|
Gallup Daily tracking poll. Based on a five-day rolling average of at
least 1,000 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide who
are registered to vote. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of people who are running for the 2012 Republican
nomination for president. After I read the names, please tell me which
candidate you are most likely to support for the nomination, or if you would
support someone else: Newt Gingrich; Ron Paul; Mitt Romney; Rick Santorum."
Options rotated. Note: Herman Cain
included in Dec. 1-3 interviewing. Cain supporters' second choice
substituted for their vote choice. |
| |
|
|
|
2/17-21/12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
35 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
27 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Someone else |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
None/Any/Unsure |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2/16-20/12 |
2/15-19/12 |
2/14-18/12 |
2/13-17/12 |
2/12-16/12 |
2/11-15/12 |
2/10-14/12 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Rick Santorum |
36 |
36 |
36 |
35 |
34 |
32 |
31 |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
26 |
26 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
33 |
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
14 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
14 |
14 |
15 |
|
|
Ron Paul |
11 |
11 |
11 |
11 |
11 |
10 |
8 |
|
|
Someone else |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
|
|
None/Any/Unsure |
11 |
11 |
11 |
10 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2/9-13/12 |
2/8-12/12 |
2/7-11/12 |
2/4-10/12 |
2/3-9/12 |
2/2-8/12 |
2/1-7/12 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
32 |
32 |
34 |
34 |
34 |
36 |
37 |
|
|
Rick Santorum |
30 |
30 |
27 |
24 |
22 |
20 |
17 |
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
16 |
16 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
20 |
21 |
|
|
Ron Paul |
8 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
10 |
10 |
12 |
|
|
Someone else |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
|
|
None/Any/Unsure |
13 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
14 |
11 |
11 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1/31 -
2/6/12 |
1/30 -
2/3/12 |
1/29 -
2/2/12 |
1/28 -
2/1/12 |
1/27-31/12 |
1/26-30/12 |
1/25-29/12 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
37 |
35 |
33 |
31 |
31 |
27 |
27 |
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
22 |
24 |
25 |
25 |
26 |
28 |
28 |
|
|
Rick Santorum |
16 |
16 |
16 |
17 |
16 |
17 |
16 |
|
|
Ron Paul |
11 |
12 |
11 |
12 |
11 |
13 |
13 |
|
|
Someone else |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
None/Any/Unsure |
11 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
14 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1/24-28/12 |
1/23-27/12 |
1/22-26/12 |
1/21-25/12 |
1/20-24/12 |
1/19-23/12 |
1/18-22/12 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
28 |
32 |
32 |
31 |
31 |
31 |
28 |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
26 |
26 |
24 |
25 |
28 |
27 |
29 |
|
|
Rick Santorum |
15 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
12 |
12 |
11 |
|
|
Ron Paul |
14 |
13 |
14 |
13 |
12 |
12 |
13 |
|
|
Someone else |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
5 |
|
|
None/Any/Unsure |
14 |
15 |
15 |
16 |
15 |
15 |
14 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1/17-21/12 |
1/16-20/12 |
1/15-19/12 |
1/14-18/12 |
1/13-17/12 |
1/12-16/12 |
1/11-15/12 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
30 |
31 |
30 |
33 |
33 |
34 |
37 |
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
25 |
23 |
20 |
17 |
16 |
15 |
14 |
|
|
Ron Paul |
13 |
14 |
13 |
13 |
12 |
12 |
12 |
|
|
Rick Santorum |
12 |
12 |
13 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
14 |
|
|
Someone else |
6 |
8 |
9 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
|
|
None/Any/Unsure |
14 |
13 |
15 |
14 |
14 |
15 |
15 |
|
|
Rick Perry |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
8 |
7 |
6 |
5 |
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
2 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1/10-14/12 |
1/9-13/12 |
1/8-12/12 |
1/7-11/12 |
1/6-10/12 |
1/5-9/12 |
1/4-8/12 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
37 |
35 |
34 |
34 |
31 |
30 |
30 |
|
|
Rick Santorum |
14 |
14 |
14 |
15 |
15 |
17 |
18 |
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
13 |
13 |
15 |
14 |
16 |
18 |
17 |
|
|
Ron Paul |
12 |
13 |
12 |
13 |
13 |
12 |
13 |
|
|
Rick Perry |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
6 |
5 |
6 |
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
Someone else |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
|
|
None/Any/Unsure |
15 |
16 |
15 |
15 |
15 |
14 |
13 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1/3-7/12 |
1/2-6/12 |
12/29/11-1/5/12 |
12/28/11-1/4/12 |
12/27/11-1/3/12 |
12/26/11-1/2/12 |
12/23-29 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
31 |
29 |
27 |
27 |
26 |
24 |
26 |
|
|
Rick Santorum |
18 |
16 |
15 |
11 |
8 |
6 |
5 |
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
16 |
17 |
19 |
19 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
|
|
Ron Paul |
13 |
12 |
12 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
11 |
|
|
Rick Perry |
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
7 |
7 |
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
Someone else |
3 |
5 |
6 |
6 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
|
|
None/Any/Unsure |
13 |
14 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
5 |
5 |
5 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12/22-28 |
12/21-27 |
12/20-26 |
12/19-23 |
12/18-22 |
12/17-21 |
12/16-20 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
27 |
25 |
24 |
23 |
22 |
21 |
23 |
