Campaign 2012

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Campaign 2012	See also: Trial heats \| GOP nomination \| Rating the contenders

[ STATE POLLS are in our subscriber area. INFO ]

USA Today/Gallup Poll. May 10-13, 2012. N=1,012 adults nationwide. Margin of error ą 4.

"Regardless of whom you support, and trying to be as objective as possible, who do you think will win the election in November: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?" Options rotated

		Obama	Romney	Unsure
		%	%	%
	5/10-13/12	56	36	8

USA Today/Gallup Poll. May 10, 2012. N=1,013 adults nationwide. Margin of error ą 4. Interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking.

"Does President Obama's support for same-sex marriage make you more likely to vote for him, less likely to vote for him, or doesn't it make any difference?"

		More likely	Less likely	No difference	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	5/10/12	13	26	60	2

AP-GfK Poll conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Corporate Communications. May 3-7, 2012. N=1,004 adults nationwide. Margin of error ą 3.9.

"Do you feel you have a good idea of what policies Barack Obama would pursue if elected to a second term as president, or not?"

		Yes	No	Unsure
		%	%	%
	5/3-7/12	67	28	5

"Do you feel you have a good idea of what policies Mitt Romney would pursue if elected president, or not?"

		Yes	No	Unsure	Refused
		%	%	%	%
	5/3-7/12	44	48	8	1

"Regardless of whom you may support, who do you trust to do a better job of [see below]: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?" Options rotated

		Obama	Romney	Neither (vol.)	Unsure	Refused
		%	%	%	%	%

	"Handling the economy"
	5/3-7/12	46	44	4	6	-

	"Protecting the country"
	5/3-7/12	53	37	5	5	-

	"Handling taxes"
	5/3-7/12	47	41	5	7	-

	"Handling social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage"
	5/3-7/12	53	32	6	8	1

"And regardless of whom you may support, which of the following candidates do you think [see below]: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?" Options rotated

		Obama	Romney	Neither (vol.)	Unsure	Refused
		%	%	%	%	%

	"Better understands the problems of people like you"
	5/3-7/12	51	33	11	5	-

	"Is a stronger leader"
	5/3-7/12	50	39	5	6	-

	"More often says what he really believes"
	5/3-7/12	54	31	10	6	-

Resurgent Republic poll conducted by North Star Opinion Research (R). April 30-May 3, 2012. N=1,000 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ą 3.1.

"Do you think Barack Obama deserves reelection as president, or do you think it is time to give someone else a chance?"

		Deserves reelection	Give someone else a chance	Unsure
		%	%	%
	4/30 - 5/3/12	45	49	5
	8/28-31/11	42	52	6

George Washington University/Politico Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). April 29-May 3, 2012. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ą 3.1.

"Thinking about the November 2012 election for president, do you think you will vote to reelect Barack Obama, will you consider voting for someone else, or do you think you will vote to replace him?"

		Will vote to reelect	Will consider someone else	Will vote to replace	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	4/29 - 5/3/12	43	11	42	5

"Now, I would like to read you a list of issues that some people have said are important to them. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, who will better handle this issue: Mitt Romney or Barack Obama. . . ." Options rotated. N=approx. 500 likely voters.

		Romney	Obama	Both (vol.)	Neither (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%

	"Jobs"
	4/29 - 5/3/12	46	48	-	2	4

	"The economy"
	4/29 - 5/3/12	48	45	1	2	5

	"Standing up for the middle class"
	4/29 - 5/3/12	35	58	1	3	4

	"Taxes"
	4/29 - 5/3/12	45	51	-	1	4

	"Health care"
	4/29 - 5/3/12	45	48	1	2	5

	"Social Security and Medicare"
	4/29 - 5/3/12	44	47	1	2	6

	"Foreign policy"
	4/29 - 5/3/12	38	51	-	2	9

	"Sharing your values"
	4/29 - 5/3/12	40	50	1	4	5

USA Today/Gallup Poll. May 1-2, 2012. N=872 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ą 4. Interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking.

"If Barack Obama is reelected president in November, do you think he would do a very good, good, poor, or very poor job of handling the economy over the next four years?"

		Very good	Good	Poor	Very poor	Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%
	5/1-2/12	17	35	22	22	4

"If Mitt Romney is elected president in November, do you think he would do a very good, good, poor, or very poor job of handling the economy over the next four years?"

