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See also:  Rating the contenders

AP-GfK Poll conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Corporate Communications. Feb. 16-20, 2012. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.1.

"In the election for president in November 2012, if the candidates are Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, for whom will you vote?" If neither/unsure: "Do you lean more toward Obama or more toward [see below]?" Options rotated

2/16-20/12

2/16-20/12

12/8-12/11

10/13-17/11

2/16-20/12

12/8-12/11

2/16-20/12

Quinnipiac University Poll. Feb. 14-20, 2012. N=2,605 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 1.9.

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

2/14-20/12

44

1

3

5

2/14-20/12

44

2

4

4

11/14-20/11

44

2

3

7

10/25-31/11

42

2

4

5

9/27 - 10/3/11

46

3

2

7

8/16-27/11

45

2

2

6

7/5-11/11

41

2

2

7

5/31 - 6/6/11

41

3

2

6

11/8-15/10

45

2

2

7

2/14-20/12

39

2

5

4

11/14-20/11

40

2

3

7

10/25-31/11

37

3

4

5

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Feb. 16-19, 2012. N=898 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.

General Election Trial Heats:

2/16-19/12

2/16-19/12

Democracy Corps poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D). Feb. 11-14, 2012. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1.

"I know it's a long way off, but thinking about the presidential election in November, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, for whom would you vote?" Results include leaners.

2/11-14/12

1/8-11/12

10/15-18/11

8/6-10/11

6/18-21/11

5/21-25/11

4/10-12/11

2/7-9/11

1/9-12/11

CNN/ORC Poll. Feb. 10-13, 2012. N=937 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

"If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: Obama, the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, who do you lean more toward?" Options rotated

2/10-13/12

45

2

-

-

1/11-12/12

45

3

1

1

2/10-13/12

46

2

-

-

1/11-12/12

48

3

1

1

12/16-18/11

45

2

1

-

11/11-13/11

51

2

-

-

9/23-25/11

48

2

1

-

8/5-7/11

48

2

-

-

4/29 - 5/1/11

43

2

1

-

10/27-30/10

50

3

-

1

4/9-11/10

45

1

-

-

2/10-13/12

45

3

-

-

1/11-12/12

46

4

1

-

12/16-18/11

45

3

-

-

9/23-25/11

47

2

1

-

4/29 - 5/1/11

45

3

-

-

2/10-13/12

42

3

-

-

1/11-12/12

43

4

1

-

12/16-18/11

40

2

1

-

11/11-13/11

45

2

-

-

4/29 - 5/1/11

40

2

-

-

10/27-30/10

47

3

-

1

4/9-11/10

43

1

-

-

CBS News/New York Times Poll. Feb. 8-13, 2012. N=997 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

"If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, would you vote for Barack Obama or [see below]?"

2/8-13/12

1/12-17/12

1/4-8/12

2/8-13/12

1/12-17/12

1/4-8/12

2/8-13/12

1/12-17/12

1/4-8/12

2/8-13/12

1/12-17/12

1/4-8/12

Pew Research Center. Feb. 8-12, 2012. N=1,172 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5.

"Now, suppose the 2012 presidential election were being held TODAY and you had to choose between Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, who would you vote for?" If other/unsure: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to [see below]?" Options rotated

2/8-12/12

2/8-12/12

1/11-16/12

11/9-14/11

9/22 - 10/4/11

2/8-12/12

11/9-14/11

Fairleigh Dickinson University PublicMind. Feb. 6-12, 2012. N=903 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.3.

"I know it's early, but let me ask: In a race for president between Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, who would you vote for?" If unsure: "Which way do you lean?" Options rotated

2/6-12/12

11/29 - 12/5/11

6/1-7/11

3/21-28/11

2/6-12/12

11/29 - 12/5/11

6/1-7/11

2/6-12/12

11/29 - 12/5/11

6/1-7/11

3/21-28/11

2/6-12/12

11/29 - 12/5/11

6/1-7/11

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Feb. 6-9, 2012. N=1,110 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
2010: Conducted by Opinion Dynamics Corp.

"If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican [see below]?" Options rotated

2/6-9/12

1/12-14/12

12/5-7/11

11/13-15/11

9/25-27/11

7/17-19/11

6/5-7/11

2/7-9/11

41

2

3

5

9/28-29/10

40

7

2

11

1/12-13/10

35

5

3

10

2/6-9/12

1/12-14/12

2/6-9/12

1/12-14/12

12/5-7/11

11/13-15/11

6/5-7/11

2/7-9/11

35

3

3

4

1/12-13/10

29

5

4

9

2/6-9/12

2/6-9/12

2/7-9/11

34

3

4

5

9/28-29/10

37

6

3

9

Reuters/Ipsos Poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. Feb. 2-6, 2012. N=approx. 900 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.3.

