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     White House 2012: Republican Nomination    

See also:  Rating the contenders


 
 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. April 13-17, 2012. N=268 Republican primary voters nationwide.

             

"Who would you like to see the Republican Party nominate as its presidential candidate in 2012: Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, or Mitt Romney?" Options rotated

 
    4/13-17/12 3/7-11/12 2/8-13/12    
    % % %    
 

Mitt Romney

54 30 27

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

20 13 10

 

 

 

Ron Paul

12 8 12

 

 

 

Someone else (vol.)

9 4 6

 

 

 

Unsure

5 11 15

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

n/a 34 30

 

 


 

CNN/ORC Poll. April 13-15, 2012. N=473 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.5.

             

"Please tell me which candidate you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president: former speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, Texas Congressman Ron Paul, or former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney?" Options rotated
Prior to 12/11: "I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please tell me which candidate you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in the year 2012, or if you would support someone else. ..." 9/11: Sarah Palin supporters allocated based on 2nd choice.

 
    4/13-15/12 3/24-25/12 2/10-13/12 1/11-12/12 12/16-18/11
    % % % % %
 

Mitt Romney

57 36 32 34 28
 

Newt Gingrich

19 15 15 18 28
 

Ron Paul

18 17 16 15 14
 

Someone else (vol.)

3 1 - - -
 

None/No one (vol.)

3 2 2 3 5
 

Unsure

- 2 2 3 4
 

Rick Santorum

n/a 26 34 15 4
 

Rick Perry

n/a n/a n/a 9 7
 

Jon Huntsman

n/a n/a n/a 4 2
 

Michele Bachmann

n/a n/a n/a n/a 8
             
    11/18-20/11 11/11-13/11 10/14-16/11 9/23-25/11 9/9-11/11
    % % % % %
 

Newt Gingrich

24 22 8 11 7
 

Mitt Romney

20 24 26 22 21
 

Herman Cain

17 14 25 9 6
 

Rick Perry

11 12 13 30 32
 

Ron Paul

9 8 9 7 13
 

Michele Bachmann

5 6 6 6 7
 

Rick Santorum

4 3 2 3 2
 

Jon Huntsman

3 3 1 1 2
 

Someone else

- 1 1 3 2
 

None/No one (vol.)

3 4 5 5 4
 

Unsure

2 4 4 3 3

 

Pew Research Center. April 4-15, 2012. N=1,099 Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.4. Results from 9/22-10/4/11 include the second choice of Palin supports.

             

"As I name some Republican candidates for president, please tell me which one, if any, you would most like to see nominated as the Republican Party's candidate. [See below.]" If unsure: "As of today, who would you say you LEAN toward?" Options rotated
4/10-15/12 (after Santorum announced the end of his campaign): "Thinking about the Republican presidential primary, please tell me who, if anyone, you would most like to see nominated. ..."
2/12 & earlier: "As I name some possible Republican candidates for president in 2012 . ..."

 
    4/4-15/12 3/7-11/12 2/8-12/12    
    % % %    
 

Mitt Romney

42 33 28    
 

Rick Santorum

21 24 30    
 

Newt Gingrich

13 20 17    
 

Ron Paul

13 14 12    
 

Other

2 - 1    
 

None (vol.)

4 4 4    
 

Unsure

5 5 8    
             
    1/11-16/12 1/4-8/12 12/7-11/11 11/9-14/11 9/22 -
10/4/11
    % % % % %
 

Mitt Romney

31 27 21 23 22
 

Newt Gingrich

16 16 33 16 8
 

Ron Paul

15 12 8 8 12
 

Rick Santorum

14 16 3 2 2
 

Rick Perry

5 6 4 8 17
 

Jon Huntsman

2 2 3 1 1
 

Other

2 1 - - 1
 

None (vol.)/Unsure

16 19 21 14 17

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). April 9-11, 2012. N=376 Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of the candidates for the 2012 Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican presidential nominee. [See below.]" Options rotated

 
    4/9-11/12 3/10-12/12 2/6-9/12    
    % % %    
 

Mitt Romney

46 38 33

 

 

 

Ron Paul

16 12 15

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

15 32 23

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

13 13 22

 

 

 

Someone else (vol.)

2 3 1

 

 

 

Too soon to say (vol.)

4 2 3

 

 

 

Unsure

4 1 4

 

 


 

Gallup Daily tracking poll. Based on a rolling average of at least 1,000 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide who are registered to vote.

                 

"I'm going to read a list of people who are running for the 2012 Republican nomination for president. After I read the names, please tell me which candidate you are most likely to support for the nomination, or if you would support someone else: Newt Gingrich; Ron Paul; Mitt Romney; Rick Santorum." Options rotated. Note: Herman Cain included in Dec. 1-3 interviewing. Cain supporters' second choice substituted for their vote choice.