		Very good	Good	Poor	Very poor	Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%
	5/1-2/12	16	45	23	10	6

"Who do you think would do a better job of handling the economy over the next four years: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?" Options rotated

		Obama	Romney	Same (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	5/1-2/12	45	47	2	7

"Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think each one applies more to Barack Obama or more to Mitt Romney. How about [see below]?"

		Obama	Romney	Both equally (vol.)	Neither (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%

	"Cares about the needs of people like you"
	5/1-2/12	51	41	1	4	3

	"Is a strong and decisive leader"
	5/1-2/12	49	40	3	3	5

	"Agrees with you on issues that you care about"
	5/1-2/12	47	45	2	3	4

	"Is likeable"
	5/1-2/12	60	31	5	2	3

	"Can manage the government effectively"
	5/1-2/12	43	46	1	4	5

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). April 13-17, 2012. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Margin of error ą 3.1.

"Now I'd like you to compare Barack Obama and Mitt Romney on a few qualities that people might look for in a president. For each one, please tell me whether you think that Barack Obama would be better or Mitt Romney would be better on that item. If you think that both would be equally good or that neither would be good on a particular item, just say so. Who do you think would be better when it comes to [see below]: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney, or do you think that both would be equally good or neither would be good?"

		Obama better	Romney better	Equally good	Neither	Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%

	"Being easygoing and likable" Half sample (Form B)
	4/13-17/12	54	18	19	7	2

	"Caring about average people" Half sample (Form B)
	4/13-17/12	52	22	9	15	2

	"Being compassionate enough to understand average people" Half sample (Form A)
	4/13-17/12	52	23	9	15	1

	"Dealing with issues of concern to women"
	4/13-17/12	49	21	15	10	5

	"Looking out for the middle class"
	4/13-17/12	48	27	7	16	2

	"Being knowledgeable and experienced enough to handle the presidency"
	4/13-17/12	45	30	15	8	2

	"Being a good commander-in-chief" Half sample (Form A)
	4/13-17/12	43	33	14	9	1

	"Being consistent and standing up for his beliefs" Half sample (Form B)
	4/13-17/12	41	30	14	13	2

	"Sharing your positions on the issues"
	4/13-17/12	40	34	8	15	3

	"Being honest and straightforward" Half sample (Form B)
	4/13-17/12	37	30	10	21	2

	"Setting the proper moral tone for the country" Half sample (Form A)
	4/13-17/12	37	35	17	8	2

	"Having good ideas for how to improve the economy"
	4/13-17/12	34	40	11	13	2

	"Changing business as usual in Washington" Half sample (Form A)
	4/13-17/12	29	36	9	23	3

CNN/ORC Poll. April 13-15, 2012. N=1,015 adults nationwide. Margin of error ą 3.

"Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between Barack Obama as the Democratic Party's candidate, and Mitt Romney as the Republican Party's candidate. Who would you be more likely to vote for: Barack Obama, the Democrat, or Mitt Romney, the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, who do you lean more toward?" See also registered voter trend.

		Obama	Romney	Neither (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	4/13-15/12	53	41	5	1

	Asked of Obama voters: "Is that more a vote FOR Barack Obama or more a vote AGAINST Mitt Romney?"

		For Obama	Against Romney	Unsure
		%	%	%
	4/13-15/12	76	23	1

	Asked of Romney voters: "Is that more a vote FOR Mitt Romney or more a vote AGAINST Barack Obama?"

		For Romney	Against Obama	Unsure
		%	%	%
	4/13-15/12	35	63	3

"Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think each one applies more to Barack Obama or more to Mitt Romney. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not support him. . . ."

		Obama	Romney	Both (vol.)	Neither (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%

	"Can get the economy moving"
	4/13-15/12	44	42	2	10	2

	"Agrees with you on the issues that matter most to you"
	4/13-15/12	49	37	1	11	1

	"Is in touch with the problems facing middle class Americans today"
	4/13-15/12	51	33	2	12	2

	"Is in touch with the problems facing women today"
	4/13-15/12	55	27	3	12	3

	"Can handle the responsibilities of commander in chief"
	4/13-15/12	52	36	4	7	1

	"Is a strong and decisive leader" N=509 (Version A), margin of error ą 4.5
	4/13-15/12	50	34	5	10	1

