|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Aug. 6-10, 2010. Nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in
the Republican primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please
tell me which candidate you would be most likely to support for the Republican
nomination for president in the year 2012, or if you would support someone else.
Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney. Former Alaska governor Sarah Palin.
Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee. Former speaker of the House Newt
Gingrich. Texas Congressman Ron Paul. Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty. Former
Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum. Indiana Congressman Mike Pence. Mississippi
Governor Haley Barbour."
N=494 Republicans
and independents who lean Republican, MoE ± 4.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
8/6-10/10 |
4/9-11/10 |
3/19-21/10 |
. |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
. |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
21 |
20 |
22 |
. |
|
|
Sarah Palin |
18 |
15 |
18 |
. |
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
15 |
14 |
8 |
. |
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
14 |
24 |
17 |
. |
|
|
Ron Paul |
10 |
8 |
8 |
. |
|
|
Haley Barbour |
3 |
1 |
1 |
. |
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
3 |
2 |
5 |
. |
|
|
Mike Pence |
3 |
2 |
4 |
. |
|
|
Rick Santorum |
2 |
3 |
5 |
. |
|
|
Someone else |
6 |
5 |
8 |
. |
|
|
No one
(vol.) |
- |
5 |
2 |
. |
|
|
Unsure |
4 |
1 |
3 |
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Do you think the Democratic Party should renominate Barack
Obama as the party's candidate for president in 2012, or do you think the
Democratic Party should nominate a different candidate for president in 2012?"
N=458 Democrats
and independents who lean Democratic, MoE ± 4.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Obama |
A different
candidate |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
8/6-10/10 |
74 |
23 |
2 |
|
|
|
3/19-21/10 |
76 |
20 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Suppose the 2012 presidential election were being held today.
If Barack Obama runs for reelection, are you more likely to vote for Obama, the
Democrat, or for the Republican Party's candidate for president?" If unsure:
"As of today, do you lean more to Obama, the Democrat, or to a Republican
candidate?"
N=935 registered
voters, MoE ± 3 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Obama |
Republican |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
8/6-10/10 |
45 |
50 |
3 |
1 |
|
|
3/25-28/10 |
47 |
48 |
4 |
1 |
|
|
3/19-21/10 |
47 |
47 |
4 |
2 |
|
|
|
Clarus Research Group. July 26-27, 2010. N=374 registered voters
nationwide who are Republicans or independents who lean Republican. MoE ± 5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Of the following possible candidates for the 2012 Republican
presidential nomination, which ONE would you now favor if you had to vote today:
Lamar Alexander, Haley Barbour, Mitch Daniels, Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee,
Sarah Palin, Tim Pawlenty, Mitt Romney, or John Thune?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
26 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mike
Huckabee |
21 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt
Gingrich |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Lamar
Alexander |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Haley Barbour |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitch Daniels |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
John Thune |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Quinnipiac University Poll. July 13-19, 2010. N=2,181 registered
voters nationwide. MoE ± 2.1. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If the 2012 election for president were being held today, do
you think you would vote for Barack Obama the Democratic candidate, or the
Republican candidate?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama |
Republican
candidate |
Depends on
candidate (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
7/13-19/10 |
36 |
39 |
13 |
12 |
|
|
3/16-21/10 |
40 |
41 |
9 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Looking ahead to the 2012 election for president, do you feel
that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not
deserve to be reelected?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Deserves to
be reelected |
Does not
deserve to
be reelected |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
7/13-19/10 |
40 |
48 |
12 |
|
|
|
3/16-21/10 |
40 |
48 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
Time Poll conducted by Abt SRBI. July 12-13, 2010. N=1,003 adults
nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"There will be an election for president in 2012. If the
presidential election were held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, the
Democrat, and Sarah Palin, the Republican, and you had to choose, for whom would
you vote?"
Options rotated.
Among registered voters. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Sarah
Palin (R) |
Other/
Neither (vol.) |
Would not
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
7/12-13/10 |
55 |
34 |
7 |
1 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of people who may be running for
president in the Republican Party in 2012. Please tell
me which one of these candidates you would be most likely to support for the
Republican nomination for president in the year 2012 if you had to choose today.