 
    4/4-9/12 4/3-7/12 4/2-6/12 4/1-5/12 3/31 -
4/4/12
3/30 -
4/3/12
 
    % % % % % %  
 

Mitt Romney

42 42 41 41 39 40  
 

Rick Santorum

24 25 26 25 26 25  
 

Ron Paul

10 11 11 12 12 12  
 

Newt Gingrich

10 9 10 9 10 11  
 

Someone else

1 1 2 1 2 2  
 

None/Any/Unsure

12 11 11 12 11 10  
                 
    3/29 -
4/2/12
3/28 -
4/1/12
3/27-31/12 3/26-30/12 3/25-29/12 3/24-28/12 3/23-27/12
    % % % % % % %
 

Mitt Romney

41 43 42 42 42 39 39
 

Rick Santorum

25 25 27 27 27 28 28
 

Newt Gingrich

12 11 11 11 11 10 11
 

Ron Paul

11 10 10 10 10 11 11
 

Someone else

2 2 2 2 2 2 2
 

None/Any/Unsure

10 9 8 8 9 10 10
                 
    3/22-26/12 3/21-25/12 3/20-24/12 3/19-23/12 3/18-22/12 3/17-21/12 3/16-20/12
    % % % % % % %
 

Mitt Romney

39 39 41 42 40 38 37
 

Rick Santorum

27 27 26 26 26 27 27
 

Newt Gingrich

12 14 13 15 14 14 13
 

Ron Paul

10 9 8 8 8 9 10
 

Someone else

2 2 2 2 3 3 3
 

None/Any/Unsure

10 9 9 8 9 10 10
                 
    3/15-19/12 3/14-18/12 3/13-17/12 3/12-16/12 3/11-15/12 3/10-14/12 3/9-13/12
    % % % % % % %
 

Mitt Romney

34 35 36 36 36 35 33
 

Rick Santorum

30 29 28 28 28 27 27
 

Newt Gingrich

13 13 12 13 13 15 16
 

Ron Paul

10 10 11 10 10 10 11
 

Someone else

3 3 2 2 2 2 2
 

None/Any/Unsure

10 11 10 12 11 11 12
                 
    3/8-12/12 3/7-11/12 3/6-10/12 3/5-9/12 3/4-8/12 3/3-7/12 3/2-6/12
    % % % % % % %
 

Mitt Romney

32 34 36 36 35 37 37
 

Rick Santorum

27 25 24 23 24 23 23
 

Newt Gingrich

17 15 14 13 13 12 14
 

Ron Paul

12 12 11 11 11 11 11
 

Someone else

2 2 3 2 2 2 2
 

None/Any/Unsure

12 12 13 14 15 15 14
                 
    3/1-5/12 2/29 -
3/4/12
2/28 -
3/3/12
2/27 -
3/2/12
2/26 -
3/1/12
2/25-29/12 2/24-28/12
    % % % % % % %
 

Mitt Romney

34 38 38 36 35 35 33
 

Rick Santorum

24 22 22 22 23 24 25
 

Newt Gingrich

15 15 17 17 16 15 16
 

Ron Paul

12 12 10 10 11 11 11
 

Someone else

1 1 1 1 1 2 2
 

None/Any/Unsure

13 13 12 13 13 14 13
                 
    2/23-27/12 2/22-26/12 2/21-25/12 2/20-24/12 2/19-23/12 2/18-22/12 2/17-21/12
    % % % % % % %
 

Mitt Romney

31 32 31 30 27 27 27
 

Rick Santorum

26 28 29 31 33 34 35
 

Newt Gingrich

14 14 15 16 16 15 15
 

Ron Paul

13 12 11 11 11 10 10
 

Someone else

2 3 3 3 3 2 2
 

None/Any/Unsure

13 12 12 10 11 12 12
                 
    2/16-20/12 2/15-19/12 2/14-18/12 2/13-17/12 2/12-16/12 2/11-15/12 2/10-14/12
    % % % % % % %
 

Rick Santorum

36 36 36 35 34 32 31
 

Mitt Romney

26 26 28 29 30 31 33
 

Newt Gingrich

14 13 13 13 14 14 15
 

Ron Paul

11 11 11 11 11 10 8
 

Someone else

2 2 2 2 2 2 1
 

None/Any/Unsure

11 11 11 10 10 11 12
                 
    2/9-13/12 2/8-12/12 2/7-11/12 2/4-10/12 2/3-9/12 2/2-8/12 2/1-7/12
    % % % % % % %
 

Mitt Romney

32 32 34 34 34 36 37
 

Rick Santorum

30 30 27 24 22 20 17
 

Newt Gingrich

16 16 16 17 18 20 21
 

Ron Paul

8 8 8 8 10 10 12
 

Someone else

2 2 2 3 2 3 3
 

None/Any/Unsure

13 13 14 15 14 11 11
                 
    1/31 -
2/6/12
1/30 -
2/3/12
1/29 -
2/2/12
1/28 -
2/1/12
1/27-31/12 1/26-30/12 1/25-29/12
    % % % % % % %
 

Mitt Romney

37 35 33 31 31 27 27
 

Newt Gingrich

22 24 25 25 26 28 28
 

Rick Santorum

16 16 16 17 16 17 16
 

Ron Paul

11 12 11 12 11 13 13
 

Someone else

3 3 3 2 2 2 2
 

None/Any/Unsure

11 11 12 13 13 13 14
                 
    1/24-28/12 1/23-27/12 1/22-26/12 1/21-25/12 1/20-24/12 1/19-23/12 1/18-22/12
    % % % % % % %
 