	"Is likeable" N=509 (Version A), margin of error ą 4.5
	4/13-15/12	56	27	11	5	-

	"Is more honest and trustworthy" N=509 (Version A), margin of error ą 4.5
	4/13-15/12	44	33	3	19	2

	"Shares your values" N=509 (Version A), margin of error ą 4.5
	4/13-15/12	49	37	3	10	1

	"Stands up for what he believes in" N=509 (Version A), margin of error ą 4.5
	4/13-15/12	50	29	14	7	-

	"Is a person you admire" N=506 (Version B), margin of error ą 4.5
	4/13-15/12	44	25	6	24	1

	"Can manage the government effectively" N=506 (Version B), margin of error ą 4.5
	4/13-15/12	46	38	3	11	2

	"Inspires confidence" N=506 (Version B), margin of error ą 4.5
	4/13-15/12	50	30	5	13	1

	"Has a clear plan for solving the country's problems" N=506 (Version B), margin of error ą 4.5
	4/13-15/12	38	33	3	24	2

	"Pays the right amount of attention to independents and moderates in this country" N=506 (Version B), margin of error ą 4.5
	4/13-15/12	48	33	3	12	5

"Who do you think is more likely to change his position on issues for political reasons: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?"

		Obama	Romney	Both equally (vol.)	Neither (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%
	4/13-15/12	39	47	8	4	3

"Regardless of whom you support, and trying to be as objective as possible, who do you think will win the election in November: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?"

		Obama	Romney	Other (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	4/13-15/12	61	35	1	4

"We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. New Jersey Governor Chris Christie. Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal. Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell. Ohio Senator Rob Portman. Former National Security Adviser Condoleezza Rice. Florida Senator Marco Rubio. Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan. Rick Santorum. ..." "And of the people I just mentioned, which one would you most like to see Mitt Romney choose as his vice presidential running mate if Romney wins the Republican presidential nomination?" N=473 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, margin of error ą 4.5. Names read only if respondent requested.

		Republicans & leaners
		%
	Condoleezza Rice	26
	Rick Santorum	21
	Chris Christie	14
	Marco Rubio	14
	Paul Ryan	8
	Bobby Jindal	5
	Bob McDonnell	1
	Rob Portman	-
	Someone else (vol.)	4
	None/No one (vol.)	2
	Unsure	4

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. April 5-8, 2012. N=1,003 adults nationwide. Margin of error ą 4.

"Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job [see below]: Obama or Romney?" RV = registered voters

		Obama	Romney	Both (vol.)	Neither (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%

	"Handling the economy"
	4/5-8/12	43	47	1	5	5
	2/1-4/12 RV	44	50	1	3	2

	"Protecting the middle class"
	4/5-8/12	49	39	-	7	4
	2/1-4/12 RV	56	37	2	5	1

	"Creating jobs" Half sample (Form A)
	4/5-8/12	46	43	1	5	4
	2/1-4/12 RV	46	46	1	3	4

	"Handling international affairs" Half sample (Form A)
	4/5-8/12	53	36	-	7	4
	2/1-4/12 RV	55	38	1	3	4

	"Supporting small business" Half sample (Form A)
	4/5-8/12	47	45	1	4	4

	"Handling taxes" Half sample (Form A)
	4/5-8/12	45	42	-	7	5
	2/1-4/12 RV	49	45	-	2	4

	"Dealing with health care policy" Half sample (Form A)
	4/5-8/12	48	38	-	7	6

	"Handling the federal budget deficit" Half sample (Form B)
	4/5-8/12	38	51	-	5	6
	2/1-4/12 RV	39	52	-	4	4

	"Handling terrorism" Half sample (Form B)
	4/5-8/12	47	40	2	3	8
	2/1-4/12 RV	54	38	2	2	4

	"Handling energy policy" Half sample (Form B)
	4/5-8/12	42	47	1	2	7

	"Dealing with social issues such as abortion and gay marriage" Half sample (Form B)
	4/5-8/12	46	38	1	5	10

	"Addressing women's issues" Half sample (Form B)
	4/5-8/12	53	34	1	4	8

"Regardless of who you may support, who do you think better understands the economic problems people in this country are having: Obama or Romney?" Options rotated

		Obama	Romney	Both (vol.)	Neither (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%
	4/5-8/12	49	37	2	9	4
	2/1-4/12	53	36	2	7	3

"Regardless of who you may support, who do you think [see below]: Obama or Romney?"