"If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Would you lean toward Obama or toward [see below]?"

2/2-6/12

1/5-9/12

12/8-12/11

10/31 - 11/3/11

9/8-12/11

5/5-9/11

2/2-6/12

1/5-9/12

12/8-12/11

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Feb. 1-4, 2012. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.

"If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Would you lean toward Obama or toward [see below]?" Options rotated. Results below are among registered voters.

2/1-4/12

1/12-15/12

12/15-18/11

10/31 - 11/3/11

9/29 - 10/2/11

8/29 - 9/1/11

7/14-17/11

6/2-5/11

4/14-17/11

2/1-4/12

1/12-15/12

12/15-18/11

6/2-5/11

4/14-17/11

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Jan. 27-28, 2012. N=907 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4. Interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking.

"Suppose the presidential election were held today. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you vote for: Barack Obama, the Democrat, or Mitt Romney, the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward Obama, the Democrat, or Romney, the Republican?" Options rotated

1/27-28/12

12/6-7/11

10/26-27/11

8/17-18/11

"Suppose the presidential election were held today. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and former speaker of the House Newt Gingrich were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you vote for: Barack Obama, the Democrat, or Newt Gingrich, the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward Obama, the Democrat, or Gingrich, the Republican?" Options rotated

1/27-28/12

12/6-7/11

"Suppose the presidential election were held today. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and Texas Congressman Ron Paul were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you vote for: Barack Obama, the Democrat, or Ron Paul, the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward Obama, the Democrat, or Paul, the Republican?" Options rotated

1/27-28/12

8/17-18/11

"Suppose the presidential election were held today. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you vote for: Barack Obama, the Democrat, or Rick Santorum, the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward Obama, the Democrat, or Santorum, the Republican?" Options rotated

1/27-28/12

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Jan. 22-24, 2012. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters, except where indicated.

"If President Obama runs for reelection in the year 2012, do you think you will probably vote for President Obama or probably vote for the Republican candidate?"

1/22-24/12

12/7-11/11

11/2-5/11

10/6-10/11

8/27-31/11

7/14-17/11

6/9-13/11

5/5-7/11

3/31 - 4/4/11

2/24-28/11

"If the next election for president were held today, and [see below] were the Republican candidate and Barack Obama were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

1/22-24/12

12/7-11/11

1/13-17/11

1/22-24/12

12/7-11/11

11/2-5/11

10/6-10/11

8/27-31/11

7/14-17/11

6/9-13/11

2/24-28/11

12/9-13/10 Adults

40

1

6

6

1/20-22/08 Adults

35

2

7

8

11/1-5/07 Adults

36

1

6

9

9/7-10/07 Adults

34

1

7

7

1/22-24/12

"And, if the next election for president were held today, and Mitt Romney were the Republican candidate, Barack Obama were the Democratic candidate, and Ron Paul were the independent candidate, for whom would you vote?"

1/22-24/12

11/2-5/11

United Technologies/National Journal Congressional Connection Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Jan. 19-22, 2012. N=773 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.1.

"Thinking about the 2012 elections, which of the following outcomes would you prefer? Would you rather see Barack Obama reelected, OR a Republican win the presidency?"

1/19-22/12

10/27-30/11

CBS News/New York Times Poll. Jan. 12-17, 2012. N=1,021 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

"If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, would you vote for Barack Obama or [see below]?"

1/12-17/12

1/4-8/12

1/12-17/12

1/4-8/12

Pew Research Center. Jan. 11-16, 2012. N=1,207 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5.

"And suppose Ron Paul was running as a third party candidate. If you had to choose between [see below], who would you vote for?" If other/unsure: "Do you think you would LEAN more to [see below]?" Options rotated

1/11-16/12

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Jan. 12-15, 2012. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters.

"If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Would you lean toward Obama or toward [see below]?" Options rotated

1/12-15/12

12/15-18/11

7/14-17/11

1/12-15/12

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Jan. 12-14, 2012. N=906 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

"If the 2012 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, Mitt Romney, the Republican, and Ron Paul, as an independent?" Options rotated

1/12-14/12

"Let's say the Democratic ticket is Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, and the Republican ticket is Mitt Romney for president and [see below] for vice president. If you were voting today, how would you vote?" Options rotated

1/12-14/12

1/12-14/12

Democracy Corps poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D). Jan. 8-11, 2012. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1.

"Now let me ask you again about your vote for president, but this time including an independent candidate. Thinking about the presidential election in November, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, and independent candidate Ron Paul, for whom would you vote?" N=500 (Split A). Results include leaners.

1/8-11/12