If you would most likely support someone else, please tell me. The candidates
are [see below]
-- or you can name someone else."
Options rotated.
Among Republicans and Republican leaners. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jeb Bush |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitch
Daniels |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Haley
Barbour |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Someone else
(vol.) |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"And are there any candidates who you probably could not support
for the Republican nomination? . . ."
Read names again,
if necessary, omitting choice from above. Multiple responses accepted. Among
Republicans and Republican leaners. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
22 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jeb Bush |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Haley
Barbour |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitch
Daniels |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Someone else
(vol.) |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
53 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
USA Today/Gallup Poll. June 11-13, 2010. N=926 registered voters
nationwide. MoE ± 4. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Please tell me whether you think each of the following
political officeholders deserves to be reelected, or not. How about President
Obama?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Deserves to
be reelected |
Does not
deserve to
be reelected |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/11-13/10 |
46 |
51 |
3 |
|
|
|
5/24-25/10 |
48 |
49 |
3 |
|
|
|
3/26-28/10 |
46 |
50 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. May 4-5, 2010. N=900 registered
voters nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Thinking ahead to the next presidential election: If the 2012
presidential election were held today, would you vote for Barack Obama, the
Democratic candidate, or for the Republican Party's candidate?"
If unsure:
"Well, if you had to vote, which way would you lean?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Obama |
Republican |
Other (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
5/4-5/10 |
41 |
41 |
6 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If the 2012 presidential election were held today, how would
you vote if the choices were Barack Obama, the Democrat, the Republican
candidate, and Mike Bloomberg, an independent?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Obama |
Republican |
Bloomberg |
Other (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
5/4-5/10 |
42 |
29 |
10 |
3 |
16 |
|
|
Allstate/National Journal Heartland Monitor Poll conducted by FD.
April 22-26, 2010. N=1,200 adults nationwide. MoE ± 2.8. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If the election for president in 2012 were held today, would
you definitely vote to reelect Obama, probably vote to reelect Obama, probably
vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Definitely
Obama |
Probably
Obama |
Probably
someone else |
Definitely
someone else |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
4/22-26/10 |
25 |
14 |
13 |
37 |
12 |
|
1/3-7/10 |
23 |
16 |
13 |
37 |
10 |
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. April 9-11, 2010. N=907
registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and
[see below]
were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for:
Obama, the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican?" If unsure:
"As of today, who do you lean more toward?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mitt
Romney (R) |
Neither
(vol.) |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/9-11/10 |
53 |
45 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mike
Huckabee (R) |
Neither
(vol.) |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/9-11/10 |
54 |
45 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Sarah
Palin (R) |
Neither
(vol.) |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/9-11/10 |
55 |
42 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Newt
Gingrich (R) |
Neither
(vol.) |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/9-11/10 |
55 |
43 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. March 19-21, 2010. Nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Please give me your best guess: If Barack Obama decides to run
for reelection, do you think he will win the presidential election in 2012, or
do you think he will lose?"
N=1,030 adults,
MoE ± 3 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Win |
Lose |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/19-21/10 |
44 |
54 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Clarus Research Group. March 17-20, 2010. Registered voters
nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If the next presidential election were held today, and the two
candidates were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican [see below], for
whom would you vote?"
N=1,050
registered voters, MoE ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mitt
Romney (R) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/17-20/10 |
45 |
41 |
14 |
|
|
|
8/14-18/09 |
47 |
38 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mike
Huckabee (R) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/17-20/10 |
47 |
39 |
14 |
|
|
|
8/14-18/09 |
48 |
38 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Sarah
Palin (R) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/17-20/10 |
52 |
34 |
14 |
|
|
|
8/14-18/09 |
53 |
34 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Newt
Gingrich (R) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/17-20/10 |
48 |
36 |
16 |
|
|
|
8/14-18/09 |
52 |
34 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Jeb
Bush (R) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/17-20/10 |
49 |
37 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If the following candidates were seeking the next Republican
presidential nomination, which ONE would you now most likely favor: [see
below]?"