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
23 |
25 |
25 |
26 |
26 |
27 |
25 |
|
|
Ron Paul |
11 |
11 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
12 |
12 |
|
|
Rick Perry |
8 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
7 |
8 |
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
5 |
5 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
7 |
|
|
Rick Santorum |
4 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
Someone else |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
|
|
None/Any/Unsure |
16 |
18 |
19 |
19 |
18 |
19 |
18 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12/14-19 |
12/13-18 |
12/12-17 |
12/11-16 |
12/10-14 |
12/9-13 |
12/8-12 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
25 |
26 |
28 |
28 |
29 |
31 |
31 |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
23 |
24 |
24 |
24 |
24 |
23 |
22 |
|
|
Ron Paul |
12 |
11 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
9 |
8 |
|
|
Rick Perry |
8 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
6 |
7 |
7 |
8 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
|
|
Rick Santorum |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
Someone else |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
|
|
None/Any/Unsure |
18 |
17 |
17 |
16 |
18 |
18 |
19 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12/7-11 |
12/6-10 |
12/5-9 |
12/4-8 |
12/3-7 |
12/2-6 |
12/1-5 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
33 |
33 |
35 |
37 |
34 |
36 |
37 |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
23 |
23 |
23 |
23 |
25 |
23 |
22 |
|
|
Ron Paul |
8 |
9 |
9 |
9 |
10 |
9 |
8 |
|
|
Rick Perry |
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
6 |
5 |
6 |
6 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
|
|
Rick Santorum |
3 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
Someone else |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
|
|
None/Any/Unsure |
19 |
18 |
15 |
14 |
14 |
13 |
14 |
|
|
AP-GfK Poll conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Corporate
Communications. Feb. 16-20, 2012. N=450 Republicans and Republican leaners
nationwide. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Which of the following candidates would you MOST like to see win the
Republican nomination for president: [see below]?"
Options
rotated |
| |
|
|
|
2/16-20/12 |
12/8-12/11 |
10/13-17/11 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
33 |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
32 |
27 |
30 |
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
15 |
33 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
15 |
9 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
None of them (vol.) |
2 |
6 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
3 |
6 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
Refused |
1 |
- |
- |
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
n/a |
9 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
n/a |
6 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
n/a |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
n/a |
n/a |
26 |
|
|
|
|
Quinnipiac University Poll. Feb. 14-20, 2012. N=1,124 Republican and
Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error
± 2.9. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the
candidates were Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum,
and Ron Paul, for whom
would you vote?" |
| |
|
|
|
2/14-20/12 |
11/14-20/11 |
10/25-31/11 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
35 |
2 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
26 |
22 |
23 |
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
14 |
26 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
11 |
6 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
Unsure/No answer |
14 |
19 |
16 |
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
n/a |
14 |
30 |
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
n/a |
6 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
n/a |
4 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
n/a |
2 |
2 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Suppose the primary came down to a choice between
Rick Santorum and Mitt
Romney -- for whom would you vote?" |
| |
|
|
|
Rick
Santorum |
Mitt
Romney |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
2/14-20/12 |
50 |
37 |
13 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Suppose the primary came down to a choice between Newt Gingrich and Mitt
Romney -- for whom would you vote?" |
| |
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney |
Newt
Gingrich |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
2/14-20/12 |
50 |
37 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
11/14-20/11 |
39 |
49 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
USA Today/Gallup Poll. Feb. 16-19, 2012. N=433 Republican and
Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 6. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Suppose the choice for the Republican presidential nomination narrows down
to Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney. Which one would you prefer the Republican
Party nominate for president: Rick Santorum or Mitt Romney?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Rick
Santorum |
Mitt
Romney |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
2/16-19/12 |
51 |
44 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
CNN/ORC Poll. Feb. 10-13, 2012. N=478
Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error
± 4.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Please tell me which candidate you would be most likely to support for the
Republican nomination for president: former speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, Texas Congressman Ron Paul, former
Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, or former Pennsylvania senator Rick
Santorum?"