Newt Gingrich

28 32 32 31 31 31 28
 

Mitt Romney

26 26 24 25 28 27 29
 

Rick Santorum

15 13 13 13 12 12 11
 

Ron Paul

14 13 14 13 12 12 13
 

Someone else

2 2 3 3 3 3 5
 

None/Any/Unsure

14 15 15 16 15 15 14
                 
    1/17-21/12 1/16-20/12 1/15-19/12 1/14-18/12 1/13-17/12 1/12-16/12 1/11-15/12
    % % % % % % %
 

Mitt Romney

30 31 30 33 33 34 37
 

Newt Gingrich

25 23 20 17 16 15 14
 

Ron Paul

13 14 13 13 12 12 12
 

Rick Santorum

12 12 13 13 14 15 14
 

Someone else

6 8 9 2 3 3 1
 

None/Any/Unsure

14 13 15 14 14 15 15
 

Rick Perry

n/a n/a n/a 8 7 6 5
 

Jon Huntsman

n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a 2
                 
    1/10-14/12 1/9-13/12 1/8-12/12 1/7-11/12 1/6-10/12 1/5-9/12 1/4-8/12
    % % % % % % %
 

Mitt Romney

37 35 34 34 31 30 30
 

Rick Santorum

14 14 14 15 15 17 18
 

Newt Gingrich

13 13 15 14 16 18 17
 

Ron Paul

12 13 12 13 13 12 13
 

Rick Perry

5 5 5 5 6 5 6
 

Jon Huntsman

3 3 2 2 2 1 1
 

Someone else

1 2 2 2 2 3 2
 

None/Any/Unsure

15 16 15 15 15 14 13
                 
    1/3-7/12 1/2-6/12 12/29/11-1/5/12 12/28/11-1/4/12 12/27/11-1/3/12 12/26/11-1/2/12 12/23-29
    % % % % % % %
 

Mitt Romney

31 29 27 27 26 24 26
 

Rick Santorum

18 16 15 11 8 6 5
 

Newt Gingrich

16 17 19 19 22 23 24
 

Ron Paul

13 12 12 13 13 13 11
 

Rick Perry

6 6 6 6 6 7 7
 

Jon Huntsman

1 1 2 2 2 2 2
 

Someone else

3 5 6 6 2 3 3
 

None/Any/Unsure

13 14 14 15 16 17 18
 

Michele Bachmann

n/a n/a n/a n/a 5 5 5
                 
    12/22-28 12/21-27 12/20-26 12/19-23 12/18-22 12/17-21 12/16-20
    % % % % % % %
 

Mitt Romney

27 25 24 23 22 21 23
 

Newt Gingrich

23 25 25 26 26 27 25
 

Ron Paul

11 11 11 12 13 12 12
 

Rick Perry

8 8 8 8 8 7 8
 

Michele Bachmann

5 5 6 6 6 6 7
 

Rick Santorum

4 4 3 3 3 4 4
 

Jon Huntsman

2 1 2 1 1 1 2
 

Someone else

3 3 3 3 3 3 2
 

None/Any/Unsure

16 18 19 19 18 19 18
                 
    12/14-19 12/13-18 12/12-17 12/11-16 12/10-14 12/9-13 12/8-12
    % % % % % % %
 

Newt Gingrich

25 26 28 28 29 31 31
 

Mitt Romney

23 24 24 24 24 23 22
 

Ron Paul

12 11 10 10 10 9 8
 

Rick Perry

8 7 6 6 5 6 7
 

Michele Bachmann

6 7 7 8 7 6 6
 

Rick Santorum

4 4 4 4 4 4 4
 

Jon Huntsman

2 2 2 2 2 2 2
 

Someone else

2 2 2 2 2 2 1
 

None/Any/Unsure

18 17 17 16 18 18 19
                 
    12/7-11 12/6-10 12/5-9 12/4-8 12/3-7 12/2-6 12/1-5
    % % % % % % %
 

Newt Gingrich

33 33 35 37 34 36 37
 

Mitt Romney

23 23 23 23 25 23 22
 

Ron Paul

8 9 9 9 10 9 8
 

Rick Perry

6 6 6 6 5 6 7
 

Michele Bachmann

6 5 6 6 7 6 6
 

Rick Santorum

3 2 3 2 2 3 3
 

Jon Huntsman

2 2 2 1 1 1 1
 

Someone else

1 2 2 2 2 3 3
 

None/Any/Unsure

19 18 15 14 14 13 14

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. April 5-8, 2012. N=1,003 adults nationwide. Results below are among Republicans and independents who lean Republican.

             

"Who would you like to see win the Republican nomination for president this year: Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, or Rick Santorum?" If unsure: "Which candidate are you leaning toward?" Options rotated

 
    4/5-8/12 3/7-10/12      
    % %      
 

Mitt Romney

42 31

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

22 29

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

17 15

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

10 14

 

 

 

 

Other (vol.)

1 2

 

 

 

 

None (vol.)

3 6

 

 

 

 

Unsure

4 4

 

 

 


 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. March 20-22, 2012. N=377 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.

             

"If this year's Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"
9/11: "If the 2012 Republican presidential primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

 
    3/20-22/12 11/8-10/11 9/13-14/11    
    % % %    
 

Mitt Romney

39 23 22

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

31 1 2

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

13 19 6

 

 

 

Ron Paul

13 10 7

 

 

 

Unsure

4 17 15

 

 

 

Herman Cain

n/a 17 5

 

 

 

Rick Perry

n/a 8 30

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

n/a 5 12

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

n/a 1 1

 

 

             

"How about if the candidates are [see below]?"