		Obama	Romney	Both (vol.)	Neither (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%

	"Is the stronger leader"
	4/5-8/12	46	40	1	6	7

	"Seems like the more friendly and likable person" Half sample (Form A)
	4/5-8/12	64	26	3	2	4

	"Has a clearer vision for the future" Half sample (Form A)
	4/5-8/12	45	40	2	7	7

	"Is more inspiring" Half sample (Form B)
	4/5-8/12	55	29	1	11	5

	"Is more consistent in his positions" Half sample (Form B)
	4/5-8/12	46	36	2	8	8

"For each item I name, please tell me if it is a major reason to support that candidate, a major reason to oppose that candidate, or not a major factor. . . ."

		Major reason to support	Major reason to oppose	Not a major factor	Unsure
		%	%	%	%

	"Romney's Mormon religion"
	4/5-8/12	3	13	80	4
	2/1-4/12	4	17	77	2

	"Obama's handling of the economy"
	4/5-8/12	32	46	19	3
	2/1-4/12	39	47	13	2

	"Romney's wealth"
	4/5-8/12	6	19	71	3

	"Obama's views on the size and role of government"
	4/5-8/12	22	39	34	5

Pew Research Center. April 5-8, 2012. N=1,000 registered voters nationwide (margin of error ą 4), including 295 Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters (margin of error ą 7).

"Do you think the fact that the Republican primary contest has not yet been decided and is still going on is a good thing or a bad thing for the Republican Party?"

		Good thing	Bad thing	Neither/Still early (vol.)	Unsure/ Refused
		%	%	%	%
	ALL	26	51	5	17
	Republican voters	36	47	8	9

"From what you've read and heard, do you think Mitt Romney will definitely be the Republican nominee for president this year, or is there still a chance that another candidate will become the nominee?"

		Romney will definitely be nominee	Still a chance for another candidate	Unsure/ Refused
		%	%	%
	ALL	61	26	13
	Republican voters	74	21	6

CNN/ORC Poll. March 24-25, 2012. N=436 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ą 4.5.

"If you had to choose, would you rather see the Republican party choose its presidential nominee through the primaries and caucuses that are currently being conducted, or would you rather see the Republican nominee chosen at the party's national convention in August?"

		Primaries, caucuses	National convention	Other (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	3/24-25/12	53	43	2	2

CBS News/New York Times Poll. March 7-11, 2012. N=878 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ą 3.

"Do you think [see below] does or does not understand the needs and problems of people like yourself?"

		Does understand	Does not understand	Unsure
		%	%	%

	Barack Obama
	3/7-11/12	55	42	3
	2/8-13/12	54	42	4
	10/10	51	45	4

	Ron Paul
	3/7-11/12	43	38	19
	2/8-13/12	47	33	20

	Rick Santorum
	3/7-11/12	40	44	16
	2/8-13/12	37	37	26

	Newt Gingrich
	3/7-11/12	33	57	10
	2/8-13/12	30	58	12

	Mitt Romney
	3/7-11/12	31	59	10
	2/8-13/12	31	58	11

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. March 7-10, 2012. N=1,003 adults nationwide. Margin of error ą 4.

"Just your best guess -- who do you think will win the Republican nomination for president?" Among Republicans and independents who lean Republican.

		Mitt Romney	Rick Santorum	Newt Gingrich	Ron Paul	Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%
	3/7-10/12	74	11	4	3	7

"Again, regardless of who you may support, which of the Republican candidates do you think best reflects the core values of the Republican Party?" If needed: "I can repeat the list. Is it Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, or Rick Santorum?" Options rotated. Among Republicans and independents who lean Republican.

		Rick Santorum	Mitt Romney	Newt Gingrich	Ron Paul	All/None (vol.)/Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%
	3/7-10/12	27	25	20	11	16

"Again, regardless of who you may support, which of the Republican candidates do you think has the best chance to defeat Barack Obama in the general election?" If needed: "I can repeat the list. Is it Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, or Rick Santorum?" Options rotated. Among Republicans and independents who lean Republican.

		Mitt Romney	Rick Santorum	Newt Gingrich	Ron Paul	All/None (vol.)/Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%
	3/7-10/12	52	15	11	6	16

"Just your best guess -- who do you think will win the presidential election this year: Obama or the Republican candidate?" Options rotated

		Obama	Republican candidate	Unsure
		%	%	%
	3/7-10/12	54	40	6
	1/12-15/12	46	49	5

Allstate/National Journal Heartland Monitor Poll conducted by FTI Consulting. March 3-6, 2012. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters, except where indicated.