N=415 Republicans and independents who lean
Republican |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
29 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mike
Huckabee |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt
Gingrich |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jeb Bush |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
John Thune |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitch Daniels |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Feb. 12-15, 2010. N=954
registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Do you think Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or not?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Deserves
reelection |
Does not
deserve
reelection |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/12-15/10 |
44 |
52 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
Gallup Poll. Feb. 1-3, 2010. Nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If Barack Obama runs for reelection in 2012, in general, are
you more likely to vote for Obama or for the Republican Party's candidate for
president?"
N=942 registered
voters, MoE ± 4 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Obama |
Republican
candidate |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2/1-3/10 |
44 |
42 |
3 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Just off the top of your head, which Republican would you most
like to see as the party's candidate for president in the 2012 election?"
Open-ended. N=490 Republicans and
Republican leaners, MoE ± 5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
John McCain |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Scott Brown |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bob McDonnell |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Fred Thompson |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bobby Jindal |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
None (vol.) |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
36 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Marist College Marist Poll. Feb. 1-3, 2010. N=910 registered voters
nationwide. MoE ± 3.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If the 2012 presidential election were held today, whom would
you support if the candidates are Barack Obama, the Democrat, Sarah Palin, the
Republican, and Michael Bloomberg, the independent?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Sarah
Palin (R) |
Michael
Bloomberg (I) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2/1-3/10 |
44 |
29 |
15 |
12 |
|
|
|
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Jan. 12-13, 2010. N=900 registered
voters nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If the 2012 presidential election were held today, would you
definitely vote to reelect Barack Obama, probably vote to reelect Obama,
probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Definitely
Obama |
Probably
Obama |
Probably
someone else |
Definitely
someone else |
Too soon
(vol.)/Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
1/12-13/10 |
23 |
20 |
11 |
36 |
11 |
|
10/13-14/09 |
26 |
17 |
14 |
34 |
9 |
|
4/22-23/09 |
37 |
15 |
8 |
23 |
16 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"What if the candidates were [see below]?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mitt
Romney (R) |
Other (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
1/12-13/10 |
47 |
35 |
5 |
3 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Sarah
Palin (R) |
Other (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
1/12-13/10 |
55 |
31 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Newt
Gingrich (R) |
Other (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
1/12-13/10 |
53 |
29 |
5 |
4 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"What if the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama and a
candidate from the Tea Party movement?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Tea Party
Candidate |
Other (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
1/12-13/10 |
48 |
23 |
5 |
5 |
18 |
|
|
Washington Post Poll. Nov. 19-23, 2009. Nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Thinking ahead to 2012, at this point would you definitely vote
to reelect Obama, would you consider voting for him, or would you definitely not
vote for him?"
N=1,306 adults, MoE ± 3 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Definitely
vote For |
Consider
voting For |
Definitely
not vote for |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
11/19-23/09 |
24 |
31 |
41 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If the 2012 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your
state were being held today, for whom would you vote?"
N=804 Republicans and
Republican-leaning nonpartisans |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
. |
|
|
Sarah Palin |
17 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
10 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
9 |
|
|
. |
|
|
John McCain |
7 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
2 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Bobby Jindal |
1 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Ron Paul |
1 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Rudy Giuliani |
1 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
1 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Other |
8 |
|
|
. |
|
|
No one |
12 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Wouldn't vote |
2 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Unsure |
28 |
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Democracy Corps Poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research
(D). Nov. 12-16, 2009. N=847 likely voters nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
"I know it's a long way off, but thinking about the presidential
election in 2012, if the election for president were held today and the
candidates were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, Green Party
Candidate Ralph Nader and America First Party Candidate Lou Dobbs, for whom
would you vote?"
Results include leaners |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mitt
Romney (R) |
Lou Dobbs
(AFP) |
Ralph Nader
(Green) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
11/12-16/09 |
45 |
38 |
6 |
4 |
2 |
5 |
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Nov. 13-15, 2009. N=1,014
adults nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Please tell me whether you think each of the following is or is
not qualified to be president. . . ." |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Is qualified |
Is
not
qualified |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Secretary
of State Hillary Clinton |
|
11/13-15/09 |
67 |
32 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Vice
President Joe Biden |
|
11/13-15/09 |
50 |
48 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Former
Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney |
|
11/13-15/09 |
47 |
42 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Former
Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee |
|
11/13-15/09 |
43 |
47 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Former
Alaska governor Sarah Palin |
|
11/13-15/09 |
28 |
70 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
USA Today/Gallup Poll. Oct. 31-Nov. 1, 2009. N=1,021 adults
nationwide. MoE ± 4 (for all adults).