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

50

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

44

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

6

 

 

 

 


 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). March 10-12, 2012. N=341 Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.

             

"How would you vote if Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum were the only two candidates?"

 
    Romney Santorum Unsure Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
 
    % % % %  
 

3/10-12/12

49 44 7 1

 


 

Bloomberg National Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. March 8-11, 2012. N=377 Republicans and independents who lean Republican nationwide.

             

"Which one of the following people who are seeking the Republican nomination for president do you support: [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

37

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

27

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

13

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

11

 

 

 

 

 

None of these

3

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

9

 

 

 

 


 

Reuters/Ipsos Poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. March 8-11, 2012. N=421 Republicans nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.9.

             

"If the 2012 Republican presidential primaries were being held today, for whom of the following would you vote . . . ?"

 
    3/8-11/12 2/2-6/12 1/5-9/12 12/8-12/11 10/6-10/11
    % % % % %
 

Mitt Romney

37 29 30 18 23
 

Rick Santorum

32 18 13 4 n/a
 

Newt Gingrich

12 19 20 28 7
 

Ron Paul

11 21 16 12 13
 

Wouldn't vote

- 1 1 0 2
 

None/Other (vol.)

3 3 2 4 7
 

Unsure

6 10 7 8 13
 

Rick Perry

n/a n/a 7 12 10
 

Jon Huntsman

n/a n/a 3 5 2
 

Michele Bachmann

n/a n/a n/a 10 5
 

Herman Cain

n/a n/a n/a n/a 19
             

"Regardless of your personal preference, if the Republican presidential primaries came down to these two candidates, for which one would you vote: [see below]?"

 
    Mitt
Romney
Rick
Santorum
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)/
Unsure
   
    % % %    
 

3/8-11/12

49 44 7

 

 

 

1/5-9/12

56 36 8

 

 


 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Feb. 29-March 3, 2012. N=400 Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.9.

             

"Let me read you a list of people who might seek the 2012 Republican nomination for president. If you were voting today in the 2012 Republican primary for president, which one of the following candidates would you favor: [see below]?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    2/29 -
3/3/12
1/22-24/12      
    % %      
 

Mitt Romney

38 28      
 

Rick Santorum

32 18      
 

Newt Gingrich

13 37      
 

Ron Paul

13 12      
 

Other (vol.)

- 1      
 

None (vol.)

2 1      
 

Unsure

2 3      
             
    12/7-11/11 11/2-5/11 10/6-10/11 8/27-31/11 7/14-17/11
    % % % % %
 

Newt Gingrich

40 13 8 5 8
 

Mitt Romney

23 28 23 23 30
 

Ron Paul

9 10 11 9 9
 

Michele Bachmann

8 4 5 8 16
 

Rick Perry

6 10 16 38 11
 

Jon Huntsman

5 - 3 2 2
 

Rick Santorum

3 2 1 3 3
 

Other (vol.)

- - - - 2
 

None (vol.)

1 1 1 2 2
 

Unsure

5 4 5 5 10
 

Herman Cain

n/a 27 27 5 5
 

Tim Pawlenty

n/a n/a n/a n/a 2
             

"Now, if you were voting today in the 2012 Republican primary for president, and the candidates were Mitt Romney and [see below], which one would you favor?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Mitt
Romney
Rick
Santorum
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

2/29 - 3/3/12

50 45 4 1  
             
    Mitt
Romney
Newt
Gingrich
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

2/29 - 3/3/12

63 33 4 -  
 

1/22-24/12

39 52 4 5  

 

George Washington University/Politico Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). Feb. 19-22, 2012. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Results below are among Republican primary voters.

             

"Thinking about the Republican presidential primary election, who would you say is your first choice to be the Republican nominee for president?" Names read "if necessary."

 
    %        
 

Rick Santorum

36

 

 

 

 

 

Mitt Romney

34

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

13

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

7

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure/Refused

10

 

 

 

 


 

AP-GfK Poll conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Corporate Communications. Feb. 16-20, 2012. N=450 Republicans and Republican leaners nationwide.

             

"Which of the following candidates would you MOST like to see win the Republican nomination for president: [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    2/16-20/12 12/8-12/11 10/13-17/11    
    % % %    
 

Rick Santorum

33 3 2

 

 

 

Mitt Romney

32 27 30

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

15 33 7

 

 

 

Ron Paul

15 9 8

 

 

 

None of them (vol.)

2 6 2

 

 

 

Unsure

3 6 7

 

 

 

Refused

1 - -

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

n/a 9 4

 

 

 

Rick Perry

n/a 6 13

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

n/a 2 2

 

 

 

Herman Cain

n/a n/a 26

 

 


 

Quinnipiac University Poll. Feb. 14-20, 2012. N=1,124 Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.9.

             

"If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, and Ron Paul, for whom would you vote?"

 
    2/14-20/12 11/14-20/11 10/25-31/11    
    % % %    
 

Rick Santorum

35 2 1

 

 

 

Mitt Romney

26 22 23

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

14 26 10

 

 

 

Ron Paul

11 6 7

 

 

 

Unsure/No answer

14 19 16

 

 

 

Herman Cain

n/a 14 30

 

 

 

Rick Perry

n/a 6 8

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

n/a 4 4

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

n/a 2 2

 

 

             

"Suppose the primary came down to a choice between Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney -- for whom would you vote?"