Options rotated. Wording prior to December: "Please tell
me which candidate you would be most likely to support for the Republican
nomination for president year 2012, or if you would support someone else.
..." Michele Bachmann included in 2011. Herman Cain included prior to December. For September results, Sarah Palin
supporters allocated based on 2nd choice. |
| |
|
|
|
2/10-13/12 |
1/11-12/12 |
12/16-18/11 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
34 |
15 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
32 |
34 |
28 |
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
16 |
15 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
15 |
18 |
28 |
|
|
|
|
None/No one (vol.) |
2 |
3 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
2 |
3 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
n/a |
9 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
n/a |
4 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
n/a |
n/a |
8 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11/18-20/11 |
11/11-13/11 |
10/14-16/11 |
9/23-25/11 |
9/9-11/11 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
24 |
22 |
8 |
11 |
7 |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
20 |
24 |
26 |
22 |
21 |
|
|
Herman Cain |
17 |
14 |
25 |
9 |
6 |
|
|
Rick Perry |
11 |
12 |
13 |
30 |
32 |
|
|
Ron Paul |
9 |
8 |
9 |
7 |
13 |
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
5 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
7 |
|
|
Rick Santorum |
4 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
3 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
Someone else |
- |
1 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
|
|
None/No one (vol.) |
3 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
|
|
Unsure |
2 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
|
|
CBS News/New York Times Poll. Feb. 8-13, 2012. N=331 "self-described
Republican primary and caucus voters" (per The New York Times) nationwide. Margin of error ± 5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Who would you like to see the Republican party nominate as its presidential
candidate in 2012: Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney or Rick Santorum?" |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
30 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
27 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Someone else (vol.) |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pew Research Center. Feb. 8-12, 2012. N=552 Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide.
Margin of error
± 5.
Results from 9/22-10/4/11 include the second choice of Palin supports. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"As I name some possible Republican candidates for president in 2012, please
tell me which one, if any, you would most like to see nominated as the
Republican Party's candidate. [See below.]" If unsure:
"As of today, who would you say you LEAN toward?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
2/8-12/12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
30 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
28 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
None (vol.) |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
8 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1/11-16/12 |
1/4-8/12 |
12/7-11/11 |
11/9-14/11 |
9/22 -
10/4/11 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
31 |
27 |
21 |
23 |
22 |
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
16 |
16 |
33 |
16 |
8 |
|
|
Ron Paul |
15 |
12 |
8 |
8 |
12 |
|
|
Rick Santorum |
14 |
16 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
Rick Perry |
5 |
6 |
4 |
8 |
17 |
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
2 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
Other |
2 |
1 |
- |
- |
1 |
|
|
None (vol.)/Unsure |
16 |
19 |
21 |
14 |
17 |
|
|
Fairleigh Dickinson University PublicMind. Feb. 6-12, 2012.
N=578 Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin
of error ± 4. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"To run as the Republican candidate for president, who would you prefer?
[Names read 'as necessary.']" If unsure:
"Which way do you lean?" |
| |
|
|
|
2/6-12/12 |
11/29 -
12/5/11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
32 |
23 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
31 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
15 |
36 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
10 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
12 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
n/a |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
n/a |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
n/a |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
n/a |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw &
Company Research (R). Feb. 6-9, 2012. N=407 Republican primary voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of the candidates for the 2012 Republican
nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican
presidential nominee.
