|
|
Daily Kos
Tracking Poll conducted by Research 2000. Three-day rolling average. N=1,100
likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
Generic Congressional Ballot: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Democrat |
Republican |
Unsure |
|
|
|
Survey end date |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
10/5/08 |
48 |
34 |
18 |
|
|
|
10/4/08 |
48 |
35 |
17 |
|
|
|
10/3/08 |
46 |
36 |
18 |
|
|
|
10/2/08 |
47 |
37 |
16 |
|
|
|
10/1/08 |
46 |
37 |
17 |
|
|
|
9/30/08 |
45 |
37 |
18 |
|
|
|
9/29/08 |
46 |
37 |
17 |
|
|
|
9/28/08 |
49 |
37 |
14 |
|
|
|
9/27/08 |
49 |
38 |
11 |
|
|
|
9/26/08 |
49 |
39 |
10 |
|
|
|
9/25/08 |
49 |
40 |
11 |
|
|
|
9/24/08 |
50 |
41 |
9 |
|
|
|
9/23/08 |
49 |
43 |
8 |
|
|
|
9/22/08 |
49 |
42 |
9 |
|
|
|
9/21/08 |
48 |
42 |
10 |
|
|
|
9/20/08 |
48 |
41 |
11 |
|
|
|
9/19/08 |
48 |
40 |
12 |
|
|
|
9/18/08 |
49 |
40 |
11 |
|
|
|
9/17/08 |
49 |
39 |
12 |
|
|
|
9/16/08 |
48 |
39 |
13 |
|
|
|
9/15/08 |
48 |
40 |
12 |
|
|
|
9/14/08 |
48 |
41 |
11 |
|
|
|
9/13/08 |
47 |
41 |
12 |
|
|
|
9/12/08 |
46 |
40 |
14 |
|
|
|
9/11/08 |
47 |
41 |
12 |
|
|
|
9/10/08 |
47 |
40 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
Diageo/Hotline
Daily Tracker Poll conducted by FD. Three-day rolling average. N=approx. 900
registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Now thinking about the next elections for U.S. Congress,
if the elections for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for
the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Democrat |
Republican |
Neither (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
Survey end date |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
10/5/08 |
43 |
36 |
|
|
|
|
10/4/08 |
43 |
36 |
|
|
|
|
10/3/08 |
44 |
37 |
|
|
|
|
10/2/08 |
44 |
36 |
|
|
|
|
10/1/08 |
45 |
36 |
|
|
|
|
9/30/08 |
44 |
36 |
|
|
|
|
9/29/08 |
43 |
36 |
|
|
|
|
9/28/08 |
44 |
36 |
|
|
|
|
9/27/08 |
45 |
35 |
|
|
|
|
9/26/08 |
46 |
34 |
|
|
|
|
9/25/08 |
46 |
34 |
|
|
|
|
9/24/08 |
43 |
35 |
|
|
|
|
9/23/08 |
45 |
34 |
|
|
|
|
9/22/08 |
44 |
35 |
|
|
|
|
9/21/08 |
44 |
35 |
|
|
|
|
9/20/08 |
43 |
37 |
|
|
|
|
9/19/08 |
41 |
36 |
|
|
|
|
9/18/08 |
43 |
35 |
|
|
|
|
9/17/08 |
43 |
36 |
|
|
|
|
9/16/08 |
43 |
36 |
|
|
|
|
9/15/08 |
42 |
37 |
|
|
|
|
9/14/08 |
42 |
36 |
|
|
|
|
9/13/08 |
44 |
35 |
|
|
|
|
9/12/08 |
44 |
34 |
|
|
|
|
9/11/08 |
44 |
35 |
|
|
|
|
9/10/08 |
43 |
35 |
|
|
|
|
9/9/08 |
42 |
35 |
8 |
14 |
|
|
9/8/08 |
42 |
34 |
7 |
16 |
|
|
9/7/08 |
42 |
33 |
7 |
18 |
|
|
9/4/08 |
45 |
35 |
6 |
14 |
|
|
|
NBC News/Wall
Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D)
and Neil Newhouse (R). Oct. 4-5, 2008. N=658 registered voters nationwide. MoE ±
3.8. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"What is your preference for the outcome of this year's
congressional elections: a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress
controlled by Democrats?" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Democrats |
Republicans |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
10/4-5/08 |
49 |
36 |
15 |
|
|
|
9/19-22/08 |
50 |
37 |
13 |
|
|
|
8/15-18/08 |
47 |
36 |
17 |
|
|
|
7/18-21/08 |
49 |
36 |
15 |
|
|
|
6/6-9/08 |
52 |
33 |
15 |
|
|
|
4/25-28/08 |
49 |
34 |
17 |
|
|
|
3/7-10/08 |
49 |
35 |
16 |
|
|
|
12/14-17/07 |
48 |
34 |
18 |
|
|
|
11/1-5/07 |
46 |
37 |
17 |
|
|
|
9/7-10/07 |
47 |
35 |
18 |
|
|
|
|
George
Washington University
Battleground
Poll
conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D).