 
    Rick
Santorum
Mitt
Romney
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

2/14-20/12

50 37 13

 

 

             

"Suppose the primary came down to a choice between Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney -- for whom would you vote?"

 
    Mitt
Romney
Newt
Gingrich
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

2/14-20/12

50 37 13

 

 

 

11/14-20/11

39 49 12

 

 


 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Feb. 16-19, 2012. N=433 Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 6.

             

"Suppose the choice for the Republican presidential nomination narrows down to Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney. Which one would you prefer the Republican Party nominate for president: Rick Santorum or Mitt Romney?" Options rotated

 
    Rick
Santorum
Mitt
Romney
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

2/16-19/12

51 44 5

 

 


 

Fairleigh Dickinson University PublicMind. Feb. 6-12, 2012. N=578 Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.

             

"To run as the Republican candidate for president, who would you prefer? [Names read 'as necessary.']" If unsure: "Which way do you lean?"

 
    2/6-12/12 11/29 -
12/5/11
     
    % %      
 

Mitt Romney

32 23

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

31 3

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

15 36

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

10 4

 

 

 

 

Unsure

12 14

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

n/a 8

 

 

 

 

Rick Perry

n/a 6

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

n/a 4

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

n/a 2

 

 

 


 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Feb. 6-9, 2012. N=407 Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of the candidates for the 2012 Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican presidential nominee. [See below.]" Options rotated

 
    2/6-9/12   2/6-7/12
N=242
2/8-9/12
N=165
 
    %   % %  
 

Mitt Romney

33

 

35 30

 

 

Rick Santorum

23

 

17 30

 

 

Newt Gingrich

22

 

26 16

 

 

Ron Paul

15

 

14 15

 

 

Someone else (vol.)

1

 

1 -

 

 

Too soon to say (vol.)

3

 

1 5

 

 

Unsure

4

 

5 3

 


 

Reuters/Ipsos Poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. Feb. 2-6, 2012. N=approx. 400 Republicans nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.9.

             

"Regardless of your personal preference, if the Republican presidential primaries came down to these two candidates, for which one would you vote: [see below]?"

 
    Mitt
Romney
Newt
Gingrich
Unsure/
Refused
   
    % % %    
 

2/2-6/12

53 40 6

 

 

 

12/8-12/11

39 52 10

 

 


 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Feb. 1-4, 2012. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters who are Republican or lean Republican.

             

"If the Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Which candidate would you lean toward?" Options rotated

 
    2/1-4/12 1/12-15/12 12/15-18/11 10/31 -
11/3/11
 
    % % % %  
 

Mitt Romney

38 36 30 25

 

 

Newt Gingrich

24 16 30 12

 

 

Rick Santorum

18 13 4 1

 

 

Ron Paul

14 16 15 9

 

 

Other (vol.)

1 1 - 0

 

 

None of them (vol.)

- 1 1 2

 

 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

0 1 1 1

 

 

Unsure

5 7 4 8

 

 

Rick Perry

n/a 9 6 14

 

 

Jon Huntsman

n/a - 2 1

 

 

Michele Bachmann

n/a n/a 7 4

 

 

Herman Cain

n/a n/a n/a 23

 


 

Clarus Research Group. Jan. 16-18, 2012. N=381 Republican voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.

             

"Of the candidates now running for president, which ONE would you most like to see win the Republican presidential nomination: Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, or Rick Santorum?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

30        
 

Newt Gingrich

19        
 

Rick Santorum

15        
 

Ron Paul

12        
 

Rick Perry

6        
 

None/Other (vol.)

4        
 

Unsure

14        
             

"If there were only two candidates in the race for the Republican presidential nomination, would you most likely vote for Mitt Romney or [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    Mitt
Romney
Newt
Gingrich
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

1/16-18/12

50 34 6 10  
             
    Mitt
Romney
Rick
Santorum
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

1/16-18/12

50 36 4 10  
             
    Mitt
Romney
Ron
Paul
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

1/16-18/12

62 24 6 8  

 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. Jan. 12-17, 2012. N=340 likely Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.

             

"Which one of these candidates would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for president in 2012: Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, or would you like to see someone else nominated?" If someone else or unsure: "If you had to choose, which one of these candidates would you like to see the Republican Party nominate?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

28

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

21

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

16

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

15

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Perry

7

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

2

 

 

 

 

 

Someone else (vol.)

3

 

 

 

 

 

No one (vol.)

1

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

7

 

 

 

 


 

Washington Times/JZ Analytics Poll. Jan. 14-15, 2012. N=500 likely Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.5.

             

"If the Republican primary for president were held today, for whom would you vote: [see below]?" Results include leaners.

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

32

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

17

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

17

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

15

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

4

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Perry

3

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

12

 

 

 

 


 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Jan. 12-14, 2012. N=365 Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of the announced candidates for the 2012 Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican presidential nominee. [See below.]" Options rotated

 
    1/12-14/12 12/5-7/11      
    % %      
 

Mitt Romney

40 23

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

15 4

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

14 36

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

13 12

 

 

 

 

Rick Perry

6 8

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

5 2

 

 

 

 

Buddy Roemer

- -

 

 

 

 

Fred Karger

- -

 

 

 

 

Someone else (vol.)

1 2

 

 

 

 

Too soon to say (vol.)