[See below.]"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
2/6-9/12 |
|
2/6-7/12
N=242 |
2/8-9/12
N=165 |
|
|
|
|
% |
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
33 |
|
35 |
30 |
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
23 |
|
17 |
30 |
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
22 |
|
26 |
16 |
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
15 |
|
14 |
15 |
|
|
|
Someone else (vol.) |
1 |
|
1 |
- |
|
|
|
Too soon to say (vol.) |
3 |
|
1 |
5 |
|
|
|
Unsure |
4 |
|
5 |
3 |
|
|
|
Reuters/Ipsos Poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. Feb. 2-6, 2012.
N=approx. 400 Republicans nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.9. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 Republican
presidential primaries were being held today, for whom of the following
would you vote . . . ?" |
| |
|
|
|
2/2-6/12 |
1/5-9/12 |
12/8-12/11 |
10/6-10/11 |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
29 |
30 |
18 |
23 |
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
21 |
16 |
12 |
13 |
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
19 |
20 |
28 |
7 |
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
18 |
13 |
4 |
n/a |
|
|
|
Wouldn't vote |
1 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
|
|
|
None/Other (vol.) |
3 |
2 |
4 |
7 |
|
|
|
Unsure |
10 |
7 |
8 |
13 |
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
n/a |
7 |
12 |
10 |
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
n/a |
3 |
5 |
2 |
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
n/a |
n/a |
10 |
5 |
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
19 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of your personal preference, if the Republican presidential
primaries came down to these two candidates, for which one would you vote:
[see below]?" |
| |
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney |
Newt
Gingrich |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
2/2-6/12 |
53 |
40 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
12/8-12/11 |
39 |
52 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Feb. 1-4, 2012. N=1,000 adults
nationwide. Results below are among registered voters who are Republican or
lean Republican. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were
being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would
you vote?" If unsure:
"Which candidate would you lean toward?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
2/1-4/12 |
1/12-15/12 |
12/15-18/11 |
10/31 -
11/3/11 |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
38 |
36 |
30 |
25 |
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
24 |
16 |
30 |
12 |
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
18 |
13 |
4 |
1 |
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
14 |
16 |
15 |
9 |
|
|
|
Other (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
- |
0 |
|
|
|
None of them (vol.) |
- |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
Wouldn't vote (vol.) |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
Unsure |
5 |
7 |
4 |
8 |
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
n/a |
9 |
6 |
14 |
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
n/a |
- |
2 |
1 |
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
n/a |
n/a |
7 |
4 |
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
23 |
|
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling
organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Jan. 22-24, 2012.
N=441 Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.7. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Let me read you a list of people who might seek the 2012 Republican
nomination for president. If you were voting today in the 2012 Republican
primary for president, which one of the following candidates would you
favor: [see below]?" If unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
1/22-24/12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
37 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
28 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
None (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
3 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12/7-11/11 |
11/2-5/11 |
10/6-10/11 |
8/27-31/11 |
7/14-17/11 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
40 |
13 |
8 |
5 |
8 |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
23 |
28 |
23 |
23 |
30 |
|
|
Ron Paul |
9 |
10 |
11 |
9 |
9 |
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
8 |
4 |
5 |
8 |
16 |
|
|
Rick Perry |
6 |
10 |
16 |
38 |
11 |
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
5 |
- |
3 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
Rick Santorum |
3 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
|
|
Other (vol.) |
- |
- |
- |
- |
2 |
|
|
None (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
Unsure |
5 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
10 |
|
|
Herman Cain |
n/a |
27 |
27 |
5 |
5 |
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
2 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Now, if you were voting today in the 2012 Republican primary for president,
and the candidates were Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich, which one would you
favor?" If unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Newt
Gingrich |
Mitt
Romney |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/22-24/12 |
52 |
39 |
4 |
5 |
|
|
|
Clarus Research Group. Jan. 16-18, 2012. N=381
Republican voters nationwide. Margin of error
± 5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Of the candidates now running for president, which ONE would you most like
to see win the Republican presidential nomination: Mitt Romney, Newt
Gingrich, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, or Rick Santorum?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
30 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
None/Other (vol.) |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
14 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If there were only two candidates in the race for the Republican
presidential nomination, would you most likely vote for Mitt Romney or
[see below]?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney |
Newt
Gingrich |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/16-18/12 |
50 |
34 |
6 |
10 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney |
Rick
Santorum |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/16-18/12 |
50 |
36 |
4 |
10 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney |
Ron
Paul |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/16-18/12 |
62 |
24 |
6 |
8 |
|
|
|
CBS News/New York Times Poll. Jan. 12-17, 2012. N=340 likely
Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Which one of these candidates would you like to see the Republican Party
nominate for president in 2012: Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick
Perry, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, or would you like to see someone else
nominated?" If someone else or unsure:
"If you had to choose, which one of these candidates would you like to see
the Republican Party nominate?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
28 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
21 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
16 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Someone else (vol.) |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
No one (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Washington Times/JZ Analytics Poll. Jan. 14-15, 2012. N=500 likely
Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the Republican primary for president were held today, for whom would you
vote:
[see below]?"
