Congress 2008

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Congress 2008 See also: Ratings of Congress

Polls listed chronologically. SENATE and HOUSE race polls are in our subscriber area. INFO
.

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Neil Newhouse (R). Nov. 1-2, 2008. N=1,011 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.1. LV = likely voters. Among registered voters, except where noted.
					.
"What is your preference for the outcome of this year's congressional elections: a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?"
					.
		Democrats	Republicans	Unsure
		%	%	%
	11/1-2/08 LV	48	36	16
	10/17-20/08	49	38	13
	10/4-5/08	49	36	15
	9/19-22/08	50	37	13
	8/15-18/08	47	36	17
	7/18-21/08	49	36	15
	6/6-9/08	52	33	15
	4/25-28/08	49	34	17
	3/7-10/08	49	35	16
	12/14-17/07	48	34	18
	11/1-5/07	46	37	17
	9/7-10/07	47	35	18

Diageo/Hotline Daily Tracker Poll conducted by FD. Three-day rolling average. N=approx. 900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.3.
						.
"Now thinking about the next elections for U.S. Congress, if the elections for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?" Options rotated
						.
		Democratic	Republican	Neither (vol.)	Unsure
	End date	%	%	%	%
	11/2/08	44	39
	11/1/08	45	38
	10/31/08	45	38
	10/30/08	46	37
	10/29/08	46	38
	10/28/08	47	37
	10/27/08	46	38
	10/26/08	47	37
	10/25/08	45	37
	10/24/08	46	38
	10/23/08	44	37
	10/22/08	43	39
	10/21/08	43	37
	10/20/08	43	37
	10/19/08	42	37
	10/18/08	42	37
	10/17/08	42	39
	10/16/08	43	37
	10/15/08	44	38
	10/14/08	45	35
	10/13/08	45	35
	10/12/08	45	34
	10/11/08	45	33
	10/10/08	44	31
	10/9/08	42	34
	10/8/08	43	36
	10/7/08	43	38
	10/6/08	43	37
	10/5/08	43	36
	10/4/08	43	36
	10/3/08	44	37
	10/2/08	44	36
	10/1/08	45	36
	9/30/08	44	36
	9/29/08	43	36
	9/28/08	44	36
	9/27/08	45	35
	9/26/08	46	34
	9/25/08	46	34
	9/24/08	43	35
	9/23/08	45	34
	9/22/08	44	35
	9/21/08	44	35
	9/20/08	43	37
	9/19/08	41	36
	9/18/08	43	35
	9/17/08	43	36
	9/16/08	43	36
	9/15/08	42	37
	9/14/08	42	36
	9/13/08	44	35
	9/12/08	44	34
	9/11/08	44	35
	9/10/08	43	35
	9/9/08	42	35	8	14
	9/8/08	42	34	7	16
	9/7/08	42	33	7	18
	9/4/08	45	35	6	14

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Oct. 31-Nov. 2, 2008. Voters nationwide.
					.
"If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district: the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?" Options rotated
					.
		Democratic Candidate	Republican Candidate	Other (vol.)/ Unsure
		%	%	%
					.
	Among likely voters -- expanded model* (current voting intention only):* N=2,458, MoE ą 2
					.
	10/31 - 11/2/08 *	54	41	6
	10/10-12/08	51	45	5
					.
	Among likely voters -- traditional model* (current voting intention and past voting behavior):* N=2,472, MoE ą 2
					.
	10/31 - 11/2/08 *	53	41	6
	10/10-12/08	51	45	5
	9/5-7/08	45	50	6
	8/21-23/08	51	42	7
	6/15-19/08	52	42	7
	2/8-10/08	55	41	3
					.
	Among registered voters: N=2,824, MoE ą 2
					.
	10/31 - 11/2/08 *	54	39	7
	12/14-16/07	53	40	7
					.
	* Tracking poll

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Oct. 30-Nov. 1, 2008. N=714 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.5. LV = likely voters. RV = registered voters.
						.
"If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district: the Democratic Party candidate or the Republican Party candidate?" If unsure: "As of today, who do you lean more toward?" Options rotated
						.
		Democratic Candidate	Republican Candidate	Neither (vol.)	Other (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%
	10/30 - 11/1/08 LV	54	45	1	-	-
	10/3-5/08 LV	52	47	-	-	-
	9/19-21/08 LV	56	42	1	-	-
	9/5-7/08 RV	49	46	2	1	1
	6/4-5/08 RV	54	44	1	1	1
	11/2-4/07 RV	53	42	3	1	1
	6/22-24/07 RV	53	41	3	1	2