Sept. 28-Oct. 2, 2008. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.1. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"And, still thinking about the 2008 elections: If the
election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice,
would you be voting for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate
in your congressional district?" If unsure: "And which party's
candidate do you lean toward at this time?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Democrat |
Republican |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
9/28 - 10/2/08
* |
49 |
37 |
14 |
|
|
|
9/21-25/08
* |
46 |
41 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
9/7-11/08 |
48 |
40 |
12 |
|
|
|
8/10-14/08 |
47 |
40 |
13 |
|
|
|
5/11-14/08 |
49 |
40 |
11 |
|
|
|
12/9-12/07 |
46 |
40 |
14 |
|
|
|
7/15-18/07 |
47 |
40 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
* Tracking
poll |
|
|
AP-GfK Poll
conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media. Sept. 27-30, 2008. N=808
likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.4. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Do you want to see the Republicans or
Democrats win control of Congress?" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Democrats |
Republicans |
Don't Care
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
9/27-30/08 |
49 |
36 |
10 |
5 |
|
|
9/5-10/08 |
46 |
41 |
10 |
3 |
|
|
|
Los Angeles
Times/Bloomberg Poll. Sept. 19-22, 2008. N=838 likely voters nationwide. MoE
± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"If the elections for Congress were being held today,
which party would you like to see win in your congressional district: the
Democratic Party or the Republican Party?"
Results include leaners |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Democrat |
Republican |
Other (vol.) |
Neither (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
9/19-22/08 |
51 |
41 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
|
|
CNN/Opinion
Research Corporation
Poll.
Sept. 19-21, 2008. N=697 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.
LV = likely voters. RV = registered
voters. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"If the elections for Congress were being held today,
which party's candidate would you vote for in your
congressional district: the Democratic Party candidate or
the Republican Party candidate?" If unsure: "As of today, who do you lean
more toward?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Democratic
Candidate |
Republican
Candidate |
Neither (vol.) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
9/19-21/08
LV |
56 |
42 |
1 |
- |
- |
|
9/5-7/08
RV |
49 |
46 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|
6/4-5/08
RV |
54 |
44 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
11/2-4/07
RV |
53 |
42 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
|
6/22-24/07
RV |
53 |
41 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
CBS News/New
York Times Poll. Sept. 12-16, 2008. N=1,004 registered voters nationwide. MoE
± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"If the 2008 election for U.S. House of Representatives
were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the
Democratic candidate in your district?" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Democrat |
Republican |
Depends (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
9/12-16/08 |
51 |
31 |
10 |
8 |
|
|
4/25-29/08 |
50 |
32 |
7 |
11 |
|
|
|
Newsweek Poll
conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Sept. 10-11,
2008. N=1,038 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.8. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Now, thinking about the election for
U.S. Congress: If the election were being held TODAY, would you be more
likely to vote for the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican
Party's candidate for Congress in your district?" If other/unsure:
"As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward the Democrat or the Republican for
Congress in your district?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Democrat |
Republican |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
9/10-11/08 |
49 |
41 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
USA
Today/Gallup Poll. Sept. 5-7, 2008. N=823 likely voters nationwide. MoE ±
4.
RV = registered voters |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Now, turning to next year's
congressional elections -- If the elections for Congress were being held
today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional
district: the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's
candidate?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward the
Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Democrat |
Republican |
Other (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
9/5-7/08 |
45 |
50 |
6 |
|
|
|
8/21-23/08 |
51 |
42 |
7 |
|
|
|
6/15-19/08 |
52 |
42 |
7 |
|
|
|
2/8-10/08 |
55 |
41 |
3 |
|
|
|
12/14-16/07
RV |
53 |
40 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
FOX
News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Aug. 19-20, 2008. N=900 registered voters
nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Thinking ahead to this November's
elections, if the congressional election were held today, would you vote for
the Democratic candidate in your district or the Republican candidate in
your district?" If unsure: "Well, if you had to vote, which way would
you lean?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Democrat |
Republican |
Other (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
8/19-20/08 |
45 |
38 |
16 |
|
|
|
|
Associated
Press-Ipsos poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. July 31-Aug. 4,
2008. N=833 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.4. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"And if the election for Congress were held today, would you
want to see the Republicans or Democrats win control of Congress?" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Democrats |
Republicans |
Neither (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
7/31 - 8/4/08 |
53 |
35 |
8 |
4 |
|
|
|
USA
Today/Gallup Poll. July 25-27, 2008. N=791 likely voters nationwide. MoE
± 4. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Please tell me whether you think each of the following
political office-holders deserves to be reelected, or not. How about the
U.S. representative in your congressional district?" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Deserves |
Does Not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
7/25-27/08 |
58 |
30 |
12 |
|
&n | |