Per Gallup: "These questions were asked of random half-samples for two
nights of Gallup Daily polling, which interviews 1,000 U.S. adults each
night." |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Next, I'm going to read you a list of possible Republican
candidates in the 2012 presidential election. Please tell me whether you would,
or would not, seriously consider supporting each for president. How about . . .
?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Would |
Would not |
Unsure |
. |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Former
Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee |
|
ALL |
40 |
51 |
10 |
. |
|
|
Republicans |
71 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
Independents |
40 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
Democrats |
18 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Former
Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney |
|
ALL |
39 |
51 |
11 |
. |
|
|
Republicans |
65 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
Independents |
40 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
Democrats |
20 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Former
Alaska governor Sarah Palin |
|
ALL |
33 |
63 |
5 |
. |
|
|
Republicans |
65 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
Independents |
32 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
Democrats |
10 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Former
House speaker Newt Gingrich |
|
ALL |
29 |
63 |
9 |
. |
|
|
Republicans |
60 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
Independents |
28 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
Democrats |
8 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Minnesota
Governor Tim Pawlenty |
|
ALL |
18 |
60 |
22 |
. |
|
|
Republicans |
32 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
Independents |
17 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
Democrats |
11 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Mississippi
Governor Haley Barbour |
|
ALL |
15 |
65 |
21 |
. |
|
|
Republicans |
26 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
Independents |
15 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
Democrats |
7 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Please tell me whether you think each of the following people
is or is not qualified to be president. How about . . . ?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Is |
Is
not |
Unsure |
. |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Former
Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee |
|
ALL |
50 |
36 |
14 |
. |
|
|
Republicans |
72 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
Independents |
48 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
Democrats |
38 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Former
Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney |
|
ALL |
49 |
39 |
12 |
. |
|
|
Republicans |
71 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
Independents |
45 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
Democrats |
37 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Former
House speaker Newt Gingrich |
|
ALL |
44 |
46 |
10 |
. |
|
|
Republicans |
68 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
Independents |
39 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
Democrats |
32 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Former
Alaska governor Sarah Palin |
|
ALL |
31 |
62 |
7 |
. |
|
|
Republicans |
58 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
Independents |
28 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
Democrats |
14 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Minnesota
Governor Tim Pawlenty |
|
ALL |
25 |
51 |
25 |
. |
|
|
Republicans |
33 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
Independents |
23 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
Democrats |
21 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Mississippi
Governor Haley Barbour |
|
ALL |
18 |
57 |
26 |
. |
|
|
Republicans |
27 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
Independents |
15 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
Democrats |
12 |
. |
. |
. |
|
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Oct. 16-18, 2009. N=462
Republicans nationwide. MoE ± 4.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in
the Republican primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please
tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the
Republican nomination for president in the year 2012, or if you would support
someone else. Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee. Former
Alaska governor Sarah Palin. Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney.
Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty."
Options rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
. |
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
32 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Sarah Palin |
25 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
21 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
5 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Someone else |
10 |
|
|
. |
|
|
No one
(vol.) |
5 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Unsure |
1 |
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Clarus Research Group. Aug. 14-18, 2009. N=353 Republicans and
independents who lean Republican
nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Of the following possible candidates for the next Republican
presidential nomination, which one would you now most likely favor: [see
below]?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
30 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
22 |
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bobby Jindal |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Someone else
(vol.) |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Marist College Marist Poll. Aug. 3-6, 2009. Nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If the 2012 Republican presidential primary were held today,
whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"
N=310 Republicans
and Republican-leaning independents, MoE ± 5.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
21 |
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mike
Huckabee |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt
Gingrich |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bobby
Jindal |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
Tim
Pawlenty |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
24 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If the 2012 presidential election were held today, whom would
you support if the candidates are Barack Obama, the Democratic candidate, and
Sarah Palin, the Republican candidate?"