Results include leaners. |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
32 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw &
Company Research (R). Jan. 12-14, 2012. N=365 Republican primary voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of the announced candidates for the 2012
Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the
Republican presidential nominee.
[See below.]"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
1/12-14/12 |
12/5-7/11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
40 |
23 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
15 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
14 |
36 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
13 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
6 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
5 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Buddy Roemer |
- |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
Fred Karger |
- |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
Someone else (vol.) |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Too soon to say (vol.) |
4 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
n/a |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
Gary Johnson |
n/a |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
CNN/ORC Poll. Jan. 11-12, 2012. N=449
Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error
± 4.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Suppose the only Republican candidates were Mitt Romney and [see below].
Which of those two would you support?" |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney |
Newt
Gingrich |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/11-12/12 |
59 |
37 |
2 |
2 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney |
Ron
Paul |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/11-12/12 |
67 |
31 |
2 |
- |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney |
Rick
Santorum |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/11-12/12 |
60 |
37 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
Reuters/Ipsos Poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. Jan. 5-9, 2012.
N=approx. 400 Republicans nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.7. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of your personal preference, if the Republican presidential
primaries came down to these two candidates, for which one would you vote:
[see below]?" |
| |
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney |
Rick
Santorum |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
1/5-9/12 |
56 |
36 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
Gallup Poll. Jan. 5-8, 2012.
N=479 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of
error
±
6. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'd like you to think about the Republican nomination for president in the
2012 election. Please tell me if you would find [see below]
to be an acceptable nominee for president from the Republican Party, or
not." |
| |
|
|
|
Acceptable |
Not
acceptable |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Former Massachusetts governor
Mitt Romney" |
|
|
1/5-8/12 |
59 |
31 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
11/28 - 12/1/11 |
54 |
41 |
5 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Former speaker of the House
Newt Gingrich" |
|
|
1/5-8/12 |
46 |
46 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
11/28 - 12/1/11 |
62 |
34 |
4 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Former Pennsylvania senator
Rick Santorum" |
|
|
1/5-8/12 |
45 |
39 |
16 |
|
|
|
|
11/28 - 12/1/11 |
27 |
62 |
11 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Texas Governor Rick Perry" |
|
|
1/5-8/12 |
37 |
55 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
11/28 - 12/1/11 |
41 |
52 |
7 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Texas Congressman Ron Paul" |
|
|
1/5-8/12 |
29 |
62 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
11/28 - 12/1/11 |
34 |
62 |
4 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Former Utah governor Jon
Huntsman" |
|
|
1/5-8/12 |
21 |
61 |
18 |
|
|
|
|
11/28 - 12/1/11 |
28 |
58 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
CBS News Poll. Jan. 4-8, 2012. N=440 Republican
primary voters nationwide. Margin of error
±
5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Which one of these candidates would you like to see the Republican Party
nominate for president in 2012: Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick
Perry, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, or would you like to see someone else
nominated?" |
| |
|
|
|
1/4-8/12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Someone else (vol.) |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
13 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12/14-18/11 |
11/6-10/11 |
10/19-24/11 |
9/28 -
10/2/11 |
9/10-15/11 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
20 |
15 |
10 |
8 |
7 |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
20 |
15 |
21 |
17 |
16 |
|
|
Ron Paul |
10 |
5 |
8 |
7 |
5 |
|
|
Rick Perry |
6 |
8 |
6 |
12 |
23 |
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
4 |
4 |
2 |
4 |
7 |
|
|
Rick Santorum |
3 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
|
|
Someone else (vol.) |
19 |
14 |
12 |
10 |
11 |
|
|
No one (vol.) |
0 |
1 |
- |
2 |
2 |
|
|
Unsure |
17 |
17 |
14 |
18 |
22 |
|
|
Herman Cain |
n/a |
18 |
25 |
17 |
5 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If you had to choose, which one of these candidates would you like to see
the Republican Party nominate for president in 2012: Newt Gingrich, Jon
Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, or Rick Santorum?" |
| |
|
|
|
1/4-8/12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
24 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Someone else (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
No one (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling
organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Dec. 7-11, 2011.