4 6

 

 

 

 

Unsure

2 2

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

n/a 5

 

 

 

 

Gary Johnson

n/a -

 

 

 


 

CNN/ORC Poll. Jan. 11-12, 2012. N=449 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.5.

             

"Suppose the only Republican candidates were Mitt Romney and [see below]. Which of those two would you support?"

 
    Mitt
Romney
Newt
Gingrich
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

1/11-12/12

59 37 2 2  
             
    Mitt
Romney
Ron
Paul
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

1/11-12/12

67 31 2 -  
             
    Mitt
Romney
Rick
Santorum
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

1/11-12/12

60 37 2 2  

 

Gallup Poll. Jan. 5-8, 2012. N=479 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 6.

             

"I'd like you to think about the Republican nomination for president in the 2012 election. Please tell me if you would find [see below] to be an acceptable nominee for president from the Republican Party, or not."

 
    Acceptable Not
acceptable
Unsure    
    % % %    
 
 

"Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney"

 

1/5-8/12

59 31 10

 

 

 

11/28 - 12/1/11

54 41 5

 

 

             
 

"Former speaker of the House Newt Gingrich"

 

1/5-8/12

46 46 8

 

 

 

11/28 - 12/1/11

62 34 4

 

 

             
 

"Former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum"

 

1/5-8/12

45 39 16

 

 

 

11/28 - 12/1/11

27 62 11

 

 

             
 

"Texas Governor Rick Perry"

 

1/5-8/12

37 55 9

 

 

 

11/28 - 12/1/11

41 52 7

 

 

             
 

"Texas Congressman Ron Paul"

 

1/5-8/12

29 62 10

 

 

 

11/28 - 12/1/11

34 62 4

 

 

             
 

"Former Utah governor Jon Huntsman"

 

1/5-8/12

21 61 18

 

 

 

11/28 - 12/1/11

28 58 14

 

 


 

CBS News Poll. Jan. 4-8, 2012. N=440 Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.

             

"Which one of these candidates would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for president in 2012: Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, or would you like to see someone else nominated?"

 
    1/4-8/12        
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

19        
 

Newt Gingrich

15        
 

Rick Santorum

14        
 

Ron Paul

10        
 

Rick Perry

6        
 

Jon Huntsman

4        
 

Someone else (vol.)

19        
 

Unsure

13        
             
    12/14-18/11 11/6-10/11 10/19-24/11 9/28 -
10/2/11
9/10-15/11
    % % % % %
 

Newt Gingrich

20 15 10 8 7
 

Mitt Romney

20 15 21 17 16
 

Ron Paul

10 5 8 7 5
 

Rick Perry

6 8 6 12 23
 

Michele Bachmann

4 4 2 4 7
 

Rick Santorum

3 2 1 3 1
 

Jon Huntsman

1 1 1 2 1
 

Someone else (vol.)

19 14 12 10 11
 

No one (vol.)

0 1 - 2 2
 

Unsure

17 17 14 18 22
 

Herman Cain

n/a 18 25 17 5
             

"If you had to choose, which one of these candidates would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for president in 2012: Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, or Rick Santorum?"

 
    1/4-8/12        
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

24        
 

Newt Gingrich

18        
 

Rick Santorum

18        
 

Ron Paul

11        
 

Rick Perry

7        
 

Jon Huntsman

4        
 

Someone else (vol.)

2        
 

No one (vol.)

1        
 

Unsure

15        

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Dec. 7-11, 2011. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters who say they would vote in a Republican presidential primary.

             

"Now, if you were voting today in the 2012 Republican primary for president, and the candidates were [see below], which one would you favor?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Newt
Gingrich
Mitt
Romney
Ron
Paul
None
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

12/7-11/11

53 31 13 1 2

 

Gallup Poll. Nov. 28-Dec. 1, 2011. N=464 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 6.

             

"I'd like you to think about the Republican nomination for president in the 2012 election. Please tell me if you would find [see below] to be an acceptable nominee for president from the Republican Party, or not."

 
    Acceptable Not
acceptable
Unsure    
    % % %    
 
 

"Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann"

 

11/28 - 12/1/11

37 56 7

 

 

             
 

"Businessman Herman Cain"

 

11/28 - 12/1/11

37 58 6

 

 


 

Quinnipiac University Poll. Nov. 14-20, 2011. N=1,039 Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"Suppose the primary came down to a choice between Herman Cain and Mitt Romney -- for whom would you vote?"

 
    Mitt
Romney
Herman
Cain
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

11/14-20/11

50 37 13

 

 

 

10/25-31/11

39 47 14

 

 


 

Gallup Poll. Nov. 13-17, 2011. N=946 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide who are registered to vote. Margin of error ± 4. Interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking survey.