N=854 registered voters, MoE ± 3.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Sarah
Palin (R) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
8/3-6/09 |
56 |
33 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling
organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). July 24-27, 2009.
N=1,011 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3.1. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Would you like to see Sarah Palin as president some day, or
not?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Would |
Would not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
7/24-27/09 |
21 |
67 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Would you like to see Mitt Romney as president some day, or
not?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Would |
Would not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
7/24-27/09 |
24 |
50 |
26 |
|
|
|
|
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. July 21-22, 2009. N=303 Republican
voters nationwide. MoE ± 6. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2012
Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the
Republican presidential nominee. . . ."
Options rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
7/21-22/09 |
5/12-13/09 |
|
. |
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
. |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
22 |
18 |
|
. |
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
21 |
20 |
|
. |
|
|
Sarah Palin |
17 |
13 |
|
. |
|
|
Rudy Giuliani |
13 |
12 |
|
. |
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
9 |
14 |
|
. |
|
|
Bobby Jindal |
3 |
3 |
|
. |
|
|
Jeb Bush |
1 |
3 |
|
. |
|
|
Tim
Pawlenty |
1 |
n/a |
|
. |
|
|
Mark Sanford |
- |
4 |
|
. |
|
|
Someone else (vol.) |
1 |
3 |
|
. |
|
|
Too soon to say (vol.) |
10 |
7 |
|
. |
|
|
Unsure |
2 |
4 |
|
. |
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. July 15-18, 2009. N=1,001 adults
nationwide. Results below are among Republicans and Republican-leaning
independents. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If the 2012 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your
state were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for
whom would you vote?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
. |
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
26 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
21 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Sarah Palin |
19 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
10 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
4 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Jeb Bush |
3 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Haley Barbour |
1 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Bobby Jindal (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Other (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
. |
|
|
None of these
(vol.) |
5 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Wouldn't vote
(vol.) |
1 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Unsure |
6 |
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Diageo/Hotline Poll conducted by FD. July 9-13, 2009. N=800
registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Looking ahead to 2012, if the presidential election were held
today, would you vote to reelect Barack Obama or would you like to see someone
else become president?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Obama |
Someone
else |
Too early
(vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
7/9-13/09 |
42 |
39 |
13 |
6 |
|
|
6/4-7/09 |
46 |
30 |
18 |
5 |
|
|
4/23-26/09 |
45 |
32 |
18 |
4 |
|
|
|
Gallup Poll. July 10-12, 2009. N=455
Republicans and Republican leaners nationwide. MoE ± 5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in
the Republican primaries for president in 2012. After I read all the names,
please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for
the Republican nomination for president in 2012, or if you would support someone
else: Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour, former speaker of the House Newt
Gingrich, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, Alaska Governor Sarah Palin,
Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney."
Options rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
. |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
26 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Sarah Palin |
21 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
19 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
14 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
3 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Haley Barbour |
2 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Other (vol.) |
4 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Any/All/None
(vol.) |
3 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Unsure |
7 |
|
|
. |
|
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. May 14-17, 2009. N=448
Republicans nationwide. MoE ± 4.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in
the Republican primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please
tell me which candidate you would be most likely to support for the Republican
nomination for president in the year 2012, or if you would support someone else.
Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, former
Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, former speaker of the House Newt Gingrich,
former Florida governor Jeb Bush."