"If the November election for president were held today, would you definitely vote to reelect Barack Obama, probably vote to reelect Barack Obama, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?" Options rotated. 2010: "If the election for president in 2012 were held today . . . ?"

		Definitely Obama	Probably Obama	Probably someone else	Definitely someone else	Unsure/ Refused
		%	%	%	%	%
	3/3-6/12	31	13	11	39	6
	11/30 - 12/4/11	26	12	14	41	7
	9/28 - 10/2/11	28	14	11	41	6
	5/18-22/11	29	15	14	34	9
	3/4-8/11	22	18	16	35	10
	8/27-30/10 Adults	23	15	14	38	9
	4/22-26/10 Adults	25	14	13	37	12
	1/3-7/10 Adults	23	16	13	37	10

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Feb. 29-March 3, 2012. N=800 adults nationwide. Margin of error ą 3.5.

"Now, has what you have seen, read, or heard so far during the Republican presidential nominating process made you feel more favorable or less favorable toward the Republican Party, or has it had no impact one way or the other on your feelings toward the Republican Party?"

		More favorable	Less favorable	No impact	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	2/29 - 3/3/12	12	40	47	1
	1/22-24/12	15	33	51	1

AP-GfK Poll conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Corporate Communications. Feb. 16-20, 2012. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Margin of error ą 4.1.

"Regardless of how you might vote, do you think President Barack Obama deserves to be reelected or deserves to be voted out of office?" Options rotated

		Deserves to be reelected	Deserves to be voted out	Unsure	Refused
		%	%	%	%
	2/16-20/12	50	46	3	-
	12/8-12/11	43	52	4	-
	10/13-17/11	46	50	4	-
	8/18-22/11	47	48	4	1
	6/16-20/11	48	47	5	1
	5/5-9/11	53	43	3	1
	3/24-28/11	50	47	3	-
	1/5-10/11	50	45	5	-

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Feb. 16-19, 2012. N=1,014 adults nationwide. Margin of error ą 4.

"Which Republican candidate do you think has the better chance of beating Barack Obama in November: Mitt Romney or Rick Santorum?" Options rotated

		Romney	Santorum	Same (vol.)	Neither (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%
	ALL	54	29	1	10	7
	Leaned Republicans	58	32	2	4	3

CNN/ORC Poll. Feb. 10-13, 2012. N=1,026 adults nationwide. Margin of error ą 3.

"Please tell me whether you think each of the following generally favors the rich, favors the middle class, or favors the poor. . . ."

		Favors the rich	Favors the middle class	Favors the poor	Unsure
		%	%	%	%

	Mitt Romney
	2/10-13/12	65	28	4	3

	Newt Gingrich
	2/10-13/12	61	30	5	4

	Rick Santorum
	2/10-13/12	39	46	7	9

	Ron Paul
	2/10-13/12	29	52	12	7

	Barack Obama
	2/10-13/12	26	40	32	2

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Feb. 1-4, 2012. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Margin of error ą 4.

"Based on his performance in office so far, would you say Obama deserves a second term as president, or not?"

		Deserves a second term	Does not	Unsure
		%	%	%
	2/1-4/12	50	48	2

"Thinking about what you're hearing from the candidates for the Republican nomination for president -- overall would you say you approve or disapprove of most of what they've been saying?"

		Approve	Disapprove	Depends (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	2/1-4/12	36	54	4	7

"How much does it matter to you that a candidate for president shares your religious beliefs? Does it matter a great deal, somewhat, not so much, or not at all?"

		A great deal	Somewhat	Not so much	Not at all
		%	%	%	%
	2/1-4/12	18	20	16	46

"In his work as a corporate investor, do you think Mitt Romney did more to create jobs or more to cut jobs?" Options rotated

		Create jobs	Cut jobs	Unsure
		%	%	%
	2/1-4/12	32	36	32

"Do you think of Romney's wealth as more of a positive because it suggests he has achieved the American dream or as more of a negative because it suggests he benefited from opportunities that are not available to most people?" Options rotated

		Positive	Negative	Unsure
		%	%	%
	2/1-4/12	43	44	13

"Romney paid about a 14% federal tax rate on income of about 22 million dollars last year. Do you think he is or is not paying his fair share of taxes?"