N=1,000 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters who say
they would vote in a Republican presidential primary. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Now, if you were voting today in the 2012 Republican primary for president,
and the candidates were [see below],
which one would you
favor?" If unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Newt
Gingrich |
Mitt
Romney |
Ron
Paul |
None
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
12/7-11/11 |
53 |
31 |
13 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
Gallup Poll. Nov. 28-Dec. 1, 2011.
N=464 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of
error
±
6. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'd like you to think about the Republican nomination for president in the
2012 election. Please tell me if you would find [see below]
to be an acceptable nominee for president from the Republican Party, or
not." |
| |
|
|
|
Acceptable |
Not
acceptable |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Minnesota Congresswoman
Michele Bachmann" |
|
|
11/28 - 12/1/11 |
37 |
56 |
7 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Businessman Herman Cain" |
|
|
11/28 - 12/1/11 |
37 |
58 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
Quinnipiac University Poll. Nov. 14-20, 2011. N=1,039 Republican and
Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error
± 3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Suppose the primary came down to a choice between Herman Cain and Mitt
Romney -- for whom would you vote?" |
| |
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney |
Herman
Cain |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
11/14-20/11 |
50 |
37 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
10/25-31/11 |
39 |
47 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
Gallup Poll. Nov. 13-17, 2011. N=946 Republicans and
Republican-leaning independents nationwide who are registered to vote. Margin of error ±
4. Interviews
conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking survey. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of people who are running for the 2012 Republican
nomination for president. After I read the names, please tell me which
candidate you are most likely to support for the nomination, or if you would
support someone else: Michele Bachmann; Herman Cain; Newt Gingrich; Jon
Huntsman; Ron Paul; Rick Perry; Mitt Romney; Rick Santorum."
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
11/13-17/11 |
11/2-6/11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
22 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
21 |
22 |
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
16 |
22 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
9 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
8 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
4 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Someone else |
1 |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
None/Any/Unsure |
18 |
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw &
Company Research (R). Nov. 13-15, 2011. N=370 Republican primary voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of the announced candidates for the 2012
Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the
Republican presidential nominee.
[See below.]"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
11/13-15/11 |
10/23-25/11 |
9/25-27/11 |
8/29-31/11 |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
23 |
12 |
11 |
3 |
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
22 |
20 |
23 |
22 |
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
15 |
24 |
17 |
6 |
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
8 |
9 |
6 |
8 |
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
7 |
10 |
19 |
29 |
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
6 |
3 |
3 |
8 |
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
3 |
- |
4 |
1 |
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
2 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
|
|
|
Gary Johnson |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
|
Buddy Roemer |
- |
- |
- |
1 |
|
|
|
Fred Karger |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
|
Someone else (vol.) |
2 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
Too soon to say (vol.) |
7 |
11 |
5 |
6 |
|
|
|
Unsure |
5 |
5 |
7 |
10 |
|
|
|
Thaddeus McCotter |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
- |
|
|
|
McClatchy-Marist Poll. Nov. 8-10, 2011. N=347 Republicans and
Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were
held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"
9/11: "If the 2012 Republican presidential primary were held today, whom would you
support if the candidates are [see below]?" |
| |
|
|
|
11/8-10/11 |
9/13-14/11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
23 |
22 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
19 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
17 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
10 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
8 |
30 |
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
5 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
17 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
George Washington University/Politico Battleground Poll conducted by
the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). Nov. 6-9, 2011.
N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Results below are among Republican primary
voters. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Thinking about these Republican presidential candidates in a different way:
Who would you say is your first choice to be the Republican nominee for
president?"
Names read "if necessary." |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
27 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
25 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gary Johnson |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure/Refused |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling
organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Nov. 2-5, 2011.
N=1,000 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters who say
they would vote in a Republican presidential primary. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Now, if you were voting today in the 2012 Republican primary for president,
and the candidates were Mitt Romney and Rick Perry, which one would you
favor?" If unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Romney |
Perry |
Neither (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/2-5/11 |
62 |
33 |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
10/6-10/11 |
54 |
39 |
|
