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   Congress 2008             See also:  Ratings of Congress


Polls listed chronologically.
   
SENATE and HOUSE race polls are in our subscriber area. INFO

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Daily Kos Tracking Poll conducted by Research 2000. Three-day rolling average. N=1,100 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

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Generic Congressional Ballot:

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Democrat Republican Unsure    

Survey end date

% % %    

10/5/08

48 34 18    

10/4/08

48 35 17    

10/3/08

46 36 18    

10/2/08

47 37 16    

10/1/08

46 37 17    

9/30/08

45 37 18    

9/29/08

46 37 17    

9/28/08

49 37 14    

9/27/08

49 38 11    

9/26/08

49 39 10    

9/25/08

49 40 11    

9/24/08

50 41 9    

9/23/08

49 43 8    

9/22/08

49 42 9    

9/21/08

48 42 10    

9/20/08

48 41 11    

9/19/08

48 40 12    

9/18/08

49 40 11    

9/17/08

49 39 12    

9/16/08

48 39 13    

9/15/08

48 40 12    

9/14/08

48 41 11    

9/13/08

47 41 12    

9/12/08

46 40 14    

9/11/08

47 41 12    

9/10/08

47 40 13    

 

Diageo/Hotline Daily Tracker Poll conducted by FD. Three-day rolling average. N=approx. 900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.3.

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"Now thinking about the next elections for U.S. Congress, if the elections for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?" Options rotated

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Democrat Republican Neither (vol.) Unsure  

Survey end date

% % % %  

10/5/08

43 36      

10/4/08

43 36      

10/3/08

44 37      

10/2/08

44 36      

10/1/08

45 36      

9/30/08

44 36      

9/29/08

43 36      

9/28/08

44 36      

9/27/08

45 35      

9/26/08

46 34      

9/25/08

46 34      

9/24/08

43 35      

9/23/08

45 34      

9/22/08

44 35      

9/21/08

44 35      

9/20/08

43 37      

9/19/08

41 36      

9/18/08

43 35      

9/17/08

43 36      

9/16/08

43 36      

9/15/08

42 37      

9/14/08

42 36      

9/13/08

44 35      

9/12/08

44 34      

9/11/08

44 35      

9/10/08

43 35      

9/9/08

42 35 8 14  

9/8/08

42 34 7 16  

9/7/08

42 33 7 18  

9/4/08

45 35 6 14  

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Neil Newhouse (R). Oct. 4-5, 2008. N=658 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.8.

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"What is your preference for the outcome of this year's congressional elections: a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?"

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Democrats Republicans Unsure    
% % %    

10/4-5/08

49 36 15    

9/19-22/08

50 37 13    

8/15-18/08

47 36 17    

7/18-21/08

49 36 15    

6/6-9/08

52 33 15    

4/25-28/08

49 34 17    

3/7-10/08

49 35 16    

12/14-17/07

48 34 18    

11/1-5/07

46 37 17    

9/7-10/07

47 35 18    

 

George Washington University Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). Sept. 28-Oct. 2, 2008. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.1.

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"And, still thinking about the 2008 elections: If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your congressional district?" If unsure: "And which party's candidate do you lean toward at this time?" Options rotated

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Democrat Republican Unsure    
% % %    

9/28 - 10/2/08 *

49 37 14    

9/21-25/08 *

46 41 13    

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9/7-11/08

48 40 12    

8/10-14/08

47 40 13    

5/11-14/08

49 40 11    

12/9-12/07

46 40 14    

7/15-18/07

47 40 13    

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* Tracking poll


 

AP-GfK Poll conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media. Sept. 27-30, 2008. N=808 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.4.

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"Do you want to see the Republicans or Democrats win control of Congress?"

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Democrats Republicans Don't Care
(vol.)
Unsure  

 

% % % %  

9/27-30/08

49 36 10 5  

9/5-10/08

46 41 10 3  

 

Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll. Sept. 19-22, 2008. N=838 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

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"If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party would you like to see win in your congressional district: the Democratic Party or the Republican Party?" Results include leaners

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Democrat Republican Other (vol.) Neither (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

9/19-22/08

51 41 1 1 6

 

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Sept. 19-21, 2008. N=697 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5. LV = likely voters. RV = registered voters.

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"If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district: the Democratic Party candidate or the Republican Party candidate?" If unsure: "As of today, who do you lean more toward?" Options rotated

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Democratic
Candidate
Republican
Candidate
Neither (vol.) Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

9/19-21/08 LV

56 42 1 - -

9/5-7/08 RV

49 46 2 1 1

6/4-5/08 RV

54 44 1 1 1

11/2-4/07 RV

53 42 3 1 1

6/22-24/07 RV

53 41 3 1 2

 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. Sept. 12-16, 2008. N=1,004 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

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"If the 2008 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?"

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Democrat Republican Depends (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  

9/12-16/08

51 31 10 8  

4/25-29/08

50 32 7 11  

 

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Sept. 10-11, 2008. N=1,038 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.8.

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"Now, thinking about the election for U.S. Congress: If the election were being held TODAY, would you be more likely to vote for the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate for Congress in your district?" If other/unsure: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward the Democrat or the Republican for Congress in your district?" Options rotated

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Democrat Republican Unsure    

 

% % %    

9/10-11/08

49 41 10    

 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Sept. 5-7, 2008. N=823 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 4. RV = registered voters

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"Now, turning to next year's congressional elections -- If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district: the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?" Options rotated

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Democrat Republican Other (vol.)/
Unsure
   
% % %    

9/5-7/08

45 50 6    

8/21-23/08

51 42 7    

6/15-19/08

52 42 7    

2/8-10/08

55 41 3    

12/14-16/07 RV

53 40 7    

 

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Aug. 19-20, 2008. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

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"Thinking ahead to this November's elections, if the congressional election were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate in your district or the Republican candidate in your district?" If unsure: "Well, if you had to vote, which way would you lean?" Options rotated

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Democrat Republican Other (vol.)/
Unsure
   
% % %    

8/19-20/08

45 38 16    

 

Associated Press-Ipsos poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. July 31-Aug. 4, 2008. N=833 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.4.

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"And if the election for Congress were held today, would you want to see the Republicans or Democrats win control of Congress?"

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Democrats Republicans Neither (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  
7/31 - 8/4/08 53 35 8 4  

 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. July 25-27, 2008. N=791 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.

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"Please tell me whether you think each of the following political office-holders deserves to be reelected, or not. How about the U.S. representative in your congressional district?"

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Deserves Does Not Unsure    
% % %    
7/25-27/08 58 30 12   &n