		Is paying fair share	Is not paying fair share	Unsure
		%	%	%
	2/1-4/12	30	66	4

"For each item I name, please tell me if it is a major reason to support that candidate, a major reason to oppose that candidate, or not a major factor. . . ."

		Major reason to support	Major reason to oppose	Not a major factor	Unsure
		%	%	%	%

	"Obama's handling of the threat of terrorism"
	2/1-4/12	56	20	21	3

	"Romney's business experience"
	2/1-4/12	48	12	34	6

	"Gingrich's performance as speaker of the House in the early 1990s"
	2/1-4/12	21	33	37	9

	"Gingrich's consulting work for companies with an interest in federal policymaking"
	2/1-4/12	12	44	37	7

United Technologies/National Journal Congressional Connection Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Jan. 19-22, 2012. N=773 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ą 4.1.

"Thinking about the 2012 elections, which of the following outcomes would you prefer? Would you rather see Barack Obama reelected, OR a Republican win the presidency?"

		Obama reelected	A Republican win	Neither/ Other (vol.)	Unsure/ Refused
		%	%	%	%
	1/19-22/12	48	40
	10/27-30/11	43	44	4	9

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Jan. 12-14, 2012. N=906 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ą 3. 2010: Conducted by Opinion Dynamics Corp.

"Considering how President Obama has performed so far, do you think he deserves to be reelected, or would the country probably be better off with someone else as president?"

		Deserves to be reelected	Better off with someone else	Depends/Too soon (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	1/12-14/12	43	49	5	3
	5/15-17/11	50	43	5	3
	4/3-5/11	44	48	5	3
	12/14-15/10	35	53	9	4
	9/1-2/10	38	49	11	2

Pew Research Center. Jan. 4-8, 2012. N=1,165 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ą 3.5.

"Looking ahead, would you like to see Barack Obama reelected president in 2012 or would you prefer that a Republican candidate win the election?" If other/someone else: "If you had to choose, would you like to see Barack Obama reelected or would you prefer that a Republican candidate win the election?"

		Obama	Republican	Other (vol.)/ Unsure
		%	%	%
	1/4-8/12	41	41	19
	8/17-21/11	43	40	17
	7/20-24/11	41	40	19
	5/25-30/11	48	37	15
	3/8-14/11	47	37	16

CBS News Poll. Dec. 5-7, 2011. N=856 adults nationwide. Margin of error ą 3.

"Do you think Barack Obama has performed his job as president well enough to deserve reelection, or don't you think so?"

		Deserves reelection	Does not deserve	Unsure
		%	%	%
	12/5-7/11	41	54	5

Gallup Poll. Nov. 28-Dec. 1, 2011. N=903 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ą 4.

"Please tell me whether you think each of the following political officeholders deserves to be reelected, or not. How about President Obama?"

		Deserves to be reelected	Does not deserve to be reelected	Unsure
		%	%	%
	11/28 - 12/1/11	43	55	2
	8/4-7/11	47	50	2
	5/12-15/11	47	51	2
	10/14-17/10	37	57	6
	6/11-13/10	46	51	3
	5/24-25/10	48	49	3
	3/26-28/10	46	50	4

Quinnipiac University Poll. Nov. 14-20, 2011. N=2,552 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ą 1.9.

"Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?"

		Deserves to be reelected	Does not deserve	Unsure
		%	%	%
	11/14-20/11	45	48	7
	10/25-31/11	47	49	4
	9/27 - 10/3/11	42	54	4
	8/16-27/11	42	51	7
	7/5-11/11	47	47	7
	5/31 - 6/6/11	46	48	6
	5/2-3/11	46	42	11
	4/26 - 5/1/11	45	48	6
	3/22-28/11	41	50	9
	2/21-28/11	45	47	7
	11/8-15/10	43	49	9
	7/13-19/10	40	48	12
	3/16-21/10	40	48	11

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Nov. 8-10, 2011. N=872 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ą 3.5. 8/09: Marist College Marist Poll.

"Do you definitely plan to vote for Barack Obama for reelection as president or do you definitely plan to vote against him?"