             

"I'm going to read a list of people who are running for the 2012 Republican nomination for president. After I read the names, please tell me which candidate you are most likely to support for the nomination, or if you would support someone else: Michele Bachmann; Herman Cain; Newt Gingrich; Jon Huntsman; Ron Paul; Rick Perry; Mitt Romney; Rick Santorum." Options rotated

 
    11/13-17/11 11/2-6/11      
    % %      
 

Newt Gingrich

22 13

 

 

 

 

Mitt Romney

21 22

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

16 22

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

9 6

 

 

 

 

Rick Perry

8 11

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

4 3

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1 1

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

1 2

 

 

 

 

Someone else

1 -

 

 

 

 

None/Any/Unsure

18 20

 

 

 


 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Nov. 13-15, 2011. N=370 Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of the announced candidates for the 2012 Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican presidential nominee. [See below.]" Options rotated

 
    11/13-15/11 10/23-25/11 9/25-27/11 8/29-31/11  
    % % % %  
 

Newt Gingrich

23 12 11 3

 

 

Mitt Romney

22 20 23 22

 

 

Herman Cain

15 24 17 6

 

 

Ron Paul

8 9 6 8

 

 

Rick Perry

7 10 19 29

 

 

Michele Bachmann

6 3 3 8

 

 

Jon Huntsman

3 - 4 1

 

 

Rick Santorum

2 3 3 4

 

 

Gary Johnson

- - - -

 

 

Buddy Roemer

- - - 1

 

 

Fred Karger

- - - -

 

 

Someone else (vol.)

2 1 2 2

 

 

Too soon to say (vol.)

7 11 5 6

 

 

Unsure

5 5 7 10

 

 

Thaddeus McCotter

n/a n/a n/a -

 


 

George Washington University/Politico Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). Nov. 6-9, 2011. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Results below are among Republican primary voters.

             

"Thinking about these Republican presidential candidates in a different way: Who would you say is your first choice to be the Republican nominee for president?" Names read "if necessary."

 
    %        
 

Herman Cain

27

 

 

 

 

 

Mitt Romney

25

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

14

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Perry

14

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

5

 

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

2

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

2

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

-

 

 

 

 

 

Gary Johnson

-

 

 

 

 

 

Other

1

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure/Refused

9

 

 

 

 


 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Nov. 2-5, 2011. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters who say they would vote in a Republican presidential primary.

             

"Now, if you were voting today in the 2012 Republican primary for president, and the candidates were Mitt Romney and Rick Perry, which one would you favor?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Romney Perry Neither (vol.) Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

11/2-5/11

62 33 3 2

 

 

10/6-10/11

54 39 3 4

 

             

"Now, if you were voting today in the 2012 Republican primary for president, and the candidates were Mitt Romney and Herman Cain, which one would you favor?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Romney Cain Neither (vol.) Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

11/2-5/11

49 48 1 2

 


 

Washington Post/Bloomberg News Poll. Oct. 6-9, 2011. N=391 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 6.

             

"At the end of the Republican nomination contest, whom do you want to be the Republican candidate for president: [see below]?"

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

24

 

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

16

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Perry

13

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

6

 

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

4

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

3

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

1

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

0

 

 

 

 

 

None of these (vol.)

3

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

29

 

 

 

 


 

Gallup Poll. Oct. 3-7, 2011. N=1,064 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 4. Interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking survey.

             

"I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in the 2012 election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2012, or if you would support someone else. Minnesota Congresswoman, Michele Bachmann; Businessman, Herman Cain; Former speaker of the House, Newt Gingrich; former Utah governor, Jon Huntsman; Texas Congressman, Ron Paul; Texas governor, Rick Perry; former Massachusetts governor, Mitt Romney; former Pennsylvania senator, Rick Santorum." Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

20

 

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

18

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Perry

15

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

8

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

7

 

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

5

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

3

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

2

 

 

 

 

 

Other

1

 

 

 

 

 

None/Any/Unsure

20

 

 

 

 


 

Quinnipiac University Poll. Sept. 27-Oct. 3, 2011. N=927 Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.2.

             

"If the 2012 Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were Rick Perry, Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, and Herman Cain, for whom would you vote?"

 
    9/27 -
10/3/11
8/16-27/11 7/5-11/11    
    % % %    
 

Mitt Romney

22 18 25

 

 

 

Herman Cain

17 5 6

 

 

 

Rick Perry

14 24 10

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

9 11 12

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

8 3 5

 

 

 

Ron Paul

6 9 5

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

3 10 14

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

3 1 1

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1 1 1

 

 

 

Unsure/No answer

18 16 18

 

 

 

Thaddeus McCotter

n/a 1 -

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

n/a n/a 3

 

 

             
 

Without Palin (Palin supporters allocated based on 2nd choice):

 
    9/27 -
10/3/11
8/16-27/11 7/5-11/11    
    % % %    
 

Mitt Romney

24 20 28

 

 

 

Herman Cain

18 5 6

 

 

 

Rick Perry

15 26 10

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

9 4 6

 

 

 

Ron Paul

6 10 6

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

5 12 17

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

3 2 1

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1 1 1

 

 

 

Unsure/No answer

19 19 22

 

 

 

Thaddeus McCotter

n/a 1 -

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

n/a n/a 3

 

 

             

"Suppose Chris Christie becomes a candidate for president. If the 2012 Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were Chris Christie, Rick Perry, Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, and Herman Cain, for whom would you vote?"

 
    %        
 

Chris Christie

17

 

 

 

 

 

Mitt Romney

17

 

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

12

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Perry

10

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

7

 

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

7

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

6

 

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

3

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

2

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure/No answer

18

 

 

 

 

             

"Suppose the primary came down to a choice between Rick Perry and Mitt Romney -- for whom would you vote?"

 
    Mitt
Romney
Rick
Perry
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

9/27 - 10/3/11

48 34 18

 

 


 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Sept. 29-Oct. 2, 2011. N=1,002 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters who are Republican or lean Republican.