Options rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
. |
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
22 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Sarah Palin |
21 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
21 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
13 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Jeb Bush |
6 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Someone else |
10 |
|
|
. |
|
|
No one
(vol.) |
3 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Unsure |
4 |
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll. April 19-21, 2009. N=800 likely
voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Now, based on President Obama's performance to date and looking
ahead to the 2012 presidential election: Do you think you will vote to reelect
Barack Obama, consider voting for someone else, or will you vote to replace
Barack Obama?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Reelect
Obama |
Consider
someone else |
Replace
Obama |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
4/19-21/09 |
42 |
22 |
24 |
11 |
|
|
|
Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll. April 8-11, 2009. N=833
registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5 (for all registered voters). |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"And if the election for president were held today, would you
definitely vote to reelect Barack Obama, probably vote to reelect Barack Obama,
probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for
someone else for president?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Definitely
Obama |
Probably
Obama |
Probably
someone else |
Definitely
someone else |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
ALL |
32 |
18 |
13 |
26 |
11 |
|
Republicans |
5 |
8 |
24 |
53 |
8 |
|
Independents |
24 |
22 |
13 |
24 |
17 |
|
Democrats |
61 |
24 |
4 |
6 |
5 |
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Feb. 18-19, 2009. N=429
Republicans nationwide. MoE ± 4.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in
the Republican primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please
tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the
Republican nomination for president in the year 2012, or if you would support
someone else. Alaska Governor Sarah Palin. Former Arkansas Governor Mike
Huckabee. Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney. Louisiana Governor Bobby
Jindal." |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
. |
|
|
Sarah Palin |
29 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
26 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
21 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Bobby Jindal |
9 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Someone else |
10 |
|
|
. |
|
|
None/No one
(vol.) |
4 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Unsure |
2 |
|
|
. |
|
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Dec. 1-2, 2008. N=460
Republicans nationwide. MoE ± 4.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"I'm going to read you the names of a few people who might run
for the Republican presidential nomination in 2012. For each one, please tell me
whether you would be very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not
likely at all to support them if they decided to run for the Republican
nomination four years from now. . . ." |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Very
likely |
Somewhat
likely |
Not very
likely |
Not likely
at all |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Former
Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee |
|
12/1-2/08 |
34 |
31 |
21 |
13 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Alaska
Governor Sarah Palin |
|
12/1-2/08 |
32 |
35 |
21 |
12 |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Former
Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney |
|
12/1-2/08 |
28 |
33 |
23 |
13 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Former
House speaker Newt Gingrich |
|
12/1-2/08 |
27 |
25 |
28 |
19 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Former New
York City mayor Rudy Giuliani |
|
12/1-2/08 |
23 |
34 |
24 |
18 |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Louisiana
Governor Bobby Jindal |
|
12/1-2/08 |
19 |
25 |
33 |
16 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Florida
Governor Charlie Crist |
|
12/1-2/08 |
7 |
25 |
40 |
20 |
7 |
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Oct. 30-Nov. 1, 2008. N=950
registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3 (for all registered voters). |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If Barack Obama is NOT elected president in November, would you
strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose Hillary
Clinton if she ran for president four years from now?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Strongly
support |
Somewhat
support |
Somewhat
oppose |
Strongly
oppose |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
ALL |
37 |
23 |
13 |
27 |
1 |
|
Democrats |
63 |
27 |
3 |
6 |
1 |
|
Independents |
29 |
29 |
16 |
25 |
2 |
|
Republicans |
12 |
12 |
21 |
55 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If John McCain is NOT elected president in November, would you
strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose Sarah
Palin if she ran for president four years from now?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Strongly
support |
Somewhat
support |
Somewhat
oppose |
Strongly
oppose |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
ALL |
22 |
18 |
13 |
46 |
1 |
|
Democrats |
3 |
7 |
10 |
78 |
1 |
|
Independents |
20 |
21 |
16 |
42 |
1 |
|
Republicans |
46 |
31 |
13 |
9 |
1 |
|
|
Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates
International. Oct. 22-23, 2008. Registered Republicans and Republican
leaners nationwide, from a total sample of 1,092 registered voters. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Thinking ahead to the next presidential election: If John
McCain is not elected president in November, would you like to see Sarah Palin
run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2012, or not?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Yes |
No |
Unsure |
. |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
. |
|
|
10/22-23/08 |
44 |
38 |
18 |
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If John McCain is not elected president, which one of the
following three possible candidates would you be most likely to support for the
Republican presidential nomination in 2012: [see below]?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney |
Mike
Huckabee |
Sarah
Palin |
Someone
else (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
10/22-23/08 |
35 |
26 |
20 |
10 |
9 |
|
|