George Washington University Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). Oct. 23, 26-29, 2008. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.1.
					.
"And, still thinking about the 2008 elections: If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your congressional district?" If unsure: "And which party's candidate do you lean toward at this time?" Options rotated
					.
		Democratic	Republican	Unsure
		%	%	%
	10/23, 26-29/08 *	45	41	14
	10/19-22/08 *	48	40	12
	10/9, 12-15/08 *	48	40	11
	10/6-9/08 *	49	38	13
	9/28 - 10/2/08 *	49	37	14
	9/21-25/08 *	46	41	13
					.
	9/7-11/08	48	40	12
	8/10-14/08	47	40	13
	5/11-14/08	49	40	11
	12/9-12/07	46	40	14
	7/15-18/07	47	40	13
					.
	* Tracking poll

CBS News/New York Times Poll. Oct. 25-29, 2008. Likely voters nationwide (from a sample of 1,439 adults). LV = likely voters. RV = registered voters.
						.
"If the 2008 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?"
						.
		Democratic	Republican	Depends (vol.)	Won't Vote (vol.)	Other (vol.)/ Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%
	10/25-29/08 LV	48	36	7	0	9
	10/19-22/08 LV	48	36	8	0	8
	10/10-13/08 LV	48	34	9	2	7
	9/12-16/08 LV	51	32	9	0	8
	4/25-29/08 RV	50	32	7	-	11

AP-GfK Poll conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media. Oct. 16-20, 2008. N=800 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.5.
						.
"Do you want to see the Republicans or Democrats win control of Congress?"
						.
		Democrats	Republicans	Don't Care (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	10/16-20/08	43	37	16	3
	9/27-30/08	49	36	10	5
	9/5-10/08	46	41	10	3

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Oct. 17-19, 2008. N=approx. 370 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 5. LV = likely voters
					.
"Please tell me whether you think each of the following political officeholders deserves to be reelected or not. . . ."
					.
		Deserves Reelection	Does Not Deserve Reelection	Unsure
		%	%	%
					.
	"The U.S. representatives in your congressional district"
	10/17-19/08 LV	57	37	7
	11/2-4/07 Adults	58	39	4
					.
	"Most members of Congress"
	10/17-19/08 LV	38	57	5
	11/2-4/07 Adults	42	53	5
					.
	"Most Democratic members of Congress"
	10/17-19/08 LV	50	44	6
	11/2-4/07 Adults	50	44	6
					.
	"Most Republican members of Congress"
	10/17-19/08 LV	40	54	5
	11/2-4/07 Adults	38	58	5

Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll. Oct. 10-13, 2008. N=1,446 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.
						.
"If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party would you like to see win in your congressional district: the Democratic Party or the Republican Party?" Results include leaners
						.
		Democratic Party	Republican Party	Other (vol.)	Neither (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%
	10/10-13/08	45	39	1	4	11
	9/19-22/08	51	41	1	1	6

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Oct. 8-9, 2008. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.
					.
"If the November congressional election were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate in your district or the Republican candidate in your district?" If unsure: "Well, if you had to vote, which way would you lean?" Options rotated
					.
		Democratic	Republican	Other (vol.)/ Unsure
		%	%	%
	10/8-9/08	44	36	19
	8/19-20/08	45	38	16

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Sept. 10-11, 2008. N=1,038 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.8.
					.
"Now, thinking about the election for U.S. Congress: If the election were being held TODAY, would you be more likely to vote for the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate for Congress in your district?" If other/unsure: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward the Democrat or the Republican for Congress in your district?" Options rotated
					.
		Democrat	Republican	Unsure
		%	%	%
	9/10-11/08	49	41	10

Associated Press-Ipsos poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. July 31-Aug. 4, 2008. N=833 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.4.
						.
"And if the election for Congress were held today, would you want to see the Republicans or Democrats win control of Congress?"
						.
		Democrats	Republicans	Neither (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	7/31 - 8/4/08	53	35	8	4

