 |
LV |
|
9/7-10/00 |
45 |
42 |
1 |
4 |
8 |
2,017RV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| Newsweek
Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates |
|
10/31 - 11/2/00 |
43 |
45 |
- |
5 |
7 |
808LV |
|
10/25-27/00 |
41 |
49 |
1 |
4 |
5 |
818LV |
|
10/18-20/00 |
41 |
48 |
1 |
5 |
5 |
800LV |
|
10/12-13/00 |
43 |
45 |
1 |
4 |
7 |
803LV |
|
10/4-6/00 |
44 |
43 |
1 |
6 |
6 |
804LV |
|
9/27-29/00 |
44 |
45 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
772LV |
|
9/20-22/00 |
47 |
45 |
- |
3 |
5 |
766LV |
|
9/14-15/00 |
52 |
38 |
2 |
3 |
5 |
580LV |
|
9/7-8/00 |
49 |
41 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
595LV |
|
8/30-31/00 |
49 |
39 |
1 |
3 |
8 |
755RV |
|
8/24-25/00 |
46 |
42 |
1 |
2 |
9 |
753RV |
|
8/17-18/00 |
48 |
42 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
806RV |
|
8/10-11/00 |
38 |
48 |
3 |
3 |
8 |
586RV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| Pew Research
Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research
Associates |
|
11/2-5/00 @ |
47 |
49 |
- |
4 |
|
1,301LV |
|
11/2-5/00 |
43 |
45 |
- |
4 |
8 |
1,301LV |
|
11/1-4/00 |
43 |
46 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
1,307LV |
|
10/25-29/00 |
43 |
47 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
1,062LV |
|
10/18-22/00 |
45 |
45 |
1 |
4 |
5 |
663LV |
|
10/4-8/00 |
44 |
45 |
- |
5 |
6 |
LV |
|
8/24 - 9/10/00 |
47 |
41 |
1 |
2 |
9 |
1,999RV |
|
@ Vote projection,
with undecideds allocated. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| Wirthlin
Worldwide (R) |
|
10/20-23/00 |
43 |
47 |
2 |
4 |
5 |
751LV |
|
10/6-9/00 |
43 |
47 |
- |
3 |
6 |
730LV |
|
9/22-25/00 |
43 |
42 |
1 |
2 |
11 |
713LV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
#
Tracking poll |
LV = likely voters
RV = registered voters |
|
|
|
Al
Gore
(D) |
George
W. Bush
(R) |
Pat
Buchanan
(Reform) |
Ralph
Nader
(Green) |
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
N |
| ABC News/Washington
Post Poll |
|
8/4-6/00 |
37 |
52 |
3 |
5 |
2 |
LV |
|
7/26-29/00 |
37 |
52 |
2 |
7 |
3 |
LV |
|
7/20-23/00 |
38 |
46 |
6 |
8 |
3 |
LV |
|
6/8-11/00 |
43 |
48 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
LV |
|
5/7-10/00 |
38 |
48 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
LV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| American
Viewpoint (R) |
|
10/18-22/00 |
40 |
42 |
2 |
5 |
11 |
800LV |
|
9/5-7/00 |
41 |
41 |
2 |
4 |
12 |
800LV |
|
7/23-25/00 |
34 |
43 |
3 |
6 |
14 |
800LV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| Bloomberg
News Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates |
|
7/11-17/00 |
39 |
41 |
2 |
5 |
13 |
916RV |
|
5/25 - 6/4/00 |
38 |
41 |
2 |
4 |
15 |
1,208 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| CBS News
Poll |
|
11/4-6/00 |
45 |
44 |
1 |
4 |
6 |
1,091LV |
|
11/2-5/00 |
42 |
46 |
1 |
5 |
6 |
1,273LV |
|
11/1-3/00 |
44 |
46 |
1 |
4 |
5 |
825LV |
|
10/29-31/00 |
45 |
45 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