		For him	Against him	Unsure
		%	%	%
	11/8-10/11	38	48	14
	9/13-14/11	36	49	15
	8/2-4/11	40	40	20
	6/15-23/11	36	43	21
	4/10-14/11	37	44	18
	11/15-18/10	36	48	16

George Washington University/Politico Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). Aug. 28-Sept. 1, 2011. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ą 3.1.

"Now, thinking ahead to the 2012 presidential elections: As you may know, Obama has announced that he is running for reelection in 2012. Would you say you will definitely vote for him, you will consider voting for him, or you definitely will not vote for him?" Options rotated

		Definitely vote for	Consider voting for	Definitely not vote for	Unsure/ Refused
		%	%	%	%
	8/28 - 9/1/11	26	28	43	2
	5/8-12/11	30	29	38	3

Washington Post Poll. Aug. 9, 2011. N=601 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters, except where indicated. Trend results co-sponsored by ABC News.

"As you may know, Obama has announced that he is running for reelection in 2012. Would you say you will definitely vote for him, you'll consider voting for him, or you definitely will not vote for him?" 2010: "If Obama runs for reelection in 2012, would you definitely vote for him, would you consider voting for him, or would you definitely not vote for him?" 2009: "Thinking ahead to 2012, at this point would you definitely vote to reelect Obama, would you consider voting for him, or would you definitely not vote for him?"

		Definitely vote for	Consider voting for	Definitely not vote for	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	8/9/11	21	30	46	2
	6/2-5/11	25	27	47	1
	4/14-17/11	30	23	46	1
	12/9-12/10	26	28	44	2
	11/19-23/09 Adults	24	31	41	4

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Aug. 7-9, 2011. N=904 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ą 3. 2009 & 2010: Conducted by Opinion Dynamics Corp.

"If the 2012 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to reelect Barack Obama, probably vote to reelect Obama, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?"

		Definitely Obama	Probably Obama	Probably someone else	Definitely someone else	Too soon (vol.)/Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%
	8/7-9/11	29	15	9	42	6
	6/5-7/11	28	16	13	36	7
	1/18-19/11	23	19	15	36	7
	9/28-29/10	19	20	14	40	7
	1/12-13/10	23	20	11	36	11
	10/13-14/09	26	17	14	34	9
	4/22-23/09	37	15	8	23	16

Bloomberg National Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. June 17-20, 2011. N=741 likely voters nationwide.

"In the 2012 election, do you anticipate you will definitely vote for President Obama, consider voting for another candidate, or definitely vote for another candidate?"

		Definitely Obama	Consider another candidate	Definitely another candidate	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	6/17-20/11	31	24	40	5

Reuters/Ipsos Poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. May 5-9, 2011. N=1,029 adults nationwide. Margin of error ą 3.

"I know it is a long way away, but putting your own position or who you would vote for aside, do you think President Obama will win reelection in 2012?"

		Yes	No	It depends/ Maybe (vol.)	Unsure/ Refused
		%	%	%	%
	5/5-9/11	45	42	9	4
	10/28-31/10	35	52	8	5

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. May 2, 2011. N=649 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ą 4.

"Please tell me which of the following best describes how you would vote in 2012, if Barack Obama runs for reelection. Would you definitely vote for Obama, probably vote for Obama, probably not vote for Obama, or definitely not vote for Obama?"

		Definitely vote for	Probably vote for	Probably not vote for	Definitely not vote for	Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%
	5/2/11	25	21	13	38	2
	1/21-23/11	26	21	14	37	1

"Please give me your best guess: If Barack Obama decides to run for reelection, do you think he will win the presidential election in 2012, or do you think he will lose?"

		Will win	Will lose	Unsure
		%	%	%
	5/2/11	50	44	6
	1/21-23/11	46	51	3
	3/19-21/10	44	54	2

McLaughlin & Associates (R). Jan. 11-12, 2011. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ą 3.1.

"In the next election for president, do you feel that Barack Obama has performed his job well enough to deserve reelection, or do you think it is time to give a new person a chance?"

		Obama deserves reelection	Time to give new person a chance	Unsure
		%	%	%
	1/11-12/11	44	50	6

Bloomberg National Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. Dec. 4-7, 2010. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Margin of error ą 3.1.

"Thinking forward to the election for president in 2012, do you think Barack Obama deserves to be reelected or deserves to be defeated?"

		Deserves to be reelected	Deserves to be defeated	Depends on alternatives (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	12/4-7/10	42	45	4	9

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