USA Today/Gallup Poll. July 25-27, 2008. N=791 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 4.
					.
"Please tell me whether you think each of the following political office-holders deserves to be reelected, or not. How about the U.S. representative in your congressional district?"
					.
		Deserves	Does Not	Unsure
		%	%	%
	7/25-27/08	58	30	12
	2/8-10/08	62	27	11
					.
"How about most members of Congress?"
					.
		Deserves	Does Not	Unsure
		%	%	%
	7/25-27/08	34	54	12
	2/8-10/08	38	52	10

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Neil Newhouse (R). July 18-21, 2008. N=1,003 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.1.
					.
"In the next election for U.S. Congress, do you feel that your representative deserves to be reelected, or do you think that it is time to give a new person a chance?"
					.
		Reelected	New Person	Unsure
		%	%	%
	7/18-21/08	40	47	13
	11/1-5/07	39	51	10
	6/8-11/07	41	48	11

McLaughlin & Associates (R). June 26-29, 2008. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.1.
					.
"If the election for U.S. Congress in your district were held today, would you be more likely to vote for the Republican candidate, or the Democratic candidate?"
					.
		Democrat	Republican	Unsure
		%	%	%
	6/26-29/08	43	34	23

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. June 18-29, 2008. N=1,574 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.
					.
"If the elections for U.S. Congress were being held TODAY, would you vote for the Republican Party's candidate or the Democratic Party's candidate for Congress in your district?" If "other" or "unsure": "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to the Republican or the Democrat?"
					.
		Democrat	Republican	Other/Unsure
		%	%	%
	6/18-29/08	52	37	11

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. June 12-15, 2008. N=1,125 adults nationwide. MoE ą 3. Fieldwork by TNS. Results below based on registered voters.
						.
"If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your congressional district?" If other/neither/unsure: "Would you lean toward the Democratic candidate or toward the Republican candidate?" Options rotated
						.
		Democrat	Republican	Neither (vol.)	Won't Vote (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%
	6/12-15/08	53	38	1	1	7

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Feb. 20-24, 2008. N=1,240 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.5.
					.
"Would you like to see your representative in Congress be reelected in the upcoming congressional election, or not?"
					.
		Yes	No	Isn't Running (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	2/20-24/08	60	22	1	17
					.
"Regardless of how you feel about your own representative, would you like to see most members of Congress reelected in the upcoming congressional election, or not?"
					.
		Yes	No	Unsure
		%	%	%
	2/20-24/08	36	49	15

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Oct. 29-Nov. 1, 2007. N=1,131 adults nationwide. MoE ą 3. Fieldwork by TNS.
						.
"Thinking ahead to November 2008, regardless of your local contest, which party would you like to see in control of Congress after the next congressional elections: the Democrats or the Republicans?" Options rotated
						.
		Democrats	Republicans	Neither (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	10/29 - 11/1/07	54	40	3	2

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Oct. 23-24, 2007. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.
						.
"When you think about Congress, do you think the average representative deserves to be reelected, or would we be better off throwing most of them out and starting over with new people?"
						.
		Deserves Reelection	Throw Most Of Them Out	It Depends (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	10/23-24/07	26	45	20	9
	8/6-7/02	31	42	18	9
	10/28-29/98	35	44	14	7
						.
"How about your representative? Do you think he or she deserves to be reelected?"
						.
		Yes	No	Unsure
		%	%	%
	10/23-24/07	50	29	21
	8/6-7/02	57	23	20
	10/28-29/98	62	20	18
	9/9-10/98	66	17	17
	6/30 - 7/1/98	61	20	19

Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll. Feb. 15-18, 2007. N=840 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.4 (for all registered voters).
						.
"Regardless of how you might plan to vote in your own district, which party would you like to see in control of Congress after the congressional elections in 2008: the Democrats or the Republicans?" If other/unsure: "Well, which way do you lean -- more toward the Democrats or the Republicans?" Options rotated
						.
		Democrats	Republicans	Other (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	ALL reg. voters	52	36	4	7
	Republicans	7	89	1	3
	Independents	47	27	12	14
	Democrats	96	2	-	2

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