965LV |
|
10/6-9/00 |
44 |
44 |
2 |
4 |
6 |
999LV |
|
8/18-20/00 |
45 |
44 |
1 |
6 |
4 |
956RV |
|
8/4-6/00 |
34 |
50 |
1 |
5 |
10 |
868RV |
|
7/13-16/00 |
40 |
44 |
4 |
4 |
8 |
596RV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| CBS News/New
York Times Poll |
|
11/1-4/00 |
42 |
47 |
1 |
5 |
5 |
1,158LV |
|
10/18-21/00 |
44 |
46 |
1 |
4 |
5 |
825LV |
|
9/27-10/1/00 |
47 |
43 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
963LV |
|
9/9-11/00 |
46 |
42 |
2 |
4 |
6 |
843RV |
|
7/20-23/00 |
40 |
45 |
3 |
5 |
7 |
743RV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| CNN/Time
Poll conducted by Yankelovich Partners |
|
6/14-15/00 |
42 |
48 |
3 |
4 |
3 |
589LV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| Democracy
Corps conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Research (D) |
|
10/30-31/00 |
45 |
45 |
2 |
5 |
3 |
1,016LV |
|
10/24-25/00 |
46 |
44 |
2 |
5 |
4 |
998LV |
|
10/9-10/00 |
46 |
43 |
1 |
5 |
4 |
1,027LV |
|
9/27-30/00 |
47 |
44 |
2 |
4 |
3 |
1,000LV |
|
9/4-9/00 |
46 |
43 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
1,019LV |
|
8/8-10/00 |
39 |
48 |
3 |
6 |
4 |
1,007LV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| EMILY's
List poll conducted by Garin-Hart-Yang (D) and Lake, Snell, Perry &
Associates (D) |
|
9/9-13/00 |
44 |
41 |
2 |
4 |
9 |
1,267LV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| Fox
News/Opinion Dynamics Poll |
|
11/1-2/00 |
43 |
43 |
1 |
3 |
10 |
1,000LV |
|
10/18-19/00 |
42 |
45 |
- |
4 |
9 |
900LV |
|
10/4-5/00 |
43 |
42 |
2 |
5 |
8 |
900LV |
|
9/20-21/00 |
43 |
43 |
1 |
4 |
9 |
900LV |
|
9/6-7/00 |
45 |
43 |
2 |
3 |
7 |
900LV |
|
7/26-27/00 |
37 |
46 |
2 |
6 |
9 |
LV |
|
7/12-13/00 |
36 |
44 |
4 |
8 |
8 |
900RV |
|
6/28-29/00 |
37 |
42 |
2 |
7 |
12 |
900RV |
|
6/7-8/00 |
32 |
39 |
2 |
3 |
24 |
900RV |
|
5/24-25/00 |
35 |
42 |
2 |
3 |
18 |
900RV |
|
5/10-11/00 |
33 |
40 |
2 |
2 |
23 |
900RV |
|
4/26-27/00 |
31 |
37 |
3 |
3 |
26 |
903RV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| Gallup/CNN/USA
Today Poll |
|
7/14-16/00 |
43 |
45 |
3 |
5 |
4 |
628LV |
|
6/23-25/00 |
38 |
50 |
2 |
6 |
4 |
560LV |
|
6/6-7/00 |
41 |
46 |
2 |
6 |
5 |
528LV |
|
4/28-30/00 |
41 |
47 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
499LV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| The Harris Poll |
|
11/3-5/00 @ |
47 |
47 |
- |
5 |
- |
1,348LV |
|
10/19-26/00 |
43 |
48 |
1 |
5 |
3 |
813LV |
|
9/8-17/00 |
49 |
41 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
781LV |
|
8/8-14/00 |
43 |
42 |
5 |
6 |
2 |
876RV |
|
7/13-17/00 |
40 |
45 |
4 |
7 |
4 |
RV |
|
6/8-12/00 |
40 |
47 |
4 |
6 |
4 |
RV |
|
@ Vote projection,
with undecideds allocated (1% chose other candidates). |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| Hotline
Bullseye Poll conducted by the polling company (R) and Global Strategy Group (D) |
|
7/8-10/00 |
35 |
39 |
3 |
7 |
16 |
1,001LV |
|
5/22-24/00 |
35 |
40 |
3 |
5 |
17 |
1,011LV |
|
4/15-18/00 |
31 |
| |