             

"If the 2012 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Which candidate would you lean toward?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

20

 

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

15

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Perry

15

 

 

 

 

 

Chris Christie

10

 

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

8

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

7

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

7

 

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

4

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

2

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1

 

 

 

 

 

Other (vol.)

2

 

 

 

 

 

None (vol.)

3

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

6

 

 

 

 

             
 

Without Palin (Palin supporters allocated based on 2nd choice):

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

22

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Perry

15

 

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

15

 

 

 

 

 

Chris Christie

11

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

8

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

8

 

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

6

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

2

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1

 

 

 

 

 

Other (vol.)

2

 

 

 

 

 

None (vol.)

3

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

7

 

 

 

 

             
 

Without Christie (Christie supporters allocated based on 2nd choice):

 
    9/29 -
10/2/11
8/29 -
9/1/11
7/14-17/11    
    % % %    
 

Mitt Romney

23 23 26

 

 

 

Herman Cain

17 3 7

 

 

 

Rick Perry

16 29 8

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

8 14 16

 

 

 

Ron Paul

8 8 7

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

8 4 4

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

4 6 13

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

2 2 2

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1 1 3

 

 

 

Other (vol.)

2 1 1

 

 

 

None (vol.)

4 4 1

 

 

 

Would not vote (vol.)

1 1 -

 

 

 

Unsure

6 4 8

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

n/a n/a 2

 

 

             
 

Without Christie and Palin (based on 1st/2nd/3rd choices):

 
    9/29 -
10/2/11
8/29 -
9/1/11
7/14-17/11    
    % % %    
 

Mitt Romney

25 25 30

 

 

 

Herman Cain

17 5 7

 

 

 

Rick Perry

17 30 8

 

 

 

Ron Paul

9 10 10

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

9 5 6

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

7 9 17

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

2 3 3

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1 1 3

 

 

 

Other (vol.)

2 2 1

 

 

 

None (vol.)

4 4 2

 

 

 

Would not vote (vol.)

1 1 -

 

 

 

Unsure

7 5 9

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

n/a n/a 3

 

 


 

CNN/ORC Poll. Sept. 23-25, 2011. N=447 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.5.

             

"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please tell me which candidate you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in the year 2012, or if you would support someone else. Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann, businessman Herman Cain, former speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, former Utah governor Jon Huntsman, former Alaska governor Sarah Palin, Texas Congressman Ron Paul, Texas Governor Rick Perry, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, or former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum." Options rotated

 
    9/23-25/11 9/9-11/11      
    % %      
 

Rick Perry

28 30

 

 

 

 

Mitt Romney

21 18

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

10 5

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

7 5

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

7 15

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

7 12

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

4 4

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

3 2

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1 2

 

 

 

 

Someone else

3 2

 

 

 

 

None/No one (vol.)

4 4

 

 

 

 

Unsure

2 2

 

 

 


 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Sept. 15-18, 2011. N=439 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 6.

             

"I'm going to read a list of people who are considered the most likely candidates to run in the Republican primaries for president. After I read all the names, please tell me which one you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2012, or if you would support someone else. Minnesota Congresswoman, Michele Bachmann; Businessman, Herman Cain; Former Speaker of the House, Newt Gingrich; Former Utah governor, Jon Huntsman; Texas Congressman, Ron Paul; Texas governor, Rick Perry; Former Massachusetts governor, Mitt Romney; Former Pennsylvania senator, Rick Santorum." Options rotated

 
    9/15-18/11 8/4-7/11      
    % %      
 

Rick Perry

31 17

 

 

 

 

Mitt Romney

24 24

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

13 14

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

5 13

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

5 7

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

5 4

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

2 1

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1 2

 

 

 

 

Other

4 4

 

 

 

 

None/Any/Unsure

10 10

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

n/a 3

 

 

 

             

"Suppose the choice for the Republican presidential nomination narrows down to Rick Perry and Mitt Romney. Which one would you prefer the Republican Party nominate for president: Rick Perry or Mitt Romney?" Options rotated

 
    Rick
Perry
Mitt
Romney
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

9/15-18/11

49 39 11

 

 


 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Sept. 13-14, 2011. N=317 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.5.

             

"If the 2012 Republican presidential primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

 
    %        
 

Rick Perry

30

 

 

 

 

 

Mitt Romney

22

 

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

12

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

7

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

6

 

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

5

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

2

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

15

 

 

 

 

             
 

With Giuliani and Palin:

    %        
 

Rick Perry

20

 

 

 

 

 

Rudy Giuliani

14

 

 

 

 

 

Mitt Romney

13

 

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

13

 

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

6

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

6

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

6

 

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

4

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

2

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

2

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

14

 

 

 

 


 

George Washington University/Politico Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). Aug. 28-Sept. 1, 2011. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Results below are among Republicans and Republican leaners.

             

"Thinking about these Republican presidential candidates in a different way: Who would you say is your first choice to be the Republican nominee for president?" Names read "if necessary."

 
    %        
 

Rick Perry

36

 

 

 

 

 

Mitt Romney

17

 

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

10

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

10

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

5

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

5

 

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

4

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1

 

 

 

 

 

Other

1

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure/Refused

11

 

 

 

 


Republican nomination continued


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